Daniel Avitia

P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 24 RHP A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	ACHC	19	7	59	4.58	3.54	22.0%	13.1%	—	K 16.3% · BB 15.4% · FIP 4.48
2027PROJ	24	MLBCHC	39	0	41	5.28	5.28	18.6%	14.5%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCHC	22	0	23	5.06	4.97	19.8%	12.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCHC	34	0	36	4.94	4.89	20.4%	12.5%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJarret Whorff (age 24) · Jeff Niemann (age 25) · Nick Hull (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.28

FIP5.28

K%18.6%

BB%14.5%

K-BB%4.1%

Proj IP41

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	19	7	59	268	59	35	3	37%	3.1	16.3%	15.4%	0.9%	1.5%	4.58	4.48	—
2026	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	19	7	59	268	59	35	3	37%	3.1	16.3%	15.4%	0.9%	1.5%	4.58	4.48	—
2026	23	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	19	7	59	268	59	35	3	37%	3.1	22.0%	13.1%	9.0%	1.1%	4.58	3.54	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CHC	39	0	41	173	32	25	5	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.5%	4.1%	2.8%	5.28	5.28	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	51	0	54	227	45	29	6	0%	1.1	19.8%	12.8%	6.9%	2.8%	5.06	4.97	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	51	0	54	227	46	28	6	0%	1.1	20.4%	12.5%	7.9%	2.8%	4.94	4.89	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	22	0	23	97	19	12	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	12.8%	6.9%	2.8%	5.06	4.97	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	34	0	36	152	31	19	4	0%	1.1	20.4%	12.5%	7.9%	2.8%	4.94	4.89	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	248	50	31	7	0%	1.0	20.2%	12.6%	7.5%	2.8%	4.99	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	106	24	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.6%	7.5%	2.8%	4.99	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		19	7	59	268	44	41	4	37%	3.1	16.3%	15.4%	0.9%	1.5%	4.58	4.48	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	24	200	908	148	140	13	37%	3.1	16.3%	15.4%	0.9%	1.5%	4.58	4.48	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Avitia (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.28	18.6%	14.5%	2.8%	—	4.93	20.1%	7.4%	108	-0.35	—	—	—
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	82
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	81
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	81
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	80
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	80
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	79
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	79
Matt Marsh R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	15.5%	10.7%	1.8%	.275	3.65	20.5%	11.4%	70	-0.49	3.13	143	79
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	79
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	78
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	78
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	78
Carlton Perkins R 2024 · 4.16 FIP	21	SW	4.16	18.6%	15.7%	1.2%	.356	4.88	18.2%	0.2%	66	+0.72	3.61	124	78
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	77
Engert Garcia R 2024 · 4.25 FIP	24	SW	4.25	15.9%	16.8%	0.7%	.311	5.94	12.9%	-14.3%	26	+1.69	3.13	125	77
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	77
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	77
Victor Santos R 2001 · 4.97 FIP	24	SW	4.97	15.5%	13.4%	2.7%	.231	4.38	16.4%	7.4%	206	-0.59	4.09	602	77
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	50	19.7%	13.2%	1.09	5.08
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88