Mathieu Vallee

CF New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 26 L/R AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2030MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	25	AATOR	78	.314/.385/.357	0	12	93	—	.306/.359/.347
2026	25	A+TOR	68	.310/.394/.397	0	7	85	—	.267/.333/.333
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBTOR	3	.222/.287/.316	0	0	71	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBTOR	57	.222/.287/.319	1	2	72	-0.0
2029PROJ40% MLB	28	MLBTOR	111	.222/.287/.319	2	3	71	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Whiff%89

Z-Con%86

K%84

Chase%65

wRC+62

wOBA59

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJackson Cluff (age 27) · Jonny Butler (age 25) · Donta' Williams (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .287 / .316

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP294

ISO97

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	78	70	22	3	0	0	7	14	1	12	0	314	385	357	742	43	393	18	9	342	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	68	58	18	5	0	0	7	10	1	7	2	310	394	397	790	86	375	15	10	350	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	22	17	5	0	0	0	3	2	1	7	1	294	429	294	723		312	9	14	334	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	78	72	22	3	0	0	5	17	1	12	0	306	359	347	706	42	389	22	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	68	60	16	4	0	0	5	14	1	7	2	267	333	333	667	67	338	21	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	22	18	4	0	0	0	2	3	1	7	1	222	333	222	556		242	14	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	168	151	42	7	0	0	11	33	3	26	3	278	339	325	664	46	353	20	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	168	145	45	8	0	0	17	26	3	26	3	310	394	366	759	55	375	15	10	344	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	168	152	42	7	0	0	11	33	3	26	3	276	339	322	662	46	349	20	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	168	152	42	7	0	0	11	33	3	26	3	276	339	322	662	46	349	20	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TOR	2%	218	198	44	8	1	3	16	57	2	8	1	221	286	315	601	94	293	26	7	273	71	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	TOR	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	222	287	316	603	94	294	33	0	273	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TOR	27%	213	194	43	8	1	3	15	56	2	7	1	221	287	318	604	96	293	26	7	274	72	-7	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	TOR	40%	278	253	55	10	1	4	20	73	3	9	1	221	286	318	604	97	292	26	7	274	71	-9	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	TOR	45%	311	282	61	11	1	4	23	82	3	8	1	220	285	316	602	96	291	26	7	273	71	-11	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.3
2031	30	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	334	304	66	12	1	5	24	88	3	7	1	219	284	314	597	95	289	26	7	271	70	-12	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	TOR	27%	57	52	11	2	0	1	4	15	1	2	0	222	287	319	606	96	294	26	7	275	72	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	TOR	40%	111	101	23	4	1	2	8	29	1	3	0	222	287	319	606	97	293	26	7	275	71	-4	+1	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	TOR	45%	139	127	28	5	1	2	10	37	1	4	1	221	286	317	604	97	292	27	7	274	71	-5	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	159	144	32	6	1	2	12	42	2	3	0	219	285	315	599	95	291	26	8	272	70	-6	+1	-1	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	466	424	94	17	3	7	34	123	5	12	1	222	287	325	613	104	293	26	7	273	73	-16	+2	-2	+2	+10	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	131	24	4	10	47	172	7	17	1	222	286	327	613	105	293	26	7	273	73	-23	+3	-3	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1452	1318	297	53	5	18	104	371	16	62	8	225	290	314	604	89	298	26	7	275	73	-45	+5	-4	+5	+28	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	133	24	2	8	47	166	7	28	4	225	291	314	604	88	298	26	7	275	73	-23	+3	-2	+2	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Milt Cuyler'90-'98 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,567 PA	2.4	1,567	10	77	233*	299*	338*	+1	+4	0.6	0.9
/162	664	4	33	+0.6	+1.9	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Damon Buford'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,072 PA	3.1	2,072	54	56	230*	296*	371*	-1	-2	0.2	0.8
/162	664	17	18	-0.4	-0.5	0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	469	7	12	221	283	317	+2	+5	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	9	18	+2.4	+7.1	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mathieu Vallee (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	219/283/313	93	293	2	5	26%	7%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jackson Cluff 2024 · AA	27	36→30	41→45	51→60	43	178/259/280	102	271	8	15	35%	8%	55	-2.0	185/267/304	119	276	12	25	35%	9%	63	-1.3	167/253/282	115	245	12	32	35%	9%	51	-1.2
✕Jonny Butler 2024 · AA	25	41→33	44→50	61→55	41	203/266/328	125	283	11	21	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/263/297	109	256	9	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	164/247/265	101	220	7	12	27%	9%	44	-1.4
✕Donta' Williams 2024 · AA	25	39→34	40	52→55	46	188/278/281	93	282	7	22	33%	9%	62	-1.4	189/266/267	78	286	5	16	33%	8%	54	-2.0	165/243/216	51	252	1	15	32%	8%	31	-1.1
✕Jacob Hannemann 2017 · AA	26	43	42→45	58→60	40	211/261/324	113	276	9	24	26%	5%	64	-1.3	202/254/308	106	266	9	26	27%	5%	58	-1.7	191/243/289	98	251	9	29	27%	5%	48	-1.4
✕River Town 2024 · A	25	44→38	42→40	54→50	49	216/299/317	102	268	10	18	22%	8%	78	-0.3	215/304/301	86	265	6	11	20%	9%	76	-0.4	191/302/252	61	231	2	5	16%	11%	65	-0.5
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	54→55	43	199/264/310	111	274	10	17	30%	7%	62	-1.4	205/268/307	102	282	8	19	28%	7%	63	-1.3	191/255/287	97	258	7	25	27%	7%	51	-1.7
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	44→45	38→40	55	46	211/274/297	86	279	5	20	25%	7%	63	-1.4	222/279/323	101	290	7	15	24%	7%	70	-0.8	236/279/354	118	289	6	17	20%	5%	72	-0.2
✕Jordan Brewer 2024 · AA	26	39	42→45	52→55	42	194/265/298	104	279	10	18	33%	7%	61	-1.5	206/270/319	113	269	10	14	26%	6%	67	-1.1	192/257/305	113	242	10	14	24%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Matt Rudick 2024 · AAA	26	44→43	43→45	54→50	52	213/301/328	114	255	11	17	20%	9%	81	-0.1	208/293/317	109	268	10	13	24%	9%	76	-0.4	188/280/287	99	245	9	14	25%	9%	62	-0.9
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA	26	44→42	42→45	55	41	210/285/316	107	302	9	26	32%	7%	72	-0.7	200/263/298	98	297	8	14	33%	6%	59	-1.6	177/235/263	85	266	6	11	34%	6%	38	-1.5
✕Braden Shewmake 2024 · AAA	26	43→41	46→50	58→55	42	216/262/346	131	263	13	19	24%	5%	70	-0.8	205/251/313	108	252	10	21	22%	5%	58	-1.7	190/232/279	89	232	7	22	21%	4%	41	-1.0
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	44	40	55	39	212/262/305	93	306	7	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	219/277/323	104	314	10	15	31%	6%	70	-0.8	201/261/276	75	290	9	13	32%	6%	51	-0.6
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A	26	45	42→40	54→55	44	214/289/325	111	301	9	20	30%	8%	76	-0.4	210/306/317	107	286	9	20	27%	10%	81	-0.1	201/307/298	97	269	8	24	26%	11%	76	-0.2
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	40	196/247/282	86	273	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	224/278/352	128	274	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	226/273/357	131	245	21	6	18%	6%	76	-0.1
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→39	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/296	112	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	201/262/336	135	294	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	45→44	42→45	52→50	42	220/270/327	107	284	8	13	25%	6%	68	-1.0	225/271/360	135	292	15	18	27%	5%	76	-0.4	220/264/362	141	281	16	22	27%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Brian O'Grady 2018 · AA	26	36→38	43→60	54→50	47	181/264/292	112	256	10	14	32%	10%	59	-1.6	217/278/393	176	288	21	14	31%	7%	87	+0.4	212/274/402	190	276	23	15	31%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	43→37	39→40	52→55	47	207/287/293	86	286	7	17	28%	9%	68	-1.0	195/250/322	127	298	13	14	37%	6%	60	-1.6	154/210/279	125	232	14	17	39%	6%	35	-1.7
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	38→39	40	50	44	189/254/282	93	253	8	19	28%	7%	53	-2.1	197/260/302	105	290	9	15	33%	7%	59	-1.6	131/193/248	117	214	11	13	43%	7%	18	-0.8

Mathieu Vallee

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps