Carlos Marcano
P
West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 23
RHP
6'2" / 150 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 43 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.88
FIP4.88
K%18.6%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%8.6%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 18 | 1 | 36 | 154 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 6% | 2.0 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 1.0% | 5.25 | 3.15 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 18 | 1 | 36 | 154 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 6% | 2.0 | 26.6% | 6.5% | 20.1% | 0.6% | 5.25 | 2.02 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 29 | 0 | 42 | 195 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.6% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 4.68 | 3.56 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 29 | 0 | 42 | 195 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 1.0% | 4.68 | 2.98 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 22 | 18 | 100 | 429 | 78 | 41 | 7 | 82% | 4.5 | 13.5% | 11.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 4.50 | 4.21 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 22 | 18 | 100 | 429 | 78 | 41 | 7 | 82% | 4.5 | 18.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 4.50 | 3.68 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 26 | 23 | 112 | 488 | 97 | 36 | 5 | 88% | 4.3 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 3.86 | 3.79 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 26 | 23 | 112 | 488 | 97 | 36 | 5 | 88% | 4.3 | 19.9% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 1.0% | 3.86 | 2.91 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 10 | 49 | 215 | 34 | 26 | 7 | 77% | 3.7 | 12.0% | 14.0% | -2.0% | 5.8% | 4.07 | 7.05 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 10 | 49 | 215 | 34 | 26 | 7 | 77% | 3.7 | 15.8% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.07 | 5.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 15 | 9 | 45 | 201 | 42 | 26 | 9 | 60% | 3.0 | 16.1% | 14.9% | 1.2% | 5.6% | 5.00 | 6.70 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | DET | 8 | 8 | 43 | 183 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 5.4 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.88 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | DET | — | — | 88 | 384 | 76 | 44 | 15 | — | — | 19.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 4.94 | 5.81 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 44 | 187 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | DET | 3 | 3 | 19 | 80 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 19 | 82 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 6.4 | 20.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.29 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 166 | 83 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 123 | 61 | 384 | 1682 | 249 | 182 | 41 | 50% | 3.1 | 14.8% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.41 | 4.57 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 32 | 200 | 876 | 130 | 95 | 22 | 50% | 3.1 | 14.8% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.41 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carlos Marcano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.67 | 20.0% | 10.5% | 44 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 90 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 87 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 87 |
| Cade Winquest R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.36 | 17.9% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .299 | 3.91 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 158 | -0.45 | 3.34 | 236 | 85 |
| Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 84 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 83 |
| Michael Santos R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.50 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .289 | 4.91 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 49 | +0.41 | 2.26 | 276 | 83 |
| Dawson Netz R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 83 |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.58 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .263 | 4.63 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.05 | 3.57 | 389 | 83 |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 83 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 82 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 82 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 82 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 81 |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 81 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 80 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 80 |
| Matt Marsh R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 80 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2028 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 80 |
| Ricky Castro R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 44 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 1.19 | 4.80 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |