Deyer Zapata

P Visalia Rawhide

Age 23 LHP 6'0" / 150 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKARI	15	35	3.89	3.88	26.5%	12.3%	—	K 18.0% · BB 15.3% · FIP 5.79
2025	21	AARI	6	15	1.20	3.10	21.9%	7.8%	—	K 16.2% · BB 9.2% · FIP 3.77
2027PROJ	23	MLBARI	11	12	4.65	4.65	21.6%	10.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBARI	9	9	4.53	4.48	22.4%	10.0%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsFelix Doubront (age 22) · Brad Mills (age 25) · Lucas Knowles (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 122

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%21.6%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%10.9%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	16	6	36	152	35	14	1	38%	2.3	15.7%	11.5%	4.1%	1.0%	3.22	3.78	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	16	6	36	152	35	14	1	38%	2.3	23.0%	9.2%	13.8%	0.7%	3.22	2.69	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	12	10	44	184	51	21	2	83%	3.7	18.8%	14.3%	4.6%	1.7%	2.44	4.25	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Black	12	10	44	184	51	21	2	83%	3.7	27.7%	11.4%	16.3%	1.1%	2.44	2.81	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	15	0	35	155	41	19	4	0%	2.3	18.0%	15.3%	2.7%	4.1%	3.89	5.79	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	15	0	35	155	41	19	4	0%	2.3	18.0%	15.3%	2.7%	4.1%	3.89	5.79	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	15	0	35	155	41	19	4	0%	2.3	26.5%	12.3%	14.2%	2.6%	3.89	3.88	—
2025	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	6	0	15	64	14	5	1	0%	2.5	16.2%	9.2%	7.0%	1.6%	1.20	3.77	—
2025	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	6	0	15	64	14	5	1	0%	2.5	16.2%	9.2%	7.0%	1.6%	1.20	3.77	—
2025	21	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	6	0	15	64	14	5	1	0%	2.5	21.9%	7.8%	14.1%	1.6%	1.20	3.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	ARI	11	0	12	51	11	5	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.7%	10.9%	3.0%	4.65	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	19	8	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.0%	12.4%	3.0%	4.53	4.48	+0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.0%	12.4%	3.0%	4.53	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.0%	12.4%	3.0%	4.53	4.10	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.0%	12.4%	3.0%	4.53	4.10	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		49	16	130	555	97	73	12	33%	2.7	17.4%	13.2%	4.2%	2.2%	2.90	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	25	200	852	148	113	18	33%	2.7	17.4%	13.2%	4.2%	2.2%	2.90	4.49	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deyer Zapata (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	21.6%	10.7%	3.0%	—	4.48	22.4%	12.4%	20	-0.17	—	—	—
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	83
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	80
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	80
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	79
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	79
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	78
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	77
Brady Basso L 2021 · 3.93 FIP	23	SP-	3.93	21.8%	8.7%	2.8%	.333	4.17	22.0%	15.8%	179	+0.24	2.24	312	77
Jose Alvarez L 2013 · 5.02 FIP	24	SW	5.02	18.0%	8.7%	4.2%	.294	2.98	20.4%	14.8%	124	-2.04	2.78	414	75
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	73
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	73
Alex Cornwell L 2022 · 3.76 FIP	23	SW	3.76	18.9%	7.3%	2.4%	.382	3.79	16.4%	8.4%	311	+0.03	3.16	381	72
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	72
Shane McCain L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.8%	9.7%	3.0%	.324	4.75	16.6%	10.0%	125	+0.41	4.34	201	72
Jordan Fowler L 2022 · 4.98 FIP	23	SW	4.98	17.0%	5.8%	4.7%	.276	4.08	13.2%	5.3%	70	-0.90	4.08	124	72
Jeremy Affeldt L 2002 · 3.93 FIP	23	SW	3.93	19.0%	9.3%	2.3%	.314	3.79	16.8%	8.4%	252	-0.14	2.56	926	72
Jeffrey Springs L 2016 · 4.37 FIP	23	SW	4.37	21.0%	10.1%	3.2%	.265	3.59	25.7%	16.0%	233	-0.78	1.36	906	71
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	71
Caden Favors L 2024 · 3.73 FIP	22	SW	3.73	18.2%	4.5%	2.9%	.351	4.82	20.0%	8.8%	236	+1.09	3.73	248	71
Andre Wheeler L 2015 · 3.82 FIP	23	SW	3.82	16.8%	11.5%	1.2%	.321	5.17	16.5%	4.4%	87	+1.35	3.82	150	71