Ryan McCoy — OGILVIE

Ryan McCoy1B Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 24 L/R 6'5" / 230 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION243 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .292 / .355

PA162

HR5

SB5

K%34

BB%10

BABIP268

ISO163

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	76	67	10	4	0	0	5	41	4	2	1	149	250	209	459	60	385	54	7	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	76	65	14	5	1	0	7	29	4	2	1	215	329	323	652	108	389	38	9	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	TB	—	243	204	38	11	1	11	28	98	9	12	4	186	311	412	723	225	281	40	12	314	98	-0	+1	+0	-4	+7	0.3
YTD	24	A+	TB	—	243	187	48	15	1	14	43	73	9	12	4	257	415	572	987	316	337	30	18	424	182	+23	+1	+0	-4	+7	2.6
ROS	24	A+	TB	0%	162	141	27	6	1	5	16	55	4	5	2	191	292	355	647	163	267	34	10	294	83	-3	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	TB	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						270	0	0	276	69	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	TB	—	244	205	38	11	1	11	28	98	9	12	4	185	310	410	720	224	278	40	11	314	98	-0	+1	+0	-4	+7	0.3
TOT	24	A+	TB	—	405	345	65	17	2	16	44	153	13	17	6	188	303	388	692	200	275	38	11	306	92	-3	+1	+0	-7	+11	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TB	30%	286	249	49	11	1	9	29	93	6	7	2	197	296	357	653	161	271	33	10	297	86	-5	+1	+0	-5	+8	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	TB	44%	350	305	62	14	2	11	35	111	7	8	2	203	300	370	670	167	272	32	10	300	88	-5	+1	+0	-6	+10	-0.0
2029	27	MLB	TB	49%	376	328	68	15	2	12	38	118	7	8	3	207	303	375	678	168	273	31	10	301	89	-5	+0	+0	-7	+11	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	TB	52%	391	342	69	15	2	12	39	122	7	8	3	202	296	363	659	161	273	31	10	300	88	-5	+0	-1	-7	+11	-0.2
2027	25	MLB	TB	30%	87	76	15	3	0	3	9	28	2	2	1	197	299	355	654	158	273	32	10	282	74	-3	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	TB	44%	155	136	28	6	1	5	15	49	3	3	1	206	299	375	674	169	275	32	10	285	76	-4	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	TB	49%	184	160	33	7	1	6	18	58	4	4	1	206	302	375	677	169	276	32	10	286	77	-5	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	TB	52%	201	175	36	8	1	6	20	63	4	4	1	206	302	366	667	160	275	31	10	286	77	-5	+0	-0	-4	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	628	548	112	24	3	20	62	198	13	13	4	204	300	369	669	164	276	32	10	285	77	-17	+1	-0	-11	+18	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	116	25	3	21	64	205	13	13	4	205	299	370	670	166	276	32	10	285	77	-17	+1	-0	-12	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	1641	1432	285	65	8	49	162	540	35	38	13	199	296	358	654	159	277	33	10	296	84	-29	+2	-1	-29	+46	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	113	26	3	19	64	214	14	15	5	199	296	356	652	157	279	33	10	296	84	-11	+1	-0	-12	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	76	65	14	5	1	0	7	29	4	2	1	215	329	323	652	108	389	38	9	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	7	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
	/162	664	28	0	220	342	411	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	628	20	14	204	297	370	-11	-3	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	21	15	204	297	370	-11.9	-3.2	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan McCoy (OGILVIE)	24	20	51	54	57	188/303/388	200	275	16	17	38%	11%	92	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→37	43→60	54→50	48	193/272/304	111	262	10	14	29%	9%	60	-1.0	191/270/313	122	269	12	13	31%	9%	62	-0.9	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Collin Ferguson 2017 · A	24	37→27	49→55	47→45	40	196/264/342	146	278	18	8	35%	7%	67	-0.5	213/272/336	123	310	12	9	33%	7%	68	-0.5	231/283/354	122	325	10	9	30%	6%	76	+0.0
✕John Rave 2022 · A	24	40→44	47→55	54→55	40	202/271/332	130	303	15	14	37%	8%	67	-0.5	217/284/358	141	307	17	15	33%	8%	79	+0.3	220/292/381	161	277	17	23	26%	9%	84	+0.5
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	41→37	47→50	48→30	48	203/285/346	142	287	14	4	33%	10%	76	+0.1	221/289/340	119	298	12	5	28%	9%	76	+0.0	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→44	44→55	51→45	42	209/269/330	121	281	12	9	29%	7%	65	-0.7	226/282/380	154	300	19	5	30%	6%	84	+0.6	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	38	45→50	51→50	45	194/270/315	121	262	12	11	30%	8%	63	-0.9	214/301/367	153	292	18	6	31%	9%	89	+1.0	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Alex Binelas 2023 · AA	23	34→26	54→50	51→50	41	194/261/370	176	265	24	7	36%	8%	72	-0.2	200/264/348	148	298	18	12	37%	8%	68	-0.5	226/305/379	153	324	20	8	34%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→33	48→50	48→45	41	208/270/346	139	295	16	9	34%	8%	70	-0.3	191/264/322	131	292	14	9	37%	9%	61	-1.0	170/251/298	128	263	13	7	38%	9%	50	-1.4
✕Justin Nelson 2007 · A	24	39→41	51→55	44→45	42	205/273/373	168	284	18	7	34%	8%	79	+0.3	220/291/401	181	316	22	5	35%	8%	93	+1.3	221/298/419	198	312	25	2	36%	9%	99	+1.0
✕Stefan Trosclair 2018 · A	24	43→42	47→50	50	45	217/293/356	139	283	15	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	218/282/357	139	301	15	7	31%	6%	78	+0.2	208/270/353	144	290	16	4	32%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Alex Glenn 2015 · A	24	43	49→55	57→50	41	218/270/374	155	285	16	14	29%	6%	76	+0.1	206/248/337	131	278	12	8	29%	5%	57	-1.2	188/227/309	121	257	10	4	31%	4%	38	-1.3
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	36→40	50→55	48→50	45	190/268/346	156	268	17	12	35%	9%	69	-0.4	213/285/388	175	304	20	12	35%	9%	87	+0.8	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Cam Gibson 2018 · A	24	37→41	46→45	54→55	42	194/251/331	136	259	14	15	30%	7%	57	-1.2	197/260/301	104	277	9	19	30%	7%	53	-1.5	187/255/275	87	267	7	22	30%	7%	42	-1.7
✕Mike Antico 2022 · A	24	43→42	50→45	55→60	41	221/273/379	158	278	17	13	27%	6%	79	+0.3	209/273/333	124	284	13	36	29%	7%	67	-0.5	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Brandon Meredith 2014 · A	24	42→36	48→50	46→45	46	211/292/355	144	284	15	8	30%	9%	82	+0.5	207/281/345	138	281	16	7	30%	8%	75	-0.0	193/268/335	142	253	18	5	30%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Nick Maton 2021 · AA	24	42	41→50	45	44	206/270/300	94	283	8	9	29%	8%	57	-1.2	211/291/339	128	285	12	7	28%	9%	77	+0.1	215/306/369	154	265	18	4	25%	10%	89	+0.6
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	40→39	42→50	46→55	56	195/303/310	115	269	9	11	28%	13%	76	+0.0	199/299/319	120	254	11	20	24%	12%	76	+0.0	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
●Ryan Schimpf 2012 · A	24	37→41	47→65	51→45	39	189/259/327	139	272	13	8	34%	7%	61	-1.0	194/271/369	175	259	21	5	33%	8%	77	+0.1	203/283/425	222	241	28	2	29%	8%	94	+1.0