Ryan McCoy — OGILVIE

Ryan McCoy1B Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 24 L/R 6'5" / 230 lbs A+ HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION414 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP321

ISO139

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	76	65	14	5	1	0	7	29	4	2	1	215	329	323	652	108	389	38	9	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	76	68	11	4	1	0	4	41	4	2	1	162	250	250	500	88	362	54	5	209	28	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	76	68	11	4	1	0	4	41	4	2	1	162	250	250	500	88	407	54	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	76	65	14	5	1	0	7	29	4	2	1	215	329	323	652	108	389	38	9	304	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	76	68	11	4	1	0	4	41	4	2	1	162	250	250	500	88	362	54	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	76	68	11	4	1	0	4	41	4	2	1	162	250	250	500	88	362	54	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	TB	—	414	355	78	19	3	14	40	170	15	25	7	220	324	408	733	189	368	41	10	311	97	-2	+2	+0	-7	+9	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ RAW	TB	—	414	333	95	25	3	18	60	127	15	25	7	285	415	541	955	255	403	31	14	415	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A+ MLE	TB	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		310	40	10	303	91	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	A+ MLE	TB	—	424	364	79	19	3	14	41	174	15	25	7	217	321	401	723	184	363	41	10	311	96	-2	+2	+0	-8	+9	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TB	30%	303	265	55	12	2	9	28	106	7	9	2	208	300	370	670	162	303	35	9	301	90	-4	+1	+0	-5	+7	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	44%	363	319	68	15	2	11	33	123	8	10	3	213	303	376	679	163	301	34	9	304	92	-4	+1	+0	-6	+8	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	49%	384	337	71	15	2	12	36	129	8	10	3	211	302	374	676	163	300	34	9	305	92	-4	+1	+0	-7	+8	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	TB	52%	396	347	74	16	2	12	37	132	9	9	3	213	305	375	680	161	299	33	9	304	92	-4	+1	-1	-7	+9	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	TB	51%	395	346	74	16	2	12	37	132	9	9	2	214	306	376	682	162	298	33	9	302	90	-5	+1	-1	-7	+9	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	TB	51%	393	345	71	15	2	11	37	133	8	8	2	206	297	357	654	151	296	34	9	299	88	-6	+1	-2	-7	+9	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	TB	30%	92	82	18	4	1	3	8	32	2	3	1	220	304	402	707	183	313	35	9	291	90	-1	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	44%	161	141	31	7	1	5	15	55	4	4	1	220	312	390	703	170	311	34	9	294	92	-2	+0	+0	-3	+3	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	49%	188	165	36	8	1	6	17	63	4	5	1	218	306	388	694	170	310	34	9	296	92	-2	+1	+0	-3	+4	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	TB	52%	204	179	39	9	1	6	19	68	4	5	1	218	307	380	687	162	309	33	9	295	92	-2	+1	-0	-4	+4	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	TB	51%	203	178	38	8	1	6	19	68	4	5	1	213	303	371	674	157	307	33	9	293	90	-2	+1	-1	-4	+4	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	TB	51%	202	177	38	8	1	6	19	68	4	4	1	215	305	373	678	158	305	34	9	290	88	-3	+0	-1	-4	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1050	922	200	44	6	32	97	354	22	26	6	217	306	382	688	165	311	34	9	293	89	-12	+3	-2	-19	+23	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	124	27	4	20	60	219	14	16	4	217	307	384	691	166	310	34	9	293	89	-7	+2	-1	-12	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2320	2036	425	93	13	67	213	800	53	57	16	209	300	366	666	157	303	34	9	299	89	-25	+5	-4	-40	+49	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	120	26	4	19	60	224	15	16	4	211	302	370	673	160	306	34	9	299	89	-7	+1	-1	-12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,051	31	25	212	300	372	-19	-4	0.0	0.1
/162	664	20	16	-11.9	-2.8	0.0	pk7: 0
#5Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan McCoy (OGILVIE)	24	20	47	57	53	205/301/365	161	310	5	7	36%	9%	91	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→38	43→55	54→50	48	196/273/312	116	263	10	14	28%	9%	67	-1.1	193/273/316	123	270	11	13	31%	9%	68	-1.0	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Collin Ferguson 2017 · A	24	37→27	48→55	47→45	41	194/262/331	137	272	16	8	34%	7%	68	-1.0	216/275/339	123	307	12	9	32%	7%	73	-0.6	244/295/377	134	331	12	9	28%	6%	88	+0.2
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	45→40	55→50	46	202/283/328	125	257	12	15	26%	8%	75	-0.5	216/303/308	92	269	8	14	21%	9%	78	-0.3	215/312/285	70	264	6	15	19%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	40→36	47→50	48→30	48	201/284/342	140	287	14	4	33%	10%	78	-0.3	221/290/339	118	297	12	5	28%	9%	79	-0.2	213/277/313	100	285	8	0	26%	8%	65	-0.4
✕John Rave 2022 · A	24	41→47	47→50	54→55	40	204/273/334	130	311	15	14	38%	8%	72	-0.7	216/283/343	127	305	14	15	32%	8%	77	-0.3	222/295/374	153	277	16	24	25%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	42→38	48→50	48→45	42	210/274/354	143	299	16	9	34%	8%	76	-0.4	200/274/341	141	295	15	9	35%	9%	74	-0.6	190/272/341	151	280	15	7	35%	10%	72	-0.6
✕Alex Glenn 2015 · A	24	42	50→55	56→50	41	217/271/374	157	282	17	14	29%	6%	80	-0.2	209/252/340	131	277	12	8	28%	5%	64	-1.3	193/233/313	121	258	10	4	29%	4%	49	-1.2
●Will Benson 2021 · A	23	34→44	50→55	52→55	42	180/258/327	147	274	18	14	40%	9%	65	-1.2	207/304/370	163	306	17	18	35%	11%	92	+0.7	219/322/395	175	313	17	26	32%	12%	101	+1.0
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→45	44→50	51→40	43	210/272/331	121	280	12	9	28%	7%	70	-0.8	225/283/368	143	295	17	5	29%	6%	83	+0.1	222/283/366	144	287	17	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Mike Antico 2022 · A	24	43	49→45	55→60	41	220/274/371	151	282	16	13	28%	6%	80	-0.1	209/274/330	121	282	12	36	29%	7%	71	-0.8	217/280/331	115	292	12	35	28%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Cam Gibson 2018 · A	24	38→41	45	54→55	42	195/252/320	125	262	11	15	30%	7%	60	-1.6	200/264/305	105	277	9	19	29%	7%	61	-1.5	191/261/284	93	266	7	22	29%	7%	53	-1.6
●Ryan Schimpf 2012 · A	24	37→41	46→60	51→45	40	191/261/329	138	276	13	8	34%	7%	67	-1.1	196/273/362	166	261	19	5	31%	8%	79	-0.2	202/284/418	216	238	27	2	28%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Justin Nelson 2007 · A	24	39→41	51→55	44→45	42	205/273/373	168	284	18	7	34%	8%	81	-0.1	220/291/395	175	314	20	5	34%	8%	93	+0.8	221/298/410	189	309	24	2	34%	9%	98	+0.7
●Matt Mervis 2022 · AAA	24	37→47	45→55	52→45	43	189/258/310	121	262	13	8	32%	8%	61	-1.5	223/290/399	176	279	22	4	28%	7%	93	+0.8	217/289/394	177	270	23	3	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44→42	47→50	55→60	45	219/291/363	144	292	14	21	29%	8%	85	+0.2	209/281/351	142	283	14	27	30%	8%	78	-0.3	199/272/342	143	270	15	29	30%	8%	71	-0.7
✕Zach Kokoska 2023 · A	24	43	50→55	56→55	42	220/284/372	152	280	18	16	28%	6%	84	+0.2	197/264/361	164	273	20	17	35%	6%	75	-0.5	170/241/333	163	239	21	19	38%	6%	58	-0.9
✕DaShawn Keirsey Jr. 2022 · A	25	35→45	46→45	54→60	39	182/252/314	132	284	14	16	39%	8%	59	-1.6	237/289/352	115	330	10	32	29%	6%	81	-0.1	249/302/364	115	340	10	36	28%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Stefan Trosclair 2018 · A	24	43→42	47→50	50	44	216/290/351	135	288	15	9	29%	7%	82	+0.0	215/279/343	128	302	13	7	32%	6%	76	-0.4	203/266/330	127	288	14	4	33%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Zac Cook 2023 · AA	25	37	48→55	50	33	181/275/318	137	311	16	15	43%	6%	71	-0.8	194/273/318	124	328	14	17	43%	5%	70	-0.9	140/224/245	105	252	15	29	48%	4%	32	-0.8
✕Daniel Palka 2016 · A	24	40→43	54→55	50	39	212/268/389	176	296	22	11	36%	7%	82	+0.0	215/265/381	166	303	22	7	35%	6%	79	-0.2	207/276/382	174	264	24	4	31%	8%	82	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps