Ryan McCoy1B
Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 24
L/R
6'5" / 230 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .273 / .318
PA93
HR2
K%32
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-2M | $-24M | -$22M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$22M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$22M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 76 | 68 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .162 | .250 | .250 | .500 | .088 | .407 | 54 | 5 | .211 | 20 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 46 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .103 | .239 | .205 | .444 | .103 | .200 | 50 | 11 | .220 | 27 | -4 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 47 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .214 | .298 | .333 | .631 | .119 | .286 | 34 | 9 | .265 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | TB | 93 | 81 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .160 | .269 | .272 | .540 | .111 | .275 | 42 | 10 | .243 | 44 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +3 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | TB | 160 | 143 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 44 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .217 | .296 | .357 | .652 | .140 | .275 | 28 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | TB | 257 | 228 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 70 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .211 | .294 | .338 | .632 | .127 | .278 | 27 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 43% | TB | 313 | 278 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 85 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .216 | .297 | .356 | .653 | .140 | .278 | 27 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | TB | 350 | 310 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 96 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .219 | .303 | .361 | .664 | .142 | .278 | 27 | 9 | .293 | 83 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | TB | 365 | 324 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 101 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .213 | .296 | .349 | .644 | .136 | .277 | 28 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -8 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | TB | 374 | 332 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 104 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .211 | .294 | .343 | .637 | .133 | .276 | 28 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 90% | TB | 368 | 327 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 104 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .211 | .293 | .346 | .639 | .135 | .274 | 28 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -10 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | TB | 355 | 315 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 102 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .206 | .290 | .333 | .623 | .127 | .273 | 29 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -11 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +10 | -1.1 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | TB | 329 | 292 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 97 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .202 | .285 | .325 | .611 | .123 | .271 | 29 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -12 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +9 | -1.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | TB | 288 | 256 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 88 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .195 | .280 | .309 | .588 | .113 | .269 | 31 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -12 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3282 | 2915 | 609 | 116 | 18 | 76 | 293 | 948 | 48 | 35 | 12 | .209 | .292 | .339 | .631 | .130 | .279 | 29 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -93 | +2 | -20 | -59 | +93 | -7.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 121 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 58 | 188 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .210 | .293 | .341 | .634 | .132 | .281 | 29 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -18 | +1 | -4 | -12 | +18 | -1.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 76 | 65 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .215 | .329 | .323 | .652 | .108 | .389 | 38 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ryan McCoy (OGILVIE) | 24 | — | — | — | — | .205/.273/.318 | .114 | .291 | 2 | 2 | 32% | 7% | 64 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A |
24 | 42→46 | 44→50 | 51→40 | 43 | .212/.273/.333 | .122 | .278 | 12 | 9 | 28% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .228/.285/.377 | .149 | .300 | 18 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .226/.286/.378 | .152 | .294 | 19 | 3 | 29% | 6% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A |
24 | 40→39 | 43→60 | 54→50 | 48 | .198/.276/.315 | .117 | .263 | 10 | 14 | 28% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .194/.274/.318 | .124 | .270 | 12 | 14 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .210/.274/.401 | .191 | .276 | 23 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕John Rave 2022 · A |
24 | 42→43 | 46→50 | 53→50 | 39 | .205/.270/.332 | .127 | .311 | 15 | 13 | 37% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.283/.352 | .137 | .306 | 16 | 15 | 33% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .214/.283/.361 | .147 | .282 | 16 | 17 | 29% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A |
24 | 40→45 | 40→55 | 52→50 | 40 | .196/.247/.290 | .094 | .271 | 8 | 12 | 30% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .219/.273/.373 | .154 | .297 | 19 | 13 | 32% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .216/.275/.377 | .161 | .291 | 21 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Gage Green 2017 · A |
24 | 44 | 40→45 | 46→50 | 41 | .212/.273/.302 | .090 | .284 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.263/.291 | .086 | .276 | 7 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .174/.224/.236 | .062 | .226 | 0 | 0 | 22% | 4% | 24 | -0.6 |
|
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2021 · AA |
24 | 42→43 | 48→55 | 51→50 | 36 | .214/.257/.351 | .137 | .291 | 16 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .221/.282/.380 | .159 | .297 | 19 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .211/.283/.380 | .168 | .276 | 21 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Evan Edwards 2021 · A |
24 | 46 | 44→55 | 50 | 42 | .223/.282/.337 | .114 | .316 | 11 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .200/.284/.366 | .166 | .326 | 22 | 9 | 42% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .187/.277/.360 | .173 | .300 | 24 | 12 | 43% | 10% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Gabe Matthews 2022 · AAA |
24 | 42→41 | 44→50 | 50→40 | 41 | .203/.279/.321 | .119 | .305 | 11 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .196/.285/.334 | .138 | .297 | 16 | 4 | 37% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .184/.284/.322 | .138 | .277 | 17 | 2 | 37% | 9% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Nick Maton 2021 · AA |
24 | 42→41 | 41→50 | 45 | 43 | .206/.265/.304 | .098 | .278 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .212/.292/.338 | .126 | .286 | 12 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .214/.305/.368 | .154 | .264 | 18 | 4 | 25% | 10% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Kevin Rivers 2013 · A |
24 | 42→45 | 45→50 | 46→45 | 44 | .207/.279/.331 | .124 | .288 | 12 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .214/.277/.345 | .131 | .297 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .210/.272/.344 | .134 | .286 | 11 | 4 | 29% | 8% | 67 | -0.4 |
|
✕Carlos Moncrief 2013 · A |
24 | 40→50 | 47→50 | 53→50 | 39 | .193/.262/.333 | .140 | .313 | 14 | 13 | 41% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .228/.281/.372 | .144 | .309 | 15 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .234/.288/.372 | .138 | .297 | 14 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A |
24 | 40→38 | 42→50 | 47→55 | 38 | .195/.256/.302 | .107 | .293 | 9 | 11 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .185/.248/.308 | .123 | .276 | 12 | 13 | 36% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .199/.260/.339 | .140 | .286 | 17 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕DaShawn Keirsey Jr. 2022 · A |
25 | 35→45 | 45→50 | 53→60 | 40 | .180/.251/.302 | .122 | .279 | 13 | 14 | 38% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .231/.283/.350 | .119 | .327 | 11 | 31 | 31% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .245/.299/.367 | .122 | .338 | 11 | 36 | 29% | 6% | 83 | +0.5 |
|
✕Carter Williams 2022 · A |
24 | 43 | 46→50 | 50→45 | 37 | .218/.252/.353 | .135 | .284 | 13 | 9 | 28% | 4% | 63 | -0.8 | .230/.276/.361 | .131 | .301 | 15 | 9 | 28% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .226/.276/.350 | .123 | .294 | 15 | 9 | 28% | 5% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A |
24 | 46→45 | 40→50 | 51→50 | 46 | .221/.294/.312 | .091 | .301 | 8 | 15 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .219/.299/.359 | .140 | .283 | 16 | 15 | 27% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .205/.290/.355 | .150 | .260 | 17 | 14 | 27% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Matthew Sweeney 2012 · AA |
24 | 36→41 | 44→50 | 49→45 | 41 | .183/.249/.300 | .117 | .266 | 12 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .198/.255/.308 | .110 | .279 | 10 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .212/.252/.322 | .110 | .274 | 6 | 0 | 24% | 5% | 52 | -0.3 |
|
✕Robert Neustrom 2021 · A |
24 | 43→44 | 43→50 | 49→50 | 41 | .214/.260/.328 | .113 | .280 | 11 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .219/.273/.360 | .141 | .270 | 15 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .212/.269/.359 | .147 | .253 | 17 | 14 | 23% | 6% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Roman Pena 2011 · A |
24 | 39→49 | 42→50 | 43→45 | 40 | .193/.250/.299 | .106 | .272 | 10 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .228/.290/.356 | .128 | .308 | 11 | 9 | 28% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .233/.303/.392 | .159 | .312 | 16 | 7 | 29% | 9% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Carlos Guzman 2009 · A |
23 | 42→48 | 44→50 | 52→50 | 37 | .208/.257/.321 | .112 | .300 | 12 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .230/.279/.338 | .108 | .309 | 11 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .235/.287/.332 | .097 | .308 | 10 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Brandon Lockridge 2021 · A |
24 | 40→50 | 44→45 | 50→65 | 37 | .199/.247/.317 | .118 | .283 | 11 | 12 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .224/.273/.354 | .130 | .321 | 14 | 21 | 33% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .254/.322/.337 | .083 | .358 | 3 | 53 | 27% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |