Ryan McCoy
1B Bowling Green Hot Rods| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | ATB | 76 | .215/.329/.323 | 0 | 2 | 33 | — | .164/.263/.254 |
| 2026 | 24 | A+TB | 414 | .285/.415/.541 | 18 | 25 | 93 | — | .214/.312/.404 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBTB | 1 | .202/.288/.357 | 0 | 0 | 83 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBTB | 72 | .204/.290/.359 | 2 | 2 | 84 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 49
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 76 | 65 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 329 | 323 | 652 | 108 | 389 | 38 | 9 | 304 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 414 | 333 | 95 | 25 | 3 | 18 | 60 | 127 | 15 | 25 | 7 | 285 | 415 | 541 | 955 | 255 | 403 | 31 | 14 | 415 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 76 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 164 | 263 | 254 | 517 | 90 | 356 | 51 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 414 | 359 | 77 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 166 | 15 | 25 | 7 | 214 | 312 | 404 | 716 | 189 | 327 | 40 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 76 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 164 | 263 | 254 | 517 | 90 | 393 | 51 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 76 | 65 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 329 | 323 | 652 | 108 | 389 | 38 | 9 | 304 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 414 | 359 | 77 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 166 | 15 | 25 | 7 | 214 | 312 | 404 | 716 | 189 | 343 | 40 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 414 | 333 | 95 | 25 | 3 | 18 | 60 | 127 | 15 | 25 | 7 | 285 | 415 | 541 | 955 | 255 | 403 | 31 | 14 | 415 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 76 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 164 | 263 | 254 | 517 | 90 | 356 | 51 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 414 | 360 | 77 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 166 | 15 | 25 | 7 | 214 | 312 | 403 | 715 | 189 | 327 | 40 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 76 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 164 | 263 | 254 | 517 | 90 | 356 | 51 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 414 | 360 | 77 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 166 | 15 | 25 | 7 | 214 | 312 | 403 | 715 | 189 | 327 | 40 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 0% | 380 | 337 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 123 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 202 | 287 | 359 | 647 | 158 | 274 | 32 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -8 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +8 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 288 | 357 | 645 | 154 | 276 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 83 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | TB | 30% | 237 | 210 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 76 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 204 | 289 | 361 | 650 | 158 | 274 | 32 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | TB | 30% | 72 | 64 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 290 | 359 | 648 | 154 | 277 | 32 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 72 | 64 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 292 | 344 | 635 | 141 | 282 | 32 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 117 | 27 | 0 | 18 | 54 | 208 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 202 | 291 | 343 | 633 | 140 | 281 | 32 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -13 | +4 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 936 | 820 | 169 | 40 | 5 | 29 | 79 | 349 | 29 | 38 | 11 | 206 | 298 | 373 | 672 | 167 | 313 | 37 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -8 | +10 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 569 | 117 | 28 | 3 | 20 | 55 | 242 | 20 | 26 | 8 | 206 | 298 | 371 | 669 | 165 | 313 | 37 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 414 PAwOBA .407 → .306 (−100)K% 30.7% → 40.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 40.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 8.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.62% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 2.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.989 | ×0.988 | 20.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.989 | ×0.988 | 9.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.989 | ×0.988 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 7.60% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .407 → .306; ISO .255 → .208; BABIP .403 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 76 PAwOBA .297 → .217 (−80)K% 38.2% → 51.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.16% | ÷1.006 | ×1.360 | — | — | 51.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.21% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 4.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 19.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.89% | ÷0.850 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 13.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.121 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.159 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .297 → .217; ISO .108 → .079; BABIP .389 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).