Jose Fernandez

1B Reno Aces

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 165 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANFG #975Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	20	A+ARI	387	.256/.293/.344	7	10	37	—	.204/.233/.272
2025	21	AAARI	511	.272/.321/.454	17	12	62	—	.219/.260/.340
2025	21	INTLCaribes de An…	16	.333/.429/.583	1	0	148	—
2026	22	MLBARI	222	.255/.300/.343	3	9	75	-0.9
2027PROJ45% MLB	23	MLBARI	158	.240/.291/.372	3	9	81	-0.2
2028PROJ63% MLB	24	MLBARI	349	.242/.294/.381	8	21	85	-0.2
2029PROJ72% MLB	25	MLBARI	428	.244/.296/.386	11	26	87	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.9 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.9M2030Arb-2$2M2031Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Speed90

Bat Spd85

Avg EV33

xwOBA27

Barrel%16

CompsOswald Peraza (age 23) · José Rodríguez (age 23) · Ryan Bliss (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .291 / .372

PA158

HR3

SB9

K%25

BB%6

BABIP302

ISO122

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT50

xAVG

420.245

POWER50

Barrel%

163.8

Avg EV

3387.8

Bat Spd

8575.0

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

Sprint

9029.5

Platoon Splits2026 · 71 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

150

107

◀◀L

wOBA

390

327

◀◀L

ISO

050

163

▶▶R

BABIP

500

353

◀◀L

19.0%

26.0%

◀◀L

BB%

4.8%

2.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.9M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.8M		$-0.1M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	126	112	28	4	1	0	11	39	1	4	1	250	320	304	624	54	378	31	9	286	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	196	175	38	7	3	1	14	51	5	2	0	217	294	309	602	91	296	26	7	274	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	394	355	93	18	4	5	31	92	2	9	2	262	325	377	702	115	333	23	8	312	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	48	45	12	2	1	1	2	9	1	1	0	267	312	422	735	156	314	19	4	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	387	363	93	7	2	7	17	85	2	10	5	256	293	344	638	88	315	22	4	284	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	186	172	53	14	2	6	10	45	0	2	0	308	346	517	864	209	379	24	5	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	511	471	128	27	4	17	32	104	3	12	4	272	321	454	776	183	315	20	6	339	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	16	12	4	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	1	333	429	583	1.012	250	300	19	12	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	222	204	52	9	0	3	11	51	2	9	2	255	300	343	643	88	327	23	5	284	75	-7	+1	+0	-9	+5	-0.9
2026	22	AAA	Reno Aces	—	260	234	59	13	3	7	21	62	2	12	2	252	319	423	742	171	311	24	8	326	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	222	204	52	9	0	3	11	51	2	9	2	255	300	343	643	88	327	23	5	284	79	-6	+1	+0	-9	+5	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	126	117	20	3	1	0	7	57	1	4	1	171	224	214	438	43	310	45	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	196	180	28	5	2	1	9	74	5	2	0	156	216	222	439	67	241	38	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	394	364	78	14	4	4	22	123	2	9	2	214	263	308	571	93	299	31	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	387	368	75	5	1	6	12	119	2	10	5	204	233	272	505	68	279	31	3	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	511	480	105	20	4	10	24	131	3	12	4	219	260	340	600	121	274	26	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	222	204	51	8	0	3	11	51	2	9	2	250	295	333	628	83	327	23	5	279	75	-7	+1	+0	-9	+5	-0.9
2026	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	260	240	54	11	3	5	15	74	2	12	2	225	276	358	635	133	299	28	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	126	117	20	3	1	0	7	57	1	4	1	171	224	214	438	43	328	45	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	126	112	28	4	1	0	11	39	1	4	1	250	320	304	624	54	378	31	9	286	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	196	180	28	5	2	1	9	74	5	2	0	156	216	222	439	67	252	38	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	—	196	175	38	7	3	1	14	51	5	2	0	217	294	309	602	91	296	26	7	274	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	408	87	16	4	4	25	138	3	10	2	213	264	301	565	88	305	31	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	442	400	105	20	5	6	33	101	3	10	2	263	323	383	706	120	331	23	7	313	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	573	545	113	8	2	9	17	176	2	12	5	207	234	279	513	72	285	31	3	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	573	535	146	21	4	13	27	130	2	12	5	273	310	400	710	127	335	23	5	312	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	527	494	109	21	4	11	24	135	3	12	5	221	261	346	607	126	278	26	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	527	483	132	27	4	18	34	107	3	12	5	273	324	458	782	184	315	20	6	341	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	444	105	19	3	8	26	125	4	21	4	236	285	347	632	110	310	26	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	482	438	111	22	3	10	32	113	4	21	4	253	310	386	696	132	319	23	7	307	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	126	117	20	3	1	0	7	57	1	4	1	171	224	214	438	43	310	45	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	196	180	28	5	2	1	9	74	5	2	0	156	216	222	439	67	241	38	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	411	87	16	4	4	25	138	3	10	2	212	264	299	563	88	299	31	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	573	549	113	8	2	9	17	176	2	12	5	206	234	277	511	71	279	31	3	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	527	495	109	21	4	11	24	135	3	12	5	220	261	345	606	125	274	26	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	449	105	19	3	8	26	125	4	21	4	234	285	343	628	109	312	26	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	573	549	113	8	2	9	17	176	2	12	5	206	234	277	511	71	279	31	3	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	527	495	109	21	4	11	24	135	3	12	5	220	261	345	606	125	274	26	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	449	105	19	3	8	26	125	4	21	4	234	285	343	628	109	312	26	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	45%	581	537	126	22	3	14	34	145	5	35	6	234	285	362	648	129	292	25	6	288	81	-13	+5	+1	-10	+13	0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	45%	158	147	35	7	1	3	9	39	1	9	2	240	291	372	663	133	302	25	6	295	81	-4	+1	+0	-3	+3	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	63%	552	509	121	21	3	14	33	136	5	33	6	237	289	372	661	135	293	25	6	294	85	-10	+4	+1	-10	+12	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	72%	596	550	130	22	3	16	36	147	5	36	6	238	290	377	668	139	293	25	6	296	87	-9	+5	+1	-11	+13	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	76%	599	553	131	22	3	16	36	148	5	35	6	238	291	379	670	141	293	25	6	297	87	-9	+5	+1	-11	+13	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	76%	594	548	130	22	3	16	36	147	5	34	6	237	290	377	667	139	293	25	6	296	86	-10	+4	+1	-11	+13	-0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	76%	586	541	127	22	3	15	35	146	5	31	5	235	288	372	660	137	292	25	6	293	85	-11	+4	+0	-10	+13	-0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	ARI	74%	574	531	124	21	3	15	34	145	4	27	5	233	285	366	652	133	291	25	6	290	82	-12	+3	-1	-10	+12	-0.7
2034	30	MLB MLE	ARI	73%	562	520	120	20	3	14	33	144	4	22	4	230	282	359	641	129	289	26	6	286	79	-14	+3	-1	-10	+12	-1.0
2035	31	MLB MLE	ARI	73%	547	506	115	19	3	13	32	142	4	16	3	227	277	350	627	123	287	26	6	280	75	-16	+2	-2	-10	+12	-1.4
2036	32	MLB MLE	ARI	79%	528	490	109	18	2	12	30	140	3	10	2	222	271	338	610	117	283	27	6	272	70	-19	+1	-3	-9	+11	-1.8
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	63%	349	322	79	15	3	8	21	86	3	21	4	242	294	381	676	139	303	25	6	300	85	-6	+3	+1	-6	+8	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	72%	428	395	97	18	3	11	26	105	4	26	4	244	296	386	682	143	303	25	6	302	87	-7	+4	+1	-8	+9	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	76%	454	420	102	19	3	12	27	112	4	27	5	244	296	388	684	144	303	25	6	303	87	-7	+3	+1	-8	+10	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	76%	451	417	101	19	3	11	27	112	4	26	4	243	295	385	681	143	302	25	6	302	86	-7	+4	+1	-8	+10	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	76%	445	412	99	18	3	11	27	111	3	24	4	241	293	381	674	140	301	25	6	299	85	-8	+3	+0	-8	+10	-0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	ARI	74%	426	395	94	17	3	10	25	108	3	20	3	239	291	375	666	136	300	25	6	296	82	-9	+3	-0	-8	+9	-0.5
2034	30	MLB CTX	ARI	73%	412	382	91	17	3	10	24	105	3	16	3	236	287	368	655	132	298	25	6	291	79	-10	+2	-1	-7	+9	-0.8
2035	31	MLB CTX	ARI	73%	397	368	86	16	2	9	23	103	3	11	2	232	282	359	641	127	296	26	6	285	75	-12	+1	-1	-7	+9	-1.0
2036	32	MLB CTX	ARI	79%	416	386	88	16	2	9	24	110	3	8	2	227	276	347	623	120	292	26	6	278	70	-15	+1	-2	-7	+9	-1.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4000	3701	889	164	25	94	235	1003	32	188	33	240	291	374	666	134	303	25	6	295	73	-86	+24	-2	-76	+87	-5.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	144	27	4	15	38	163	5	31	5	240	290	373	663	133	303	25	6	295	73	-14	+4	-0	-12	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	7834	7260	1644	272	44	172	433	2087	61	326	64	226	276	347	623	121	291	27	6	276	73	-122	+35	-2	-107	+124	-7.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	137	23	4	14	36	173	5	27	5	228	277	349	626	121	294	27	6	276	73	-14	+4	-0	-12	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael A. Taylorlast yr '25 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,758 PA	5.7	3,758	108	128	232	288	380	+12	+64	13.3	12.9
/162	664	19	23	+2.1	+11.2	2.3	pk7: 13
#2Jim Rivera'52-'61 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,008 PA	6.0	4,008	83	160	251*	315*	426*	-23	-0	9.1	9.5
/162	664	14	27	-3.8	-0.0	1.5	pk7: 10
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.3	4,157	102	196	235	283	366	+34	+1	8.7	8.4
/162	664	16	31	+5.4	+0.1	1.4	pk7: 8
#4Howie Shanks'12-'25 * career totals — 14 seasons, 6,414 PA	9.7	6,414	25	185	239*	293*	384*	-9	+14	6.1	8.2
/162	664	3	19	-1.0	+1.4	0.6	pk7: 10
#5Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
#6Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Fernandez (OGILVIE)	23	50	50	50	30	232/283/359	128	292	8	21	25%	6%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswald Peraza 2023 · MLB	23	48→54	48→50	57→60	42	240/294/380	140	304	17	31	27%	6%	90	+0.6	219/285/342	123	278	15	25	26%	7%	78	-0.3	204/275/315	112	259	14	24	26%	7%	67	-0.7
✕José Rodríguez 2024 · AAA	23	47→54	47→50	56→55	40	240/272/375	134	290	15	28	23%	4%	80	-0.2	238/276/350	112	288	11	22	21%	5%	75	-0.5	255/293/345	89	297	7	25	16%	4%	78	-0.1
✕Ryan Bliss 2024 · AAA	24	45→51	46→50	59→60	44	224/286/356	132	289	12	32	26%	7%	81	-0.1	231/299/360	129	304	11	38	26%	8%	87	+0.4	223/291/342	119	294	9	40	25%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2024 · MLB	23	49→55	50→55	56→55	38	247/286/408	161	312	17	25	26%	4%	93	+0.8	248/285/400	152	304	17	21	24%	4%	91	+0.7	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Johan Rojas 2024 · MLB	23	51→60	43→45	64→65	42	246/291/366	120	307	9	37	23%	5%	84	+0.2	245/288/337	92	309	6	34	22%	5%	76	-0.4	243/284/316	73	306	4	40	21%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Brent Lillibridge 2008 · AAA	24	51→54	44→50	59→60	45	250/308/372	123	318	11	31	24%	7%	93	+0.8	221/278/325	104	294	8	29	26%	6%	71	-0.8	222/280/356	134	299	17	36	30%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Tito Polo 2018 · AA	23	49→54	42→45	57→60	39	235/288/344	110	315	9	29	28%	5%	79	-0.2	227/276/331	104	298	8	25	25%	5%	72	-0.7	217/265/315	98	274	7	34	23%	5%	60	-0.4
✕Jordan Lawlar 2024 · MLB	22	47→55	47→50	59→60	47	231/310/369	138	309	14	28	28%	8%	94	+0.9	240/311/398	158	324	15	25	29%	8%	100	+1.3	247/313/444	196	333	20	28	30%	7%	109	+1.0
✕Luisangel Acuña 2024 · AA	22	54→60	43→45	60	45	257/310/365	108	337	10	37	26%	7%	91	+0.7	249/290/337	88	311	6	35	21%	5%	77	-0.3	246/284/323	77	302	5	38	20%	5%	70	-0.6
✕Victor Robles 2020 · MLB	23	51→54	48→50	55→60	44	251/318/402	152	304	14	26	22%	6%	104	+1.6	228/300/350	122	292	11	19	25%	6%	86	+0.3	282/353/387	104	351	6	51	19%	6%	113	+0.7
✕Jake Marisnick 2016 · MLB	25	48→56	46→60	56→55	38	236/280/363	127	301	13	29	26%	4%	80	-0.1	225/280/389	164	297	20	21	30%	6%	87	+0.4	229/291/435	206	302	27	18	33%	6%	103	+0.8
✕Liover Peguero 2024 · MLB	23	46→49	46→45	56→55	41	231/274/359	129	295	14	22	27%	6%	77	-0.3	220/273/339	119	298	12	16	29%	6%	72	-0.7	213/270/321	108	296	10	14	30%	7%	65	-0.9
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	48→54	48→55	52→55	45	238/301/386	148	304	14	21	26%	7%	94	+0.9	222/284/374	152	291	16	17	28%	7%	85	+0.2	202/265/351	149	268	17	17	30%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Bradley Zimmer 2016 · AA	23	47→51	46→50	58→60	41	229/299/362	132	319	14	28	31%	7%	88	+0.4	228/299/366	138	343	13	28	35%	8%	88	+0.5	230/307/358	128	349	13	28	35%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Anthony Volpe 2024 · MLB	23	42→50	52→55	58→55	48	218/296/393	175	269	19	27	26%	9%	94	+0.9	225/286/370	145	282	14	22	25%	7%	84	+0.2	226/286/365	138	282	13	24	24%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Samad Taylor 2023 · AAA	25	48→58	49→50	58→65	43	237/301/382	145	322	17	33	31%	7%	93	+0.8	243/315/357	114	332	10	40	27%	9%	92	+0.7	253/319/358	105	339	9	36	26%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Ryan Brett 2015 · AA	23	55→58	42→45	58→60	43	263/302/378	114	316	9	26	20%	5%	91	+0.7	234/271/342	108	290	9	14	22%	4%	72	-0.7	204/234/289	85	261	7	7	24%	2%	43	-1.3
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2015 · MLB	23	47→51	49→55	57→55	40	237/279/392	156	310	15	23	28%	6%	86	+0.3	212/254/352	140	300	13	22	32%	5%	68	-1.0	211/258/373	162	290	17	14	32%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Leo German 2017 · AAA	24	51→57	43→45	61→55	40	246/294/361	115	315	9	28	24%	5%	84	+0.2	272/309/356	84	356	6	22	24%	4%	88	+0.5	288/324/364	77	371	6	19	23%	4%	92	+0.5
✕Spencer Jones 2024 · AA	23	46→51	46→55	56→55	37	222/269/353	131	329	14	28	36%	6%	74	-0.5	223/284/385	162	366	18	23	41%	7%	87	+0.4	220/289/397	177	359	21	23	42%	8%	90	+0.5

Jose Fernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps