Ivan Oviedo

P Down East Wood Ducks

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	19	MIX2 levels	12	5	49	2.76	2.57	26.6%	7.2%	—	K 17.8% · BB 7.9% · FIP 3.78
2023	20	MIX2 levels	19	5	34	6.88	4.16	30.6%	11.5%	—	K 21.2% · BB 14.0% · FIP 5.64
2024	21	MIX4 levels	19	0	45	2.20	2.99	25.1%	13.6%	—	K 20.1% · BB 16.5% · FIP 4.01
2027PROJ	24	MLBTEX	18	0	19	4.64	4.64	22.9%	11.6%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBTEX	9	0	9	4.54	4.49	23.3%	10.7%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJeff Niemann (age 25) · Trent Fennell (age 23) · Kyle Zimmer (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%22.9%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%11.3%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	12	11	62	261	72	16	5	92%	5.2	18.8%	7.7%	11.1%	2.3%	3.03	3.75	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	12	11	62	261	72	16	5	92%	5.2	27.6%	6.1%	21.5%	1.9%	3.03	2.60	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	49	207	55	15	3	42%	4.1	17.8%	7.9%	9.9%	2.2%	2.76	3.78	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	5	49	207	55	15	3	42%	4.1	26.6%	7.2%	19.3%	1.4%	2.76	2.57	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	5	34	157	48	18	6	26%	1.8	21.2%	14.0%	7.3%	4.7%	6.88	5.64	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	5	34	157	48	18	6	26%	1.8	30.6%	11.5%	19.1%	3.8%	6.88	4.16	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	19	0	45	191	48	26	1	0%	2.4	20.1%	16.5%	3.6%	0.9%	2.20	4.01	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	19	0	45	191	48	26	1	0%	2.4	20.1%	16.5%	3.6%	0.9%	2.20	4.01	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	4 levels	19	0	45	191	48	26	1	0%	2.4	25.1%	13.6%	11.5%	0.5%	2.20	2.99	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TEX	18	0	19	80	18	9	2	0%	1.1	22.9%	11.6%	11.3%	3.0%	4.64	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	19	0	20	84	20	9	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.7%	12.7%	3.0%	4.54	4.49	+0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	10.7%	12.7%	3.0%	4.54	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.7%	12.7%	3.0%	4.54	4.11	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.7%	12.7%	3.0%	4.54	4.11	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		62	21	190	816	158	90	20	34%	3.1	19.3%	11.0%	8.3%	2.4%	3.45	4.18	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	22	200	857	166	94	21	34%	3.1	19.3%	11.0%	8.3%	2.4%	3.45	4.18	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ivan Oviedo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	22.9%	11.6%	3.0%	—	4.49	23.3%	12.7%	20	-0.15	—	—	—
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	83
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	80
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	80
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	79
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	78
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	78
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	77
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	77
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	76
Luis Contreras R 2019 · 3.59 FIP	23	SW	3.59	26.4%	12.8%	2.0%	.302	3.13	26.8%	14.4%	42	-0.46	3.13	258	76
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	75
Trennor O'Donnell R 2024 · 3.45 FIP	23	SW	3.45	18.2%	8.6%	1.5%	.326	6.32	14.2%	0.6%	44	+2.87	3.45	107	75
Austin Bergner R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	24	SW	4.99	24.0%	10.9%	4.6%	.277	4.87	21.6%	10.0%	274	-0.12	4.06	464	75
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	75
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	74
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	74
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	74
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	74