Justin Rodriguez

Justin RodriguezSS DSL Tigers 1

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .262 / .267

PA58

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	133	128	20	2	2	1	3	61	1	7	3	156	182	227	408	70	284	46	2	168	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	133	126	30	3	3	1	5	43	1	7	3	238	273	333	606	95	349	32	4	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	190	174	26	8	1	1	10	97	5	5	1	149	217	224	441	75	325	51	5	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	190	168	44	15	3	2	16	66	5	5	1	262	344	423	767	161	416	35	8	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	174	152	20	3	0	1	15	71	1	7	2	132	214	171	385	39	221	41	9	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	174	142	29	4	0	1	25	49	1	7	2	204	327	254	581	49	286	28	14	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	98	84	10	0	0	0	9	42	5	5	2	119	245	119	364		238	43	9	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	98	79	15	0	1	0	14	29	5	5	2	190	347	215	562	25	300	30	14	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	DET	—	58	53	11	2	0	1	4	19	1	1	0	208	276	302	578	94	286	33	7	246	46	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	DET	34%	108	98	19	3	1	1	8	34	1	2	0	194	262	276	537	82	288	31	7	259	56	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	DET	46%	238	214	44	7	1	4	19	72	3	4	1	206	280	304	583	98	289	30	8	268	63	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	DET	52%	324	291	61	10	2	6	26	97	4	5	1	210	283	320	603	110	290	30	8	274	68	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2030	26	MLB	DET	54%	381	344	73	12	2	8	30	113	4	6	1	212	283	328	612	116	290	30	8	277	70	-13	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2027	23	MLB	DET	34%	37	34	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	176	243	206	449	29	283	32	8	247	47	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	DET	46%	110	99	21	3	1	2	9	33	1	2	0	212	284	323	608	111	285	30	8	255	54	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	DET	52%	167	150	31	5	1	3	13	50	2	3	1	207	279	313	592	107	285	30	8	261	58	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2030	26	MLB	DET	54%	207	187	38	6	1	4	16	61	2	3	1	203	273	310	583	107	285	29	8	264	60	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	521	470	96	15	3	9	41	156	5	9	2	204	275	306	582	102	282	30	8	260	57	-25	+1	+0	+6	+15	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	120	19	4	11	51	195	6	11	2	205	275	307	582	102	284	30	8	260	57	-31	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1704	1538	284	47	9	23	124	606	25	42	11	185	257	272	528	87	283	36	7	241	42	-111	+4	+0	+18	+48	-4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	108	18	3	9	47	231	10	16	4	184	256	271	527	87	281	36	7	241	42	-42	+2	+0	+7	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	133	126	30	3	3	1	5	43	1	7	3	238	273	333	606	95	349	32	4	269	64	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2022	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	190	168	44	15	3	2	16	66	5	5	1	262	344	423	767	161	416	35	8	341	119	+4	+1	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	174	142	29	4	0	1	25	49	1	7	2	204	327	254	581	49	286	28	14	271	65	-7	+1	—	—	+5	-0.1
2024	20	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	98	79	15	0	1	0	14	29	5	5	2	190	347	215	562	25	300	30	14	283	75	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	579	10	9	210	278	316	+6	+9	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	12	10	210	278	316	+7.1	+10.3	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	192/262/267	75	286	1	1	32%	8%	46	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/333	122	296	14	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	196/266/321	125	267	17	13	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→36	39→55	49→30	41	203/264/290	86	289	7	6	30%	6%	52	-1.6	200/253/377	177	299	25	3	40%	6%	72	-0.2	180/234/343	163	262	24	1	40%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	301	9	13	31%	7%	61	-1.0	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	49	-1.8	200/255/276	76	267	5	3	26%	5%	45	-2.1	193/253/280	87	245	8	0	24%	5%	42	-0.8
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→45	45→30	36	194/235/268	74	277	4	8	31%	4%	33	-2.9	221/267/321	100	274	9	6	22%	6%	61	-1.0	227/273/327	101	266	11	4	19%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	50	-1.8	175/256/274	99	265	8	5	34%	9%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Mikell Granberry 2018 · A	22	39	39→45	47→45	38	186/242/277	91	282	4	6	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/284/323	108	302	8	7	29%	8%	69	-0.4	225/307/355	130	299	13	7	27%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	39	204/256/303	99	288	9	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	199/262/282	83	293	7	9	32%	7%	50	-1.8	183/253/253	70	269	6	8	32%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	53	-1.5	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	43	-2.2	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	20	-1.2