Justin Rodriguez

Justin RodriguezSS DSL Tigers 1

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .263 / .266

PA5

HR0

K%32

BB%8

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	133	126	30	3	3	1	5	43	1	7	3	238	273	333	606	95	349	32	4	269	68	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2022	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	190	168	44	15	3	2	16	66	5	5	1	262	344	423	767	161	416	35	8	341	117	+4	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	174	142	29	4	0	1	25	49	1	7	2	204	327	254	581	49	286	28	14	271	69	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	20	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	98	79	15	0	1	0	14	29	5	5	2	190	347	215	562	25	300	30	14	283	78	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers	—	133	128	20	2	2	1	3	62	1	7	3	156	182	227	408	70	277	47	2	171	2	-16	+0	—	—	+3	-1.3
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	190	174	27	8	2	1	10	96	5	5	1	155	222	241	464	86	322	51	5	206	26	-17	+1	—	—	+4	-1.2
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	174	152	21	3	0	1	15	71	1	7	2	138	220	178	398	39	211	41	9	184	11	-18	+1	—	—	+4	-1.4
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	98	84	11	0	1	0	9	42	5	5	2	131	255	155	410	24	232	43	9	183	10	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers	—	133	128	20	2	2	1	3	62	1	7	3	156	182	227	408	70	288	47	2	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers	—	133	126	30	3	3	1	5	43	1	7	3	238	273	333	606	95	349	32	4	269	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	190	174	27	8	2	1	10	96	5	5	1	155	222	241	464	86	333	51	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	190	168	44	15	3	2	16	66	5	5	1	262	344	423	767	161	416	35	8	341	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	174	152	21	3	0	1	15	71	1	7	2	138	220	178	398	39	233	41	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	174	142	29	4	0	1	25	49	1	7	2	204	327	254	581	49	286	28	14	271	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	98	84	11	0	1	0	9	42	5	5	2	131	255	155	410	24	262	43	9	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	98	79	15	0	1	0	14	29	5	5	2	190	347	215	562	25	300	30	14	283	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers	—	133	128	20	2	2	1	3	62	1	7	3	156	182	227	408	70	277	47	2	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	190	173	27	8	2	1	10	96	5	5	1	156	222	243	465	87	322	51	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	174	156	21	3	0	1	15	71	1	7	2	135	220	173	393	38	211	41	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	98	84	11	0	1	0	9	42	5	5	2	131	255	155	410	24	232	43	9	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	174	156	21	3	0	1	15	71	1	7	2	135	220	173	393	38	211	41	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	98	84	11	0	1	0	9	42	5	5	2	131	255	155	410	24	232	43	9	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	DET	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		286	40	0	246	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	DET	34%	108	98	19	3	1	1	8	33	1	2	0	194	262	276	537	82	287	31	7	259	61	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	DET	46%	238	214	44	7	1	4	19	72	3	4	1	206	280	304	583	98	289	30	8	268	67	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	DET	52%	324	291	62	10	2	6	26	96	4	5	1	213	287	323	610	110	289	30	8	274	71	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	DET	54%	381	344	73	12	2	8	30	113	4	6	1	212	283	328	612	116	289	30	8	277	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	DET	54%	410	369	78	13	2	8	33	121	5	6	2	211	285	322	608	111	289	30	8	277	74	-13	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	DET	54%	426	383	80	13	2	8	35	127	5	6	2	209	284	316	600	107	289	30	8	276	73	-14	+0	-1	+5	+9	-0.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	DET	53%	428	385	80	13	2	8	35	128	5	6	1	208	282	314	597	106	288	30	8	274	72	-14	+1	-1	+5	+9	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	DET	34%	37	34	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	176	243	206	449	29	283	30	8	247	61	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	DET	46%	110	99	21	3	1	2	9	33	1	2	0	212	284	323	608	111	284	30	8	255	67	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	DET	52%	167	150	31	5	1	3	13	50	2	3	1	207	279	313	592	107	285	30	8	261	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	DET	54%	207	187	39	6	1	4	16	61	2	3	1	209	278	316	594	107	285	29	8	264	74	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	DET	54%	222	199	41	7	1	4	18	66	3	3	1	206	282	312	593	106	285	30	8	264	74	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	DET	54%	231	207	43	7	1	4	19	69	3	3	1	208	284	309	593	101	284	30	8	263	73	-7	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	DET	53%	227	203	42	7	1	4	19	68	3	3	1	207	284	310	595	103	284	30	8	262	72	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1201	1079	223	36	6	21	97	358	14	18	5	207	281	310	590	103	286	30	8	262	60	-40	+2	-1	+13	+26	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	120	19	3	11	52	194	8	10	3	205	280	305	584	99	285	30	8	262	60	-22	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2915	2627	516	84	17	46	223	963	39	59	16	196	269	294	563	97	287	33	8	256	60	-78	+4	-2	+25	+50	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	115	19	4	10	50	215	9	13	4	196	270	294	563	97	288	33	8	256	60	-22	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,260	23	19	211	281	320	+13	+12	0.7	0.7
/162	664	12	10	+7.1	+6.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	192/263/266	74	286	1	1	32%	8%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→48	39→45	48→50	45	182/274/268	86	264	6	10	31%	8%	58	-1.7	206/278/301	95	283	7	11	28%	7%	66	-1.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	39	201/255/297	96	286	8	8	32%	6%	55	-1.9	198/263/285	87	291	7	9	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/254/257	75	267	7	8	32%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→40	44→65	38	195/256/276	80	309	6	7	37%	6%	51	-2.2	207/280/301	94	303	7	30	31%	7%	67	-1.1	200/278/292	91	290	6	42	30%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→49	37→45	48→45	44	187/265/261	75	278	4	7	32%	8%	52	-2.2	212/285/310	98	296	8	5	29%	8%	70	-0.8	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/231/293	99	262	8	10	29%	4%	45	-2.7	197/236/286	89	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/258/283	79	271	6	3	26%	5%	54	-2.0	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	40→44	38→45	50→65	41	197/248/266	70	256	6	15	25%	5%	46	-2.6	206/264/300	94	275	7	19	26%	7%	60	-1.6	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	42	40→55	49→40	39	208/248/301	93	281	8	6	28%	5%	53	-2.1	203/258/334	131	317	14	3	39%	5%	66	-1.1	194/261/373	179	295	22	1	40%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	50	-2.3	212/274/306	94	301	9	13	30%	7%	65	-1.2	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Brendon Davis 2019 · A	22	41→43	39→50	43→50	39	197/256/284	87	304	7	5	36%	7%	53	-2.1	200/261/303	103	296	10	6	34%	7%	60	-1.6	194/266/353	159	252	19	9	30%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Kyler Fedko 2022 · A	22	46→42	38→50	51→55	44	212/282/292	79	315	5	10	32%	8%	65	-1.2	205/287/314	109	273	10	10	27%	9%	72	-0.7	197/276/341	144	245	18	22	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→45	49→40	43	204/260/298	94	268	7	6	26%	6%	58	-1.7	192/251/306	114	277	11	4	33%	6%	57	-1.8	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	183/249/251	68	277	3	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	179/238/250	71	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	192/262/321	129	263	16	1	32%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A	22	45	39→40	52→60	40	212/268/302	90	310	6	12	32%	7%	61	-1.5	186/266/262	76	308	6	22	38%	9%	53	-2.1	145/240/204	59	242	5	33	39%	9%	30	-1.1
✕Aramis Garcia 2015 · A	22	44→41	38→50	49→45	45	208/269/290	82	284	4	6	27%	7%	59	-1.6	212/265/333	121	287	14	3	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/254/350	137	283	17	0	31%	4%	65	-0.7
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	39→40	53→60	49	181/288/262	81	287	6	16	35%	11%	63	-1.4	203/293/281	78	295	5	23	30%	10%	68	-1.0	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	44	40	50	39	211/267/307	95	311	8	8	33%	6%	63	-1.4	201/290/309	108	293	11	12	33%	9%	74	-0.6	213/316/315	101	301	9	14	29%	10%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps