Carlos Gutierrez

Carlos GutierrezOF Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 23 L/L 5'6" / 135 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .263 / .283

PA76

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	106	84	14	2	1	0	18	20	4	6	0	167	340	214	554	48	219	19	17	280	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	145	125	30	9	3	0	14	24	3	5	3	240	331	360	691	120	288	17	10	308	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	100	86	32	7	0	0	14	17	0	10	1	372	460	453	913	81	464	17	14	414	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	125	108	28	5	0	1	11	30	2	11	1	259	339	333	672	74	333	24	9	300	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	48	44	11	3	0	0	3	9	0	2	2	250	298	318	616	68	306	19	6	275	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	42	32	4	1	0	0	9	10	1	1	2	125	333	156	490	31	182	24	21	262	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	106	89	10	1	1	0	13	24	4	6	0	112	255	146	401	34	150	23	12	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	145	130	21	6	2	0	9	30	3	5	3	162	232	238	471	77	196	21	6	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	100	90	23	5	0	0	10	21	0	10	1	256	330	311	641	56	329	21	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	125	112	22	3	0	1	7	44	2	11	1	196	256	250	506	54	274	35	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	48	45	10	3	0	0	2	12	0	2	2	222	255	289	544	67	270	25	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	42	36	3	1	0	0	5	14	1	1	2	83	214	111	325	28	145	33	12	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	106	89	10	1	1	0	13	24	4	6	0	112	255	146	401	34	154	23	12	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Red	—	106	84	14	2	1	0	18	20	4	6	0	167	340	214	554	48	219	19	17	280	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	145	130	21	6	2	0	9	30	3	5	3	162	232	238	471	77	204	21	6	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Blue	—	145	125	30	9	3	0	14	24	3	5	3	240	331	360	691	120	288	17	10	308	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	100	90	23	5	0	0	10	21	0	10	1	256	330	311	641	56	333	21	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	—	100	86	32	7	0	0	14	17	0	10	1	372	460	453	913	81	464	17	14	414	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	125	112	22	3	0	1	7	44	2	11	1	196	256	250	506	54	296	35	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	125	108	28	5	0	1	11	30	2	11	1	259	339	333	672	74	333	24	9	300	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	90	80	12	3	0	0	8	26	1	3	4	150	236	188	423	38	218	29	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	90	76	15	4	0	0	12	19	1	3	4	197	315	250	565	53	259	21	13	269	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	106	88	10	1	1	0	13	24	4	6	0	114	255	148	402	34	150	23	12	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	145	132	21	6	2	0	9	30	3	5	3	159	232	235	467	76	196	21	6	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	100	90	23	5	0	0	10	21	0	10	1	256	330	311	641	56	329	21	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	125	115	22	3	0	1	7	44	2	11	1	191	256	243	500	52	274	35	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	90	81	12	3	0	0	8	26	1	3	4	148	236	185	421	37	212	29	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	125	115	22	3	0	1	7	44	2	11	1	191	256	243	500	52	274	35	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	90	81	12	3	0	0	8	26	1	3	4	148	236	185	421	37	212	29	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	200	182	37	7	1	2	14	60	2	4	1	202	265	286	551	83	286	30	7	251	56	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	30%	143	131	27	5	1	2	10	42	1	3	1	206	270	298	569	92	287	29	7	258	61	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	30%	43	40	8	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	207	270	297	567	91	287	30	7	258	61	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	43	40	8	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	200	256	300	556	100	269	30	7	258	43	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	121	15	0	15	45	197	0	15	0	200	255	299	555	99	270	30	7	258	43	-30	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	785	702	129	26	4	4	62	210	12	39	10	184	262	249	511	66	252	27	8	231	43	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	107	22	3	3	51	174	10	32	8	184	261	248	509	64	253	27	8	231	43	-31	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	201/263/283	83	286	1	1	30%	7%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Trey Paige 2024 · A	23	40	39→40	49→50	42	192/266/272	80	290	6	7	34%	8%	55	-2.0	202/270/291	89	307	6	9	33%	8%	60	-1.6	197/270/292	94	292	7	12	32%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2018 · A	23	39→40	36→45	50	44	188/253/251	63	273	3	8	31%	8%	45	-2.7	183/253/273	90	296	8	7	38%	8%	50	-2.3	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	195/261/308	113	264	9	19	28%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	38→32	40→50	49→50	36	184/237/276	92	297	8	13	39%	6%	45	-2.7	218/265/340	122	373	12	12	42%	5%	70	-0.9	212/253/348	137	372	14	14	45%	4%	63	-0.4
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Jacob Pearson 2021 · A	23	41→39	40	50	43	199/254/289	91	268	7	12	28%	7%	53	-2.1	188/249/286	98	259	8	15	29%	7%	51	-2.2	165/232/259	94	229	8	19	30%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→39	40→45	48→45	44	199/276/293	94	296	8	12	33%	9%	63	-1.3	209/278/327	118	271	12	8	26%	8%	72	-0.7	200/272/318	119	252	12	6	25%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Jerry Downs 2017 · A	23	45→32	39→45	48→40	46	215/289/301	86	287	6	8	26%	8%	70	-0.9	191/264/292	101	266	9	4	31%	5%	59	-1.6	163/238/261	97	227	11	2	32%	5%	41	-1.5
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	36	38→50	49→40	35	175/227/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	35	-3.4	188/273/334	146	262	18	6	34%	9%	73	-0.6	166/253/301	135	232	18	4	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Izzy Wilson 2021 · A	23	41→35	41→45	52→55	39	187/258/286	99	327	9	15	42%	8%	55	-2.0	207/270/348	141	304	18	21	36%	8%	74	-0.5	194/259/341	147	272	20	25	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	43	42→45	53→55	42	213/262/322	108	277	9	14	26%	6%	63	-1.3	218/276/332	114	306	10	21	30%	7%	72	-0.7	213/281/334	121	303	14	24	32%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	39	42→50	46→55	38	193/254/300	107	288	9	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	186/250/305	119	275	12	13	35%	6%	57	-1.8	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Garrett Spain 2024 · A	23	37→35	43→45	46→50	40	187/252/299	113	282	10	9	36%	7%	56	-1.9	173/235/288	115	249	13	12	34%	7%	47	-2.5	162/228/283	121	225	15	14	34%	7%	41	-2.3
✕Cameron Baranek 2018 · A	23	41	38→40	49→50	37	193/247/273	80	293	4	10	34%	5%	47	-2.6	193/243/269	76	306	6	12	37%	6%	45	-2.7	177/226/244	67	281	6	14	37%	5%	31	-1.4
✕Kai Murphy 2024 · A	23	45→41	40	48→50	38	214/266/304	90	322	8	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	206/273/284	78	284	6	10	27%	7%	59	-1.6	197/269/263	66	263	5	11	25%	8%	51	-1.3