Garrett Spain — OGILVIE

Garrett SpainRF Wichita Wind Surge

Age 25 L/R 5'9" / 178 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION495 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP259

ISO124

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	62	59	10	0	0	0	2	17	0	0	2	169	197	169	366		233	27	3	168	0	-7	-1	—	—	+1	-0.7
2022	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	337	291	63	13	3	6	40	92	5	10	3	216	321	344	665	127	294	27	12	305	92	-3	+1	—	—	+7	0.5
2023	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	325	78	24	3	12	35	100	5	6	5	240	323	443	766	203	308	27	10	339	115	+7	-1	—	—	+8	1.4
2024	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	329	55	9	1	11	34	99	2	12	2	167	248	301	549	134	201	27	9	249	55	-20	+2	—	—	+8	-1.0
2025	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	43	37	6	2	0	0	4	15	1	3	0	162	262	216	478	54	261	35	9	226	39	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	486	430	89	17	4	16	39	131	9	6	7	207	287	377	663	170	251	27	8	293	85	-9	-2	—	—	+11	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	62	60	9	0	0	0	1	22	0	0	2	150	164	150	314		231	35	2	149	-13	-8	-1	—	—	+1	-0.8
2022	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	337	307	50	7	3	5	24	128	5	10	3	163	235	254	489	91	253	38	7	216	32	-27	+1	—	—	+7	-1.9
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	338	55	17	2	7	22	136	5	6	5	163	225	287	512	124	243	37	6	225	38	-27	-1	—	—	+8	-2.0
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	342	45	7	1	7	23	121	2	12	2	132	191	219	410	88	174	33	6	184	11	-39	+2	—	—	+8	-3.0
2025	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	43	38	6	2	0	0	3	18	1	3	0	158	238	211	449	53	239	42	7	188	13	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	486	442	70	12	3	10	27	172	9	6	7	158	222	267	489	109	218	35	6	217	33	-39	-2	—	—	+11	-3.0
2021	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	62	60	9	0	0	0	1	22	0	0	2	150	164	150	314		231	35	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	62	59	10	0	0	0	2	17	0	0	2	169	197	169	366		233	27	3	168	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	337	307	50	7	3	5	24	128	5	10	3	163	235	254	489	91	257	38	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	337	291	63	13	3	6	40	92	5	10	3	216	321	344	665	127	294	27	12	305	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	338	55	17	2	7	22	136	5	6	5	163	225	287	512	124	245	37	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	325	78	24	3	12	35	100	5	6	5	240	323	443	766	203	308	27	10	339	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	342	45	7	1	7	23	121	2	12	2	132	191	219	410	88	178	33	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	329	55	9	1	11	34	99	2	12	2	167	248	301	549	134	201	27	9	249	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	529	481	76	14	3	10	29	189	10	9	7	158	221	262	483	104	227	36	5	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	529	467	95	19	4	16	43	146	10	9	7	203	285	364	649	161	252	28	8	288	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	62	61	9	0	0	0	1	22	0	0	2	148	164	148	311		231	35	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	337	305	50	7	3	5	24	128	5	10	3	164	235	256	491	92	253	38	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	336	55	17	2	7	22	136	5	6	5	164	225	289	513	125	243	37	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	341	45	7	1	7	23	121	2	12	2	132	191	220	411	88	174	33	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	529	485	76	14	3	10	29	189	10	9	7	157	221	260	481	103	220	36	5	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	336	55	17	2	7	22	136	5	6	5	164	225	289	513	125	243	37	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	369	341	45	7	1	7	23	121	2	12	2	132	191	220	411	88	174	33	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	529	485	76	14	3	10	29	189	10	9	7	157	221	260	481	103	220	36	5	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	MIN	—	495	445	88	17	3	17	40	167	7	23	7	198	274	364	638	166	269	34	8	275	72	-16	+2	+0	-5	+11	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	MIN	—	495	424	102	20	3	22	58	137	7	23	7	241	339	458	797	217	299	28	12	351	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	MIN	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		259	30	10	267	67	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	MIN	—	505	454	89	17	3	17	41	170	7	23	7	196	273	359	632	163	267	34	8	275	72	-17	+2	+0	-5	+11	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIN	31%	365	330	64	12	2	11	28	119	4	11	4	194	265	342	608	148	261	33	8	272	70	-13	+1	+0	-4	+8	-0.9
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIN	42%	388	350	69	13	2	12	30	123	5	11	4	197	270	349	619	151	263	32	8	275	73	-13	+1	+0	-4	+8	-0.8
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	401	361	72	14	2	12	32	126	5	11	4	199	274	349	623	150	264	31	8	277	73	-13	+1	-1	-4	+9	-0.9
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIN	31%	113	102	20	4	1	3	9	37	1	3	1	196	268	343	611	147	261	33	8	263	70	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIN	42%	163	147	30	6	1	5	13	52	2	5	2	204	278	361	638	156	263	32	8	267	73	-5	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	192	173	35	7	1	6	15	60	2	5	2	202	274	358	632	156	264	31	8	268	73	-6	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	468	422	85	17	3	14	37	149	5	13	5	201	274	355	629	154	271	32	8	267	45	-15	+1	-0	-5	+10	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	118	24	4	19	51	207	7	18	7	201	273	353	626	152	272	32	8	267	45	-21	+1	-0	-7	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2827	2578	441	84	15	64	190	967	36	70	31	171	238	290	528	119	241	34	7	235	45	-39	+2	-1	-12	+25	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	101	19	3	15	44	222	8	16	7	170	237	288	526	118	239	34	7	235	45	-22	+1	-0	-7	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	475	14	14	197	267	345	-5	-1	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	20	19	-7.1	-1.4	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Garrett Spain (OGILVIE)	25	35	50	45	35	187/258/331	144	259	9	11	34%	7%	67	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Chad Spanberger 2021 · AA	25	41→42	48→55	47→45	40	212/262/354	142	274	17	8	29%	6%	72	-0.7	196/254/329	133	304	15	7	39%	6%	63	-1.3	159/218/290	131	246	17	3	42%	6%	40	-1.7
✕Conner Capel 2022 · AAA	25	42→45	46→45	47→55	43	214/267/342	128	266	14	10	26%	6%	71	-0.8	216/288/340	124	274	13	19	25%	9%	78	-0.3	206/286/324	119	261	12	22	25%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Will Robertson 2023 · AA	25	38→41	46→50	39→45	38	193/255/322	130	282	13	4	35%	6%	63	-1.4	199/260/350	151	283	17	6	34%	7%	71	-0.8	194/259/348	154	271	18	5	34%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	208/274/339	131	274	14	10	29%	7%	73	-0.6	216/286/327	111	276	10	7	24%	8%	75	-0.5	200/287/269	68	252	5	0	21%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Jason Cooper 2007 · AAA	26	39→38	48→50	45	40	202/260/343	141	277	15	6	32%	6%	69	-0.9	210/278/348	138	272	11	8	26%	7%	76	-0.4	212/286/360	148	264	11	7	23%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Roger Kieschnick 2012 · AA	25	42→46	46→50	48→45	37	216/254/349	133	287	14	9	30%	5%	68	-1.0	216/265/366	150	299	16	6	32%	6%	76	-0.4	207/259/361	154	283	16	4	32%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Kyle Martin 2018 · AA	25	34→37	48→50	44→40	40	185/244/318	134	246	16	4	32%	6%	57	-1.8	182/242/298	116	256	12	5	32%	7%	52	-2.2	157/225/285	128	221	15	1	35%	7%	43	-1.7
✕Collin DeLome 2011 · AAA	25	36→39	49→55	52→50	33	191/238/342	150	272	17	13	36%	4%	60	-1.6	202/253/327	125	304	12	14	36%	5%	63	-1.4	201/253/326	125	309	11	16	37%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA	25	40	43→40	45→50	44	196/281/302	106	288	11	8	34%	9%	68	-1.0	189/284/296	107	281	11	11	34%	10%	68	-1.0	162/272/259	97	241	10	12	34%	11%	55	-0.9
✕Michael Burgess 2014 · AA	25	38→42	46→50	43→45	43	197/254/326	129	253	14	2	28%	7%	63	-1.4	218/261/366	148	281	14	6	27%	5%	74	-0.6	247/281/441	194	300	19	6	24%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2022 · MLB	25	42→44	49→50	48→50	41	217/274/364	147	296	17	9	32%	7%	78	-0.3	212/278/363	151	283	18	7	31%	7%	80	-0.1	198/267/353	155	257	19	5	30%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Gabe Matthews 2023 · AAA	25	36→42	47→50	47→40	41	185/270/319	135	285	15	5	38%	8%	68	-1.0	208/302/335	127	310	14	5	34%	10%	84	+0.1	202/313/321	120	297	14	2	33%	11%	83	+0.1
✕Orlando Martinez 2023 · AAA	25	44→49	44→45	45→50	39	218/262/334	116	293	11	9	29%	5%	66	-1.1	224/277/336	112	282	10	8	23%	7%	73	-0.6	231/294/322	92	284	6	11	20%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	42→44	43→50	45	41	209/270/322	113	287	11	7	30%	6%	68	-1.0	208/276/322	114	349	12	8	41%	7%	70	-0.9	155/239/248	92	293	15	0	48%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	196/275/302	106	285	8	8	32%	9%	65	-1.2	214/296/317	103	297	10	14	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/300/310	94	291	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Quincy Latimore 2014 · AA	25	40→43	45→50	43→50	40	204/257/324	121	266	12	9	28%	6%	63	-1.4	215/267/344	129	280	14	10	28%	6%	72	-0.7	206/260/336	131	268	15	8	28%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2016 · AAA	25	45	44→45	46→45	39	223/268/343	120	308	12	9	31%	6%	71	-0.8	223/271/346	123	309	13	9	31%	6%	73	-0.6	221/269/347	125	311	14	7	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Mason Martin 2023 · AAA	24	34→33	49→55	48→45	33	180/234/333	153	290	17	8	43%	6%	57	-1.8	181/257/324	143	314	17	9	44%	8%	64	-1.3	147/244/284	137	251	19	8	46%	10%	49	-1.0
✕Alex Glenn 2016 · AA	25	42	48→55	54→50	40	214/260/367	153	272	15	11	27%	5%	74	-0.6	202/245/315	113	280	10	6	30%	5%	55	-1.9	184/224/275	91	261	8	2	32%	5%	36	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps