Sulivan Ribeiro prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Sulivan Ribeiro P DSL Athletics

Age 22 LHP 6'4" / 218 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 5 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%22.9%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%10.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	6	3	6	37	5	16	0	50%	1.1	13.5%	43.2%	-29.7%	0.0%	12.79	7.44	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	6	3	6	37	5	16	0	50%	1.1	13.5%	43.2%	-29.7%	0.0%	12.79	9.10	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	10	31	129	24	22	0	91%	2.8	12.7%	21.3%	-8.7%	0.0%	3.52	4.73	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	11	10	31	129	24	22	0	91%	2.8	18.6%	17.1%	1.6%	0.0%	3.52	3.69	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	0	10	56	9	13	2	0%	0.8	10.9%	29.0%	-18.1%	4.8%	9.00	8.49	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	0	10	56	9	13	2	0%	0.8	10.9%	29.0%	-18.1%	4.8%	9.00	8.49	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	12	0	10	56	9	13	2	0%	0.8	16.1%	23.2%	-7.1%	3.6%	9.00	7.80	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	9	0	8	49	4	22	0	0%	0.9	8.2%	44.9%	-36.7%	0.0%	15.26	8.10	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	9	0	8	49	4	22	0	0%	0.9	8.2%	44.9%	-36.7%	0.0%	15.26	8.10	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	9	0	8	49	4	22	0	0%	0.9	8.2%	44.9%	-36.7%	0.0%	15.26	10.67	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.9%	12.4%	10.5%	3.0%	4.77	4.77	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	OAK	19	0	20	84	20	9	2	0%	1.1	23.7%	11.2%	12.6%	3.0%	4.60	4.52	+0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	OAK	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	11.2%	12.6%	3.0%	4.60	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	11.2%	12.6%	3.0%	4.60	4.13	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	23.7%	11.2%	12.6%	3.0%	4.60	4.13	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		38	13	55	271	31	82	3	34%	1.4	11.6%	30.2%	-18.6%	1.0%	7.24	6.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	48	200	991	115	299	10	34%	1.4	11.6%	30.2%	-18.6%	1.0%	7.24	6.49	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sulivan Ribeiro (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	22.9%	12.4%	3.0%	—	4.52	23.7%	12.6%	20	-0.25	—	—	—
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	78
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	77
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	77
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	77
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	74
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	73
Jonathan Sánchez L 2006 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	17.8%	12.4%	1.1%	.291	3.85	24.1%	12.9%	373	+0.09	3.65	895	73
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	72
Josh Hendrickson L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	21	SW	3.80	21.8%	6.7%	3.1%	.250	4.67	19.3%	10.9%	110	+0.87	3.80	368	72
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	71
Jose E. Hernandez L 2021 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	22.9%	12.3%	2.0%	.339	4.33	23.5%	13.5%	144	+0.50	3.58	317	71
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	70
James Ziemba L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	22	SU	3.73	18.3%	12.5%	1.1%	.309	5.16	11.7%	-0.7%	78	+1.43	3.73	110	70
Juliandry Higuera L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	20.0%	9.4%	2.3%	.358	4.64	13.8%	-0.3%	43	+0.77	3.87	197	70
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	70
Jack O'Loughlin L 2022 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	17.0%	13.7%	2.6%	.269	4.76	17.5%	7.2%	239	-0.07	3.78	348	70
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	70
Chase Watkins L 2022 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.346	4.34	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.30	232	70
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	70
Joey Marciano L 2017 · 3.97 FIP	22	SW	3.97	15.1%	11.8%	1.2%	.266	4.99	16.3%	6.1%	153	+1.02	3.65	330	70