Jose E. Hernandez P Oklahoma City Comets
Age 28 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104114vR 123
ERA4.38
FIP4.58
K%25.3%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP
K: +1.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -2.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -1.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: +0.02 (62 IP)+0.0WAR
0.0-0.1-0.22628
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF6060
CTRL4545
CMD6060
K†6060
SL (66%)
FB-0.5 (34%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201618ROKDSL Dodgers 27095181100%1.310.7%27.0%-16.3%0.0%6.755.61
201618ROKDSL Dodgers 27095181100%1.315.7%21.6%-5.9%0.0%6.754.92
201719ROKDSL Dodgers 11514642635523193%4.314.2%10.9%3.3%0.5%2.523.58
201719ROKDSL Dodgers 11514642635523193%4.320.9%8.7%12.2%0.4%2.522.66
201820ROKAZL Dodgers15027115381420%1.822.5%15.2%7.3%2.4%2.964.47
201820ROKAZL Dodgers15027115381420%1.833.0%12.2%20.9%1.7%2.962.81
202123MIX2 levels325452006121316%1.422.9%12.3%10.6%2.2%4.373.90
202123MIX2 levels325452006121316%1.430.5%10.5%20.0%1.5%4.372.66
202224MIX2 levels51260248692584%1.222.2%11.2%11.0%3.9%3.324.80
202224MIX2 levels51260248692584%1.227.8%10.1%17.7%3.2%3.323.79
202325MIX2 levels552562446822104%1.027.8%8.5%19.3%4.1%4.824.07+0.3
202325MIX2 levels552562446822104%1.027.9%9.0%18.9%4.1%4.824.17+0.2
202426MIX3 levels40242190452335%1.020.0%12.3%7.7%1.8%4.973.96+0.3
202426MIX3 levels40242190452335%1.023.7%12.1%11.6%1.6%4.973.53+0.5
202527AAAOklahoma City Comets21027122341830%1.324.5%15.5%9.0%3.0%4.944.62
202527AAAOklahoma City Comets21027122341830%1.327.9%14.8%13.1%2.5%4.944.01
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBLAD60062264673280%1.025.3%12.2%13.1%3.1%4.384.58+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBLAD57060252623180%1.024.5%12.1%12.4%3.2%4.574.71-0.1
202830MLBLAD53056237562980%1.123.8%12.2%11.6%3.4%4.754.89-0.2
202729MLBLAD2102293231130%1.024.5%12.1%12.4%3.2%4.574.71-0.0
202830MLBLAD30031131311640%1.023.8%12.2%11.6%3.4%4.754.89-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career107010947112049170%1.025.4%10.4%15.0%3.7%4.754.31+1.4
/ 200 IP197020086622090310%1.025.4%10.4%15.0%3.7%4.754.31+2.6
Career2362533114333051753511%1.421.3%12.2%9.1%2.5%3.974.20+4.6
/ 200 IP143152008661841062111%1.421.3%12.2%9.1%2.5%3.974.20+2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jose E. Hernandez (OGILVIE) 4.58 25.3%12.2%3.1% 4.80 24.2%12.0%116 +0.22
Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.40 FIP 28 SU 3.40 26.5%11.9%1.9%.310 3.21 27.0%15.3%106 -0.19 2.33 455 83
Mike Dunn L 2028 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 27.7%11.9%2.7%.294 4.09 22.5%10.9%110 +0.33 3.72 181 79
Aaron Brown L 2025 · 3.88 FIP 27 SU 3.88 22.9%13.5%1.8%.317 4.79 19.4%6.7%129 +0.91 3.88 269 79
Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.61 FIP 28 SU 3.61 24.7%12.4%1.8%.336 3.52 20.7%8.3%27 -0.09 3.41 160 78
Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 19.8%10.8%1.5%.281 3.41 22.7%17.3%82 -0.21 3.41 153 78
Edward Paredes L 2027 · 3.49 FIP 29 SU 3.49 24.1%13.0%1.4%.225 3.53 23.7%14.0%86 +0.04 2.29 130 78
Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.20 FIP 28 SU 4.20 25.5%9.4%3.8%.329 4.44 20.2%11.3%59 +0.24 2.66 230 78
Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP 28 SU 4.24 21.3%9.8%3.1%.308 5.05 13.8%-5.1%35 +0.81 3.43 134 78
Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 3.80 FIP 28 SU 3.80 26.8%8.9%3.4%.242 4.68 22.9%11.7%109 +0.88 3.80 172 77
Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.69 FIP 27 SU 4.69 24.6%11.0%4.1%.296 2.67 29.5%21.7%40 -2.02 2.51 160 77
Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP 29 SU 4.06 18.8%11.2%2.1%.291 3.73 15.1%2.7%48 -0.33 3.73 108 77
Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.01 FIP 28 SU 5.01 21.4%12.9%3.8%.328 4.42 21.1%14.1%143 -0.59 3.47 315 76
Kevin Siegrist L 2026 · 4.00 FIP 28 SU 4.00 25.0%11.6%2.8%.327 2.67 176 76
Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP 27 SU 4.01 22.8%10.1%2.9%.336 2.69 221 76
Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP 28 SU 3.84 21.1%7.3%2.9%.267 3.21 23.3%15.2%73 -0.63 2.44 124 75
Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP 26 SU 4.86 19.8%10.9%3.7%.305 4.86 134 75
Adam Loewen L 2029 · 3.90 FIP 31 SU 3.90 25.1%15.9%1.7%.287 3.58 23.2%7.3%98 -0.32 2.96 176 75
Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.23 FIP 28 SU 4.23 23.4%14.6%2.3%.265 3.53 22.0%10.3%166 -0.70 3.03 299 74
A.J. Block L 2025 · 3.64 FIP 27 SU 3.64 22.7%12.4%1.6%.311 3.64 203 74
Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP 28 SU 4.60 19.9%12.4%2.9%.317 2.44 171 73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35924.6%12.1%1.254.56
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Michael Kopech ('24)49626.1%12.5%1.454.15
Keegan Thompson ('24)45723.0%11.3%1.193.64
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84