Luis Baldiris prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Luis Baldiris P DSL Marlins

Age 22 LHP 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.85

FIP4.85

K%23.1%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	14	0	16	81	31	14	0	0%	1.2	26.0%	21.6%	4.4%	0.0%	6.06	3.64	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	14	0	16	81	31	14	0	0%	1.2	38.3%	17.3%	21.0%	0.0%	6.06	1.88	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	13	0	23	110	34	18	4	0%	1.8	21.0%	20.5%	0.6%	4.1%	5.09	6.15	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	13	0	23	110	34	18	4	0%	1.8	30.9%	16.4%	14.5%	3.6%	5.09	4.75	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	12	0	18	102	27	20	1	0%	1.5	18.0%	24.5%	-6.5%	1.1%	5.50	5.27	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	12	0	18	102	27	20	1	0%	1.5	18.0%	24.5%	-6.5%	1.1%	5.50	5.27	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	12	0	18	102	27	20	1	0%	1.5	26.5%	19.6%	6.9%	1.0%	5.50	4.16	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	MIA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.1%	13.2%	9.8%	3.0%	4.85	4.85	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	20	10	2	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.7%	12.1%	2.9%	4.66	4.57	-0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIA	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	23.8%	11.7%	12.1%	2.9%	4.66	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.7%	12.1%	2.9%	4.66	4.19	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.7%	12.1%	2.9%	4.66	4.19	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		39	0	57	293	63	65	6	0%	1.5	21.4%	22.2%	-0.8%	1.9%	5.49	5.15	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	0	200	1022	218	227	19	0%	1.5	21.4%	22.2%	-0.8%	1.9%	5.49	5.15	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Baldiris (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.85	23.1%	13.2%	3.0%	—	4.57	23.8%	12.1%	20	-0.28	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	87
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	85
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	84
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	84
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	84
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	83
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	82
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	82
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.24	22.9%	8.7%	176	+0.05	3.24	203	81
Manuel Medina L 2023 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	22.3%	11.2%	4.5%	.319	2.79	24.2%	15.4%	78	-2.30	1.26	157	80
Taylor Tankersley L 2006 · 3.65 FIP	23	SU	3.65	25.8%	11.8%	2.2%	.271	4.62	21.6%	9.8%	65	+0.97	3.65	118	80
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	80
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	80
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	79
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	79
Wesley Wright L 2008 · 4.45 FIP	23	SU	4.45	22.8%	12.0%	3.2%	.239	4.90	21.6%	11.6%	78	+0.45	3.03	375	79
Nick Dombkowski L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SU	4.48	21.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.208	4.71	16.7%	7.7%	223	+0.23	3.71	425	79
James Ziemba L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	22	SU	3.73	18.3%	12.5%	1.1%	.309	5.16	11.7%	-0.7%	78	+1.43	3.73	110	79
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	78
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	78