Rosman Verdugo — OGILVIE

Rosman VerdugoSS Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A+ HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION305 act + 203 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .268 / .301

PA203

HR5

K%35

BB%9

BABIP259

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	2 teams	—	223	200	28	4	2	4	15	118	4	5	4	140	215	240	455	100	293	53	7	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	2 teams	—	223	190	45	8	4	7	25	76	4	5	4	237	338	432	769	195	342	34	11	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	472	426	68	19	2	2	30	183	8	15	8	160	228	228	456	68	270	39	6	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	472	410	90	31	3	3	46	124	8	15	8	220	310	332	642	112	304	26	10	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	3 teams	—	503	444	74	16	2	10	49	189	5	7	4	167	257	279	536	113	258	38	10	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	3 teams	—	503	425	99	25	3	11	68	140	5	7	4	233	345	384	729	151	318	28	14	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	490	423	59	9	2	10	53	218	11	6	3	139	253	241	494	102	247	44	11	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	490	404	83	15	3	13	72	158	11	6	3	205	341	354	695	149	297	32	15	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	SD	—	305	267	48	5	1	9	29	100	5	4	4	180	272	307	580	127	244	33	10	256	54	-16	-1	+0	+3	+9	-0.5
YTD	21	A+	SD	—	305	255	58	7	1	11	41	74	5	4	4	227	346	392	738	165	273	24	13	331	112	+4	-1	+0	+3	+9	1.5
ROS	21	A+	SD	0%	203	179	32	5	1	5	19	71	3	2	2	178	268	301	569	123	249	35	9	254	52	-11	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						246	0	0	240	42	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	SD	—	306	268	48	5	1	9	29	100	5	4	4	179	272	306	577	127	242	33	9	256	54	-16	-1	+0	+3	+9	-0.5
TOT	21	A+	SD	—	508	446	80	10	2	14	48	171	8	6	6	179	271	305	575	125	250	34	9	255	53	-27	-1	+0	+5	+14	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	SD	35%	554	488	90	15	2	14	54	182	7	5	4	184	275	309	584	125	256	33	10	268	63	-23	-1	+0	+6	+16	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	SD	49%	597	526	102	17	2	17	58	189	8	6	4	194	284	331	615	137	260	32	10	277	70	-20	-0	+0	+6	+17	0.3
2029	24	MLB	SD	53%	615	542	107	18	2	18	60	190	8	6	4	197	287	338	625	140	263	31	10	283	75	-17	-0	+0	+7	+17	0.6
2030	25	MLB	SD	55%	627	552	110	18	2	19	62	191	8	6	4	199	289	342	632	143	264	30	10	287	78	-16	-0	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2031	26	MLB	SD	56%	634	558	111	18	2	19	63	193	8	6	4	199	289	341	630	142	264	30	10	288	79	-15	-0	+0	+7	+18	0.9
2032	27	MLB	SD	55%	634	557	110	18	2	19	64	193	8	7	4	197	289	339	629	142	263	30	10	288	79	-15	-0	+0	+7	+18	0.9
2027	22	MLB	SD	35%	191	169	31	5	1	5	18	63	2	2	1	183	270	314	583	130	253	33	9	254	53	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	SD	49%	290	256	49	8	1	8	28	92	4	3	2	191	281	324	605	133	257	32	10	264	60	-13	-0	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	SD	53%	325	286	55	9	1	9	32	100	4	3	2	192	283	325	608	133	259	31	10	270	65	-13	-0	+0	+3	+9	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	SD	55%	343	302	59	10	1	10	34	105	4	3	2	195	285	334	620	139	260	31	10	273	67	-13	-0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2031	26	MLB	SD	56%	353	310	61	10	1	10	35	107	5	4	2	197	289	332	621	135	260	30	10	274	68	-13	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2032	27	MLB	SD	55%	349	306	60	10	1	10	35	107	5	4	2	196	289	333	622	137	260	31	10	275	68	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1852	1630	315	52	6	52	182	574	24	19	11	193	284	328	612	135	259	31	10	270	65	-74	-1	+0	+20	+52	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	110	18	2	18	64	201	8	7	4	192	283	325	608	133	258	31	10	270	65	-26	-0	+0	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	5552	4895	891	157	21	137	527	1917	78	71	45	182	272	307	579	125	262	35	9	263	59	-256	-4	+0	+59	+157	-4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	103	18	2	16	62	224	9	8	5	180	270	302	572	122	258	34	10	263	59	-30	-0	+0	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	ACL Padres	—	195	167	42	7	4	7	22	69	2	3	4	251	346	467	813	216	368	35	11	352	127	+6	-1	—	—	+6	1.1
2022	17	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	28	23	3	1	0	0	3	7	2	2	0	130	286	174	460	43	188	25	11	238	40	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	18	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	472	410	90	31	3	3	46	124	8	15	8	220	310	332	642	112	304	26	10	290	80	-11	-0	—	—	+13	0.3
2024	19	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	109	97	18	6	1	1	9	32	1	1	0	186	262	299	561	113	266	29	8	252	51	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	19	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	372	312	78	18	2	9	54	102	3	6	3	250	366	407	773	157	338	27	15	348	124	+10	+0	—	—	+11	2.1
2024	19	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	22	16	3	1	0	1	5	6	1	0	1	188	409	438	847	250	222	27	23	386	154	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	490	404	83	15	3	13	72	158	11	6	3	205	341	354	695	149	297	32	15	319	103	+1	+0	—	—	+14	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,852	54	19	198	285	339	+20	+9	1.8	1.9
	/162	664	19	7	198	285	339	+7.1	+3.2	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rosman Verdugo (OGILVIE)	21	25	40	45	60	179/271/305	125	250	14	6	34%	9%	53	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	40→50	41	166/249/256	90	260	9	8	37%	8%	39	-2.5	197/273/307	110	309	10	5	36%	8%	61	-1.0	204/303/338	134	292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Sherten Apostel 2020 · A	21	37→32	46→45	45→40	44	190/265/313	123	268	14	4	33%	8%	59	-1.1	202/264/327	125	311	14	4	37%	7%	63	-0.9	207/265/346	139	315	16	0	38%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	41→45	47→40	39	168/245/259	91	281	10	3	41%	8%	37	-2.6	203/283/327	124	326	12	6	38%	9%	71	-0.3	196/292/343	147	309	14	3	37%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→30	42→50	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	50	-1.8	179/246/274	95	319	10	2	44%	6%	42	-2.3	255/300/399	144	333	20	1	29%	4%	91	+0.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	37→40	46→55	46→50	47	187/275/320	133	269	13	9	34%	10%	66	-0.6	187/271/328	141	273	14	8	34%	9%	66	-0.6	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	36→37	43→55	44→30	42	178/266/287	109	280	11	3	38%	8%	54	-1.4	196/276/343	147	277	18	3	34%	8%	72	-0.2	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A	23	34	42→50	43→30	38	172/234/280	108	274	10	6	39%	7%	37	-2.6	197/267/331	134	321	13	4	39%	8%	65	-0.7	191/266/336	145	314	15	1	41%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕William Lugo 2022 · A	20	35→37	42→45	46→45	40	174/250/271	96	279	10	7	39%	8%	43	-2.2	188/256/301	113	277	12	4	34%	7%	53	-1.5	172/248/281	109	249	11	4	34%	8%	42	-1.6
✕Aaron Bracho 2022 · A	21	33→37	42→50	43→40	40	168/236/266	98	260	10	5	37%	8%	35	-2.8	181/248/304	123	261	14	4	35%	7%	50	-1.7	193/255/337	144	244	19	4	29%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Yassel Pino 2023 · A	21	39	47→50	46→40	46	199/275/332	133	277	15	7	33%	9%	68	-0.5	196/260/304	108	263	11	6	28%	7%	55	-1.4	180/245/278	98	234	10	5	27%	7%	39	-1.1
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Kervin Pichardo 2023 · AAA	21	36→41	43→45	46→45	40	172/262/283	112	297	11	8	42%	9%	52	-1.6	203/269/332	129	310	17	9	38%	7%	66	-0.6	195/256/320	125	291	18	8	38%	6%	54	-0.9