T.J. Brock P New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10899vR 90
ERA3.91
FIP3.91
K%31.4%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%20.4%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
K: +18.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+19KBB: -7.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-8BBCONTACT: -8.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-9CONTACTSTAM: +2.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.45 (60 IP)+0.4WAR
0.10.10.00.0262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP40
STUF7070
CMD3040
K†7070

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202222MIX2 levels100125622610%1.229.1%13.0%16.0%2.6%5.113.73
202222MIX2 levels100125622610%1.239.3%10.7%28.6%1.8%5.112.05
202323MIX2 levels47053233872380%1.129.7%11.1%18.7%4.0%4.784.16
202323MIX2 levels47053233872380%1.137.3%9.9%27.5%3.4%4.783.08
202424MIX3 levels111114520709%1.044.4%15.6%28.9%0.0%0.791.32
202424MIX3 levels111114520709%1.044.4%15.6%28.9%0.0%0.791.42
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBTOR67070296933390%1.031.4%11.1%20.4%3.1%3.913.91+0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBTOR66069291893290%1.030.6%11.0%19.6%3.1%3.973.99+0.6
202828MLBTOR64067282853190%1.029.9%11.0%18.9%3.2%4.054.10+0.5
202929MLBTOR61064270793090%1.029.4%11.1%18.2%3.3%4.174.24+0.3
202727MLBTOR25026110341230%1.030.6%11.0%19.6%3.1%3.973.99+0.2
202828MLBTOR38040169511950%1.129.9%11.0%18.9%3.2%4.054.10+0.2
202929MLBTOR43045190562160%1.029.4%11.1%18.2%3.3%4.174.24+0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career106011146814052150%1.029.9%11.0%18.8%3.2%4.083.75+2.1
/ 200 IP190020084425294270%1.129.9%11.0%18.8%3.2%4.083.75+3.9
Career6817633410640111%1.131.6%12.0%19.6%3.2%4.243.71+1.1
/ 200 IP1783200875276105281%1.131.6%12.0%19.6%3.2%4.243.71+4.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
T.J. Brock (OGILVIE) 3.91 31.4%11.1%3.1% 4.11 30.0%19.0%200 +0.20
Tucker Healy R 2026 · 3.02 FIP 26 SU 3.02 30.4%10.5%2.1%.294 4.85 16.9%5.8%67 +1.83 2.85 174 90
Jon Edwards R 2027 · 3.54 FIP 27 SU 3.54 31.7%13.1%2.7%.264 2.30 30.3%22.6%30 -1.24 2.30 132 87
Justin Grimm R 2026 · 2.93 FIP 26 SU 2.93 32.8%12.3%1.9%.250 4.11 26.1%15.2%157 +1.18 2.93 335 86
Brad Boxberger R 2027 · 3.99 FIP 27 SU 3.99 27.3%10.0%3.5%.280 4.01 28.5%17.2%107 +0.02 3.07 363 86
Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 26 SU 3.48 29.2%11.7%2.5%.265 5.47 27.4%21.2%41 +1.99 3.48 138 84
Mychal Givens R 2026 · 2.86 FIP 26 SU 2.86 30.7%10.9%1.8%.299 3.32 28.3%20.0%218 +0.46 1.75 526 83
Eric Orze R 2026 · 3.96 FIP 26 SU 3.96 28.8%12.7%3.1%.261 3.34 22.7%12.8%112 -0.62 3.06 331 82
Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP 27 SU 3.16 26.4%8.5%2.2%.320 3.55 26.0%17.6%128 +0.39 2.85 185 80
Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 27 SU 3.46 26.8%9.6%2.5%.295 2.74 30.3%18.1%57 -0.72 2.74 239 80
Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.27 FIP 26 SU 3.27 26.6%8.0%2.6%.291 3.07 24.1%13.3%63 -0.20 2.74 178 80
AJ Ramos R 2028 · 2.89 FIP 28 SU 2.89 31.4%9.4%2.3%.247 3.43 26.8%14.0%142 +0.54 2.55 266 80
Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 26 SU 4.57 26.5%11.2%4.2%.299 4.42 22.3%10.3%87 -0.15 3.74 163 80
Brad Brach R 2029 · 3.25 FIP 29 SU 3.25 27.5%10.8%2.0%.259 3.16 25.6%17.1%210 -0.09 2.73 410 80
Lou Trivino R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 26 SU 3.47 27.4%9.0%2.8%.247 3.83 22.4%11.8%157 +0.36 2.39 579 80
Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 26 SU 4.31 29.2%14.1%3.5%.307 2.87 138 79
Alex Lange R 2026 · 3.05 FIP 26 SU 3.05 30.3%11.1%2.0%.273 4.00 26.4%10.5%108 +0.95 3.05 489 79
Nick Goody R 2026 · 3.13 FIP 26 SU 3.13 32.6%8.1%3.2%.258 5.48 26.3%14.9%88 +2.35 2.31 305 77
Andrew Politi R 2026 · 3.45 FIP 26 SU 3.45 26.1%8.5%2.7%.238 4.87 20.1%8.8%69 +1.42 3.45 292 77
Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.69 FIP 26 SU 3.69 26.8%9.8%2.9%.289 3.84 20.9%11.9%66 +0.15 3.31 166 77
Matt Jachec R 2025 · 3.94 FIP 25 SU 3.94 28.3%9.9%3.6%.245 3.29 120 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46730.4%11.0%1.234.02
Cody Allen ('19)55931.3%10.2%1.193.51
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Colin Poche ('24)45227.0%9.2%1.343.63
Wade Davis ('21)65327.3%10.4%0.903.77
Robert Stephenson ('23)65726.2%9.9%1.394.33
Brad Peacock ('19)48028.7%9.2%1.183.48