Gavin Bruni

P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	AWSH	17	0	24	3.80	3.61	32.7%	21.5%	—	K 24.2% · BB 25.4% · FIP 4.91
2026	23	A+WSH	13	4	39	6.69	3.43	22.3%	12.5%	—	K 17.2% · BB 14.4% · FIP 4.22
2027PROJ	24	MLBWSH	19	0	20	5.29	5.29	19.7%	15.6%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBWSH	14	0	15	5.06	4.98	20.6%	13.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMatt Minnick (age 23) · Matt Walker (age 24) · Braeden Fausnaught (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117126vR 134

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%19.7%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%4.1%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	17	0	24	107	35	23	1	0%	1.4	24.2%	25.4%	-1.2%	1.2%	3.80	4.91	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	17	0	24	107	35	23	1	0%	1.4	24.2%	25.4%	-1.2%	1.2%	3.80	4.91	—
2025	22	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	17	0	24	107	35	23	1	0%	1.4	32.7%	21.5%	11.2%	0.9%	3.80	3.61	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	13	4	39	184	41	23	2	31%	3.0	17.2%	14.4%	2.8%	1.4%	6.69	4.22	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	13	4	39	184	41	23	2	31%	3.0	17.2%	14.4%	2.8%	1.4%	6.69	4.22	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	13	4	39	184	41	23	2	31%	3.0	22.3%	12.5%	9.8%	1.1%	6.69	3.43	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	WSH	19	0	20	84	17	13	2	0%	1.1	19.7%	15.6%	4.1%	2.7%	5.29	5.29	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	34	0	36	150	31	20	4	0%	1.0	20.6%	13.7%	7.0%	2.7%	5.06	4.98	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	14	0	15	63	13	9	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.7%	7.0%	2.7%	5.06	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	64	13	9	2	0%	1.0	20.6%	13.7%	7.0%	2.7%	5.06	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	118	26	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.7%	7.0%	2.7%	5.06	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		30	4	63	291	57	54	4	13%	2.1	19.7%	18.4%	1.3%	1.3%	5.60	4.47	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	13	200	929	183	171	12	13%	2.1	19.7%	18.4%	1.3%	1.3%	5.60	4.47	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gavin Bruni (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	19.7%	15.6%	2.7%	—	4.98	20.6%	7.0%	36	-0.31	—	—	—
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	84
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	81
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	81
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	80
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	80
Kelly Secrest L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	18.6%	13.7%	2.1%	.267	3.47	20.8%	10.4%	38	-0.95	3.11	151	79
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	79
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	79
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	79
Matt Thornton L 2004 · 4.18 FIP	27	SU	4.18	20.3%	16.2%	1.4%	.304	4.18	21.8%	11.5%	167	-0.00	1.71	663	78
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	78
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	77
Randy Labaut L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	23.2%	14.0%	3.7%	.240	4.66	19.4%	5.9%	190	-0.29	1.91	302	77
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	76
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	76
Michael Roth L 2014 · 5.10 FIP	24	SU	5.10	15.0%	11.7%	3.3%	.333	4.48	13.4%	6.1%	381	-0.62	2.34	515	76
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	75
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	75
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	75
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	20.3%	14.3%	1.06	5.14
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57