Wilmer Flores — OGILVIE

Wilmer Flores P Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%18.4%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%5.9%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	66	281	90	24	1	93%	4.7	23.3%	10.1%	13.2%	0.5%	3.68	2.68	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	13	66	281	90	24	1	93%	4.7	32.0%	8.5%	23.5%	0.4%	3.68	1.66	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	103	422	130	23	10	96%	4.1	24.6%	6.0%	18.6%	3.2%	2.79	3.52	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	103	422	130	23	10	96%	4.1	30.8%	5.5%	25.4%	2.4%	2.79	2.51	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	89	375	90	33	5	100%	4.2	19.7%	10.4%	9.3%	1.7%	4.65	3.69	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	89	375	90	33	5	100%	4.2	19.7%	10.4%	9.3%	1.7%	4.65	3.69	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	89	375	90	33	5	100%	4.2	24.0%	8.8%	15.2%	1.3%	4.65	2.92	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	2	31	153	29	25	4	10%	1.6	14.9%	16.9%	-2.0%	3.3%	7.84	5.76	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	2	31	153	29	25	4	10%	1.6	14.9%	16.9%	-2.0%	3.3%	7.84	5.76	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	2	31	153	29	25	4	10%	1.6	19.0%	16.3%	2.6%	2.6%	7.84	5.33	—
2025	24	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	5	2	4	17	5	3	1	40%	0.8	29.4%	17.6%	11.8%	5.9%	2.25	6.08	—
2025	24	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	5	2	4	17	5	3	1	40%	0.8	29.4%	17.6%	11.8%	5.9%	2.25	6.08	—
2025	24	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	5	2	4	17	5	3	1	40%	0.8	29.4%	17.6%	11.8%	5.9%	2.25	6.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	DET	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	18.4%	12.5%	5.9%	2.9%	5.13	5.13	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	DET	5	5	28	118	23	14	3	100%	5.6	19.5%	12.2%	7.3%	3.0%	5.02	5.00	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	DET	2	2	12	51	10	6	1	100%	6.0	19.5%	12.2%	7.3%	3.0%	5.02	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	12	50	10	6	1	100%	6.0	19.5%	12.2%	7.3%	3.0%	5.02	4.62	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	168	101	17	100%	6.0	19.5%	12.2%	7.3%	3.0%	5.02	4.62	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		85	62	293	1248	271	122	27	73%	3.5	21.7%	9.8%	12.0%	2.2%	4.08	3.69	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	42	200	851	185	83	18	73%	3.5	21.7%	9.8%	12.0%	2.2%	4.08	3.69	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilmer Flores (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	18.4%	12.5%	2.9%	—	5.00	19.5%	7.3%	28	-0.13	—	—	—
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	79
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	78
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	78
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.07	22.5%	13.4%	138	-1.14	3.38	292	77
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	77
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	77
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	76
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.07	17.4%	10.5%	280	-0.86	3.90	299	75
Stolmy Pimentel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.0%	10.5%	2.5%	.338	3.87	13.6%	3.1%	72	-0.60	3.87	143	75
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	75
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	75
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	74
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.84	19.6%	8.0%	114	-2.22	3.68	136	74
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	74
Carson Rudd R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	21.0%	13.0%	4.7%	.274	4.61	17.5%	-0.1%	110	-0.92	3.39	242	74
Michael Murray R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.2%	12.9%	2.0%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	116	73
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	73
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	73
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	73
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	19.0%	12.3%	1.14	5.07
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77