Wilmer Flores
P
Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.82
FIP4.82
K%21.4%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%9.8%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 13 | 66 | 281 | 90 | 24 | 1 | 93% | 4.7 | 23.3% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 0.5% | 3.68 | 2.70 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 13 | 66 | 281 | 90 | 24 | 1 | 93% | 4.7 | 32.0% | 8.5% | 23.5% | 0.4% | 3.68 | 1.66 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 103 | 422 | 130 | 23 | 10 | 96% | 4.1 | 24.6% | 6.0% | 18.6% | 3.5% | 2.79 | 3.72 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 103 | 422 | 130 | 23 | 10 | 96% | 4.1 | 30.8% | 5.5% | 25.4% | 2.4% | 2.79 | 2.51 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 89 | 375 | 90 | 33 | 5 | 100% | 4.2 | 19.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 1.6% | 4.65 | 3.64 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 89 | 375 | 90 | 33 | 5 | 100% | 4.2 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 1.3% | 4.65 | 2.92 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 2 | 31 | 153 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 10% | 1.6 | 15.8% | 19.7% | -3.9% | 4.4% | 7.84 | 6.68 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 2 | 31 | 153 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 10% | 1.6 | 19.0% | 16.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 7.84 | 5.33 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 40% | 0.8 | 29.4% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.25 | 6.08 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 40% | 0.8 | 29.4% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.25 | 6.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | DET | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.37 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 100 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 62 | 293 | 1248 | 273 | 126 | 30 | 73% | 3.5 | 21.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 2.4% | 4.08 | 3.86 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 42 | 200 | 851 | 186 | 86 | 21 | 73% | 3.5 | 21.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 2.4% | 4.08 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wilmer Flores (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 21.4% | 11.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.75 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 23 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 82 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 81 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 80 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 78 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 77 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 76 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 74 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 17.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .296 | 3.59 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 36 | -0.73 | 3.59 | 327 | 73 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .380 | 4.51 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.25 | 4.50 | 119 | 72 |
| Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 71 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 71 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 71 |
| Luis Quiñones R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 23.5% | 17.5% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.91 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 160 | +0.18 | 3.93 | 323 | 71 |
| David Lebron R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 71 |
| Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 71 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 71 |
| Brandt Thompson R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 162 | 71 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 70 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 70 |
| Logan Martin R 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.68 | 20.8% | 12.7% | 5.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 223 | 70 |