Sam Petersen

OF Harrisburg Senators

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+WSH	172	.297/.400/.490	6	18	99	—	.255/.329/.431
2025	22	INTLScottsdale Sc…	69	.305/.397/.542	3	2	161	—
2026	23	AAAWSH	155	.254/.344/.381	3	8	78	—	.230/.305/.324
2026	23	AAWSH	419	.246/.382/.431	13	30	93	—	.216/.327/.367
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBWSH	6	.209/.305/.338	0	0	85	-0.0
2028PROJ39% MLB	25	MLBWSH	218	.213/.308/.352	6	7	89	0.2
2029PROJ56% MLB	26	MLBWSH	323	.216/.310/.360	9	10	92	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed92

Z-Con%33

BB%31

Whiff%25

Max EV21

Chase%21

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 86%

CompsMichael Hermosillo (age 24) · Zach Dezenzo (age 24) · Drew Ferguson (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .305 / .338

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP298

ISO129

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	25	22	8	3	1	0	1	6	1	5	0	364	417	591	1.008	227	471	24	4	421	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	172	145	43	6	2	6	20	31	5	18	0	297	400	490	890	193	339	18	12	391	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	42	31	12	1	0	1	6	9	4	4	1	387	537	516	1.053	129	500	21	14	465	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	69	59	18	5	0	3	7	21	2	2	1	305	397	542	939	237	417	30	10	407	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	155	134	34	6	1	3	13	46	6	8	0	254	344	381	725	127	365	30	8	327	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	419	334	82	17	3	13	61	117	16	30	5	246	382	431	813	186	333	28	15	364	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	25	22	8	3	1	0	1	8	1	5	0	364	417	591	1.008	227	425	32	4	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	172	153	39	5	2	6	12	42	5	18	0	255	329	431	761	176	296	24	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	42	33	11	1	0	1	4	13	4	4	1	333	463	455	918	121	405	31	10	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	155	139	32	5	1	2	9	55	6	8	0	230	305	324	629	94	363	35	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	419	357	77	15	3	11	43	143	16	30	5	216	327	367	694	151	312	34	10	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	25	22	8	3	1	0	1	8	1	5	0	364	417	591	1.008	227	533	32	4	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	25	22	8	3	1	0	1	6	1	5	0	364	417	591	1.008	227	471	24	4	421	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	283	248	63	8	2	8	20	73	11	24	2	254	337	399	736	145	324	26	7	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	283	235	73	12	2	10	33	61	11	24	2	311	419	506	926	196	377	22	12	406	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	574	495	109	20	4	13	53	198	22	38	5	220	323	356	678	135	334	34	9	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	574	468	116	23	4	16	74	163	22	38	5	248	372	417	789	169	342	28	13	354	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	25	23	8	3	1	0	1	8	1	5	0	348	417	565	982	217	425	32	4	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	283	250	63	8	2	8	20	73	11	24	2	252	337	396	733	144	317	26	7	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	574	494	109	20	4	13	53	198	22	38	5	221	323	356	679	136	326	34	9	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	25	23	8	3	1	0	1	8	1	5	0	348	417	565	982	217	425	32	4	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	283	250	63	8	2	8	20	73	11	24	2	252	337	396	733	144	317	26	7	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	574	494	109	20	4	13	53	198	22	38	5	221	323	356	679	136	326	34	9	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	2%	380	331	70	13	2	9	34	123	12	15	2	210	305	341	646	131	299	32	9	294	85	-7	+2	-0	-2	+8	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	209	305	338	643	129	298	33	17	293	85	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	39%	564	492	104	19	3	14	50	179	17	19	2	214	309	354	663	140	299	32	9	300	89	-7	+3	-0	-3	+12	0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	WSH	56%	579	505	109	20	3	16	52	181	17	18	2	216	310	362	672	146	299	31	9	304	92	-6	+3	-0	-3	+13	0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	WSH	62%	584	510	110	20	3	16	52	181	17	16	2	217	310	362	672	145	298	31	9	304	92	-6	+2	-0	-4	+13	0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	583	510	111	20	3	16	52	179	16	14	2	216	308	359	668	143	296	31	9	302	90	-7	+2	-1	-3	+13	0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	WSH	64%	420	369	79	14	2	11	37	128	11	9	1	215	306	355	661	140	294	30	9	299	89	-6	+1	-2	-3	+9	0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	WSH	64%	414	364	77	14	2	10	36	128	11	7	1	212	302	347	650	135	292	31	9	295	85	-7	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	39%	218	190	41	8	1	6	19	69	7	7	1	213	308	352	660	139	298	32	9	300	89	-3	+1	-0	-1	+5	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	WSH	56%	323	281	61	11	2	9	29	101	10	10	1	216	310	360	670	144	298	31	9	303	92	-3	+2	-0	-2	+7	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	WSH	62%	360	315	69	13	2	10	32	111	10	10	1	216	309	360	669	143	297	31	9	303	92	-4	+2	-0	-2	+8	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	377	330	71	13	2	10	34	116	10	9	1	216	308	357	665	141	296	31	9	301	90	-4	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	WSH	64%	271	238	51	10	1	7	24	83	7	6	1	215	306	354	659	139	294	31	9	299	89	-4	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	WSH	64%	267	235	50	9	1	7	23	83	7	5	1	212	302	346	648	134	292	31	9	294	85	-5	+1	-2	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1816	1589	343	64	9	49	161	563	51	47	6	216	308	360	668	144	298	31	9	300	90	-22	+7	-4	-11	+39	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	123	23	3	18	58	202	18	17	2	216	309	362	671	146	298	31	9	300	90	-8	+3	-1	-4	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4346	3794	828	149	25	111	381	1358	133	162	19	218	312	358	670	140	305	31	9	302	90	-44	+14	-7	-21	+75	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	124	22	4	17	57	203	20	24	3	219	312	362	674	143	305	31	9	302	90	-8	+3	-1	-4	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.7	1,821	48	47	216	305	359	-11	+0	2.4	2.4
/162	664	17	17	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sam Petersen (OGILVIE)	24	47	52	57	51	208/303/337	130	299	7	12	32%	9%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Hermosillo 2019 · MLB	24	47→49	46→55	50→55	43	228/301/359	131	310	13	19	29%	7%	88	+0.4	214/298/372	158	306	18	15	34%	7%	91	+0.6	191/279/356	165	255	22	16	33%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Zach Dezenzo 2024 · AA	24	48→49	48→45	56→50	41	232/293/372	139	330	16	19	33%	7%	88	+0.4	236/304/370	134	328	14	13	30%	8%	91	+0.7	230/310/352	122	317	13	13	29%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Drew Ferguson 2017 · AA	24	49	45	53→55	44	238/304/368	130	316	12	21	28%	7%	91	+0.6	237/315/349	112	321	10	18	27%	9%	91	+0.6	235/320/339	104	319	9	20	27%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Eguy Rosario 2024 · MLB	24	48→54	48→55	50→55	45	238/299/383	145	304	15	17	26%	7%	92	+0.7	209/272/359	150	281	16	17	30%	7%	77	-0.3	189/256/341	153	251	17	20	31%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Michael A. Taylor 2015 · MLB	24	47→54	47→55	56→60	39	226/284/361	136	340	14	28	36%	7%	82	-0.0	232/281/375	143	328	17	24	33%	6%	84	+0.1	240/297/382	142	309	19	14	28%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	44→48	48→50	54→55	43	220/290/366	146	298	15	19	30%	7%	86	+0.3	216/280/347	131	293	13	21	29%	7%	77	-0.3	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	44	52→55	56→55	42	224/289/391	167	304	20	23	32%	7%	91	+0.7	205/279/337	132	284	14	17	31%	8%	75	-0.5	188/270/304	117	259	13	16	31%	9%	63	-0.9
✕Jai Miller 2009 · AAA	24	46→50	47→55	51→55	41	222/287/359	137	326	14	17	35%	8%	82	+0.0	219/281/386	167	344	20	12	39%	7%	86	+0.3	207/273/389	183	338	23	11	43%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Pedro León 2023 · AAA	25	42→49	48→50	53→55	46	203/304/348	145	307	15	31	36%	10%	88	+0.4	226/298/380	154	322	18	24	33%	7%	92	+0.7	227/291/377	150	326	18	25	34%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Oswald Peraza 2024 · MLB	24	45→54	48→50	55→60	43	230/292/365	135	286	16	26	25%	6%	86	+0.3	213/280/329	116	277	14	23	27%	7%	73	-0.6	205/271/309	103	274	13	24	29%	6%	65	-0.7
✕Bradley Zimmer 2017 · AAA	24	48→51	46→50	57→60	43	224/302/360	135	337	13	29	35%	8%	88	+0.5	233/296/372	139	347	14	26	34%	7%	88	+0.5	230/307/358	128	349	13	28	35%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Leody Taveras 2023 · MLB	24	48→55	47→50	53→55	43	237/290/377	140	309	14	19	27%	7%	87	+0.4	242/293/374	132	298	13	21	22%	7%	88	+0.4	235/287/360	125	284	12	25	21%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	54→55	46	237/301/384	147	305	16	24	27%	8%	93	+0.8	233/299/358	125	300	12	15	25%	8%	86	+0.3	230/298/342	112	290	10	18	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Parker Meadows 2024 · MLB	24	43→48	49→55	57→55	46	219/284/373	154	279	17	17	28%	8%	84	+0.2	234/303/394	160	302	16	20	26%	9%	96	+1.0	236/310/408	171	300	16	22	26%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Akil Baddoo 2023 · MLB	24	51→53	46→50	54→55	51	244/320/382	138	321	12	22	26%	10%	99	+1.3	221/300/371	150	291	15	25	27%	10%	90	+0.6	213/293/369	156	278	16	28	28%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Junior Lake 2014 · MLB	24	52→56	45→50	51→55	39	253/297/383	130	336	12	22	28%	5%	91	+0.7	235/285/359	124	327	13	17	30%	6%	81	-0.1	228/299/360	132	286	13	19	24%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Joey Loperfido 2024 · AAA	25	49→55	48→50	54→55	44	238/306/386	147	326	16	20	30%	8%	95	+1.0	237/298/377	140	325	14	15	30%	7%	91	+0.6	235/299/364	129	322	12	13	29%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Bubba Thompson 2022 · AA	24	46→56	47→50	57→65	36	228/268/375	146	317	14	21	32%	5%	78	-0.3	244/286/355	111	343	10	42	30%	5%	80	-0.2	240/283/332	92	342	8	52	31%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA	24	46→47	42→45	54→55	48	220/296/330	110	289	9	19	26%	8%	79	-0.2	228/289/327	99	286	8	23	22%	7%	75	-0.5	258/304/376	118	306	11	25	19%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Samad Taylor 2022 · AA	24	47→57	48→50	55→65	41	222/297/365	143	340	16	28	37%	8%	88	+0.4	239/311/364	125	331	12	39	29%	8%	92	+0.7	253/319/358	105	339	9	36	26%	8%	90	+0.6

Sam Petersen

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps