Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 26 | 26 | 124 | 534 | 116 | 47 | 13 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.35 | 5.32 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 26 | 26 | 124 | 534 | 116 | 47 | 13 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 4.35 | 3.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 16 | 15 | 73 | 316 | 58 | 30 | 10 | 94% | 4.5 | 14.9% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.83 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 44 | 31 | 9 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.9% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.42 | 5.42 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 15.9% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.42 | 5.42 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 137 | 590 | 102 | 61 | 19 | — | — | 17.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 5.33 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 15.9% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.42 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TOR | 16 | 16 | 89 | 376 | 65 | 39 | 13 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 5.22 | 5.17 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 15 | 15 | 90 | 380 | 69 | 38 | 13 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 5.08 | 5.03 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 15 | 15 | 90 | 380 | 70 | 38 | 12 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 5.00 | 4.97 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 15 | 15 | 89 | 375 | 70 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.99 | 4.99 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 14 | 14 | 86 | 363 | 67 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 5.04 | 5.07 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TOR | 7 | 7 | 39 | 165 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 5.22 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 46 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 5.08 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 12 | 12 | 72 | 304 | 56 | 30 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 5.00 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 76 | 321 | 60 | 32 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.99 | 4.99 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 77 | 325 | 60 | 33 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 5.04 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 55 | 55 | 325 | 1371 | 251 | 138 | 46 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 5.05 | 4.66 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 155 | 85 | 28 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 5.05 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 41 | 197 | 850 | 136 | 87 | 35 | 98% | 4.7 | 16.0% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.53 | 5.29 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 42 | 200 | 864 | 139 | 89 | 35 | 98% | 4.7 | 16.0% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.53 | 5.29 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jackson Wentworth (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.42 | 15.9% | 11.2% | 3.4% | — | 5.06 | 18.0% | 7.9% | 269 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| John West R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.24 | 17.1% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .284 | 5.06 | 14.0% | -1.1% | 61 | -0.18 | 5.06 | 161 | 92 |
| Riley Thompson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.88 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .288 | 5.29 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.41 | 4.52 | 340 | 91 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 90 |
| Baron Stuart R 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .266 | 4.16 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 187 | -1.00 | 3.55 | 287 | 88 |
| Tyler Skulina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 18.3% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .242 | 5.24 | 13.0% | -1.0% | 147 | +0.78 | 4.46 | 222 | 88 |
| Thomas Farr R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.93 | 18.0% | 9.8% | 3.9% | .340 | 5.24 | 12.4% | 2.9% | 280 | +0.31 | 4.93 | 408 | 87 |
| Bryce Osmond R 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.59 | 18.0% | 12.4% | 4.4% | .294 | 7.24 | 16.2% | 3.7% | 64 | +1.65 | 5.59 | 161 | 87 |
| Sam Highfill R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.68 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .305 | 5.95 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 55 | +1.27 | 4.68 | 161 | 87 |
| Blaine Knight R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .263 | 4.58 | 16.2% | 6.6% | 159 | +0.12 | 4.16 | 269 | 87 |
| Erich Uelmen R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.59 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .299 | 4.48 | 19.8% | 8.8% | 159 | -0.11 | 3.53 | 383 | 87 |
| Jason Savacool R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.43 | 16.6% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .285 | 7.34 | 19.6% | 3.2% | 26 | +2.91 | 4.43 | 225 | 86 |
| Tommy Mace R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.24 | 16.0% | 12.1% | 3.6% | .261 | 5.13 | 14.7% | 2.7% | 376 | -0.11 | 4.93 | 501 | 86 |
| Jamison Hill R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.09 | 18.4% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .280 | 4.70 | 16.1% | 3.0% | 202 | -0.39 | 4.44 | 326 | 86 |
| Evan Yates R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.51 | 16.2% | 10.1% | 2.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 169 | 86 |
| Ricky Salinas R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.87 | 15.8% | 10.5% | 3.2% | .297 | 5.50 | 17.7% | 5.1% | 146 | +0.63 | 4.87 | 274 | 86 |
| Jeff Thompson R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.57 | 15.2% | 10.9% | 2.5% | .306 | 4.28 | 15.8% | 1.0% | 202 | -0.29 | 3.46 | 321 | 86 |
| Wil Crowe R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.68 | 15.0% | 10.9% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.61 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 266 | -0.07 | 3.91 | 518 | 86 |
| Zach McCambley R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.89 | 19.4% | 13.6% | 3.1% | .277 | 3.30 | 25.0% | 12.6% | 123 | -1.59 | 2.61 | 383 | 86 |
| Linder Castro R 2027 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.52 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .327 | 4.38 | 16.4% | 6.5% | 111 | -0.14 | 4.27 | 279 | 86 |
| Victor Mederos R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.56 | 13.4% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .322 | 4.32 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 163 | -1.24 | 4.19 | 360 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 88 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 1.29 | 5.12 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| Homer Bailey ('19) | 4 | 96 | 18.5% | 7.8% | 1.34 | 5.56 |