Wil Crowe
P
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 240 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION19 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.69
FIP4.63
xFIP5.01
SIERA5.88
K%20.7%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%11.2%
IP19
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p5895.1
Whiff%
p6427.5%
K%
p3820.5%
xwOBA vs
p440.318
SL-0.6
CH-0.9
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 4.91 | 2.80 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 21 | 20 | 113 | 480 | 93 | 46 | 10 | 15.0% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 3.49 | 4.68 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | 26 | 26 | 149 | 633 | 130 | 47 | 15 | 17.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 4.70 | 4.07 | +2.3 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 3 | 3 | 8 | 46 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 17.4% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 11.88 | 9.80 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 25 | 118 | 527 | 112 | 56 | 25 | 21.2% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 5.43 | 5.31 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 60 | 1 | 76 | 332 | 68 | 38 | 8 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 4.38 | 4.16 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 22 | 3 | 40 | 186 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 2.2% | 4.05 | 3.91 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 13 | 11 | 43 | 207 | 32 | 25 | 6 | 13.3% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 7.74 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 19 | — | 19 | 81 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.69 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.81 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 174 | 91 | 551 | 2425 | 436 | 247 | 79 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.86 | 4.65 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 33 | 200 | 880 | 158 | 90 | 29 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.86 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wil Crowe (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.88 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 20 | +0.25 | — | — | — |
| Alfredo Simon R 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.69 | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | .289 | 5.63 | 12.3% | 2.7% | 74 | +0.94 | 4.69 | 261 | 86 |
| Nate Long R 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 85 |
| Matt Garza R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.78 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | .315 | 4.45 | 15.5% | 7.7% | 216 | -0.33 | 4.12 | 365 | 83 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.92 | 17.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.71 | 12.8% | 4.4% | 142 | +0.79 | 3.92 | 277 | 82 |
| Andrew Cashner R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.90 | 14.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% | .307 | 4.44 | 17.0% | 7.9% | 150 | -0.46 | 3.77 | 786 | 80 |
| Miguel González R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.59 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 325 | -0.34 | 3.73 | 469 | 79 |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.37 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 4.4% | .283 | 4.35 | 14.9% | 5.3% | 144 | -1.02 | 3.91 | 577 | 76 |
| Nestor Molina R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.12 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 401 | 74 |
| Cory Riordan R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.19 | 14.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 154 | 74 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.99 | 13.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 500 | 72 |
| Clay Buchholz R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.87 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .260 | 4.11 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 180 | -0.76 | 2.49 | 433 | 72 |
| Thad Weber R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.55 | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .316 | 4.86 | 13.2% | 8.8% | 55 | +0.31 | 4.55 | 363 | 71 |
| Marco Estrada R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.32 | 18.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .213 | 4.55 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 506 | +0.23 | 4.04 | 710 | 71 |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.47 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | .268 | 4.60 | 10.8% | 4.9% | 155 | +0.13 | 4.47 | 287 | 70 |
| Chase Anderson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.58 | 20.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% | .259 | 5.41 | 19.2% | 10.0% | 218 | +0.83 | 3.42 | 1,146 | 70 |
| Mike Fiers R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.13 | 18.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | .308 | 4.81 | 19.2% | 12.2% | 510 | +0.68 | 3.72 | 918 | 69 |
| Jake Peavy R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.09 | 17.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .278 | 4.36 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 119 | +0.27 | 4.09 | 262 | 69 |
| Jeff Samardzija R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.89 | 20.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | .282 | 4.22 | 21.1% | 15.5% | 451 | +0.33 | 3.63 | 885 | 69 |
| David Martinez R 2024 · 4.96 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.96 | 15.0% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 297 | 69 |
| Tanner Roark R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.99 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | .289 | 4.50 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 259 | +0.51 | 3.13 | 942 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.