Ian Daugherty

C Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202522AMIN33.222/.364/.4812077—.207/.303/.448
202623AAA/AMIN103.124/.235/.16911-17—.098/.177/.140
2027PROJMLE24MLBMIN200.169/.239/.2684343-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBMIN56.173/.244/.2781147-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
BB%55
Speed40
Chase%20
Whiff%18
Z-Con%15
K%12
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsChris Okey (age 24) · Mateo Gil (age 24) · Jack Conley (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 106 proj PA
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .237 / .266
PA106
HR2
K%34
BB%7
ISO99
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202522 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 3327 6102 581 00 222364481845 259235 2415 375 77 — — — — — —
202623 AAASt. Paul Saints — 2924 4000 3111 00 167286167452 308 3810 222 15 — — — — — —
202623 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 7465 7101 8301 10 108216169385 62176 4111 192 -29 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202522 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 3329 6102 3111 00 207303448751 241200 339 282 77 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLESt. Paul Saints — 2925 4000 2131 00 160250160410 300 457 191 15 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 7468 5101 5411 10 74149132281 59156 557 126 -29 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 3329 6102 3111 00 207303448751 241250 339 282 77 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 3327 6102 581 00 222364481845 259235 2415 375 77 — — — — — —
202623 A MLE2 teams — 10392 9101 8542 10 98186141328 43216 528 144 -16 — — — — — —
202623 A RAW2 teams — 10389 11101 11412 10 124235169404 45213 4011 201 -16 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 3329 6102 3111 00 207303448751 241200 339 282 77 — — — — — —
202623 A MLE2 teams — 10392 9101 8542 10 98186141328 43197 528 144 -16 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 3329 6102 3111 00 207303448751 241200 339 282 77 — — — — — —
202623 A MLE2 teams — 10392 9101 8542 10 98186141328 43197 528 144 -16 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEMIN 0% 200182 31514 14682 31 169239268507 99240 347 232 43 -13 +0 +0 +4 +4 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEMIN 30% 187169 30514 14622 31 173244277521 104243 337 238 47 -12 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.4
202825 MLB CTXMIN 30% 5651 8101 4191 10 173244278522 105243 347 238 47 -4 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5651 8101 4191 10 157232235467 78226 347 238 33 -4 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 9412012 4622112 120 159234240474 81228 347 238 33 -41 +2 +0 +12 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 429386 611019 331636 61 158235259494 101241 388 218 33 -19 +1 +0 +5 +6 -0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 9315214 502479 92 159236263499 104242 388 218 33 -42 +1 +0 +12 +14 -1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 74 PAwOBA .188 → .126 (−61)K% 40.5% → 55.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.54%÷1.000×1.360——55.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.81%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9807.31%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.780—×0.9801.03%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.920—×0.98012.88%
Doubles /BIP2.86%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9802.32%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP2.86%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9802.24%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .188 → .126; ISO .062 → .038; BABIP .176 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAASt. Paul Saints · 29 PAwOBA .218 → .191 (−26)K% 37.9% → 45.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.93%÷1.000×1.200——45.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.34%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0487.48%
HBP% /PA3.45%—×0.940—×1.0483.40%
Singles /BIP30.77%÷1.000×0.930—×1.04829.99%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0480.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970—×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0480.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .218 → .191; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .308 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 33 PAwOBA .366 → .282 (−83)K% 24.2% → 33.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.24%÷0.994×1.360——33.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.15%÷1.054×0.690—×0.9909.82%
HBP% /PA3.03%—×0.780—×0.9902.34%
Singles /BIP15.79%÷1.029×0.920—×0.99013.98%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷1.032×0.830—×0.9904.19%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP10.53%÷0.898×0.800—×0.9909.29%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .366 → .282; ISO .259 → .214; BABIP .235 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).