Ian Daugherty — OGILVIE

Ian DaughertyC Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 49 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.158 / .243 / .248

PA49

HR1

K%39

BB%8

BABIP247

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	29	5	1	0	2	3	11	1	0	0	172	273	414	687	241	188	33	9	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	27	6	1	0	2	5	8	1	0	0	222	364	481	845	259	235	24	15	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	MIN	—	74	67	5	1	0	1	6	43	1	1	0	75	162	134	296	60	174	58	8	131	-42	-12	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.8
YTD	23	A	MIN	—	74	65	7	1	0	1	8	30	1	1	0	108	216	169	385	62	176	41	11	192	5	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
ROS	23	A	MIN	0%	49	44	7	1	0	1	4	19	1	1	0	158	243	248	491	90	279	39	8	242	44	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	234	37	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	A	MIN	—	74	68	5	1	0	1	6	43	1	1	0	74	162	132	295	59	167	58	8	131	-42	-12	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.8
TOT	23	A	MIN	—	123	111	12	2	0	2	10	62	2	2	0	108	195	180	374	72	211	50	8	175	-7	-15	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIN	30%	154	139	25	4	1	3	12	58	2	2	1	180	255	288	543	108	282	38	8	251	51	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	MIN	44%	257	232	44	8	1	6	20	93	3	3	1	190	263	310	573	121	283	36	8	258	56	-13	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
2027	24	MLB	MIN	30%	46	41	7	1	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	171	261	268	529	98	282	37	9	243	44	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	MIN	44%	113	102	19	3	1	2	9	41	1	1	0	186	259	294	553	108	283	36	8	249	49	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	159	144	26	4	1	3	13	58	2	2	0	181	259	285	544	104	274	36	8	247	48	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	106	16	4	12	53	237	8	8	0	180	259	282	540	102	273	36	8	247	48	-38	+2	+0	+12	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	493	444	81	14	2	12	39	181	7	6	2	182	259	304	563	122	272	37	8	258	55	-25	+0	+0	+9	+14	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	107	18	3	16	51	238	9	8	3	183	259	306	564	123	272	37	8	258	55	-33	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	27	6	1	0	2	5	8	1	0	0	222	364	481	845	259	235	24	15	375	145	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	220	5	3	191	259	306	+4	+8	-0.1	-0.0
	/162	664	14	8	191	259	306	+11.9	+24.2	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ian Daugherty (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	108/195/180	72	211	2	2	50%	8%	-7	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2021 · A	23	36→28	46→45	50	36	186/239/311	125	287	14	10	39%	6%	47	-1.9	171/231/269	98	356	10	9	51%	6%	33	-2.9	114/179/189	75	259	9	7	56%	6%	-9	-3.2
✕James Parker 2023 · A	23	35→23	42→50	51→45	35	177/230/279	102	291	9	7	41%	6%	35	-2.8	182/248/308	126	328	15	7	45%	8%	50	-1.7	144/223/290	146	256	21	4	50%	9%	33	-1.4
✕Sammy Infante 2023 · A	22	33→25	45	48→55	34	167/234/287	119	291	13	10	45%	7%	40	-2.4	188/252/281	93	310	8	16	39%	6%	45	-2.1	179/245/253	75	293	6	20	38%	6%	32	-1.3
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	36	45→50	49→40	37	188/243/307	119	268	12	5	34%	6%	49	-1.8	209/267/348	139	309	13	5	35%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/342	141	301	13	3	36%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	38	41→40	46→40	41	184/265/285	101	288	8	8	36%	8%	53	-1.5	205/278/297	92	316	7	5	34%	7%	60	-1.0	204/278/288	84	318	5	2	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Marcus Chiu 2021 · A	24	38→26	46→45	46→45	37	178/272/301	124	322	14	8	45%	8%	61	-1.0	193/268/320	127	306	15	5	40%	6%	63	-0.8	177/252/304	127	271	16	2	39%	5%	48	-0.9
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	184/257/280	96	282	10	6	36%	8%	47	-1.9	201/263/302	101	330	8	6	38%	7%	55	-1.4	188/249/306	119	317	7	3	40%	7%	46	-0.7
✕Tate Blackman 2019 · A	24	37→34	44→45	43→40	40	187/260/298	112	287	13	5	37%	8%	54	-1.4	177/248/262	85	324	8	5	44%	7%	40	-2.4	124/203/169	45	259	4	1	50%	8%	-4	-3.0
✕Chris Baker 2018 · A	23	35→28	42→45	48→45	35	178/226/279	101	268	10	6	37%	5%	33	-2.9	184/232/278	94	299	9	7	39%	5%	35	-2.8	163/207/246	82	271	10	5	42%	4%	14	-1.3
✕Miguel Jerez 2021 · A	23	33	47→60	48→40	37	177/245/308	131	274	16	5	40%	7%	50	-1.7	188/257/316	128	307	14	5	41%	7%	57	-1.2	125/206/261	136	192	17	0	44%	7%	20	-1.2
✕Chris Hudgins 2019 · A	23	39	44→50	49→40	35	197/244/320	123	291	11	3	35%	5%	52	-1.6	196/248/317	121	292	13	4	36%	5%	53	-1.5	168/223/285	117	260	14	2	40%	5%	31	-1.1
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	39	46→50	51→50	38	199/250/328	129	280	15	11	34%	6%	56	-1.3	200/251/341	141	277	15	11	32%	5%	61	-1.0	192/239/333	141	232	19	10	27%	5%	51	-1.1
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	35→31	43→50	47→50	33	181/224/287	106	270	10	13	36%	4%	34	-2.8	185/234/295	110	296	11	12	39%	5%	40	-2.4	179/230/328	148	260	18	12	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Sean Roby 2021 · A	23	42→32	43→55	48→30	36	204/252/316	112	313	11	5	37%	6%	53	-1.5	189/251/355	166	297	23	3	42%	7%	65	-0.7	169/231/342	173	257	26	2	44%	7%	49	-1.0
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	36→32	47→50	48→50	38	189/248/323	134	278	14	6	36%	7%	55	-1.4	185/241/292	107	322	11	8	43%	6%	43	-2.2	157/213/246	90	292	9	9	47%	5%	18	-3.1
✕Edwin Díaz 2019 · AA	23	33→31	42→50	49→40	37	173/232/276	103	267	11	4	38%	7%	35	-2.8	177/239/308	131	290	15	4	42%	7%	47	-1.9	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2