Ian Daugherty — OGILVIE

Ian DaughertyC Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%36

BB%9

BABIP279

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	27	6	1	0	2	5	8	1	0	0	222	364	481	845	259	235	24	15	375	140	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	28	5	1	0	2	4	11	1	0	0	179	303	429	732	250	212	33	12	298	88	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	28	5	1	0	2	4	11	1	0	0	179	303	429	732	250	200	33	12	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	27	6	1	0	2	5	8	1	0	0	222	364	481	845	259	235	24	15	375	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	28	5	1	0	2	4	11	1	0	0	179	303	429	732	250	212	33	12	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	28	5	1	0	2	4	11	1	0	0	179	303	429	732	250	212	33	12	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A MLE	MIN	—	94	84	8	1	0	1	7	50	2	1	0	95	183	143	326	48	212	53	7	148	-14	-13	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	MIN	—	74	65	7	1	0	1	8	30	1	1	0	108	216	169	385	62	176	41	11	192	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA RAW	MIN	—	20	16	3	0	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	188	316	188	503		300	30	10	242	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A MLE	MIN	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		279	36	9	245	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A MLE	MIN	—	105	94	9	1	0	1	8	54	2	1	0	96	183	138	321	43	205	51	8	158	-7	-13	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIN	30%	315	284	53	9	1	6	24	112	4	4	1	187	260	289	548	102	282	36	8	255	59	-15	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	44%	374	337	66	11	2	8	29	129	5	5	1	196	270	312	581	116	283	34	8	262	63	-16	+1	+0	+7	+8	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIN	51%	410	369	72	12	2	9	32	139	6	5	1	195	270	312	582	117	284	34	8	265	66	-17	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	420	378	75	13	2	9	33	141	6	5	1	198	273	315	588	116	284	34	8	267	67	-17	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	424	381	75	13	2	9	34	143	6	5	1	197	273	312	585	115	283	34	8	266	66	-17	+1	-1	+8	+9	-0.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	419	376	73	12	2	9	34	143	6	5	1	194	272	309	580	114	282	34	8	264	65	-18	+1	-1	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIN	30%	95	87	16	3	0	2	7	34	1	1	0	184	253	287	540	103	283	36	7	245	59	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	44%	165	149	29	5	1	3	13	57	2	2	1	195	268	302	570	107	284	35	8	252	63	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIN	51%	208	187	37	6	1	5	16	70	3	3	1	198	272	321	593	123	284	34	8	256	66	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	220	198	40	7	1	5	17	74	3	3	1	202	275	323	598	121	284	34	8	257	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	226	203	40	7	1	5	18	76	3	3	1	197	272	315	588	118	283	34	8	256	66	-9	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	220	197	39	7	1	5	18	75	3	2	1	198	275	320	595	122	282	34	8	254	65	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1134	1021	201	35	5	25	89	386	15	14	5	197	271	314	586	118	286	34	8	254	65	-47	+1	-1	+20	+25	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	115	20	3	14	51	221	9	8	3	197	271	313	584	116	286	34	8	254	65	-27	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2406	2163	420	71	11	52	191	822	34	29	6	194	270	309	579	115	283	34	8	264	65	-100	+3	-2	+42	+51	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	113	19	3	14	52	222	9	8	2	193	270	308	578	115	282	34	8	264	65	-28	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,256	27	16	197	268	312	+22	+16	0.6	0.7
/162	664	14	8	+11.9	+8.5	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ian Daugherty (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	180/252/279	99	279	2	2	37%	7%	52	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→45	49→40	39	180/241/289	109	274	11	4	37%	7%	49	-2.4	201/257/318	117	274	12	4	30%	6%	62	-1.4	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	43→50	46→45	38	201/248/313	112	281	10	7	32%	5%	57	-1.8	196/259/294	98	295	9	10	34%	8%	57	-1.8	166/232/250	84	247	9	10	35%	8%	35	-0.9
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2022 · A	23	42→38	46→45	43→45	40	207/277/338	131	296	13	5	33%	6%	74	-0.5	195/267/314	119	273	13	5	32%	6%	65	-1.2	180/257/286	106	245	12	5	30%	6%	53	-1.3
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	37	42→40	46→40	40	180/259/284	104	282	9	8	37%	8%	55	-1.9	203/277/297	94	309	7	5	34%	7%	65	-1.2	203/279/289	86	310	6	2	34%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→37	49→50	53→50	39	207/268/353	146	287	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.5	208/273/341	133	295	14	10	33%	6%	74	-0.6	202/274/346	144	284	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A	23	38	45→50	47→30	44	190/278/314	124	278	13	2	34%	9%	70	-0.8	197/273/328	131	280	15	3	33%	8%	71	-0.8	180/256/302	122	254	15	0	34%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Freuddy Batista 2023 · A	23	41	49→50	49→40	39	206/278/354	147	300	17	8	35%	7%	78	-0.3	208/263/340	132	299	13	4	34%	5%	69	-0.9	206/257/336	130	270	16	4	30%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Adam Zebrowski 2023 · A	22	41→35	45→50	50→40	46	202/281/326	123	286	12	5	32%	9%	73	-0.6	186/249/301	115	286	13	3	38%	7%	55	-1.9	188/241/319	130	273	18	2	37%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Chris Hudgins 2019 · A	23	39	44→50	49→40	35	197/244/320	123	291	11	3	35%	5%	57	-1.8	198/251/322	124	295	14	4	36%	6%	60	-1.6	172/228/295	123	260	15	2	39%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Miguel Jerez 2021 · A	23	34	47→60	48→40	37	178/247/307	130	278	16	5	40%	7%	57	-1.8	187/257/312	125	309	14	5	41%	7%	61	-1.5	123/205/254	130	193	16	0	44%	7%	28	-1.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→36	49→45	51→50	40	206/276/359	153	273	16	9	30%	6%	79	-0.2	209/284/321	112	285	10	10	29%	6%	74	-0.6	205/292/288	83	272	7	10	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→38	43→50	45→30	45	204/279/315	111	288	11	4	31%	9%	70	-0.9	217/292/358	141	289	16	3	29%	9%	84	+0.2	217/296/371	154	282	18	1	28%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→35	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	63	-1.3	179/252/275	96	301	10	4	41%	8%	51	-2.3	159/236/248	88	274	11	3	43%	8%	37	-2.3
✕Juan Zabala 2022 · AA	23	40	43→40	45→50	38	198/254/308	109	297	11	7	36%	6%	58	-1.7	216/278/308	92	297	9	16	28%	7%	68	-1.0	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	39→40	46→50	51→50	38	199/250/328	129	280	15	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	202/254/342	140	275	15	11	31%	5%	66	-1.1	193/247/331	138	257	15	11	30%	5%	60	-1.3
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/284/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	197/291/331	134	305	14	5	37%	10%	79	-0.2	181/287/328	147	281	17	4	38%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Connor Pavolony 2023 · A	23	39	42→40	48→40	48	183/285/284	101	297	9	6	38%	11%	66	-1.1	172/251/249	77	287	6	6	39%	8%	45	-2.7	135/210/192	57	223	4	2	38%	8%	14	-2.1
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	42	42→45	47→40	42	201/282/303	102	295	9	5	33%	8%	69	-0.9	209/262/295	86	270	7	6	24%	5%	58	-1.7	220/288/344	124	255	13	2	19%	7%	76	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps