Pierce Coppola

P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 24 LHP 6'8" / 245 lbs A peak 0.5 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECTFG #838

Scout OFP45ETA2028FG ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ACHC	3	2	8	2.25	2.98	36.8%	23.7%	—	K 36.8% · BB 23.7% · FIP 2.99
2026	23	MIX2 levels	19	17	75	3.46	3.29	27.2%	11.4%	—	K 20.4% · BB 13.3% · FIP 4.37
2027PROJ	24	MLBCHC	12	12	67	5.27	5.27	20.6%	15.1%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCHC	5	5	29	5.10	5.05	21.2%	13.8%	-0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCHC	8	8	45	5.00	4.97	21.6%	13.4%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff49Control40Command30FB velo64

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsCaden Grice (age 22) · Erik Rivera (age 23) · Hayden Mullins (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%20.6%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%5.5%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF3050

CTRL3040

CMD2030

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	3	2	8	38	14	9	0	67%	2.7	36.8%	23.7%	13.2%	0.0%	2.25	2.99	—
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	3	2	8	38	14	9	0	67%	2.7	36.8%	23.7%	13.2%	0.0%	2.25	2.99	—
2025	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	3	2	8	38	14	9	0	67%	2.7	36.8%	23.7%	13.2%	0.0%	2.25	2.98	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	17	75	316	86	36	6	89%	4.0	20.4%	13.3%	7.1%	2.4%	3.46	4.37	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	17	75	316	86	36	6	89%	4.0	20.4%	13.3%	7.1%	2.4%	3.46	4.37	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	17	75	316	86	36	6	89%	4.0	27.2%	11.4%	15.8%	1.9%	3.46	3.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CHC	12	12	67	283	58	43	8	100%	5.6	20.6%	15.1%	5.5%	2.9%	5.27	5.27	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	12	12	69	290	61	40	9	100%	5.7	21.2%	13.8%	7.4%	2.9%	5.10	5.05	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	69	290	63	39	9	100%	6.2	21.6%	13.4%	8.1%	2.9%	5.00	4.97	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	68	285	62	38	9	100%	6.1	21.7%	13.3%	8.4%	3.0%	4.98	4.98	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	66	277	60	37	9	100%	6.0	21.6%	13.3%	8.2%	3.1%	5.01	5.05	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	CHC	10	10	63	264	56	36	9	100%	6.3	21.3%	13.6%	7.8%	3.2%	5.11	5.18	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	5	5	29	122	26	17	4	100%	5.8	21.2%	13.8%	7.4%	2.9%	5.10	5.05	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	8	8	45	190	41	26	6	100%	5.6	21.6%	13.4%	8.1%	2.9%	5.00	4.97	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	9	9	52	220	48	29	7	100%	5.8	21.7%	13.3%	8.4%	3.0%	4.98	4.98	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	CHC	9	9	55	232	50	31	7	100%	6.1	21.6%	13.3%	8.2%	3.1%	5.01	5.05	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CHC	9	9	55	232	50	31	8	100%	6.1	21.3%	13.6%	7.8%	3.2%	5.11	5.18	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		40	40	237	1000	215	135	31	100%	5.9	21.5%	13.5%	8.0%	3.1%	5.04	4.67	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	182	114	26	100%	6.0	21.5%	13.5%	8.0%	3.1%	5.04	4.67	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		22	19	83	354	79	51	8	86%	3.8	22.2%	14.4%	7.8%	2.1%	3.35	4.22	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	46	200	850	188	123	18	86%	3.8	22.2%	14.4%	7.8%	2.1%	3.35	4.22	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pierce Coppola (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	20.6%	15.1%	2.9%	—	5.00	21.5%	8.0%	205	-0.27	—	—	—
Caden Grice L 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	15.7%	2.2%	.282	5.05	17.9%	2.3%	83	+0.72	4.33	133	85
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	83
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	82
Dante Biasi L 2022 · 4.91 FIP	24	SP-	4.91	18.7%	15.9%	2.5%	.288	6.65	20.1%	1.7%	69	+1.74	4.91	224	81
Tate Kuehner L 2024 · 4.08 FIP	23	SP	4.08	20.5%	13.9%	1.7%	.275	3.85	20.3%	7.9%	164	-0.23	3.83	268	81
Andrew Sears L 2024 · 4.25 FIP	21	SP	4.25	19.6%	15.4%	1.6%	.248	4.06	19.9%	11.0%	177	-0.19	3.71	266	80
Christian MacLeod L 2024 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP	4.77	21.5%	13.6%	3.2%	.269	4.50	18.0%	3.0%	128	-0.27	3.88	280	79
Dalton Rogers L 2024 · 4.17 FIP	23	SP	4.17	17.7%	14.9%	1.2%	.324	4.76	20.4%	4.7%	185	+0.59	3.47	364	78
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	78
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	76
J.C. Romero L 2000 · 4.58 FIP	24	SP	4.58	18.7%	11.2%	3.0%	.356	3.98	18.2%	8.4%	209	-0.60	2.88	652	75
Marc Rzepczynski L 2010 · 4.23 FIP	24	SP	4.23	19.9%	10.1%	2.8%	.332	3.54	21.2%	13.0%	139	-0.69	2.43	491	75
Kyle Carr L 2024 · 4.24 FIP	22	SP	4.24	16.2%	14.0%	1.3%	.310	4.47	18.6%	7.1%	223	+0.23	4.19	327	75
Brian Holmes L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	21.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.333	4.78	17.3%	8.0%	104	+0.46	3.60	205	75
Jaylen Nowlin L 2024 · 5.15 FIP	23	SP-	5.15	18.7%	12.6%	3.7%	.299	4.77	21.7%	3.2%	100	-0.38	3.45	372	75
Michel Gelabert L 2019 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	18.7%	12.1%	2.4%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	107	74
Dylan Carmouche L 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	19.0%	11.6%	2.5%	.332	5.21	16.7%	6.8%	116	+0.86	4.35	239	74
T.J. Sikkema L 2022 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	21.9%	9.0%	3.9%	.298	4.54	16.9%	7.5%	231	-0.01	3.57	300	74
Bryan Radziewski L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.5%	2.0%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	106	73
Andy Oliver L 2010 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP	4.66	17.6%	10.8%	3.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	187	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	67	21.3%	13.8%	1.17	5.08
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*