Blake Burke

1B Biloxi Shuckers

Age 24 L/L 6'3" / 236 lbs AA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #403MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP43ETA2029FG ETA2026MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AAMIL	159	.300/.380/.579	11	3	101	—	.241/.304/.421
2025	22	A+MIL	408	.289/.384/.403	5	12	78	—	.240/.317/.322
2026	23	AAAMIL	137	.193/.299/.336	4	1	44	—	.163/.248/.268
2026	23	AAMIL	431	.285/.371/.603	30	28	122	—	.253/.315/.517
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBMIL	6	.220/.287/.412	0	0	95	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBMIL	180	.222/.291/.417	8	4	97	0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBMIL	269	.224/.293/.419	12	5	98	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV88

Speed64

Z-Con%61

BB%45

Whiff%30

K%14

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 72%

CompsSeth Beer (age 24) · Joe Koshansky (age 24) · Juan Yepez (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .287 / .412

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP289

ISO187

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 61

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER61

scouting grade only

EYE36

scouting grade only

SPEED27

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	250	333	250	583		333	22	11	279	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	159	140	42	6	0	11	16	41	2	3	1	300	380	579	958	279	348	26	10	414	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	408	350	101	21	2	5	49	94	5	12	4	289	384	403	787	114	376	23	12	354	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	137	119	23	3	1	4	14	44	4	1	1	193	299	336	635	143	268	32	10	293	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	431	375	107	25	2	30	44	102	7	28	7	285	371	603	974	317	310	24	10	415	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	17	4	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	235	278	235	513		308	28	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	159	145	35	5	0	7	11	54	2	3	1	241	304	421	724	179	328	34	7	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	408	363	87	17	2	3	36	126	5	12	4	240	317	322	639	83	344	31	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	137	123	20	2	1	3	10	53	4	1	1	163	248	268	516	106	253	39	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	431	391	99	24	2	25	28	125	7	28	7	253	315	517	831	263	289	29	6	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	17	4	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	235	278	235	513		333	28	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	250	333	250	583		333	22	11	279	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	567	507	122	22	2	10	48	180	7	15	5	241	315	351	666	110	348	32	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	567	490	143	27	2	16	65	135	7	15	5	292	383	453	836	161	369	24	11	371	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	568	513	117	26	3	27	39	177	11	29	8	228	297	448	745	220	287	31	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	568	494	130	28	3	34	58	146	11	29	8	263	353	538	892	275	301	26	10	385	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	17	4	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	235	278	235	513		308	28	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	567	507	122	22	2	10	48	180	7	15	5	241	315	351	666	110	340	32	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	568	513	117	26	3	27	39	177	11	29	8	228	297	448	745	220	280	31	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	17	4	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	235	278	235	513		308	28	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	567	507	122	22	2	10	48	180	7	15	5	241	315	351	666	110	340	32	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	568	513	117	26	3	27	39	177	11	29	8	228	297	448	745	220	280	31	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIL	2%	380	344	77	15	2	16	27	126	6	9	3	221	289	409	698	188	294	33	7	308	95	-2	+1	-1	-7	+8	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIL	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	220	287	412	699	192	289	33	0	308	95	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIL	31%	581	525	117	23	2	24	42	189	9	12	3	224	292	415	707	191	294	33	7	312	97	-2	+1	-1	-10	+13	0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIL	45%	604	546	122	24	2	25	44	193	9	10	3	225	294	417	710	192	294	32	7	313	98	-1	+1	-1	-11	+13	0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIL	49%	610	551	123	24	2	25	45	193	9	8	3	225	294	413	707	189	293	32	7	312	97	-2	+0	-1	-11	+13	0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	609	550	122	24	2	24	46	191	8	6	2	224	293	408	701	184	291	31	8	310	96	-3	+0	-1	-11	+13	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	603	545	121	24	2	23	45	188	8	4	2	222	291	401	692	179	289	31	7	306	93	-5	+0	-2	-11	+13	-0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	596	539	118	23	2	22	44	188	8	2	2	218	287	392	679	174	286	32	7	301	90	-7	-0	-3	-11	+13	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIL	31%	180	162	37	7	1	8	13	59	3	4	1	222	291	417	708	195	289	33	7	312	97	-1	+0	-0	-3	+4	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIL	45%	269	243	54	10	1	12	20	86	4	5	1	224	293	419	712	196	289	32	7	314	98	-1	+1	-0	-5	+6	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIL	49%	300	271	60	11	1	13	22	95	4	4	1	223	293	416	709	192	288	32	7	312	97	-1	+0	-0	-5	+6	0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	314	284	63	12	1	13	23	99	4	3	1	222	292	410	702	188	286	32	7	310	96	-2	+0	-1	-6	+7	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	311	281	62	11	1	13	23	97	4	2	1	221	290	403	693	183	284	31	7	306	93	-2	+0	-1	-6	+7	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	307	277	60	11	1	12	23	97	4	1	1	217	286	394	680	177	281	32	7	301	90	-4	-0	-1	-5	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1681	1518	336	62	6	71	124	533	23	19	6	221	290	410	700	189	287	32	7	309	95	-10	+1	-4	-30	+36	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	129	24	2	27	48	206	9	7	2	220	289	405	694	186	285	32	7	309	95	-4	+1	-2	-12	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5076	4582	1030	203	18	193	377	1610	74	94	30	225	294	403	698	179	298	32	7	308	95	-23	+3	-9	-70	+85	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	132	26	2	25	48	206	9	12	4	225	293	404	697	179	297	32	7	308	95	-4	+1	-1	-12	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Hunter Renfroelast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,727 PA	5.6	3,727	188	15	235	297	458	-40	-32	7.3	8.0
/162	664	33	3	-7.1	-5.7	1.3	pk7: 9
#3Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Travis Lee'98-'06 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,233 PA	6.4	4,233	115	59	246*	324*	396*	-74	-10	3.7	4.1
/162	664	18	9	-11.5	-1.6	0.6	pk7: 5
#5Steve Balboni'81-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	181	1	227*	293*	471*	-69	-19	2.6	3.3
/162	664	35	0	-13.3	-3.7	0.5	pk7: 4
#6John Ganzel'01-'08 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,599 PA	3.9	2,599	14	43	251*	309*	428*	-46	-0	1.5	1.5
/162	664	4	11	-11.6	-0.1	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.5	1,688	67	19	224	289	409	-30	-5	0.7	0.7
/162	664	27	7	-11.9	-1.8	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Burke (OGILVIE)	24	30→42	60→61	30→27	36	219/286/406	187	294	13	8	33%	7%	95	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Seth Beer 2021 · AA	24	47→46	53→55	38→30	41	242/312/410	168	298	22	3	26%	5%	105	+1.7	220/309/361	141	268	15	2	23%	7%	93	+0.8	208/299/335	127	258	13	0	24%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Joe Koshansky 2006 · AA	24	42→48	60→55	41→40	39	232/284/444	212	294	29	5	32%	6%	102	+1.5	236/295/420	184	312	24	4	31%	7%	100	+1.3	233/295/416	183	313	23	2	32%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Juan Yepez 2022 · AAA	24	44→49	57→60	39→45	47	237/307/438	201	277	26	4	25%	8%	109	+2.0	234/292/406	172	275	21	3	23%	7%	95	+1.0	232/290/385	153	271	19	3	22%	7%	88	+0.4
✕MJ Melendez 2022 · AAA	23	40→48	61→60	40→50	46	223/295/441	219	278	30	5	32%	9%	105	+1.7	225/305/410	185	278	22	6	26%	10%	101	+1.4	217/299/394	178	268	20	5	26%	10%	96	+1.0
✕Edwin Rios 2018 · AAA	24	47→49	53→60	41→30	36	241/277/411	169	311	22	3	30%	4%	91	+0.7	231/282/409	178	344	22	3	38%	6%	93	+0.8	216/274/396	180	341	23	1	41%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Sergio Pedroza 2008 · A	24	45→46	56→60	38→45	45	231/314/427	196	301	23	3	30%	8%	109	+2.0	226/294/352	126	306	12	11	29%	7%	84	+0.1	216/285/314	97	281	9	12	25%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Bobby Dalbec 2020 · AAA	25	36→42	54→60	41→50	41	195/275/366	171	281	23	5	38%	8%	81	-0.1	223/293/432	209	301	28	5	35%	8%	103	+1.5	212/285/410	198	297	28	9	37%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Matt Clark 2012 · AAA	25	44→45	53→55	40→30	42	231/289/398	167	303	22	2	31%	7%	93	+0.8	233/290/395	162	301	21	2	29%	7%	92	+0.7	223/279/384	161	274	22	0	27%	6%	84	+0.2
●Ryan Ward 2022 · A	24	44→48	56→60	44→50	40	232/286/417	185	302	25	7	32%	6%	96	+1.0	217/272/389	172	282	22	8	30%	6%	84	+0.1	228/286/415	187	271	24	10	25%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Carlos Peguero 2011 · AA	24	43→46	54→60	42→50	35	217/269/396	180	327	22	5	40%	6%	84	+0.2	222/273/399	177	339	22	8	39%	5%	86	+0.3	220/268/396	176	333	23	8	39%	5%	83	+0.0
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	40→43	56→60	45→50	46	215/296/406	191	289	25	8	34%	10%	97	+1.1	209/298/399	190	280	25	13	33%	10%	97	+1.1	198/293/382	184	263	24	15	33%	11%	91	+0.5
●Kerry Carpenter 2023 · MLB	25	46→53	57→70	35→45	40	244/294/444	200	291	26	5	26%	5%	105	+1.7	261/314/484	223	311	29	5	26%	6%	122	+2.9	263/316/500	236	306	32	3	25%	6%	127	+2.4
✕Richard Jones 2012 · A	24	46→49	52→55	38→30	33	236/269/399	163	320	20	2	33%	3%	85	+0.2	217/258/329	112	321	10	4	34%	4%	64	-1.3	182/219/237	56	294	0	0	36%	3%	26	-1.5
✕Jason Perry 2006 · AA	25	44→51	52→55	40→45	41	224/288/388	164	297	19	4	31%	6%	90	+0.6	229/293/391	162	305	19	6	30%	7%	93	+0.8	223/294/394	171	293	21	5	30%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Yazy Arbelo 2013 · AA	25	35→31	57→60	38→30	39	197/263/386	188	271	26	2	37%	7%	81	-0.1	208/271/354	146	301	18	5	35%	7%	76	-0.4	160/239/257	97	243	12	0	37%	7%	42	-0.6
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2016 · MLB	25	42→52	55→60	40→45	40	226/283/406	181	283	24	3	30%	6%	93	+0.8	226/292/409	183	298	23	4	31%	7%	96	+1.0	217/296/406	188	293	24	3	33%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Jason Cooper 2006 · AAA	25	42→40	54→55	42→45	41	223/284/400	177	297	22	6	32%	7%	91	+0.7	214/277/369	155	283	15	7	29%	7%	81	-0.1	207/275/358	152	266	13	7	27%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Yunior Severino 2024 · AAA	24	46→48	54→55	41→40	39	226/293/400	174	337	22	3	38%	7%	95	+0.9	218/288/355	137	328	16	5	35%	9%	82	-0.0	207/282/327	120	308	13	4	35%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Cody Decker 2013 · AAA	26	38→39	59→65	38→30	42	213/275/417	204	266	28	3	32%	7%	93	+0.8	201/264/383	182	277	23	2	35%	7%	80	-0.1	175/244/325	149	254	20	0	38%	8%	59	-0.5
●Ryan O'Hearn 2017 · AA	24	44→54	52→60	41→45	38	227/276/387	160	317	20	4	34%	6%	85	+0.2	219/281/390	171	291	21	3	31%	8%	88	+0.4	268/340/432	164	304	21	3	19%	9%	120	+2.3

Blake Burke

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps