Colby Shade

OF Beloit Sky Carp

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AAMIA	70	.170/.362/.208	0	5	44	—	.158/.304/.193
2025	23	A+MIA	295	.246/.386/.342	1	48	60	—	.187/.305/.258
2026	24	AAMIA	113	.232/.321/.465	6	15	68	—	.184/.250/.369
2026	24	A+MIA	265	.279/.380/.456	9	34	76	—	.218/.304/.355
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBMIA	2	.177/.268/.277	0	0	62	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBMIA	107	.180/.270/.283	2	8	64	-0.2
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBMIA	158	.182/.271/.286	3	11	65	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO85

Speed83

Whiff%61

wRC+60

wOBA56

BB%44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTanner Kirwer (age 26) · Cam Eden (age 25) · Johneshwy Fargas (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .268 / .277

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP250

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	137	121	28	5	1	3	13	38	3	7	3	231	321	364	685	132	312	28	9	312	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	346	292	80	19	1	5	31	97	18	38	5	274	378	397	776	123	389	28	9	350	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	70	53	9	2	0	0	11	20	5	5	2	170	362	208	570	38	273	29	16	289	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	295	240	59	12	4	1	44	71	11	48	5	246	386	342	728	96	345	24	15	341	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	113	99	23	5	0	6	11	29	2	15	0	232	321	465	786	232	262	26	10	344	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	265	226	63	9	2	9	26	72	11	34	1	279	380	456	836	177	367	27	10	372	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	137	125	23	4	1	2	9	48	3	7	3	184	255	280	535	96	268	35	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	346	302	60	13	1	4	21	128	18	38	5	199	290	288	578	89	309	37	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	70	57	9	2	0	0	7	24	5	5	2	158	304	193	497	35	253	34	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	295	252	47	9	3	1	32	93	11	48	5	187	305	258	563	71	288	32	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	113	103	19	4	0	5	7	35	2	15	0	184	250	369	619	184	225	31	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	265	234	51	7	2	7	18	91	11	34	1	218	304	355	659	137	305	34	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	483	426	83	17	2	7	31	176	21	45	8	195	282	293	576	99	309	36	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	483	413	108	24	2	8	44	135	21	45	8	262	362	387	749	126	366	28	9	339	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	365	309	56	11	3	1	39	117	16	53	7	181	305	246	551	65	288	32	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	365	293	68	14	4	1	55	91	16	53	7	232	382	317	699	85	333	25	15	331	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	378	337	70	11	2	11	25	127	13	49	1	208	288	350	638	142	292	34	7	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	378	325	86	14	2	15	37	101	13	49	1	265	363	458	821	194	335	27	10	364	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	483	428	83	17	2	7	31	176	21	45	8	194	282	292	574	98	297	36	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	365	307	56	11	3	1	39	117	16	53	7	182	305	248	553	65	281	32	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	378	337	70	11	2	11	25	127	13	49	1	208	288	350	638	142	281	34	7	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	483	428	83	17	2	7	31	176	21	45	8	194	282	292	574	98	297	36	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	365	307	56	11	3	1	39	117	16	53	7	182	305	248	553	65	281	32	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	378	337	70	11	2	11	25	127	13	49	1	208	288	350	638	142	281	34	7	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	380	335	62	11	2	7	31	121	11	28	2	183	273	290	563	106	259	32	8	260	62	-17	+5	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	177	268	277	545	100	250	50	0	253	62	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	30%	352	310	59	11	2	7	29	110	10	25	2	187	276	296	572	110	260	31	8	263	64	-15	+4	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIA	42%	379	335	64	12	2	7	31	117	10	27	2	189	277	299	576	111	261	31	8	265	65	-16	+5	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	30%	107	94	17	3	0	2	9	33	3	8	1	180	270	283	553	103	252	31	8	256	64	-5	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIA	42%	158	140	25	4	1	3	13	49	4	11	1	182	271	286	557	104	253	31	8	257	65	-7	+2	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	265	234	42	7	1	5	22	82	7	19	2	179	270	282	552	103	248	31	8	257	63	-11	+3	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	102	17	2	12	54	201	17	47	5	178	268	277	545	99	246	31	8	257	63	-27	+7	+0	-4	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2277	1999	384	71	13	39	181	749	79	222	22	192	285	299	584	107	282	33	8	261	63	-45	+13	+0	-6	+23	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	110	20	4	11	52	214	23	63	6	193	287	299	586	107	284	33	8	261	63	-28	+8	+0	-4	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	266	5	19	189	274	299	-2	+0	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	13	48	-4.0	+0.0	-0.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colby Shade (OGILVIE)	25	40	30	60	60	182/271/287	105	259	6	23	32%	8%	62	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tanner Kirwer 2022 · AA	26	43	44→40	61→60	47	210/297/324	114	292	13	36	30%	9%	79	-0.2	205/278/294	89	293	9	31	31%	8%	64	-1.3	190/262/256	66	274	7	35	31%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Cam Eden 2023 · AA	25	42→51	45→40	61→65	38	204/272/323	119	312	13	38	37%	7%	69	-0.9	206/275/294	88	305	7	42	32%	7%	63	-1.3	197/270/272	75	291	5	49	31%	7%	54	-1.1
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2021 · AA	26	46→53	40	58→65	41	222/278/312	90	285	8	40	25%	5%	68	-1.0	208/263/317	109	284	11	34	30%	5%	63	-1.3	191/247/298	107	260	12	44	30%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	62→60	45	204/273/324	120	272	11	36	28%	8%	70	-0.9	214/277/333	119	287	12	34	28%	7%	73	-0.6	215/279/331	115	289	12	35	28%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Taylor Young 2024 · A	25	45→44	40→30	62→60	52	211/305/301	90	285	7	32	26%	10%	76	-0.4	208/285/280	72	282	4	32	26%	8%	63	-1.3	210/286/275	65	281	4	33	24%	8%	60	-1.3
✕Cooper Bowman 2024 · AA	24	41→44	44→45	62→60	45	204/283/324	119	284	12	37	31%	8%	73	-0.6	210/281/325	115	288	10	33	29%	8%	72	-0.7	209/280/324	115	279	10	37	27%	8%	70	-0.6
✕Tyler Tolbert 2023 · A	25	39→48	39→45	70→65	42	187/256/279	92	279	5	40	33%	8%	52	-2.2	215/270/311	96	297	7	40	28%	6%	64	-1.3	222/284/299	77	304	6	60	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	45→51	39→40	59→65	42	216/267/304	87	290	6	32	27%	6%	61	-1.5	198/255/279	81	303	6	17	34%	7%	51	-2.2	161/226/226	65	269	3	12	38%	7%	27	-1.9
✕Duke Ellis 2023 · AA	25	43→47	40	60→80	38	207/262/293	86	312	8	37	35%	6%	57	-1.8	216/274/306	90	321	8	53	33%	7%	65	-1.2	238/288/332	95	331	8	94	29%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Jayce Easley 2024 · AA	24	40→46	36→30	59→65	51	188/283/254	65	263	4	33	27%	10%	58	-1.7	184/261/244	60	291	4	21	34%	9%	47	-2.6	134/214/150	16	239	0	29	40%	8%	7	-2.0
✕Johnathon Thomas 2024 · A	24	40	38→40	60→65	38	191/267/259	68	287	6	41	33%	6%	53	-2.1	186/245/255	69	281	4	34	34%	5%	42	-2.9	179/235/245	66	267	3	37	32%	4%	33	-1.9
✕Jackson Loftin 2024 · AAA	24	37→34	41→40	59→65	43	184/266/276	92	257	9	33	30%	8%	57	-1.8	184/252/281	97	272	9	26	34%	7%	52	-2.2	129/194/213	83	197	8	34	37%	6%	12	-2.0
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA	26	47	36→30	62→65	41	219/272/283	64	315	4	40	30%	6%	58	-1.7	209/266/281	72	302	5	29	30%	7%	56	-1.9	176/240/217	41	263	1	38	31%	7%	30	-1.4
✕Boomer Whiting 2010 · A	26	46→51	37→30	60→65	45	218/284/287	70	293	5	38	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/290/277	60	307	2	36	27%	8%	64	-1.3	225/309/270	45	326	0	49	28%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	194/244/261	66	264	5	32	28%	6%	42	-2.9	189/254/265	76	268	5	26	29%	7%	49	-2.4	118/208/156	38	181	0	39	31%	8%	8	-1.2
✕Josh Prince 2013 · AA	25	46	39→40	54→60	47	221/279/306	85	282	5	29	23%	7%	67	-1.1	210/281/301	91	275	8	28	25%	8%	67	-1.1	213/287/292	79	281	7	28	25%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Steward Berroa 2024 · AAA	25	45→51	43→45	65	45	214/289/329	115	317	9	45	33%	9%	76	-0.4	226/302/326	100	325	8	42	30%	9%	80	-0.2	223/305/311	88	314	7	46	29%	10%	76	-0.2
✕Nick Heath 2020 · AAA	26	45→39	39→40	64→65	40	206/269/294	88	329	7	44	37%	8%	60	-1.6	201/268/306	105	329	9	35	38%	8%	63	-1.4	182/257/288	106	310	8	36	40%	8%	55	-0.9
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	47→53	41→45	59→65	41	225/278/324	98	307	8	34	28%	6%	70	-0.8	225/271/307	82	304	6	39	26%	6%	63	-1.3	225/270/292	67	304	4	48	26%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Terrance Gore 2016 · AAA	25	49→42	33→30	66→70	42	223/282/264	40	310	1	49	27%	6%	57	-1.8	214/266/259	45	291	2	46	25%	6%	51	-2.3	194/257/241	47	277	1	52	28%	6%	41	-1.0

Colby Shade

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps