Sabin Ceballos3B
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 23
R/R
6'2" / 236 lbs
AA
BB -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.1 · 2030
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .287 / .319
PA320
HR5
SB6
K%25
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
35→35
SPD
45→45
EYE
47↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.8 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.8M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.0M |
| Totals | $7M | $36M | +$28M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 50 | 43 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .256 | .360 | .326 | .686 | .070 | .455 | 40 | 12 | .291 | 81 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | 2 teams | 534 | 485 | 98 | 23 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 154 | 12 | 9 | 6 | .202 | .270 | .303 | .573 | .101 | .275 | 29 | 6 | .251 | 50 | -30 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +15 | -1.4 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | 2 teams | 468 | 415 | 86 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 102 | 8 | 5 | 5 | .207 | .286 | .289 | .575 | .082 | .260 | 22 | 8 | .259 | 56 | -23 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 67 | 59 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .237 | .318 | .492 | .810 | .254 | .294 | 33 | 9 | .329 | 110 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SF | 253 | 227 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 67 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .216 | .291 | .330 | .621 | .115 | .281 | 26 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | SF | 320 | 286 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 89 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .220 | .297 | .364 | .660 | .143 | .284 | 28 | 8 | .295 | 84 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 11% | SF | 470 | 420 | 93 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 107 | 7 | 7 | 3 | .221 | .300 | .345 | .645 | .124 | .272 | 23 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 26% | SF | 500 | 446 | 100 | 21 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 113 | 7 | 8 | 3 | .224 | .302 | .350 | .652 | .126 | .274 | 23 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 44% | SF | 516 | 457 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 117 | 8 | 8 | 3 | .228 | .309 | .359 | .668 | .131 | .276 | 23 | 9 | .301 | 88 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 59% | SF | 522 | 462 | 105 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 119 | 8 | 8 | 3 | .227 | .309 | .357 | .667 | .130 | .276 | 23 | 9 | .301 | 89 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 69% | SF | 521 | 461 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 120 | 8 | 8 | 2 | .226 | .308 | .356 | .664 | .130 | .276 | 23 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 1.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | SF | 514 | 455 | 103 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 119 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .226 | .308 | .358 | .667 | .132 | .275 | 23 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 85% | SF | 505 | 447 | 99 | 21 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 119 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .221 | .304 | .347 | .651 | .125 | .273 | 24 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | SF | 492 | 437 | 96 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 118 | 7 | 5 | 1 | .220 | .303 | .346 | .648 | .126 | .272 | 24 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -11 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | SF | 474 | 421 | 91 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 116 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .216 | .299 | .337 | .637 | .121 | .270 | 24 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +13 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | SF | 445 | 396 | 84 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 112 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .212 | .294 | .328 | .622 | .116 | .269 | 25 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -13 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +13 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | SF | 399 | 355 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 104 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .206 | .288 | .313 | .601 | .107 | .267 | 26 | 9 | .275 | 68 | -14 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +11 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6663 | 5927 | 1296 | 274 | 12 | 136 | 577 | 1607 | 102 | 87 | 32 | .219 | .299 | .338 | .637 | .119 | .275 | 24 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -166 | +5 | -20 | +24 | +189 | 3.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 578 | 126 | 27 | 1 | 13 | 56 | 157 | 10 | 8 | 3 | .218 | .298 | .336 | .633 | .118 | .275 | 24 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -16 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +18 | 0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 35 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .281 | .343 | .375 | .718 | .094 | .400 | 31 | 9 | .326 | 108 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .375 | .667 | .375 | 1.042 | .000 | .600 | 20 | 40 | .509 | 248 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 517 | 450 | 121 | 30 | 1 | 10 | 52 | 104 | 11 | 9 | 6 | .269 | .359 | .407 | .765 | .138 | .326 | 20 | 10 | .344 | 121 | +12 | -1 | — | — | +15 | 2.7 |
| 2024 | 21 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .353 | .214 | .567 | .000 | .333 | 29 | 12 | .285 | 76 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 420 | 358 | 83 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 73 | 8 | 4 | 3 | .232 | .334 | .338 | .672 | .106 | .273 | 17 | 11 | .306 | 92 | -4 | -0 | — | — | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | 48 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .200 | .250 | .289 | .539 | .089 | .229 | 19 | 6 | .246 | 46 | -3 | -1 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Sabin Ceballos (OGILVIE) | 23 | 45 | 35 | 45 | 50 | .214/.287/.319 | .105 | .279 | 5 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 71 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Ray Chang 2007 · AAA |
23 | 43→53 | 42→40 | 45→40 | 43 | .212/.272/.315 | .103 | .278 | 9 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .226/.281/.323 | .097 | .285 | 6 | 4 | 22% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .257/.316/.353 | .096 | .301 | 6 | 1 | 16% | 6% | 87 | +0.5 |
|
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2017 · AA |
24 | 45→48 | 41→40 | 43→40 | 45 | .220/.277/.319 | .100 | .285 | 9 | 3 | 25% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .233/.291/.327 | .094 | .295 | 8 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .248/.301/.326 | .078 | .306 | 6 | 2 | 20% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ivan Jimenez 2016 · AAA |
23 | 45 | 41→40 | 46→55 | 39 | .219/.262/.314 | .095 | .300 | 9 | 10 | 29% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .245/.294/.332 | .087 | .318 | 6 | 15 | 23% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .272/.336/.356 | .084 | .346 | 2 | 18 | 20% | 7% | 93 | +0.5 |
|
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 48 | .209/.289/.317 | .108 | .281 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .221/.304/.311 | .090 | .312 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .236/.329/.308 | .072 | .330 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Colton Welker 2021 · AA |
23 | 46→55 | 42→45 | 47→45 | 41 | .228/.270/.334 | .106 | .293 | 10 | 5 | 26% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.283/.323 | .110 | .281 | 11 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .192/.286/.266 | .074 | .264 | 7 | 3 | 28% | 10% | 55 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jacob Amaya 2022 · AA |
23 | 40→45 | 43→45 | 46→45 | 47 | .201/.269/.310 | .110 | .259 | 11 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .212/.281/.334 | .122 | .273 | 14 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .209/.281/.325 | .116 | .268 | 12 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 66 | -0.5 |
|
✕Chase Pinder 2019 · AA |
23 | 47 | 39→45 | 42→45 | 49 | .223/.301/.312 | .089 | .301 | 7 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .193/.273/.275 | .082 | .282 | 8 | 4 | 32% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .192/.290/.306 | .113 | .267 | 13 | 8 | 30% | 11% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA |
23 | 40 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .200/.259/.300 | .100 | .270 | 10 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.274/.342 | .126 | .277 | 14 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .207/.266/.330 | .122 | .258 | 15 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ramon Soto 2010 · AAA |
22 | 47 | 39→30 | 47→45 | 43 | .227/.276/.306 | .079 | .283 | 8 | 10 | 22% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .240/.283/.304 | .064 | .290 | 4 | 8 | 18% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .272/.316/.326 | .054 | .333 | 2 | 7 | 18% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A |
23 | 43 | 39→30 | 48→40 | 49 | .206/.285/.289 | .084 | .266 | 7 | 7 | 24% | 9% | 62 | -0.9 | .224/.308/.287 | .063 | .307 | 4 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .233/.323/.283 | .051 | .326 | 2 | 2 | 26% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Kevin Flores 2008 · AAA |
23 | 46→51 | 44→45 | 47→45 | 41 | .226/.267/.341 | .115 | .281 | 11 | 9 | 24% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .224/.270/.308 | .084 | .283 | 6 | 9 | 22% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .272/.310/.368 | .096 | .313 | 11 | 0 | 17% | 4% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
✕C.J. Hinojosa 2017 · AA |
23 | 48→54 | 41→45 | 42→45 | 46 | .231/.285/.333 | .101 | .285 | 9 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .235/.281/.322 | .087 | .276 | 8 | 6 | 17% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .238/.280/.360 | .121 | .286 | 12 | 5 | 21% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Aaron McKeithan 2023 · A |
23 | 45 | 40 | 45→40 | 44 | .215/.290/.307 | .093 | .291 | 8 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .217/.295/.297 | .080 | .272 | 8 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .202/.287/.263 | .061 | .244 | 8 | 1 | 19% | 7% | 57 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2022 · AA |
23 | 43 | 43→40 | 47→45 | 41 | .215/.260/.324 | .109 | .274 | 11 | 5 | 26% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .223/.275/.317 | .094 | .260 | 10 | 8 | 18% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .219/.280/.315 | .096 | .240 | 11 | 8 | 14% | 7% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tim Kennelly 2010 · AA |
23 | 49→52 | 40 | 47→40 | 46 | .233/.294/.337 | .104 | .297 | 5 | 7 | 23% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .229/.280/.320 | .091 | .286 | 6 | 6 | 21% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .223/.266/.302 | .078 | .278 | 6 | 4 | 21% | 4% | 52 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A |
24 | 44 | 42→40 | 48→50 | 45 | .213/.275/.318 | .106 | .281 | 8 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .216/.308/.313 | .097 | .284 | 6 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .210/.315/.303 | .093 | .277 | 5 | 10 | 23% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A |
23 | 44 | 40 | 47→40 | 46 | .212/.286/.304 | .092 | .282 | 7 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .200/.260/.271 | .071 | .268 | 4 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .245/.301/.340 | .096 | .298 | 7 | 3 | 19% | 6% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Owen Miller 2021 · AA |
24 | 47→52 | 41→45 | 43→50 | 43 | .228/.275/.327 | .099 | .278 | 9 | 6 | 22% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .236/.288/.355 | .119 | .298 | 11 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .242/.294/.363 | .121 | .299 | 11 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Juan Fernandez 2022 · AA |
23 | 42→52 | 44→40 | 47→50 | 44 | .211/.272/.327 | .117 | .268 | 12 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .234/.293/.318 | .084 | .294 | 7 | 10 | 22% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .242/.302/.309 | .067 | .299 | 5 | 11 | 20% | 6% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Noe Becerra 2010 · AAA |
23 | 44 | 39→30 | 43→40 | 48 | .212/.275/.292 | .079 | .267 | 7 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .232/.282/.316 | .084 | .273 | 7 | 7 | 17% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .278/.325/.338 | .060 | .315 | 3 | 0 | 12% | 6% | 89 | +0.3 |