Wyatt Crowell

P Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 169 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #1030

ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX3 levels	17	17	44	3.09	2.34	31.2%	12.7%	—	K 23.0% · BB 14.2% · FIP 3.36
2025	23	MIX2 levels	24	18	98	3.13	3.82	27.0%	16.4%	—	K 21.0% · BB 18.7% · FIP 4.84
2026	24	AALAD	20	11	69	5.35	4.42	22.0%	17.4%	—	K 17.9% · BB 19.1% · FIP 5.04
2027PROJ	25	MLBLAD	12	12	70	5.69	5.69	18.9%	18.9%	-0.6
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBLAD	6	6	39	5.52	5.50	19.7%	17.8%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBLAD	9	9	55	5.44	5.44	19.9%	17.1%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command40FB velo45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJimmy Robbins (age 25) · Erik Rivera (age 23) · Brooks Gosswein (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125133vR 141

ERA5.69

FIP5.69

K%18.9%

BB%18.9%

K-BB%-0.1%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4050

CMD3040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	17	44	189	59	24	1	100%	2.6	23.0%	14.2%	8.8%	0.7%	3.09	3.36	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	17	44	189	59	24	1	100%	2.6	23.0%	14.2%	8.8%	0.7%	3.09	3.36	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	17	44	189	59	24	1	100%	2.6	31.2%	12.7%	18.5%	0.5%	3.09	2.34	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	18	98	422	114	69	7	75%	4.1	21.0%	18.7%	2.3%	2.1%	3.13	4.84	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	18	98	422	114	69	7	75%	4.1	21.0%	18.7%	2.3%	2.1%	3.13	4.84	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	18	98	422	114	69	7	75%	4.1	27.0%	16.4%	10.7%	1.7%	3.13	3.82	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	20	11	69	322	71	56	5	55%	3.5	17.9%	19.1%	-1.3%	1.9%	5.35	5.04	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	20	11	69	322	71	56	5	55%	3.5	17.9%	19.1%	-1.3%	1.9%	5.35	5.04	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	20	11	69	322	71	56	5	55%	3.5	22.0%	17.4%	4.7%	1.6%	5.35	4.42	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	LAD	12	12	70	296	56	56	8	100%	5.8	18.9%	18.9%	-0.1%	2.6%	5.69	5.69	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	15	15	88	371	73	66	10	100%	5.9	19.7%	17.8%	1.9%	2.6%	5.52	5.50	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	14	14	87	366	73	62	10	100%	6.2	19.9%	17.1%	2.8%	2.7%	5.44	5.44	-0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAD	14	14	84	355	70	59	10	100%	6.0	19.9%	16.8%	3.1%	2.8%	5.43	5.47	-0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAD	13	13	80	339	67	57	10	100%	6.2	19.7%	16.8%	2.9%	3.0%	5.50	5.57	-0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	LAD	13	13	75	318	68	52	10	100%	5.8	21.3%	16.3%	5.1%	3.2%	5.48	5.47	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	6	6	39	165	32	29	4	100%	6.5	19.7%	17.8%	1.9%	2.6%	5.52	5.50	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	9	9	55	232	46	40	6	100%	6.1	19.9%	17.1%	2.8%	2.7%	5.44	5.44	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAD	10	10	63	266	53	45	7	100%	6.3	19.9%	16.8%	3.1%	2.8%	5.43	5.47	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAD	11	11	65	274	54	46	8	100%	5.9	19.7%	16.8%	2.9%	3.0%	5.50	5.57	-0.5
2032	30	MLB CTX	LAD	11	11	65	274	59	45	9	100%	5.9	21.3%	16.3%	5.1%	3.2%	5.48	5.47	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	48	287	1212	244	204	35	100%	6.0	20.1%	16.9%	3.3%	2.9%	5.47	5.11	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	170	142	24	100%	6.0	20.1%	16.9%	3.3%	2.9%	5.47	5.11	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		61	46	210	933	190	167	16	75%	3.4	20.3%	17.9%	2.4%	1.7%	3.85	4.61	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	44	200	887	180	159	15	75%	3.4	20.3%	17.9%	2.4%	1.7%	3.85	4.61	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wyatt Crowell (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.69	18.9%	18.9%	2.6%	—	5.47	19.8%	2.6%	258	-0.22	—	—	—
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.73	19.6%	3.8%	13	+1.04	3.85	176	82
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	75
Brooks Gosswein L 2023 · 5.61 FIP	24	SP-	5.61	15.2%	17.9%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	165	73
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.58	20.9%	12.1%	174	-1.80	2.32	362	72
Nate Savino L 2024 · 5.85 FIP	22	SP	5.85	16.8%	18.8%	3.2%	.244	4.83	14.9%	2.0%	130	-1.02	4.26	176	72
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	71
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	70
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	70
Bryce Hubbart L 2024 · 5.45 FIP	23	SP-	5.45	15.5%	13.8%	3.5%	.313	5.14	19.9%	6.3%	82	-0.31	4.79	194	69
Tim Berry L 2016 · 5.66 FIP	25	SP-	5.66	11.3%	13.5%	3.3%	.380	4.04	20.0%	1.8%	44	-1.62	4.04	196	69
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.07 FIP	22	SP-	5.07	15.2%	12.0%	3.2%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	105	68
Luke Fox L 2024 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	21.8%	19.2%	2.8%	.284	4.16	21.4%	8.1%	125	-1.08	3.60	156	68
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	68
Scott DeCecco L 2015 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP-	4.55	14.5%	11.5%	2.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	125	68
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	67
Jaylen Nowlin L 2024 · 5.15 FIP	23	SP-	5.15	18.7%	12.6%	3.7%	.299	4.77	21.7%	3.2%	100	-0.38	3.45	372	66
Brian Burres L 2007 · 4.50 FIP	26	SW	4.50	17.2%	11.6%	2.5%	.328	4.71	11.3%	3.1%	209	+0.21	4.50	344	66
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.54	14.3%	5.8%	242	-0.58	2.95	313	65
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	65
Christian MacLeod L 2024 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP	4.77	21.5%	13.6%	3.2%	.269	4.50	18.0%	3.0%	128	-0.27	3.88	280	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	81	19.9%	17.2%	1.08	5.51
Dave Cole ('50-'55, -2 WAR*)	1.2	79	19.9%*	16.7%*	0.72*	5.37*
George Smith ('26-'30, -3 WAR*)	1.7	66	22.6%*	14.5%*	1.13*	5.29*
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Touki Toussaint ('25)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.24	5.42
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32