Evan Carter

CF Texas Rangers

Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs MLB HR +15%BB +5% Svc 1.988 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	21	MLBTEX	162	.188/.273/.361	5	2	75	-0.4
2025	22	MLBTEX	220	.247/.336/.392	5	14	105	1.2
2026	23	MLBTEX	455	.194/.289/.315	9	17	67	-0.3
2027PROJ	24	MLBTEX	475	.217/.307/.349	11	25	85	1.0
2028PROJ92% MLB	25	MLBTEX	449	.218/.308/.353	11	23	87	1.0
2029PROJ92% MLB	26	MLBTEX	454	.218/.308/.352	11	23	87	1.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5 · Next 3 projected WAR 3.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.988First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$3M2030Arb-2$6M2031Arb-3$7M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Speed87

Bat Spd41

xwOBA34

Barrel%28

Form.205/.278/.320 ▼▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .216/.303/.344

CompsJakob Marsee (age 23) · Ryan Bliss (age 24) · Ji Hwan Bae (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 5685vR 96

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .307 / .349

PA475

HR11

SB25

K%25

BB%10

BABIP273

ISO132

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

904.4%

xAVG

100.216

POWER45

Barrel%

285.3

Avg EV

2387.1

Bat Spd

4170.3

EYE60

Chase%

9010.4%

SPEED60

Sprint

8728.9

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%28%▼▼30% over 79 PA (60d) · proj 25%

BB%8%▼▼5% over 79 PA (60d) · proj 10%

ISO.115▼.086 over 70 AB (60d) · proj .128

HR/BB3.0%·2.1% over 47 BBE (60d) · proj 3.3%

BABIP.272·.261 over 46 BIP (60d) · proj .273

SLASH.205/.278/.320▼▼proj .216/.303/.344

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 464 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

407

—

wRC+

-3

115

▶▶R

wOBA

164

338

▶▶R

ISO

—

187

—

BABIP

144

286

▶▶R

26.3%

21.1%

▶▶R

BB%

8.8%

10.1%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.988 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$10M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+1.0	$7M	+$4M
2030	Arb-2	$6M	+1.0	$6M	+$2M
2031	Arb-3	$7M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$10M		$33M	+$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	146	106	25	8	1	2	34	28	5	12	4	236	441	387	828	151	299	19	23	384	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	28	21	9	3	0	1	5	6	1	2	1	429	556	714	1.270	286	533	21	18	524	216	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	447	376	108	18	10	11	59	75	6	26	12	287	392	476	868	189	329	17	13	381	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	75	62	19	4	1	5	12	24	0	3	0	306	419	645	1.064	339	412	32	16	449	177	+7	+1	+2	-6	+2	0.5
2023	20	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	39	34	12	1	0	0	4	6	1	3	1	353	436	382	818	29	429	15	10	379	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	462	377	107	15	6	12	74	103	9	22	10	284	413	451	864	167	360	22	16	388	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	162	144	27	6	2	5	15	43	2	2	0	188	273	361	634	174	227	27	9	284	75	-5	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2025	22	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	220	194	48	9	2	5	19	41	7	14	2	247	336	392	728	144	291	19	9	330	105	+1	+2	+2	+1	+5	1.2
2025	22	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	102	87	18	2	2	3	14	26	0	6	2	207	317	379	696	172	254	25	14	311	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	455	391	76	14	3	9	47	114	5	17	3	194	289	315	604	120	248	25	10	271	67	-18	+2	+2	+2	+10	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	912	791	170	33	8	24	93	222	14	36	5	215	308	368	676	153	266	24	10	302	91	-10	+5	+5	-5	+20	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	146	117	24	7	1	2	23	37	5	12	4	205	359	333	692	128	265	25	16	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	28	22	9	3	0	1	4	7	1	2	1	409	519	682	1.200	273	492	25	14	488	216	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	447	397	93	15	9	9	38	97	6	26	12	234	311	385	696	151	277	22	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	75	63	19	4	1	5	11	24	0	3	0	302	405	635	1.040	333	412	32	15	430	177	+7	+1	+2	-6	+2	0.5
2023	20	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	39	35	12	1	0	0	3	7	1	3	1	343	410	371	782	29	416	18	8	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	462	397	99	15	5	10	54	125	9	22	10	249	352	388	740	139	333	27	12	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	162	144	27	6	2	5	15	43	2	2	0	188	273	361	634	174	227	27	9	279	75	-5	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2025	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	220	195	48	9	2	5	18	41	7	14	2	246	332	390	722	144	291	19	8	323	105	+1	+2	+2	+1	+5	1.2
2025	22	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	102	90	16	2	2	2	11	29	0	6	2	178	267	311	578	133	230	28	11	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	455	391	76	15	3	8	47	114	5	17	3	194	289	309	598	115	248	25	10	267	67	-18	+2	+2	+2	+10	-0.3
2021	18	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	146	117	24	7	1	2	23	37	5	12	4	205	359	333	692	128	278	25	16	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	146	106	25	8	1	2	34	28	5	12	4	236	441	387	828	151	299	19	23	384	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	475	420	102	18	9	10	41	105	7	28	13	243	321	400	721	157	296	22	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	475	397	117	21	10	12	64	81	7	28	13	295	402	489	890	194	339	17	13	389	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	576	495	129	20	6	15	68	156	10	28	11	261	361	416	777	156	349	27	12	343	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA RAW	3 teams	—	576	473	138	20	7	17	90	133	10	28	11	292	415	471	887	180	371	23	16	395	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	162	144	27	6	2	5	15	43	2	2	0	188	273	361	634	174	227	27	9	279	75	-5	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2024	21	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	162	144	27	6	2	5	15	43	2	2	0	188	273	361	634	174	227	27	9	284	75	-5	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	322	285	64	11	4	7	29	70	7	20	4	225	312	365	676	140	273	22	9	305	92	-3	+2	+2	+1	+7	1.0
2025	22	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	322	281	66	11	4	8	33	67	7	20	4	235	330	388	718	153	280	21	10	324	92	-3	+2	+2	+1	+7	1.0
2026	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	455	391	76	15	3	8	47	114	5	17	3	194	289	309	598	115	251	25	10	267	67	-18	+2	+2	+2	+10	-0.3
2026	23	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	455	391	76	14	3	9	47	114	5	17	3	194	289	315	604	120	248	25	10	271	67	-18	+2	+2	+2	+10	-0.3
2021	18	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	146	117	24	7	1	2	23	37	5	12	4	205	359	333	692	128	265	25	16	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	475	424	102	18	9	10	41	105	7	28	13	241	321	396	717	156	290	22	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	576	493	129	20	6	15	68	156	10	28	11	262	361	418	779	156	349	27	12	343	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	162	144	27	6	2	5	15	43	2	2	0	188	273	361	634	174	227	27	9	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	322	283	64	11	4	7	29	70	7	20	4	226	312	367	679	141	271	22	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	455	400	76	15	3	8	47	114	5	17	3	190	289	302	591	112	248	25	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	162	144	27	6	2	5	15	43	2	2	0	188	273	361	634	174	227	27	9	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	322	283	64	11	4	7	29	70	7	20	4	226	312	367	679	141	271	22	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	455	400	76	15	3	8	47	114	5	17	3	190	289	302	591	112	248	25	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TEX	100%	475	418	89	16	3	10	48	117	6	25	5	216	306	344	650	128	273	25	10	295	85	-8	+3	+3	+2	+10	1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	TEX	100%	475	418	91	16	3	11	48	117	6	25	5	217	307	349	656	132	273	25	10	297	85	-8	+3	+3	+2	+10	1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	92%	488	430	94	17	4	11	49	120	6	25	5	217	307	348	655	130	273	25	10	296	87	-8	+3	+3	+2	+11	1.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	TEX	92%	494	435	95	17	4	11	50	122	6	25	5	217	307	347	654	130	273	25	10	296	87	-8	+3	+3	+2	+11	1.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	TEX	92%	489	430	93	17	3	11	50	121	6	25	5	216	306	345	651	129	273	25	10	295	86	-8	+3	+3	+2	+11	1.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	TEX	92%	482	424	90	16	3	10	49	120	6	22	4	214	304	340	645	126	272	25	10	292	84	-9	+3	+2	+2	+10	0.8
2032	29	MLB MLE	TEX	92%	470	414	87	16	3	9	47	119	6	19	4	212	302	334	636	122	271	25	10	289	82	-10	+2	+1	+2	+10	0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	TEX	92%	458	404	84	15	3	9	46	117	5	15	3	209	298	326	625	118	269	26	10	285	79	-12	+2	+1	+2	+10	0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	92%	449	395	86	15	3	11	45	111	6	23	4	218	308	353	661	134	273	25	10	299	87	-7	+3	+3	+2	+10	1.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	TEX	92%	454	399	87	15	3	11	46	112	6	23	4	218	308	352	660	134	273	25	10	299	87	-7	+3	+3	+2	+10	1.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	TEX	92%	450	395	85	15	3	10	46	111	6	23	4	217	307	350	657	133	272	25	10	297	86	-8	+3	+3	+2	+10	1.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	TEX	92%	443	389	84	15	3	10	45	111	6	20	4	215	305	345	650	130	271	25	10	295	84	-8	+2	+2	+2	+10	0.7
2032	29	MLB CTX	TEX	92%	432	380	81	14	3	9	44	109	5	17	3	213	302	339	641	126	270	25	10	291	82	-9	+2	+1	+2	+9	0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	TEX	92%	421	371	78	13	3	9	42	108	5	14	3	210	299	331	630	121	268	26	10	286	79	-11	+2	+1	+2	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3561	3120	671	120	26	84	361	884	48	156	27	215	306	351	657	136	271	25	10	296	88	-61	+20	+16	+4	+77	5.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	122	22	5	15	66	161	9	28	5	214	306	349	655	135	270	25	10	296	88	-11	+4	+3	+1	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5492	4807	1054	191	48	118	562	1361	77	263	66	219	311	353	663	133	279	25	10	298	88	-73	+24	+20	+7	+92	7.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	125	23	6	14	67	161	9	31	8	220	312	355	667	135	280	25	10	298	88	-11	+4	+3	+1	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cameron Maybinlast yr '20 ASSS career totals — 13 seasons, 4,182 PA	6.3	4,182	72	182	254	322	375	+9	+6	13.1	12.8
/162	664	11	29	+1.4	+1.0	2.1	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	6.1	4,038	89	181	215	302	348	+14	+12	8.2	7.6
/162	664	15	30	+2.4	+2.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Billy Maloney'01-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,762 PA	4.2	2,762	6	155	235*	299*	373*	+5	+9	6.9	6.9
/162	664	1	37	+1.1	+2.1	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#4Darren Lewis'90-'02 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,652 PA	7.0	4,652	27	247	239*	312*	319*	+0	+23	2.7	4.2
/162	664	4	35	+0.0	+3.3	0.4	pk7: 6
#5Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Milt Cuyler'90-'98 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,567 PA	2.4	1,567	10	77	233*	299*	338*	+1	+4	0.6	0.9
/162	664	4	33	+0.6	+1.9	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Evan Carter (OGILVIE)	24	45	45	60	60	214/303/341	127	273	10	25	25%	10%	85	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jakob Marsee 2024 · AA	23	47→49	47→45	58→60	58	234/337/363	130	285	15	28	22%	12%	103	+1.5	219/318/347	128	277	12	34	24%	11%	92	+0.7	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Ryan Bliss 2024 · AAA	24	45→51	46→50	59→60	44	224/286/356	132	289	12	32	26%	7%	81	-0.1	231/299/360	129	304	11	38	26%	8%	87	+0.4	223/291/342	119	294	9	40	25%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2023 · MLB	24	52→55	42→45	58→60	46	250/307/366	116	317	8	27	23%	7%	91	+0.6	247/311/349	102	333	7	31	25%	8%	88	+0.4	246/318/343	97	336	6	39	26%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	42→45	43→45	59→60	47	210/278/320	111	268	10	32	25%	8%	70	-0.9	208/281/302	94	284	8	28	27%	9%	67	-1.1	197/275/280	83	277	7	30	29%	9%	59	-1.2
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	54→55	46	237/301/384	147	305	16	24	27%	8%	93	+0.8	233/299/358	125	300	12	15	25%	8%	86	+0.3	230/298/342	112	290	10	18	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Ryan Kalish 2012 · MLB	24	49→53	47→50	56→55	48	246/305/387	142	295	14	24	22%	8%	95	+1.0	226/278/329	103	300	9	19	26%	7%	71	-0.8	217/264/312	94	293	8	20	27%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Oswald Peraza 2024 · MLB	24	45→54	48→50	55→60	43	230/292/365	135	286	16	26	25%	6%	86	+0.3	213/280/329	116	277	14	23	27%	7%	73	-0.6	205/271/309	103	274	13	24	29%	6%	65	-0.7
✕Dustin Harris 2024 · AAA	25	45→55	49→50	59→60	49	228/305/379	151	286	16	26	26%	9%	94	+0.9	242/308/364	122	304	11	30	23%	8%	91	+0.7	253/317/371	118	309	11	34	21%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	44	48→50	58→60	47	221/295/372	151	285	15	28	27%	8%	88	+0.5	208/279/348	140	290	14	25	31%	8%	77	-0.3	192/263/324	133	273	13	24	33%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Bradley Zimmer 2017 · AAA	24	48→51	46→50	57→60	43	224/302/360	135	337	13	29	35%	8%	88	+0.5	233/296/372	139	347	14	26	34%	7%	88	+0.5	230/307/358	128	349	13	28	35%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Kyle Isbel 2022 · MLB	25	47→52	46→50	56→55	45	234/298/370	136	298	14	20	26%	7%	89	+0.5	231/287/369	138	287	13	16	23%	6%	84	+0.2	237/288/363	126	282	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.1
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA	25	44→45	44→45	55→70	47	217/293/337	119	284	11	29	27%	8%	80	-0.2	222/326/336	114	285	11	41	24%	11%	93	+0.8	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Akil Baddoo 2023 · MLB	24	51→53	46→50	54→55	51	244/320/382	138	321	12	22	26%	10%	99	+1.3	221/300/371	150	291	15	25	27%	10%	90	+0.6	213/293/369	156	278	16	28	28%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Delino DeShields 2017 · MLB	24	48→56	41→45	57→65	50	230/306/331	101	306	8	31	26%	9%	83	+0.1	233/313/323	90	308	7	32	24%	10%	83	+0.1	231/315/314	82	304	6	36	24%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Vidal Bruján 2023 · MLB	25	46→56	44→45	56→65	48	228/288/344	116	272	11	36	20%	7%	79	-0.2	227/293/339	112	280	9	24	21%	7%	80	-0.2	228/301/339	111	280	8	25	20%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Eric Patterson 2007 · AAA	24	52→55	44→50	61→60	45	251/300/380	129	313	10	30	23%	6%	91	+0.7	250/302/378	128	311	11	28	22%	7%	91	+0.7	252/307/381	130	310	11	31	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Brent Lillibridge 2008 · AAA	24	51→54	44→50	59→60	45	250/308/372	123	318	11	31	24%	7%	93	+0.8	221/278/325	104	294	8	29	26%	6%	71	-0.8	222/280/356	134	299	17	36	30%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Parker Meadows 2024 · MLB	24	43→48	49→55	57→55	46	219/284/373	154	279	17	17	28%	8%	84	+0.2	234/303/394	160	302	16	20	26%	9%	96	+1.0	236/310/408	171	300	16	22	26%	9%	101	+0.9
●Brice Turang 2024 · MLB	24	49→59	42→50	58→60	49	239/300/341	101	296	10	27	22%	8%	82	+0.0	261/329/387	126	322	12	30	21%	9%	104	+1.6	269/346/409	140	334	13	28	22%	10%	116	+2.7

Evan Carter

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps