Murphy Stehly

3B Wichita Wind Surge

Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AAWSH	140	.328/.420/.529	5	4	122	—	.285/.362/.447
2025	26	A+WSH	44	.182/.386/.394	2	0	61	—	.139/.295/.333
2026	27	AAMIN	49	.159/.229/.227	1	1	-3	—	.133/.188/.200
2027PROJ2% MLB	28	MLBMIN	3	.224/.297/.357	0	0	85	0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	29	MLBMIN	44	.223/.295/.353	1	1	83	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed55

Chase%29

Whiff%13

BB%11

ISO10

K%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsGuillermo Rodriguez (age 28) · Alan Trejo (age 28) · Pedro Severino (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .297 / .357

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP290

ISO131

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	28	25	4	0	0	0	1	6	2	0	1	160	250	160	410		211	21	4	207	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	131	118	37	5	1	2	10	26	3	1	1	314	382	424	805	110	389	20	8	364	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	85	71	28	7	0	0	8	11	5	7	2	394	488	493	981	99	459	13	9	438	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	26	21	5	1	0	0	4	4	1	2	1	238	385	286	670	48	294	15	15	324	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	242	209	47	12	2	2	17	62	12	4	2	225	319	330	649	105	302	26	7	296	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	22	19	3	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	158	273	211	483	53	250	32	9	237	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	20	18	4	1	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	222	300	278	578	56	286	20	0	273	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	140	119	39	9	0	5	15	25	4	4	0	328	420	529	950	202	378	18	11	414	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	44	33	6	1	0	2	8	12	3	0	1	182	386	394	780	212	211	27	18	362	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	49	44	7	0	0	1	3	17	1	1	0	159	229	227	456	68	222	35	6	211	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	28	25	4	0	0	0	1	7	2	0	1	160	250	160	410		201	25	4	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	131	122	30	4	1	2	6	35	3	1	1	246	298	344	642	98	324	27	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	85	74	26	6	0	0	5	15	5	7	2	351	429	432	861	81	405	18	6	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	26	23	4	1	0	0	2	6	1	2	1	174	269	217	487	43	227	23	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	242	217	37	9	2	2	9	83	12	4	2	171	244	258	502	88	245	34	4	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	22	20	3	1	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	150	227	200	427	50	217	41	5	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	20	18	3	1	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	167	250	222	472	56	211	30	0	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	140	123	35	8	0	4	11	31	4	4	0	285	362	447	809	163	340	22	8	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	44	36	5	1	0	2	5	16	3	0	1	139	295	333	629	194	170	36	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	49	45	6	0	0	1	2	21	1	1	0	133	188	200	388	67	196	43	4	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	270	244	63	10	1	2	14	63	11	10	5	258	327	332	659	74	339	23	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	270	235	74	13	1	2	23	47	11	10	5	315	401	404	806	89	385	17	9	367	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	284	255	42	10	2	2	10	98	15	4	2	165	239	243	482	78	252	35	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	284	246	54	14	2	2	19	73	15	4	2	220	314	317	631	98	297	26	7	290	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	184	160	41	9	0	6	15	47	7	4	1	256	346	425	771	169	324	26	8	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	184	152	45	10	0	7	23	37	7	4	1	296	412	500	912	204	349	20	12	402	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	49	45	6	0	0	1	2	21	1	1	0	133	188	200	388	67	208	43	4	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	49	44	7	0	0	1	3	17	1	1	0	159	229	227	456	68	222	35	6	211	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	270	243	63	10	1	2	14	63	11	10	5	259	327	333	660	74	327	23	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	284	257	42	10	2	2	10	98	15	4	2	163	239	241	481	78	240	35	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	184	160	41	9	0	6	15	47	7	4	1	256	346	425	771	169	299	26	8	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	49	46	6	0	0	1	2	21	1	1	0	130	188	196	383	65	196	43	4	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	284	257	42	10	2	2	10	98	15	4	2	163	239	241	481	78	240	35	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	184	160	41	9	0	6	15	47	7	4	1	256	346	425	771	169	299	26	8	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	49	46	6	0	0	1	2	21	1	1	0	130	188	196	383	65	196	43	4	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	2%	200	179	41	8	1	5	15	54	4	4	1	224	297	356	653	132	290	27	8	294	85	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	224	297	357	654	132	290	33	0	294	85	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	23%	194	174	39	8	1	4	14	52	4	3	1	223	295	352	648	130	288	27	7	291	83	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	23%	44	40	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	223	295	353	648	130	289	27	7	292	83	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	44	40	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	225	295	350	645	125	296	27	7	292	69	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	134	30	0	15	44	177	15	15	0	227	297	354	651	127	298	27	7	292	69	-13	+3	-5	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1117	1000	218	42	5	18	65	318	41	24	10	218	293	324	617	106	297	28	6	270	69	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	126	24	3	10	38	185	24	14	6	216	292	320	612	103	296	28	6	270	69	-12	+0	-3	+2	+14	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Murphy Stehly (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	222/295/353	131	290	3	2	27%	7%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Guillermo Rodriguez 2006 · AA	28	43	49→50	51→45	39	221/278/370	149	284	16	9	28%	5%	82	-0.0	225/287/366	141	261	15	6	20%	7%	84	+0.2	222/287/355	133	247	15	2	17%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Alan Trejo 2024 · MLB	28	46	48→55	45	41	233/280/378	146	290	15	9	25%	5%	84	+0.2	220/272/348	128	279	13	8	25%	6%	74	-0.6	208/258/332	123	263	13	5	26%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→49	48→50	48→45	49	235/302/377	141	277	17	6	22%	8%	92	+0.7	239/299/371	132	304	15	6	25%	7%	89	+0.5	230/286/351	121	293	13	6	25%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2024 · MLB	28	40→42	47→55	49→50	46	204/276/339	135	275	15	12	31%	9%	74	-0.6	196/275/323	127	279	14	14	32%	9%	70	-0.8	141/233/249	109	200	13	15	35%	10%	38	-1.6
✕Deibinson Romero 2015 · AAA	28	45	46→50	47→40	48	225/293/354	128	274	13	3	23%	8%	83	+0.1	223/290/351	128	263	13	4	20%	8%	82	-0.0	217/285/335	118	243	14	1	17%	7%	76	-0.1
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	45→50	49→50	52→50	41	226/289/387	161	305	16	14	30%	6%	90	+0.6	215/276/358	143	322	15	9	36%	6%	78	-0.3	188/243/300	112	308	13	5	41%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Cam Devanney 2024 · AAA	27	43→42	48→50	43→45	45	219/284/368	149	274	15	7	26%	7%	84	+0.1	216/277/360	144	293	16	8	30%	6%	79	-0.2	205/266/344	140	282	16	7	32%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	45	233/292/380	148	284	15	12	24%	7%	89	+0.5	225/269/352	127	292	14	12	27%	5%	74	-0.6	203/242/308	104	268	12	12	28%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Chip Ambres 2008 · MLB	28	42→50	48→50	48→50	49	217/291/354	137	271	16	10	26%	9%	83	+0.1	216/279/357	141	262	16	7	23%	8%	79	-0.2	210/271/350	140	249	15	6	22%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Jack Mayfield 2019 · AAA	28	42→45	49→55	46→50	40	219/260/366	147	265	17	8	25%	5%	74	-0.5	223/270/395	172	261	21	8	24%	5%	85	+0.2	214/259/386	172	244	21	9	23%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Riley Adams 2024 · MLB	28	46→44	50	45→40	43	227/302/390	163	315	16	3	32%	8%	95	+1.0	222/294/370	148	308	17	4	32%	7%	88	+0.4	209/288/350	140	291	18	2	33%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Carlos Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	47→49	46→55	47→45	46	237/286/363	126	276	14	6	20%	6%	82	+0.0	211/256/362	151	231	19	4	19%	5%	72	-0.7	207/273/379	172	226	22	0	20%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Christian Lopes 2022 · AAA	29	43→52	47→45	49→50	46	216/296/352	137	291	14	11	30%	8%	85	+0.2	216/287/329	113	309	10	11	31%	8%	76	-0.4	196/268/275	79	290	3	9	31%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Rylan Bannon 2024 · MLB	28	40→47	49→50	47→50	50	208/293/355	147	263	18	14	28%	10%	84	+0.2	205/299/343	138	278	15	12	29%	11%	84	+0.1	174/284/300	125	238	14	10	30%	12%	68	-0.9
✕Charles Leblanc 2024 · MLB	28	48→53	48→50	49→45	45	231/304/372	141	327	15	9	32%	9%	92	+0.7	220/308/345	125	306	13	7	30%	10%	87	+0.4	189/296/326	137	260	15	5	31%	13%	78	-0.2
✕Brian O'Keefe 2021 · AA	28	41→42	46→50	45→40	47	208/278/334	126	258	14	5	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/271/365	150	287	19	5	31%	7%	78	-0.3	197/258/354	157	242	18	1	27%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Tommy Field 2015 · MLB	28	48→50	45	50→45	46	236/297/362	126	293	11	8	23%	7%	86	+0.3	205/270/329	124	254	13	7	24%	7%	70	-0.9	184/248/297	113	226	12	5	24%	6%	52	-1.6
✕Matt Lloyd 2024 · AA	28	43→42	48→45	48→50	41	214/281/353	139	307	16	9	34%	7%	79	-0.2	214/281/334	120	287	12	12	28%	8%	74	-0.5	205/275/320	116	273	13	12	28%	8%	69	-0.5
✕Coco Montes 2024 · MLB	27	46→50	48→50	49→50	43	226/293/372	145	316	15	11	32%	8%	88	+0.4	229/288/350	121	320	11	10	30%	7%	80	-0.1	224/280/329	105	310	8	9	29%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Alan Espinoza 2019 · AAA	28	48	47→50	49→45	42	241/285/375	134	282	15	7	20%	5%	85	+0.2	251/294/396	145	290	17	7	19%	5%	93	+0.8	264/301/411	147	299	17	3	18%	4%	98	+0.7