Murphy Stehly — OGILVIE

Murphy Stehly3B Wichita Wind Surge

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 110 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .266 / .293

PA110

HR2

K%31

BB%6

BABIP266

ISO101

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A+	4 teams	—	270	244	66	11	1	2	14	66	11	10	5	270	338	348	687	78	362	24	5	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	4 teams	—	270	235	74	13	1	2	23	47	11	10	5	315	401	404	806	89	385	17	9	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	3 teams	—	284	254	44	12	2	1	11	103	15	4	2	173	250	248	498	75	279	36	4	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	3 teams	—	284	246	54	14	2	2	19	73	15	4	2	220	314	317	631	98	297	26	7	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	184	158	42	11	0	6	17	50	7	4	1	266	363	449	812	184	350	27	9	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	184	152	45	10	0	7	23	37	7	4	1	296	412	500	912	204	349	20	12	402	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AA	MIN	—	49	45	6	0	0	1	2	22	1	1	0	133	188	200	388	67	217	45	4	169	-12	-6	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.5
YTD	27	AA	MIN	—	49	44	7	0	0	1	3	17	1	1	0	159	229	227	456	68	222	35	6	211	20	-4	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.3
ROS	27	AA	MIN	2%	110	99	19	4	0	2	7	34	3	2	1	192	266	293	559	101	275	31	6	266	61	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
ROS	27	MLB	MIN	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						275	50	0	244	45	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AA	MIN	—	51	47	6	0	0	1	2	23	1	1	0	128	180	191	371	64	208	45	4	172	-10	-6	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.5
TOT	27	AA	MIN	—	159	144	25	4	0	3	9	56	4	3	1	174	242	264	506	90	253	35	6	236	39	-11	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	MIN	27%	215	193	39	8	1	4	14	65	6	3	1	202	277	316	593	114	278	30	7	271	65	-8	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	MIN	27%	58	52	10	2	0	1	4	17	2	1	0	192	276	288	564	96	278	29	7	251	50	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	60	54	10	2	0	1	4	18	2	1	0	185	267	278	544	93	257	30	7	251	50	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	109	22	0	11	43	195	22	11	0	186	268	280	548	94	259	30	7	251	50	-37	+2	-2	+2	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	1063	948	210	46	4	15	63	318	42	23	10	222	299	326	625	104	313	30	6	277	70	-36	+1	-1	+4	+30	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	128	28	2	9	39	194	26	14	6	221	300	322	622	102	312	30	6	277	70	-22	+0	-0	+2	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	28	25	4	0	0	0	1	6	2	0	1	160	250	160	410		211	21	4	207	16	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	131	118	37	5	1	2	10	26	3	1	1	314	382	424	805	110	389	20	8	364	136	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	85	71	28	7	0	0	8	11	5	7	2	394	488	493	981	99	459	13	9	438	193	+9	+1	—	—	+2	1.2
2023	24	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	26	21	5	1	0	0	4	4	1	2	1	238	385	286	670	48	294	15	15	324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	25	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	242	209	47	12	2	2	17	62	12	4	2	225	319	330	649	105	302	26	7	296	84	-4	+0	—	—	+7	0.3
2024	25	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	22	19	3	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	158	273	211	483	53	250	32	9	237	40	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	25	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	20	18	4	1	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	222	300	278	578	56	286	20	0	273	67	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	140	119	39	9	0	5	15	25	4	4	0	328	420	529	950	202	378	18	11	414	175	+12	+1	—	—	+4	1.7
2025	26	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	44	33	6	1	0	2	8	12	3	0	1	182	386	394	780	212	211	27	18	362	136	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Murphy Stehly (OGILVIE)	27	32	39	48	41	174/242/264	90	253	3	3	35%	6%	39	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	42→37	44→55	47→30	39	204/270/318	113	301	11	5	34%	7%	63	-0.9	201/258/295	94	304	9	7	35%	7%	51	-1.7	159/216/216	58	242	7	0	36%	6%	10	-1.4
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	40	43→45	43→40	42	200/265/312	112	284	10	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	218/285/362	144	262	15	6	22%	8%	81	+0.4	201/267/376	175	208	21	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→31	47→45	51→45	43	182/258/317	135	266	15	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	187/257/316	129	263	16	10	34%	8%	57	-1.2	134/210/250	116	164	19	8	33%	8%	18	-1.7
✕Renae Martinez 2021 · AA	27	41→31	42→45	44→40	43	201/265/299	98	272	10	4	29%	7%	56	-1.3	196/265/308	112	315	11	8	38%	8%	58	-1.2	136/219/254	118	227	12	6	43%	8%	22	-1.0
✕Jeremy Farrell 2014 · AAA	27	40→36	41→45	42→45	39	193/263/288	95	280	8	4	32%	6%	53	-1.5	204/257/298	94	313	6	5	35%	5%	52	-1.6	202/249/291	88	321	4	3	36%	4%	43	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→24	45→55	49→50	35	185/239/305	121	279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	212/273/327	115	298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	207/279/300	93	287	6	9	28%	4%	59	-0.3
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	39	47→50	49→45	39	203/247/337	133	251	15	8	26%	4%	57	-1.2	206/258/325	119	258	13	9	25%	5%	59	-1.1	184/241/285	100	222	12	6	23%	4%	38	-1.0
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	46→50	47→30	44	198/261/319	121	270	14	4	32%	8%	59	-1.1	219/286/363	144	306	18	4	32%	8%	81	+0.4	211/283/356	145	291	19	1	33%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	45→40	47→30	40	194/250/312	118	257	13	5	29%	6%	53	-1.5	231/295/334	103	322	9	8	29%	8%	76	+0.1	254/328/320	66	364	4	0	28%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	47→40	48→55	41	209/268/345	136	287	15	14	32%	7%	69	-0.4	232/305/339	107	304	9	27	25%	8%	82	+0.5	243/325/332	89	317	5	48	23%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	37→36	45	44→45	40	193/245/318	125	242	13	7	26%	5%	52	-1.6	210/257/336	126	284	14	11	30%	5%	61	-1.0	192/227/334	142	252	20	17	33%	4%	45	-0.4
✕Brian Serven 2021 · AA	26	36	43→45	43→30	39	187/243/298	110	248	11	5	29%	5%	46	-2.0	186/244/314	128	236	16	4	28%	6%	51	-1.7	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Alvin Colina 2009 · AAA	27	39	45	46→40	37	203/247/323	120	271	13	5	30%	4%	54	-1.4	212/263/336	124	283	14	6	29%	5%	64	-0.8	200/254/317	117	262	14	2	29%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	43→47	43→45	51→50	44	212/275/327	115	284	10	8	28%	7%	66	-0.6	204/281/300	96	277	8	10	27%	9%	63	-0.9	195/278/275	80	264	6	10	26%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	37→39	44→45	52→50	38	189/250/296	107	286	12	13	37%	7%	48	-1.9	178/233/289	111	303	12	9	43%	5%	39	-2.5	153/204/262	109	276	11	8	47%	4%	16	-2.4
✕Jake Wald 2008 · AA	27	40→42	42→45	48→50	39	199/256/305	106	274	9	10	30%	5%	53	-1.5	194/257/286	92	291	7	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	177/244/255	79	279	5	7	36%	7%	32	-1.6
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	39→42	44→45	48→50	36	200/246/316	117	282	12	9	33%	5%	51	-1.7	211/256/324	113	294	11	10	30%	5%	57	-1.2	209/254/319	110	274	10	10	27%	5%	52	-1.0