Ronny Polanco — OGILVIE

Ronny Polanco3B ACL D-backs

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .270 / .316

PA97

HR2

K%29

BB%7

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	185	170	25	5	0	3	11	77	2	3	2	147	208	229	437	82	239	42	6	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	185	163	36	7	0	4	18	52	2	3	2	221	306	337	643	117	294	28	10	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	187	179	27	5	1	2	7	83	1	1	3	151	187	223	411	73	266	44	4	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	187	174	42	9	2	3	12	56	1	1	3	241	294	368	662	126	339	30	6	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	302	278	45	6	1	6	15	103	8	3	0	162	226	255	481	94	229	34	5	215	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	302	269	60	9	1	7	24	77	8	3	0	223	306	342	648	119	285	25	8	296	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	128	115	17	2	0	1	7	50	5	3	1	148	228	191	420	43	246	39	5	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	128	109	23	3	0	1	13	32	5	3	1	211	323	266	589	55	286	25	10	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	ARI	—	97	89	19	3	1	2	7	29	1	1	0	213	278	337	615	124	282	30	7	267	62	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ARI	34%	152	138	29	5	1	3	11	43	2	2	1	210	278	326	604	116	284	28	7	278	71	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	ARI	46%	272	246	55	10	2	7	20	76	4	4	1	224	293	366	658	142	286	28	7	286	77	-7	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	348	315	70	12	2	9	25	96	5	5	1	222	290	359	649	137	286	28	7	290	80	-8	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.4
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	398	361	80	14	2	11	29	109	5	6	2	222	289	363	651	141	286	27	7	292	82	-8	+0	+0	+1	+11	0.5
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	423	382	85	15	2	11	32	116	6	6	2	223	293	359	651	136	286	27	8	292	82	-9	+0	+0	+2	+12	0.5
2027	23	MLB	ARI	34%	52	47	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	213	288	319	608	106	286	29	8	271	65	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	ARI	46%	125	113	25	4	1	3	9	35	2	2	1	221	290	354	644	133	288	28	7	278	71	-4	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	180	163	37	7	1	5	13	50	2	3	1	227	292	374	666	147	289	28	7	283	75	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	216	195	44	8	1	6	16	59	3	3	1	226	294	369	664	144	289	27	7	285	76	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	229	207	46	8	1	6	17	63	3	3	1	222	291	357	648	135	288	28	7	285	76	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	802	725	162	29	4	21	59	222	11	12	4	223	292	361	653	138	290	28	7	283	75	-23	+1	+0	+3	+23	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	132	24	3	17	48	180	9	10	3	224	293	362	655	138	292	28	7	283	75	-19	+1	+0	+2	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	2492	2273	452	77	12	55	164	782	39	34	13	199	265	316	580	117	274	31	7	259	56	-123	+2	+0	+9	+71	-4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	117	20	3	14	43	204	10	9	3	197	263	312	575	115	272	31	7	259	56	-32	+1	+0	+2	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	185	163	36	7	0	4	18	52	2	3	2	221	306	337	643	117	294	28	10	292	81	-4	-0	—	—	+5	0.1
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	187	174	42	9	2	3	12	56	1	1	3	241	294	368	662	126	339	30	6	297	85	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.1
2023	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	148	137	21	4	1	2	8	48	3	2	0	153	216	241	457	88	218	32	5	212	20	-13	+0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	154	132	39	5	0	5	16	29	5	1	0	295	392	447	839	152	343	19	10	376	146	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	128	109	23	3	0	1	13	32	5	3	1	211	323	266	589	55	286	25	10	280	73	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	900	22	13	221	285	355	+3	+2	0.7	0.8
	/162	664	16	10	221	285	355	+2.4	+1.1	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ronny Polanco (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	206/270/316	109	282	2	1	29%	7%	62	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jabari Henry 2013 · A	22	42→40	46→55	49→45	44	211/272/346	135	274	13	6	28%	7%	70	-0.3	203/283/350	147	273	16	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	186/275/344	157	252	18	6	32%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	43→41	41→55	49→40	39	210/252/306	96	286	8	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	204/259/337	133	322	14	3	39%	5%	63	-0.8	192/267/372	179	300	23	1	42%	8%	73	-0.1
●Cody Freeman 2023 · A	22	40→50	42→50	47→50	46	200/263/300	99	240	11	9	22%	6%	54	-1.4	218/266/352	134	258	15	9	21%	5%	69	-0.4	233/276/386	153	263	18	9	19%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Adam Abraham 2009 · A	22	39→47	44→50	49→40	43	197/259/310	113	258	12	5	28%	7%	56	-1.3	217/272/328	111	278	9	4	24%	6%	66	-0.6	216/278/345	129	272	14	2	25%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A	22	41→51	42→45	48→50	38	205/253/308	104	278	10	9	30%	5%	52	-1.6	235/290/335	100	323	11	12	29%	6%	75	-0.0	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	40→46	45→50	49→45	37	203/253/331	128	288	12	8	33%	5%	59	-1.1	203/261/346	143	284	16	8	33%	6%	66	-0.6	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	44→50	51→45	35	182/259/292	110	306	12	11	42%	6%	53	-1.5	199/263/309	110	291	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/246/280	93	268	12	5	34%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Anderson Gomes 2007 · A	22	42→40	42→45	47→50	39	207/256/314	107	282	10	9	30%	5%	55	-1.4	223/276/335	112	301	11	7	28%	6%	69	-0.4	229/283/339	110	302	11	5	27%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Sandro Fabian 2021 · A	23	40→47	45→60	46→45	39	203/262/320	117	279	13	6	31%	6%	59	-1.1	229/269/405	176	263	24	4	23%	4%	85	+0.7	227/275/399	172	253	21	4	20%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	202/279/307	104	304	10	13	35%	8%	64	-0.8	200/283/348	148	300	18	17	37%	9%	76	+0.1	182/269/332	150	267	19	18	37%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Christopher Bostick 2015 · A	22	41→51	43→45	52→55	39	203/257/321	118	288	10	15	32%	6%	57	-1.2	221/268/333	112	293	9	14	27%	5%	65	-0.7	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	44→65	38	195/257/276	81	309	7	7	37%	6%	46	-2.0	209/283/301	92	307	6	30	31%	7%	63	-0.8	206/284/296	90	299	5	42	30%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	41→40	44→55	49→50	45	201/281/320	119	294	11	8	33%	9%	68	-0.5	192/266/342	150	282	16	11	36%	9%	67	-0.5	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5