Lizandro Espinoza

CF Columbus Clingstones

Age 24 R/R 5'7" / 158 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+ATL	377	.201/.263/.350	10	20	15	—	.141/.183/.263
2025	22	INTLBravos de Mar…	54	.275/.315/.373	0	2	95	—
2026	23	AAAATL	116	.206/.325/.309	2	11	53	—	.188/.281/.257
2026	23	AAATL	156	.278/.409/.500	5	26	108	—	.233/.338/.414
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBATL	6	.182/.260/.307	0	0	61	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBATL	105	.186/.264/.314	2	6	64	-0.2
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBATL	171	.189/.267/.319	4	10	66	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%81

Speed71

Max EV55

K%45

Whiff%28

Z-Con%26

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%

CompsJackson Loftin (age 24) · Cooper Bowman (age 24) · Mikey Perez (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .260 / .307

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP241

ISO124

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	141	117	34	7	2	0	17	21	4	10	6	291	399	385	783	94	351	15	12	352	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	73	69	11	1	1	1	3	29	0	1	0	159	194	246	441	87	256	40	4	196	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	121	104	25	5	4	1	12	29	2	4	1	240	331	394	725	154	312	24	10	317	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	413	359	66	15	1	7	39	106	6	13	7	184	275	290	564	106	236	26	9	257	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	354	303	61	10	3	6	37	97	8	16	4	201	304	314	617	112	271	27	10	282	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	51	42	10	4	0	2	7	16	1	3	0	238	360	476	836	238	320	31	14	363	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Rome Emperors	—	377	343	69	15	3	10	26	107	3	20	13	201	263	350	613	149	257	28	7	272	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	54	51	14	3	1	0	2	14	1	2	1	275	315	373	687	98	378	26	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	116	97	20	4	0	2	16	27	1	11	3	206	325	309	634	103	261	23	14	292	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	156	126	35	7	3	5	22	38	6	26	5	278	409	500	909	222	353	24	14	398	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	16	12	4	2	0	0	2	1	2	0	1	333	500	500	1.000	167	364	6	12	453	193	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	141	123	23	4	1	0	11	26	4	10	6	187	275	236	511	49	227	18	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	73	70	9	1	1	1	2	41	0	1	0	129	153	214	367	86	246	56	3	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	121	108	18	3	3	1	8	42	2	4	1	167	237	278	515	111	223	35	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	413	371	52	11	1	5	27	152	6	13	7	140	210	216	426	75	203	37	7	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	354	316	45	6	3	4	25	136	8	16	4	142	223	218	442	76	222	38	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	—	51	44	10	4	0	2	5	19	1	3	0	227	320	455	775	227	300	37	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	377	354	50	9	2	10	15	143	3	20	13	141	183	263	446	121	187	38	4	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	116	101	19	4	0	1	12	32	1	11	3	188	281	257	538	69	246	28	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	—	156	133	31	6	3	4	15	46	6	26	5	233	338	414	751	180	312	29	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	141	123	23	4	1	0	11	26	4	10	6	187	275	236	511	49	235	18	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	—	141	117	34	7	2	0	17	21	4	10	6	291	399	385	783	94	351	15	12	352	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	194	178	25	4	3	1	10	82	2	5	1	140	195	213	408	73	245	42	5	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	194	173	36	6	5	2	15	58	2	5	1	208	279	335	614	127	293	30	8	272	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	413	371	52	11	1	5	27	152	6	13	7	140	210	216	426	75	216	37	7	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	413	359	66	15	1	7	39	106	6	13	7	184	275	290	564	106	236	26	9	257	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	354	316	45	6	3	4	25	136	8	16	4	142	223	218	442	76	229	38	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	354	303	61	10	3	6	37	97	8	16	4	201	304	314	617	112	271	27	10	282	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	482	449	65	14	2	13	22	182	5	25	14	145	193	272	465	127	201	38	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	482	436	93	22	4	12	35	137	5	25	14	213	279	365	644	151	277	28	7	285	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	288	247	53	10	3	6	28	83	9	37	9	215	317	352	669	138	292	29	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	288	235	59	13	3	7	40	66	9	37	9	251	380	421	802	170	315	23	14	358	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	141	125	23	4	1	0	11	26	4	10	6	184	275	232	507	48	227	18	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	194	180	25	4	3	1	10	82	2	5	1	139	195	211	406	72	232	42	5	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	413	377	52	11	1	5	27	152	6	13	7	138	210	212	423	74	203	37	7	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	354	318	45	6	3	4	25	136	8	16	4	142	223	217	440	75	222	38	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	482	452	65	14	2	13	22	182	5	25	14	144	193	270	463	126	200	38	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	288	249	53	10	3	6	28	83	9	37	9	213	317	349	666	137	284	29	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	354	318	45	6	3	4	25	136	8	16	4	142	223	217	440	75	222	38	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	482	452	65	14	2	13	22	182	5	25	14	144	193	270	463	126	200	38	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	288	249	53	10	3	6	28	83	9	37	9	213	317	349	666	137	284	29	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ATL	2%	322	289	53	11	2	7	25	96	5	20	5	182	260	307	567	125	241	30	8	258	61	-15	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	ATL	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	182	260	307	567	125	241	33	0	258	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ATL	31%	337	301	56	11	2	8	27	99	6	21	5	186	264	314	578	128	244	29	8	262	64	-15	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	ATL	45%	384	344	65	13	2	9	31	111	6	23	6	189	267	319	586	130	246	29	8	265	66	-16	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	ATL	49%	401	360	68	14	2	9	32	115	6	24	6	191	269	321	590	130	248	29	8	267	67	-16	+2	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	411	369	71	14	2	10	33	118	6	23	6	192	270	321	590	129	250	29	8	267	67	-16	+2	-1	+1	+9	-0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	408	366	70	14	2	9	33	117	6	20	5	192	270	319	589	127	251	29	8	267	67	-16	+2	-1	+1	+9	-0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	405	364	69	14	2	9	32	117	6	17	5	190	266	312	578	123	249	29	8	262	64	-17	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	ATL	31%	105	94	18	4	1	2	8	31	2	6	2	186	264	314	578	128	244	30	8	262	64	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	ATL	45%	171	152	29	6	1	4	14	49	3	10	3	189	267	319	586	130	246	29	8	265	66	-7	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	ATL	49%	197	176	34	7	1	5	16	57	3	12	3	191	269	321	590	130	248	29	8	267	67	-8	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	212	190	36	7	1	5	17	61	3	12	3	192	270	321	590	129	250	29	8	267	67	-8	+1	-0	+1	+5	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	210	188	36	7	1	5	17	60	3	10	3	192	270	319	589	127	251	29	8	267	67	-8	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	226	203	39	8	1	5	18	65	3	9	3	190	266	312	578	123	249	29	8	262	64	-10	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1121	1003	192	39	6	26	90	323	17	59	17	191	269	320	589	129	252	29	8	265	51	-46	+5	-2	+4	+24	-1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	111	23	3	15	52	187	10	34	10	191	269	318	587	127	251	29	8	265	51	-26	+3	-1	+2	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4498	4039	708	138	27	89	333	1421	75	251	78	175	251	289	540	114	242	32	7	244	51	-109	+14	-4	+9	+57	-3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	103	20	4	13	48	205	11	36	11	176	252	291	543	115	243	32	7	244	51	-27	+4	-1	+2	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	3.3	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.1
/162	664	19	24	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#2Billy Maloney'01-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,762 PA	4.2	2,762	6	155	235*	299*	373*	+5	+9	6.9	6.9
/162	664	1	37	+1.1	+2.1	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Chuck Carr'90-'97 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,914 PA	2.9	1,914	13	144	242*	306*	331*	+6	+20	2.6	2.6
/162	664	5	50	+2.1	+7.1	0.9	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,127	26	60	191	266	319	+12	+9	0.3	0.3
/162	664	15	35	+7.1	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lizandro Espinoza (OGILVIE)	24	30	40	55	30	180/258/304	124	241	6	17	30%	8%	61	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jackson Loftin 2024 · AAA	24	37→34	41→40	59→65	43	184/266/276	92	257	9	33	30%	8%	57	-1.8	184/252/281	97	272	9	26	34%	7%	52	-2.2	129/194/213	83	197	8	34	37%	6%	12	-2.0
✕Cooper Bowman 2024 · AA	24	41→44	44→45	62→60	45	204/283/324	119	284	12	37	31%	8%	73	-0.6	210/281/325	115	288	10	33	29%	8%	72	-0.7	209/280/324	115	279	10	37	27%	8%	70	-0.6
✕Mikey Perez 2023 · A	23	41→34	44→45	59→60	43	201/280/320	119	275	10	31	29%	7%	72	-0.7	196/276/308	112	286	12	26	33%	8%	68	-1.0	148/246/242	93	219	13	36	36%	8%	40	-1.2
✕Kenedy Corona 2024 · AA	24	41→42	48→50	54→55	41	211/269/351	141	285	16	24	31%	7%	74	-0.5	207/273/312	105	285	10	24	29%	7%	67	-1.1	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Phillip Sikes 2024 · AA	25	38→37	44→45	58→55	39	190/260/306	116	291	11	27	37%	7%	60	-1.6	192/259/305	113	293	12	21	37%	6%	60	-1.6	176/247/286	110	265	13	20	37%	6%	49	-1.2
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	42→45	43→45	59→60	47	210/278/320	111	268	10	32	25%	8%	70	-0.9	208/281/302	94	284	8	28	27%	9%	67	-1.1	197/275/280	83	277	7	30	29%	9%	59	-1.2
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	62→60	45	204/273/324	120	272	11	36	28%	8%	70	-0.9	214/277/333	119	287	12	34	28%	7%	73	-0.6	215/279/331	115	289	12	35	28%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	41	40	55→65	40	193/274/284	91	302	8	31	36%	8%	61	-1.5	218/287/317	99	301	6	26	28%	7%	73	-0.6	227/297/325	98	303	3	32	24%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Alerick Soularie 2024 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	46	198/284/317	119	288	13	23	34%	10%	72	-0.7	207/283/318	111	293	11	24	31%	8%	72	-0.7	172/252/257	85	238	9	42	30%	8%	49	-0.6
✕Cam Eden 2023 · AA	25	42→51	45→40	61→65	38	204/272/323	119	312	13	38	37%	7%	69	-0.9	206/275/294	88	305	7	42	32%	7%	63	-1.3	197/270/272	75	291	5	49	31%	7%	54	-1.1
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	42→43	40→45	56→60	39	204/256/295	91	288	7	24	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/265/312	108	298	9	24	33%	6%	63	-1.4	193/259/307	113	288	9	27	34%	6%	58	-1.2
✕Eric Brown Jr. 2024 · A	23	45→33	41→40	61→55	48	218/293/313	95	275	9	37	24%	8%	74	-0.5	185/251/262	77	244	6	21	25%	7%	47	-2.6	165/233/233	69	218	6	18	26%	7%	31	-1.7
✕Travis Witherspoon 2014 · AA	25	42→47	44→45	55	43	212/266/329	117	277	12	24	28%	7%	68	-1.0	199/254/310	111	270	12	20	30%	7%	59	-1.7	181/239/287	105	244	12	22	30%	7%	44	-1.6
✕Junior Arias 2016 · A	24	41→44	43→45	58→60	34	204/244/307	103	305	11	32	36%	4%	53	-2.1	213/257/346	133	326	16	19	38%	5%	68	-1.0	203/241/373	169	305	22	17	40%	4%	65	-0.5
✕Shawn Goosenberg 2024 · A	24	40→38	42→45	56→55	41	196/265/296	100	285	10	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	197/250/309	112	295	11	18	35%	6%	57	-1.8	184/234/312	127	273	14	18	37%	5%	49	-1.7
✕Mason Auer 2024 · AA	23	41→47	44→45	62→60	38	201/261/322	122	305	11	34	36%	6%	64	-1.3	191/249/304	113	284	10	26	34%	6%	55	-1.9	157/214/266	109	220	9	31	32%	5%	32	-2.0
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43	42→50	65→70	46	208/270/320	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	66	-1.1	211/279/332	121	278	12	50	27%	8%	73	-0.6	227/287/350	124	282	13	56	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2019 · A	24	44→53	42→40	58→65	40	216/266/314	98	274	10	35	25%	5%	63	-1.3	218/271/311	93	287	8	38	26%	5%	65	-1.2	200/257/288	88	269	9	46	28%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Billy Cook 2024 · AA	25	37→44	48→50	57→55	37	196/250/333	137	277	17	23	35%	6%	63	-1.4	213/275/345	132	297	15	22	32%	7%	75	-0.5	211/276/340	129	293	14	25	32%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Jayce Easley 2024 · AA	24	40→46	36→30	59→65	51	188/283/254	65	263	4	33	27%	10%	58	-1.7	184/261/244	60	291	4	21	34%	9%	47	-2.6	134/214/150	16	239	0	29	40%	8%	7	-2.0

Lizandro Espinoza

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps