Grant Taylor — OGILVIE

Grant Taylor P Chicago White Sox

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 230 lbs MLB Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 6758vR 49

ERA2.65

FIP2.32

K%34.6%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%26.3%

ROS IP42

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL4545

CMD7070

K†8080

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.2

Whiff%

p8430.7%

p9033.8%

xwOBA vs

p900.243

FB+3.2 (57%)

SI (8%)

CU (28%)

CT-0.6 (1%)

SL-1.0 (15%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.645 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+1.2	$10M	+$9M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$9M	+$8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$26M	+$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2024	22	MIX	2 levels	5	5	19	72	32	2	2	100%	3.9	31.9%	2.0%	29.9%	3.5%	2.33	2.59	—
2024	22	MIX	2 levels	5	5	19	72	32	2	2	100%	3.9	44.4%	2.8%	41.7%	2.8%	2.33	1.44	—
2025	23	MIX	2 levels	51	8	63	258	91	25	0	16%	1.2	32.5%	10.1%	22.4%	0.0%	3.27	1.63	+2.2
2025	23	MIX	2 levels	51	8	63	258	91	25	0	16%	1.2	35.3%	9.7%	25.6%	0.0%	3.27	1.41	+2.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	36	4	48	198	67	17	4	11%	1.3	33.8%	8.6%	25.3%	2.0%	2.79	2.44	+1.2
ROS	24	MLB	CWS	40	0	42	176	61	15	3	0%	1.0	34.6%	8.3%	26.3%	2.0%	2.65	2.32	+1.1
ROS	24	MLB	CWS	40	0	42	177	61	15	4	0%	1.1	34.6%	8.3%	26.3%	2.0%	2.67	2.34	+1.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB	CWS	—	—	90	374	128	32	7	—	—	34.2%	8.4%	25.7%	2.0%	2.73	2.38	+3.0
2026 FULL	24	MLB	CWS	—	—	90	380	128	32	8	—	—	33.6%	8.3%	25.3%	2.0%	2.74	2.40	+2.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CWS	87	0	91	385	130	29	8	0%	1.0	33.8%	7.6%	26.3%	2.1%	2.90	2.72	+2.7
2028	26	MLB	CWS	87	0	91	385	128	29	8	0%	1.0	33.2%	7.5%	25.6%	2.1%	2.89	2.81	+2.6
2029	27	MLB	CWS	85	0	90	379	123	29	8	0%	1.1	32.6%	7.6%	25.0%	2.2%	2.94	2.92	+2.4
2030	28	MLB	CWS	83	0	87	367	118	29	9	0%	1.0	32.2%	7.8%	24.4%	2.4%	3.01	3.04	+2.1
2031	29	MLB	CWS	79	0	83	351	111	28	9	0%	1.1	31.6%	8.0%	23.6%	2.5%	3.12	3.20	+1.8
2032	30	MLB	CWS	74	0	78	330	109	25	9	0%	1.1	32.9%	7.5%	25.4%	2.7%	3.13	3.14	+1.6
2033	31	MLB	CWS	69	0	73	307	99	24	9	0%	1.1	32.2%	7.8%	24.3%	2.9%	3.27	3.37	+1.2
2034	32	MLB	CWS	64	0	67	284	89	23	9	0%	1.1	31.4%	8.2%	23.1%	3.2%	3.48	3.62	+0.9
2027	25	MLB	CWS	83	0	87	367	124	28	8	0%	1.0	33.8%	7.6%	26.3%	2.1%	2.92	2.74	+2.4
2028	26	MLB	CWS	83	0	87	367	122	28	8	0%	1.0	33.2%	7.5%	25.6%	2.2%	2.91	2.83	+2.3
2029	27	MLB	CWS	81	0	85	359	117	27	8	0%	1.0	32.6%	7.6%	25.0%	2.3%	2.96	2.94	+2.1
2030	28	MLB	CWS	79	0	83	350	113	27	8	0%	1.1	32.2%	7.8%	24.4%	2.4%	3.03	3.06	+1.9
2031	29	MLB	CWS	75	0	79	334	105	27	8	0%	1.1	31.6%	8.0%	23.6%	2.5%	3.14	3.22	+1.6
2032	30	MLB	CWS	70	0	74	312	103	23	9	0%	1.1	32.9%	7.5%	25.4%	2.8%	3.16	3.17	+1.5
2033	31	MLB	CWS	66	0	69	291	94	23	9	0%	1.0	32.2%	7.8%	24.3%	3.0%	3.30	3.40	+1.1
2034	32	MLB	CWS	61	0	64	270	85	22	9	0%	1.0	31.4%	8.2%	23.1%	3.2%	3.51	3.65	+0.7
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			709	6	754	3179	1043	251	74	1%	1.1	32.8%	7.9%	24.9%	2.3%	3.14	2.61	+24.6
/ 200 IP	—			188	2	200	843	277	67	20	1%	1.1	32.8%	7.9%	24.9%	2.3%	3.14	2.61	+6.5
Career	—			92	17	131	528	174	45	7	18%	1.4	32.9%	8.4%	24.5%	1.2%	2.95	2.07	+5.1
/ 200 IP	—			140	26	200	806	266	68	10	18%	1.4	32.9%	8.4%	24.5%	1.2%	2.95	2.07	+7.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Grant Taylor (OGILVIE)	—	—	2.61	35.3%	8.1%	2.0%	—	2.82	33.2%	25.6%	272	+0.21	—	—	—
Trevor Rosenthal R 2027 · 2.21 FIP	25	SU	2.21	28.9%	7.7%	1.1%	.330	2.64	33.4%	21.3%	88	+0.43	1.98	196	75
Dugan Darnell R 2026 · 2.35 FIP	24	SU	2.35	30.7%	7.3%	1.7%	.293	4.61	23.7%	11.9%	142	+2.26	2.35	238	74
Ken Giles R 2026 · 1.97 FIP	24	SU	1.97	29.2%	7.7%	0.7%	.306	2.55	31.9%	25.0%	179	+0.58	1.97	368	74
Keone Kela R 2026 · 3.01 FIP	24	SU	3.01	33.8%	10.6%	2.6%	.175	2.99	29.9%	21.4%	82	-0.02	2.56	246	73
Dellin Betances R 2029 · 2.14 FIP	27	SU	2.14	39.5%	11.4%	1.7%	.248	2.01	41.0%	29.6%	199	-0.13	1.58	308	72
Josh White R 2026 · 1.95 FIP	24	SU	1.95	34.6%	9.4%	1.0%	.285	4.18	25.8%	11.7%	41	+2.23	1.95	232	71
Kevin Ginkel R 2026 · 2.53 FIP	24	SU	2.53	30.0%	5.0%	2.4%	.277	3.90	30.3%	19.4%	102	+1.37	2.35	431	71
Cade Smith R 2026 · 3.45 FIP	24	SU	3.45	30.2%	10.7%	2.8%	.333	1.48	35.1%	29.5%	193	-1.97	1.03	357	71
Geoff Broussard R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	24	SU	3.48	30.8%	8.3%	3.5%	.286	4.78	17.2%	8.7%	107	+1.30	3.48	152	71
Theo Denlinger R 2027 · 3.03 FIP	25	SU	3.03	33.2%	10.2%	2.6%	.346	4.38	19.7%	8.5%	125	+1.35	3.03	140	71
Yoan López R 2026 · 2.16 FIP	24	SU	2.16	37.5%	9.0%	2.0%	.292	4.08	22.0%	14.1%	142	+1.92	2.16	377	70
Jack Neely R 2026 · 2.72 FIP	24	SU	2.72	31.3%	9.2%	2.0%	.345	4.85	24.2%	5.0%	30	+2.13	2.72	193	70
Craig Kimbrel R 2029 · 2.62 FIP	27	SU	2.62	36.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.272	2.09	42.6%	32.3%	184	-0.53	0.89	599	70
Paul Gervase R 2026 · 3.54 FIP	24	SU	3.54	32.8%	10.4%	3.5%	.244	4.64	28.1%	15.3%	87	+1.10	3.38	190	70
Jeurys Familia R 2027 · 2.56 FIP	25	SU	2.56	27.9%	5.8%	2.0%	.268	2.37	26.2%	17.5%	174	-0.19	2.05	455	70
Sam Delaplane R 2026 · 3.11 FIP	24	SU	3.11	36.2%	9.5%	3.4%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	194	69
David Bednar R 2026 · 2.23 FIP	24	SU	2.23	29.0%	7.3%	1.2%	.336	2.34	32.7%	25.7%	112	+0.11	1.66	550	69
Cody Allen R 2028 · 1.58 FIP	26	SU	1.58	34.6%	8.0%	0.7%	.333	3.48	31.1%	21.9%	202	+1.90	1.58	295	69
Zach McAllister R 2029 · 2.82 FIP	27	SU	2.82	28.1%	6.4%	2.4%	.333	3.91	23.5%	16.0%	159	+1.09	2.82	363	69
Yimi García R 2026 · 3.12 FIP	24	SU	3.12	30.2%	4.0%	3.8%	.257	4.94	19.5%	17.6%	37	+1.82	1.48	416	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	Yrs	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	9	83	32.9%	7.8%	0.94	3.06
David Robertson ('24)	7	66	32.1%	9.6%	0.85	2.91
Liam Hendriks ('22)	8	57	32.7%	5.7%	0.85	2.94
Will Smith ('24)	8	56	29.2%	8.8%	1.07	3.60
Brad Hand ('23)	9	64	27.2%	8.6%	0.89	3.53
Andrew Miller ('21)	6	54	35.9%	8.3%	0.97	2.73
Ken Giles ('19)	5	60	32.6%	7.6%	0.75	2.89