Grant Taylor
P
Chicago White Sox
+1.2
WAR
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 1.1 · 2027
ERA3.89
FIP3.21
xFIP2.72
SIERA2.59
K%29.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%20.0%
IP48
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2027
K†7070
FB+3.2 (61%)
SI (6%)
CU (22%)
CT-0.6 (2%)
SL-1.0 (16%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 5 | 5 | 19 | 72 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 31.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.33 | 2.23 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 51 | 8 | 63 | 258 | 91 | 25 | 0 | 32.5% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 3.27 | 1.63 | +2.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 13 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.86 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CWS | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 51 | 15 | 3 | 31.9% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 3.80 | 3.08 | +0.8 |
| 2026 Total | 24 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 48 | 199 | 64 | 18 | 3 | 32.2% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 3.41 | 2.45 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 64 | 18 | 4 | 31.6% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 3.34 | 3.02 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 64 | 18 | 4 | 31.2% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 3.24 | 3.10 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 62 | 18 | 4 | 30.9% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 3.22 | 3.17 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 47 | — | 47 | 199 | 61 | 18 | 4 | 30.6% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 3.23 | 3.22 | +0.9 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 46 | — | 46 | 194 | 59 | 18 | 4 | 30.1% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 3.27 | 3.30 | +0.9 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 45 | — | 45 | 188 | 56 | 17 | 4 | 29.6% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 3.34 | 3.39 | +0.8 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 53 | 17 | 4 | 29.0% | 9.3% | 2.3% | 3.43 | 3.49 | +0.7 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 28.4% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 3.54 | 3.61 | +0.6 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 46 | 16 | 4 | 27.7% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 3.66 | 3.74 | +0.5 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 37 | — | 37 | 158 | 43 | 15 | 4 | 27.0% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 3.79 | 3.88 | +0.5 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 39 | 15 | 4 | 26.3% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 3.93 | 4.03 | +0.4 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 33 | — | 33 | 139 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 25.5% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.09 | 4.19 | +0.3 |
| 2039 | 37 | MLB | CWS | 30 | — | 30 | 129 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 24.7% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.37 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 17 | 92 | 369 | 120 | 31 | 2 | 32.5% | 8.3% | 0.6% | 2.92 | 1.71 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 139 | 37 | 200 | 799 | 260 | 67 | 4 | 32.5% | 8.3% | 0.6% | 2.92 | 1.71 | +8.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Grant Taylor (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.08 | 31.9% | 9.3% | 2.0% | — | 3.10 | 31.2% | 22.3% | 144 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Trevor Rosenthal R 2027 · 2.27 FIP | 25 | SW | 2.27 | 28.9% | 7.7% | 1.2% | .330 | 2.68 | 33.4% | 21.3% | 88 | +0.41 | 1.64 | 196 | 78 |
| Dugan Darnell R 2026 · 2.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 2.49 | 30.7% | 7.3% | 1.9% | .293 | 4.68 | 23.7% | 11.9% | 142 | +2.19 | 2.49 | 238 | 77 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2026 · 1.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 1.94 | 29.8% | 7.4% | 0.8% | .274 | 4.49 | 19.9% | 12.0% | 95 | +2.55 | 1.94 | 154 | 77 |
| Ken Giles R 2026 · 1.95 FIP | 24 | SW | 1.95 | 29.2% | 7.7% | 0.6% | .306 | 2.58 | 31.9% | 25.0% | 179 | +0.63 | 1.95 | 368 | 76 |
| Shohei Ohtani R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.46 | 29.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.11 | 29.3% | 21.4% | 130 | -0.35 | 1.69 | 545 | 75 |
| Keone Kela R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.04 | 33.8% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .175 | 3.05 | 29.9% | 21.4% | 82 | +0.01 | 2.55 | 246 | 75 |
| Geoff Broussard R 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.19 | 30.8% | 8.3% | 3.0% | .286 | 4.96 | 17.2% | 8.7% | 107 | +1.77 | 3.19 | 152 | 74 |
| Craig Kimbrel R 2029 · 2.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.46 | 36.4% | 8.8% | 2.4% | .272 | 2.16 | 42.6% | 32.3% | 184 | -0.30 | 1.10 | 556 | 73 |
| Kevin Ginkel R 2026 · 2.49 FIP | 24 | SW | 2.49 | 30.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | .277 | 3.93 | 30.3% | 19.4% | 102 | +1.44 | 2.37 | 393 | 72 |
| Jeurys Familia R 2027 · 2.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 2.56 | 27.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | .268 | 2.39 | 26.2% | 17.5% | 174 | -0.17 | 2.04 | 455 | 72 |
| Paul Gervase R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.44 | 32.8% | 10.4% | 3.3% | .244 | 4.44 | 28.4% | 17.3% | 59 | +1.00 | 3.38 | 162 | 72 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2027 · 2.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.90 | 33.2% | 10.2% | 2.4% | .346 | 4.44 | 19.7% | 8.5% | 125 | +1.54 | 2.90 | 140 | 72 |
| Cade Smith R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.46 | 30.2% | 10.7% | 2.9% | .333 | 1.28 | 35.2% | 29.6% | 149 | -2.18 | 1.01 | 313 | 71 |
| Yoan López R 2026 · 2.20 FIP | 24 | SU | 2.20 | 37.5% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .292 | 4.15 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 142 | +1.95 | 2.20 | 377 | 71 |
| Sam Delaplane R 2026 · 2.58 FIP | 24 | SW | 2.58 | 36.2% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 194 | 71 |
| Yimi García R 2026 · 2.94 FIP | 24 | SW | 2.94 | 30.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | .257 | 4.68 | 19.5% | 17.6% | 37 | +1.74 | 1.48 | 416 | 70 |
| David Bednar R 2026 · 2.33 FIP | 24 | SW | 2.33 | 29.0% | 7.3% | 1.4% | .336 | 2.37 | 32.7% | 25.7% | 112 | +0.04 | 1.66 | 510 | 70 |
| Josh White R 2026 · 1.89 FIP | 24 | SW | 1.89 | 34.6% | 9.4% | 0.9% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.89 | 191 | 70 |
| Michael Feliz R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 32.1% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .378 | 4.12 | 28.4% | 17.5% | 119 | +0.50 | 2.76 | 442 | 70 |
| Connor Brogdon R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.60 | 29.7% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .236 | 3.43 | 23.6% | 17.2% | 102 | -0.17 | 2.98 | 386 | 70 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2025
Service 0.645 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2031
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.0 | $8M | +$7M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.1 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.0 | $8M | +$8M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $3M | +1.0 | $9M | +$5M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $6M | +0.9 | $4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $8M | +0.9 | $4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $14M | $43M | +$28M | ||