Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | New York Mets | 76 | 0 | 78 | 308 | 86 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 5.8% | 22.1% | 2.0% | 1.85 | 2.56 | +2.2 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | New York Mets | 76 | 0 | 78 | 308 | 86 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 5.8% | 22.1% | 1.9% | 1.85 | 2.59 | +2.1 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | 78 | 0 | 78 | 321 | 84 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 7.8% | 18.4% | 0.3% | 2.55 | 2.05 | +2.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | 78 | 0 | 78 | 321 | 84 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 7.8% | 18.4% | 0.3% | 2.55 | 2.07 | +2.6 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 29 | 125 | 31 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 0.9% | 3.77 | 3.06 | +0.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 29 | 125 | 31 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 0.8% | 3.77 | 2.86 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 70 | 0 | 72 | 302 | 83 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 1.0% | 3.12 | 2.48 | +2.0 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 70 | 0 | 72 | 302 | 83 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 1.0% | 3.12 | 2.46 | +2.0 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 67 | 0 | 61 | 278 | 65 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.0% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 5.61 | 4.32 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 67 | 0 | 61 | 278 | 65 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.4% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 5.61 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 25 | 0 | 27 | 120 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 14.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 3.71 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 25 | 0 | 27 | 120 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 14.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 3.71 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 1 | 60 | 265 | 72 | 25 | 10 | 2% | 0.9 | 27.5% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 3.8% | 3.88 | 4.09 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 1 | 60 | 265 | 72 | 25 | 10 | 2% | 0.9 | 27.2% | 9.4% | 17.7% | 3.8% | 3.88 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 45 | 207 | 44 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 5.96 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 45 | 207 | 44 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 5.96 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 14 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.1% | 20.3% | -6.2% | 3.3% | 6.39 | 6.28 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 14 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.1% | 20.3% | -6.2% | 3.1% | 6.39 | 6.81 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 47 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 49 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 41 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 4.66 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 41 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 4.66 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 509 | 0 | 498 | 2148 | 527 | 214 | 45 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 2.1% | 3.82 | 3.45 | +11.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 0 | 200 | 862 | 212 | 86 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 2.1% | 3.82 | 3.45 | +4.6 | ||
| Career | — | 475 | 1 | 462 | 1990 | 492 | 198 | 40 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 2.0% | 3.68 | 3.37 | +11.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 205 | 0 | 200 | 861 | 213 | 86 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 2.0% | 3.68 | 3.37 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeurys Familia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 23.6% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.81 | 22.5% | 11.9% | 43 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 78 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 78 |
| John Axford R 2025 · 3.78 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.78 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 197 | 77 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 74 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 73 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.70 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .278 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.36 | 3.51 | 219 | 71 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 71 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 70 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 69 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 69 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 69 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 69 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 68 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.51 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .347 | 5.90 | 19.1% | 2.3% | 22 | +2.39 | 2.19 | 426 | 68 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 67 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.86 | 20.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .295 | 5.60 | 26.0% | 14.0% | 27 | +1.74 | 2.61 | 339 | 67 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 66 |
| Kirby Yates R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 31.5% | 14.2% | 3.5% | .202 | 3.03 | 33.1% | 23.7% | 124 | -1.15 | 0.70 | 468 | 66 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 66 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.35 | 23.9% | 10.9% | 1.6% | .222 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 349 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 46 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 1.25 | 4.54 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |