Jeurys Familia — OGILVIE

Jeurys Familia P Oakland Athletics

Age 36 RHP 6'3" / 240 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.45

FIP4.42

K%23.6%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%13.6%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p7429.1%

p1014.1%

xwOBA vs

p100.367

SL+0.9

FB-4.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MLB MLE	New York Mets	76	0	78	308	86	18	6	0%	1.0	27.9%	5.8%	22.1%	2.0%	1.85	2.55	+1.9
2015	25	MLB RAW	New York Mets	76	0	78	308	86	18	6	0%	1.0	27.9%	5.8%	22.1%	1.9%	1.85	2.59	+1.8
2016	26	MLB MLE	New York Mets	78	0	78	321	84	25	1	0%	1.0	26.2%	7.8%	18.4%	0.3%	2.55	2.05	+2.3
2016	26	MLB RAW	New York Mets	78	0	78	321	84	25	1	0%	1.0	26.2%	7.8%	18.4%	0.3%	2.55	2.07	+2.3
2017	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	29	125	31	14	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.8%	11.7%	0.9%	3.77	3.06	+0.5
2017	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	0	29	125	31	14	1	0%	1.0	24.8%	11.2%	13.6%	0.8%	3.77	2.86	+0.6
2018	28	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	70	0	72	302	83	27	3	0%	1.0	27.5%	8.9%	18.5%	1.1%	3.12	2.51	+1.8
2018	28	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	70	0	72	302	83	27	3	0%	1.0	27.5%	8.9%	18.5%	1.0%	3.12	2.46	+1.8
2019	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	67	0	61	278	65	38	7	0%	0.9	23.0%	13.9%	9.1%	2.6%	5.61	4.32	+0.2
2019	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	67	0	61	278	65	38	7	0%	0.9	23.4%	13.7%	9.7%	2.5%	5.61	4.33	+0.2
2020	30	MLB MLE	New York Mets	25	0	27	120	23	17	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	14.2%	5.0%	1.7%	3.71	4.19	+0.1
2020	30	MLB RAW	New York Mets	25	0	27	120	23	17	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	14.2%	5.0%	1.7%	3.71	4.26	+0.1
2021	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	66	1	60	265	72	25	10	2%	0.9	27.5%	9.5%	17.9%	3.8%	3.88	4.09	+0.3
2021	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	66	1	60	265	72	25	10	2%	0.9	27.2%	9.4%	17.7%	3.8%	3.88	4.11	+0.3
2022	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	45	207	44	20	7	0%	0.9	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	3.5%	5.96	4.58	-0.0
2022	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	45	207	44	20	7	0%	0.9	21.3%	9.7%	11.6%	3.4%	5.96	4.49	+0.0
2023	33	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	14	0	13	64	9	13	2	0%	0.9	14.1%	20.3%	-6.2%	3.4%	6.39	6.37	-0.3
2023	33	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	14	0	13	64	9	13	2	0%	0.9	14.1%	20.3%	-6.2%	3.4%	6.39	6.37	-0.3
2023	33	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	14	0	13	64	9	13	2	0%	0.9	14.1%	20.3%	-6.2%	3.1%	6.39	6.81	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			468	0	455	1966	486	195	39	0%	1.0	24.7%	9.9%	14.8%	2.0%	3.74	3.36	+6.4
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	OAK	4	0	4	17	4	2	1	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.0%	13.6%	3.0%	4.45	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	OAK	41	0	43	182	41	19	6	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.6%	11.9%	3.4%	4.67	4.82	-0.1
2027	37	MLB CTX	OAK	41	0	43	182	41	19	6	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.6%	11.9%	3.4%	4.67	4.82	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		509	0	498	2148	527	214	45	0%	1.0	24.5%	10.0%	14.6%	2.1%	3.82	3.45	+6.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		204	0	200	862	212	86	18	0%	1.0	24.5%	10.0%	14.6%	2.1%	3.82	3.45	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		475	1	462	1990	492	198	40	0%	1.0	24.7%	9.9%	14.8%	2.0%	3.68	3.38	+6.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		205	0	200	861	213	86	17	0%	1.0	24.7%	9.9%	14.8%	2.0%	3.68	3.38	+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeurys Familia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	23.6%	10.0%	3.0%	—	4.82	22.5%	11.9%	43	+0.40	—	—	—
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	78
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	78
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	74
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	73
John Axford R 2018 · 3.64 FIP	35	SU	3.64	23.2%	9.0%	2.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	197	73
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	72
Santiago Casilla R 2016 · 3.69 FIP	36	SU	3.69	27.0%	7.1%	3.6%	.278	4.13	19.8%	8.7%	103	+0.44	3.50	219	71
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	70
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	68
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	68
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	67
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	67
Matt Albers R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	22.1%	10.1%	2.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	244	67
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	66
Kirby Yates R 2023 · 4.18 FIP	36	SU	4.18	31.5%	14.2%	3.5%	.202	3.00	31.7%	21.9%	143	-1.18	0.66	487	65
Blaine Boyer R 2017 · 3.24 FIP	36	SU	3.24	18.0%	7.6%	1.3%	.341	7.38	8.3%	-0.9%	22	+4.14	3.24	209	64
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	64
Blake Parker R 2021 · 3.86 FIP	36	SU	3.86	20.0%	7.6%	2.7%	.295	5.74	26.0%	14.0%	27	+1.88	2.52	339	64
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	64
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	46	23.1%	10.3%	1.25	4.55
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84