Jeurys Familia P Oakland Athletics
Age 36 RHP 6'3" / 240 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.41
K%23.6%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP49
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
K: +0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -1.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +2.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.08 (49 IP)+0.1WAR
0.1-0.12627
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5555
CTRL3535
CMD4545
K†5555
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p7429.1%
K%
p1014.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.367
SL+0.9
FB-4.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201525MLBNew York Mets76078308861860%1.027.9%5.8%22.1%2.0%1.852.56+2.2
201525MLBNew York Mets76078308861860%1.027.9%5.8%22.1%1.9%1.852.59+2.1
201626MLBNew York Mets78078321842510%1.026.2%7.8%18.4%0.3%2.552.05+2.6
201626MLBNew York Mets78078321842510%1.026.2%7.8%18.4%0.3%2.552.07+2.6
201727MIX3 levels30029125311410%1.022.5%10.8%11.7%0.9%3.773.06+0.5
201727MIX3 levels30029125311410%1.024.8%11.2%13.6%0.8%3.772.86+0.6
201828MLBOakland Athletics70072302832730%1.027.5%8.9%18.5%1.0%3.122.48+2.0
201828MLBOakland Athletics70072302832730%1.027.5%8.9%18.5%1.0%3.122.46+2.0
201929MIX2 levels67061278653870%0.923.0%13.9%9.1%2.6%5.614.32+0.2
201929MIX2 levels67061278653870%0.923.4%13.7%9.7%2.5%5.614.33+0.2
202030MLBNew York Mets25027120231720%1.119.2%14.2%5.0%1.7%3.714.20+0.1
202030MLBNew York Mets25027120231720%1.119.2%14.2%5.0%1.7%3.714.26+0.1
202131MIX2 levels661602657225102%0.927.5%9.5%17.9%3.8%3.884.09+0.3
202131MIX2 levels661602657225102%0.927.2%9.4%17.7%3.8%3.884.11+0.3
202232MIX2 levels49045207442070%0.920.1%9.8%10.3%3.4%5.964.51+0.0
202232MIX2 levels49045207442070%0.921.3%9.7%11.6%3.4%5.964.49+0.0
202333MLBOakland Athletics140136491320%0.914.1%20.3%-6.2%3.3%6.396.28-0.3
202333MLBOakland Athletics140136491320%0.914.1%20.3%-6.2%3.1%6.396.81-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
202636MLBOAK47049208492160%1.023.6%10.0%13.6%3.0%4.444.41+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202737MLBOAK41043182411960%1.022.5%10.6%11.9%3.4%4.664.81-0.1
202737MLBOAK41043182411960%1.022.5%10.6%11.9%3.4%4.664.81-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career50904982148527214450%1.024.5%10.0%14.6%2.1%3.823.45+11.4
/ 200 IP204020086221286180%1.024.5%10.0%14.6%2.1%3.823.45+4.6
Career47514621990492198400%1.024.7%9.9%14.8%2.0%3.683.37+11.0
/ 200 IP205020086121386170%1.024.7%9.9%14.8%2.0%3.683.37+4.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jeurys Familia (OGILVIE) 4.41 23.6%10.0%3.0% 4.81 22.5%11.9%43 +0.40
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.99 FIP 34 SU 3.99 18.1%11.3%1.8%.270 3.99 104 78
Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP 38 SU 4.26 20.9%9.4%3.2%.272 3.34 26.2%15.2%185 -0.92 2.67 295 78
John Axford R 2025 · 3.78 FIP 35 SU 3.78 23.2%9.0%2.7%.303 3.10 197 77
Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP 38 SU 3.73 24.8%8.7%3.0%.179 4.04 23.5%12.9%98 +0.31 3.72 164 74
Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 73
Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 36 SU 3.70 27.0%7.1%3.6%.278 4.06 19.8%8.7%103 +0.36 3.51 219 71
Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP 35 SU 4.59 19.4%6.7%4.2%.277 3.83 208 71
Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 36 SU 4.28 22.1%10.1%3.2%.269 3.15 244 70
Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 20.4%6.4%4.8%.311 2.50 107 69
Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 16.4%10.0%3.3%.331 2.37 153 69
Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP 36 SU 3.53 16.7%7.2%1.7%.298 5.49 15.9%8.7%57 +1.96 3.17 225 69
Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP 35 SU 3.92 18.6%6.6%2.8%.285 3.92 186 69
Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP 35 SU 4.58 16.8%7.8%3.5%.285 2.51 251 68
Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 36 SU 3.51 19.7%9.7%1.5%.347 5.90 19.1%2.3%22 +2.39 2.19 426 68
Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP 36 SU 4.09 16.4%10.0%2.0%.267 6.61 11.9%-0.6%77 +2.52 4.09 145 67
Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 36 SU 3.86 20.0%7.6%2.7%.295 5.60 26.0%14.0%27 +1.74 2.61 339 67
Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 4.00 FIP 34 SU 4.00 18.1%12.9%1.4%.333 2.56 147 66
Kirby Yates R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 36 SU 4.18 31.5%14.2%3.5%.202 3.03 33.1%23.7%124 -1.15 0.70 468 66
Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 36 SU 4.25 17.8%9.0%2.7%.311 2.78 326 66
Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.35 FIP 36 SU 3.35 23.9%10.9%1.6%.222 3.08 349 65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION24623.1%10.3%1.254.54
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78