Ken Giles
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.2
WAR
Age 35
RHP
6'3" / 197 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
xFIP4.14
SIERA4.63
K%25.2%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%14.3%
IP25
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF7070
CTRL5555
CMD7575
K†6565
FB Velo
p8496.9
Whiff%
p9040.0%
K%
p9039.9%
xwOBA vs
p900.245
SL+2.1
FB-0.7
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 69 | 0 | 70 | 298 | 87 | 23 | 2 | 29.2% | 7.7% | 0.6% | 1.80 | 1.95 | +2.5 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | 69 | 0 | 66 | 286 | 102 | 24 | 8 | 35.7% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 4.11 | 2.66 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | 63 | 0 | 63 | 247 | 83 | 21 | 4 | 33.6% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 2.30 | 2.23 | +2.0 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 61 | 0 | 56 | 239 | 61 | 9 | 6 | 25.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.01 | 2.91 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 53 | 0 | 53 | 208 | 83 | 16 | 5 | 39.9% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 1.87 | 1.97 | +1.8 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 9.82 | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 23 | 3 | 20 | 101 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 14.1% | 18.9% | 8.9% | 7.08 | 9.17 | -1.0 |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 21 | 2 | 20 | 104 | 32 | 18 | 3 | 25.1% | 19.3% | 3.4% | 8.55 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 33 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 42 | 0 | 39 | 171 | 58 | 22 | 8 | 29.8% | 13.5% | 5.3% | 6.28 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 25 | — | 25 | 105 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 28.9% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 4.29 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 23 | — | 23 | 98 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 28.2% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 4.31 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 405 | 5 | 390 | 1673 | 512 | 158 | 48 | 30.6% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 3.88 | 3.30 | +8.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 208 | 3 | 200 | 859 | 263 | 81 | 25 | 30.6% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 3.88 | 3.30 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ken Giles (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.17 | 28.9% | 10.5% | 3.3% | — | 4.33 | 28.2% | 17.5% | 23 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 75 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 35 | SW | 2.97 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 284 | 75 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 71 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 69 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 68 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.14 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 5.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 212 | 68 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 67 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.46 | 28.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | .246 | 3.43 | 25.1% | 17.7% | 60 | -0.03 | 2.00 | 380 | 67 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.06 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 66 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 66 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.46 | 25.7% | 12.0% | 1.8% | .299 | 3.15 | 27.7% | 19.7% | 183 | -0.31 | 2.15 | 488 | 64 |
| Matt Bush R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.58 | 30.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | .224 | 3.83 | 26.6% | 17.3% | 36 | +0.25 | 2.88 | 249 | 63 |
| Josh Lowey R 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.45 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 426 | 63 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.72 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 303 | 62 |
| Radhames Liz R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 62 |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 197 | 61 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 2.39 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.59 | 1.43 | 240 | 61 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 61 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.68 | 26.2% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .303 | 4.90 | 17.5% | 4.8% | 12 | +1.22 | 3.43 | 132 | 60 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.36 | 20.5% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .412 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 137 | 60 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.