Brady House — OGILVIE

Brady House3B Washington Nationals

Age 23 R/R 6'4" / 208 lbs MLB HR -9% Svc 0.610 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.0 · 2029

wRC+†vL 2873vR 62

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .266 / .360

PA394

HR11

K%30

BB%4

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

40→40

SPD

55→55

EYE

36↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.610 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$9M	+$7M
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+1.0	$9M	+$5M
2031	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$12M		$29M	+$17M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	66	62	14	2	0	3	4	19	0	0	0	.226	.273	.403	.676	.177	.275	29	6	.284	76	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.0
2022	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	203	181	40	6	0	2	8	86	11	1	0	.221	.295	.287	.582	.066	.396	42	4	.264	60	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2023	20	A	3 teams	374	351	90	16	2	10	16	120	4	9	2	.256	.296	.399	.695	.142	.357	32	4	.304	91	-4	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.9
2024	21	AA	2 teams	542	508	103	17	1	16	21	181	10	6	3	.203	.249	.335	.583	.132	.277	33	4	.252	51	-30	+0	+0	+2	+15	-1.3
2025	22	AAA	2 teams	557	528	133	24	1	15	21	166	1	5	4	.252	.282	.386	.668	.134	.333	30	4	.290	80	-12	-1	+2	+2	+16	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	98	92	22	4	0	2	6	31	0	1	0	.239	.286	.348	.634	.109	.339	32	6	.282	74	-3	+0	-2	+0	+3	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	296	279	66	12	1	8	14	90	1	3	1	.237	.276	.373	.648	.136	.314	30	5	.281	73	-9	+0	+1	+1	+8	0.2
TOT	23	MLB	WSH	394	371	88	16	1	10	20	121	1	4	1	.237	.278	.367	.645	.129	.324	31	5	.281	73	-12	+0	-0	+1	+11	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB	WSH	611	573	134	24	1	16	30	147	3	7	1	.234	.276	.363	.639	.129	.285	24	5	.285	76	-16	+1	+3	+2	+17	0.7
2028	25	MLB	WSH	616	577	136	24	1	17	31	147	3	7	1	.236	.278	.369	.647	.133	.286	24	5	.288	79	-15	+1	+3	+2	+17	0.9
2029	26	MLB	WSH	616	575	136	24	1	17	33	147	3	7	1	.237	.282	.370	.652	.134	.286	24	5	.290	80	-14	+1	+3	+2	+17	1.0
2030	27	MLB	WSH	611	570	135	24	1	17	33	146	3	7	1	.237	.282	.372	.654	.135	.286	24	5	.290	80	-14	+1	+3	+2	+17	1.0
2031	28	MLB	WSH	603	562	132	23	1	17	33	145	3	6	1	.235	.281	.370	.651	.135	.286	24	5	.289	79	-14	+1	+2	+2	+17	0.8
2032	29	MLB	WSH	591	551	128	22	1	16	33	144	2	5	0	.232	.278	.363	.641	.131	.285	24	6	.287	78	-15	+1	+1	+2	+17	0.6
2033	30	MLB	WSH	579	540	125	22	1	15	32	143	2	3	0	.231	.277	.359	.636	.128	.284	25	6	.284	75	-16	+1	+1	+2	+16	0.4
2034	31	MLB	WSH	564	526	121	21	1	15	31	142	2	1	0	.230	.275	.359	.635	.129	.282	25	5	.280	72	-18	+0	-0	+2	+16	0.0
2035	32	MLB	WSH	545	508	115	20	1	13	30	140	2	0	0	.226	.272	.346	.619	.120	.281	26	6	.275	69	-19	+0	-1	+2	+15	-0.3
2036	33	MLB	WSH	515	480	106	18	1	12	28	136	2	0	0	.221	.267	.338	.604	.117	.280	26	5	.270	64	-21	+0	-2	+2	+15	-0.6
2037	34	MLB	WSH	467	438	95	16	1	10	25	127	1	0	0	.217	.261	.326	.587	.110	.278	27	5	.263	60	-21	+0	-3	+2	+13	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8356	7809	1809	315	16	219	423	2226	53	67	15	.232	.276	.360	.636	.129	.294	27	5	.281	74	-250	+7	+14	+30	+237	3.9
/ 162G	—			650	607	141	25	1	17	33	173	4	5	1	.232	.276	.361	.637	.129	.295	27	5	.281	74	-19	+1	+1	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	66	59	19	3	0	4	7	13	0	0	0	.322	.394	.576	.970	.254	.357	20	11	.423	182	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	203	176	49	8	0	3	12	59	11	1	0	.278	.360	.375	.735	.097	.393	29	6	.332	112	+3	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2023	20	AA	Harrisburg Senators	148	139	45	8	2	3	7	42	1	1	1	.324	.361	.475	.835	.151	.442	28	5	.367	139	+7	-0	—	—	+4	1.1
2023	20	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	68	63	20	5	0	3	3	13	2	3	0	.317	.368	.540	.907	.222	.362	19	4	.398	163	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2023	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	158	138	41	8	1	6	16	34	1	5	1	.297	.372	.500	.872	.203	.350	22	10	.378	148	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	21	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	236	224	56	10	0	6	7	68	3	1	1	.250	.282	.375	.657	.125	.329	29	3	.291	81	-5	-0	—	—	+7	0.1
2024	21	AA	Harrisburg Senators	306	274	64	11	1	13	24	75	7	5	2	.234	.311	.423	.735	.190	.273	25	8	.327	108	+3	+0	—	—	+9	1.2
2025	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	274	261	61	11	0	4	8	78	0	5	3	.234	.257	.322	.578	.088	.310	28	3	.254	53	-15	-0	+2	+2	+8	-0.3
2025	22	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	283	260	79	15	1	13	20	75	1	0	1	.304	.356	.519	.875	.215	.379	27	7	.381	150	+16	-0	—	—	+8	2.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			274	261	61	11	0	4	8	78	0	5	3	.234	.257	.322	.578	.088	.310	28	3	.254	53	-15	-0	+2	+2	+8	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady House (OGILVIE)	23	50	40	55	35	.231/.270/.359	.127	.285	10	5	24%	5%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Asael Sanchez 2017 · AAA	23	51	44→45	51→45	41	.252/.287/.376	.123	.296	11	10	19%	4%	84	+0.6	.260/.303/.389	.129	.321	12	9	22%	5%	94	+1.3	.271/.314/.394	.123	.340	12	6	23%	5%	94	+0.5
✕Gabriel Arias 2023 · MLB	23	48→54	48→50	51→50	42	.237/.294/.375	.138	.311	15	8	28%	6%	87	+0.8	.230/.284/.374	.144	.318	15	12	31%	6%	82	+0.5	.227/.280/.374	.147	.322	15	13	33%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Alberth Martinez 2014 · AAA	23	43→49	45→50	54→45	44	.217/.272/.352	.135	.264	12	10	23%	6%	72	-0.2	.230/.278/.351	.121	.281	12	6	22%	6%	74	-0.1	.227/.272/.345	.119	.276	13	5	23%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Michael Almanzar 2015 · AAA	24	47→50	46→50	49→45	41	.236/.283/.366	.130	.292	14	9	24%	5%	80	+0.4	.208/.247/.307	.099	.267	10	4	25%	4%	49	-1.8	.199/.234/.292	.092	.257	9	1	26%	3%	37	-2.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2022 · MLB	23	45→52	43→45	46→50	45	.223/.282/.337	.114	.281	11	8	24%	7%	72	-0.2	.228/.299/.321	.093	.295	8	9	23%	9%	76	+0.0	.239/.310/.323	.084	.313	8	14	24%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Adelaido Martinez 2012 · AAA	23	48	48→40	53→40	38	.243/.282/.387	.144	.296	16	11	24%	4%	85	+0.7	.212/.244/.302	.090	.262	7	9	22%	3%	46	-2.0	.224/.250/.281	.057	.264	5	4	17%	2%	40	-0.7
✕Brendan Rodgers 2020 · MLB	23	48→54	48→50	47→45	39	.241/.286/.381	.139	.300	16	7	25%	4%	85	+0.7	.244/.294/.380	.136	.298	14	4	22%	6%	89	+0.9	.253/.308/.383	.131	.298	13	0	19%	6%	93	+0.8
✕Kevin Flores 2008 · AAA	23	46→51	44→45	47→45	41	.226/.267/.341	.115	.281	11	9	24%	5%	66	-0.6	.224/.270/.308	.084	.283	6	9	22%	5%	58	-1.2	.272/.310/.368	.096	.313	11	0	17%	4%	88	+0.5
✕Sheldon Neuse 2018 · AA	23	49→53	47→45	49→45	38	.243/.285/.374	.131	.329	15	10	30%	5%	82	+0.5	.226/.270/.335	.109	.336	11	6	34%	5%	66	-0.6	.239/.289/.366	.127	.325	15	7	30%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Joel Guzman 2008 · MLB	23	45→48	48→55	48→45	37	.230/.268/.370	.141	.302	16	9	30%	5%	75	-0.0	.228/.265/.375	.147	.285	19	5	27%	4%	75	-0.0	.239/.283/.382	.143	.292	19	2	25%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Angel Chavez 2006 · MLB	25	47→53	47→45	52→50	39	.238/.267/.366	.129	.280	15	9	22%	4%	73	-0.1	.243/.275/.365	.122	.291	12	10	21%	4%	76	+0.0	.249/.282/.364	.115	.294	11	9	19%	4%	75	+0.0
✕Yairo Muñoz 2018 · AAA	23	45→54	44→50	49→55	39	.227/.258/.344	.117	.276	12	13	23%	4%	63	-0.8	.253/.298/.381	.128	.313	13	14	23%	6%	90	+1.0	.270/.315/.386	.116	.325	11	18	20%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Colton Welker 2021 · AA	23	46→55	42→45	47→45	41	.228/.270/.334	.106	.293	10	5	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.213/.283/.323	.110	.281	11	6	27%	8%	69	-0.4	.192/.286/.266	.074	.264	7	3	28%	10%	55	-0.4
●Yamaico Navarro 2011 · MLB	23	47→53	44→50	49→50	45	.232/.283/.352	.119	.280	11	12	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.227/.287/.351	.124	.273	12	13	21%	7%	78	+0.2	.230/.298/.389	.159	.262	21	11	21%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2023 · AA	23	49→54	44→45	48→50	39	.240/.282/.355	.115	.315	13	10	28%	5%	76	+0.1	.221/.283/.311	.090	.310	9	12	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.201/.271/.275	.074	.288	7	12	31%	8%	49	-1.4
✕Paul Leon 2011 · AAA	23	46→56	44→45	50→45	43	.227/.264/.349	.121	.262	11	11	18%	4%	67	-0.5	.227/.267/.317	.090	.282	8	6	21%	5%	59	-1.1	.250/.284/.342	.092	.301	9	4	19%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Gilberto Galaviz 2015 · AAA	23	47	42→40	46→30	40	.233/.266/.338	.105	.276	10	6	20%	4%	65	-0.7	.248/.285/.331	.083	.286	7	5	15%	4%	70	-0.3	.257/.294/.304	.047	.287	3	1	11%	3%	64	-0.3
✕Ryan Khoury 2007 · AAA	23	46→49	42→45	52→45	41	.224/.272/.325	.101	.298	9	12	28%	6%	64	-0.8	.235/.303/.349	.114	.307	10	6	25%	8%	85	+0.7	.225/.303/.327	.102	.302	7	3	26%	9%	76	+0.1
✕Diego Rincones 2022 · AA	23	47→48	48→50	49→30	44	.239/.293/.378	.139	.275	16	3	20%	5%	88	+0.9	.232/.279/.367	.135	.265	17	3	20%	4%	79	+0.3	.223/.264/.340	.117	.249	16	0	18%	4%	65	-0.3
✕Nick Allen 2022 · AAA	23	46→56	42→40	49→50	42	.226/.274/.332	.106	.290	9	14	25%	6%	66	-0.6	.230/.285/.322	.092	.279	8	15	20%	7%	69	-0.4	.243/.303/.319	.076	.291	6	16	17%	7%	74	-0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)