Brady House — OGILVIE

Brady House3B Rochester Red Wings

Age 23 R/R 6'4" / 208 lbs MLB Svc 0.610 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION363 act + 242 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 3141vR 66

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .279 / .392

PA242

HR8

K%29

BB%5

BABIP305

ISO154

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

6010.0%

xwOBA

410.298

POWER40

Barrel%

396.8

Avg EV

5589.5

Bat Spd

6973.3

EYE35

Chase%

8924.1%

SPEED55

Sprint

6328.0

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 380 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

115

265

—

wRC+

◀L

wOBA

270

264

—

ISO

065

116

▶▶R

BABIP

375

290

◀◀L

30.4%

28.7%

▶R

BB%

4.3%

4.1%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.610 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.4	$1M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$9M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$9M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$10M	+$7M
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$9M	+$5M
2031	Arb-3	$8M	+1.3	$7M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$46M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	66	62	14	2	0	3	4	19	0	0	0	226	273	403	676	177	275	29	6	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	66	59	19	3	0	4	7	13	0	0	0	322	394	576	970	254	357	20	11	423	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	203	181	41	7	0	2	8	90	11	1	0	227	300	298	598	72	424	44	4	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	203	176	49	8	0	3	12	59	11	1	0	278	360	375	735	97	393	29	6	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	3 teams	—	374	352	92	17	3	11	15	123	4	9	2	261	299	420	720	159	367	33	4	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	3 teams	—	374	340	106	21	3	12	26	89	4	9	2	312	367	497	864	185	388	24	7	378	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	2 teams	—	542	509	101	18	1	16	20	184	10	6	3	198	243	332	575	134	272	34	4	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	2 teams	—	542	498	120	21	1	19	31	143	10	6	3	241	299	402	700	161	298	26	6	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	2 teams	—	557	527	136	24	1	16	22	163	1	5	4	258	289	398	688	140	338	29	4	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	2 teams	—	557	521	140	26	1	17	28	153	1	5	4	269	307	420	728	152	344	27	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	WSH	—	363	341	82	14	2	13	19	105	1	4	0	240	283	408	690	167	307	29	5	297	86	-6	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.5
YTD	23	AAA	WSH	—	363	338	89	16	2	14	22	96	1	4	0	263	310	447	757	183	326	26	6	332	112	+5	+1	-2	+1	+10	1.6
ROS	23	AAA	WSH	100%	242	227	54	9	1	8	12	69	1	3	0	238	279	392	671	154	304	29	5	294	83	-5	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.4
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	100%	242	227	54	9	1	8	12	69	1	3	0	238	279	392	671	154	304	29	5	291	81	-5	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.4
FULL	23	AAA	WSH	—	605	568	136	23	3	21	31	174	2	7	0	239	281	401	683	162	306	29	5	295	84	-11	+1	-1	+2	+17	0.9
TOT	23	AAA	WSH	—	605	568	136	23	3	21	31	174	2	7	0	239	281	401	683	162	306	29	5	296	85	-11	+1	-1	+2	+17	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	WSH	82%	618	579	138	24	2	20	31	175	3	7	1	238	281	390	671	152	305	28	5	296	85	-11	+1	+2	+2	+18	1.2
2028	25	MLB	WSH	82%	623	583	139	24	2	20	32	176	3	7	1	238	282	389	671	151	305	28	5	299	87	-9	+1	+2	+2	+18	1.4
2029	26	MLB	WSH	82%	623	582	140	24	2	21	33	175	3	7	1	241	285	397	682	156	305	28	5	300	88	-9	+1	+2	+2	+18	1.4
2030	27	MLB	WSH	82%	618	577	138	24	2	20	33	174	3	7	1	239	284	392	676	153	305	28	5	300	88	-9	+1	+2	+2	+18	1.4
2031	28	MLB	WSH	82%	610	569	136	24	2	20	33	173	3	6	1	239	284	394	678	155	305	28	5	299	87	-9	+1	+1	+2	+17	1.2
2032	29	MLB	WSH	82%	598	558	132	23	2	19	33	171	2	6	1	237	282	387	669	151	304	29	6	297	85	-10	+1	+0	+2	+17	1.0
2033	30	MLB	WSH	82%	586	547	129	22	2	19	32	169	2	5	1	236	281	388	668	152	302	29	5	294	83	-11	+1	-0	+2	+17	0.8
2034	31	MLB	WSH	82%	571	533	124	21	2	18	31	166	2	4	1	233	277	381	658	148	300	29	5	289	80	-13	+0	-1	+2	+16	0.4
2035	32	MLB	WSH	82%	552	515	117	20	1	16	30	163	2	3	0	227	272	363	636	136	296	30	5	283	75	-16	+1	-2	+2	+16	0.1
2027	24	MLB	WSH	82%	507	474	114	20	2	16	26	144	2	5	1	241	283	392	675	152	305	28	5	293	83	-10	+1	+1	+2	+14	0.8
2028	25	MLB	WSH	82%	511	478	115	20	2	17	26	144	2	6	1	241	283	397	680	157	305	28	5	296	84	-9	+1	+1	+2	+14	1.0
2029	26	MLB	WSH	82%	511	477	115	20	2	17	27	144	2	6	1	241	285	398	683	157	305	28	5	297	85	-9	+1	+1	+2	+14	1.0
2030	27	MLB	WSH	82%	507	473	114	20	2	17	27	143	2	5	1	241	285	400	684	159	305	28	5	297	85	-9	+1	+1	+2	+14	1.0
2031	28	MLB	WSH	82%	500	467	111	19	2	16	27	142	2	5	1	238	282	390	672	152	305	28	5	295	84	-9	+1	+1	+2	+14	0.9
2032	29	MLB	WSH	82%	490	458	109	19	2	16	27	140	2	5	1	238	283	393	676	155	304	29	6	293	83	-10	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.7
2033	30	MLB	WSH	82%	481	449	105	18	1	15	27	139	2	4	1	234	280	379	659	145	302	29	6	291	81	-11	+0	-0	+2	+14	0.5
2034	31	MLB	WSH	82%	468	437	100	17	1	14	26	136	2	3	0	229	275	368	644	140	300	29	6	286	77	-12	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.3
2035	32	MLB	WSH	82%	453	423	96	16	1	14	25	134	2	3	0	227	273	369	642	142	296	30	6	281	73	-14	+1	-2	+2	+13	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4944	4624	1094	189	16	154	258	1413	19	50	10	237	280	384	664	148	305	29	5	290	80	-111	+6	+7	+19	+140	6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	144	25	2	20	34	186	2	7	1	237	280	383	663	146	305	29	5	290	80	-15	+1	+1	+2	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	7383	6901	1631	283	23	229	369	2190	50	76	17	236	280	384	664	147	310	30	5	291	81	-159	+8	+8	+26	+209	9.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	143	25	2	20	32	193	4	7	1	235	278	382	660	146	308	30	5	291	81	-14	+1	+1	+2	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	66	59	19	3	0	4	7	13	0	0	0	322	394	576	970	254	357	20	11	423	182	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	203	176	49	8	0	3	12	59	11	1	0	278	360	375	735	97	393	29	6	332	112	+3	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2023	20	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	148	139	45	8	2	3	7	42	1	1	1	324	361	475	835	151	442	28	5	367	139	+7	-0	—	—	+4	1.1
2023	20	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	68	63	20	5	0	3	3	13	2	3	0	317	368	540	907	222	362	19	4	398	163	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2023	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	158	138	41	8	1	6	16	34	1	5	1	297	372	500	872	203	350	22	10	378	148	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	21	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	236	224	56	10	0	6	7	68	3	1	1	250	282	375	657	125	329	29	3	291	81	-5	-0	—	—	+7	0.1
2024	21	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	306	274	64	11	1	13	24	75	7	5	2	234	311	423	735	190	273	25	8	327	108	+3	+0	—	—	+9	1.2
2025	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	274	261	61	11	0	4	8	78	0	5	3	234	257	322	578	88	310	28	3	254	53	-15	-0	+2	+2	+8	-0.3
2025	22	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	283	260	79	15	1	13	20	75	1	0	1	304	356	519	875	215	379	27	7	381	150	+16	-0	—	—	+8	2.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	274	261	61	11	0	4	8	78	0	5	3	234	257	322	578	88	310	28	3	254	53	-15	-0	+2	+2	+8	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	11	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
	/162	664	17	16	256	294	407	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Jose Lopezlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,089 PA	9	4,089	92	25	262	292	395	+16	+24	10.7	10.8
#3Jose Lopezlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,089 PA	/162	664	15	4	262	292	395	+2.6	+3.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#4Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,272	164	53	237	277	385	+19	+9	6.2	6.1
	/162	664	21	7	237	277	385	+2.4	+1.1	0.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady House (OGILVIE)	23	50	40	55	35	239/281/401	162	306	21	7	29%	5%	85	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gabriel Arias 2023 · MLB	23	50→58	48→50	51→50	43	246/304/383	137	322	15	8	28%	7%	93	+1.3	231/285/376	145	322	15	12	31%	6%	83	+0.6	233/280/392	159	333	17	16	34%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Brendan Rodgers 2020 · MLB	23	46→50	46→50	47→45	40	231/277/357	126	290	14	7	25%	5%	75	-0.0	232/283/360	128	282	13	4	22%	6%	79	+0.3	233/290/354	121	275	12	0	19%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Brian Anderson 2006 · MLB	24	48	49→50	47→45	40	240/286/385	144	310	17	6	28%	6%	86	+0.8	229/282/375	146	286	16	8	25%	6%	82	+0.5	220/279/368	148	274	18	8	26%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Clint Frazier 2018 · MLB	23	45	48→55	52→50	42	224/278/377	153	293	15	11	28%	6%	81	+0.4	233/294/402	169	300	18	8	27%	7%	95	+1.4	234/305/413	179	297	20	6	27%	8%	98	+0.9
✕Joel Guzman 2008 · MLB	23	45→49	48→55	49→45	37	228/265/366	138	298	16	10	29%	4%	72	-0.2	227/264/375	148	284	19	5	27%	4%	74	-0.1	236/279/373	138	292	18	2	25%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Adelaido Martinez 2012 · AAA	23	48	48→40	53→40	38	241/278/386	145	293	16	11	24%	3%	83	+0.6	209/242/295	86	258	7	9	21%	3%	43	-2.2	224/250/283	59	262	6	4	17%	2%	40	-0.7
✕Sheldon Neuse 2018 · AA	23	50→53	46→50	49→45	37	245/285/372	127	335	14	10	31%	5%	82	+0.5	229/274/339	110	338	11	5	33%	6%	69	-0.4	244/294/375	130	331	15	7	30%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Yu Chang 2019 · AAA	23	41→46	48→50	47→45	39	207/266/350	143	291	15	7	34%	6%	69	-0.4	221/275/366	145	298	15	7	30%	6%	76	+0.1	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Javier Herrera 2008 · AAA	23	45→51	48→50	48→50	39	226/282/365	139	298	16	14	29%	6%	80	+0.4	230/279/367	137	317	15	12	31%	6%	79	+0.3	236/292/383	146	327	16	14	31%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Juan Fernandez 2022 · AA	23	42→52	47→40	47→50	42	214/274/349	134	277	15	7	28%	6%	72	-0.2	242/302/334	92	301	9	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	251/312/326	75	307	7	11	20%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Carter Kieboom 2020 · MLB	22	47→50	48→50	46→45	46	236/306/377	141	309	16	6	28%	8%	93	+1.3	223/313/340	117	291	13	5	26%	10%	87	+0.8	205/303/309	105	264	14	2	26%	10%	71	-0.1
✕Luke Hughes 2009 · AAA	24	49→51	49→55	50→45	41	243/291/389	145	313	16	7	27%	6%	89	+1.0	226/280/372	146	284	15	7	25%	6%	80	+0.4	205/267/332	127	261	13	6	26%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Michael Choice 2013 · AA	23	45→53	49→50	46→40	40	227/284/371	143	308	17	7	31%	6%	82	+0.5	224/290/344	120	296	13	4	28%	7%	78	+0.2	217/268/367	151	304	20	4	34%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Michael Almanzar 2015 · AAA	24	46→48	46→50	49→45	40	231/279/361	131	287	14	9	25%	5%	77	+0.1	207/245/312	105	266	11	3	26%	4%	50	-1.8	200/234/300	99	256	11	1	26%	3%	39	-1.9
●Luis Campusano 2023 · MLB	24	43→53	46→50	48→30	43	219/273/340	121	272	14	3	25%	6%	69	-0.4	251/306/402	151	289	19	3	20%	7%	99	+1.7	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Brent Clevlen 2007 · MLB	23	46→52	47→50	48→50	40	225/283/359	134	329	15	8	35%	7%	79	+0.3	222/276/359	137	330	15	7	35%	7%	76	+0.0	230/293/372	141	339	15	8	34%	8%	83	+0.2
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	46→52	50→55	52→50	39	234/277/394	160	299	18	15	28%	5%	85	+0.7	213/265/357	144	280	16	12	29%	5%	70	-0.3	233/275/409	176	307	23	8	31%	5%	85	+0.3
✕Kevin Flores 2007 · AAA	22	49→53	48→45	47→45	41	245/286/394	148	305	15	7	25%	5%	89	+0.9	217/261/309	92	276	7	10	23%	5%	55	-1.4	279/316/376	98	323	11	0	17%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Alberth Martinez 2014 · AAA	23	42→51	46→50	54→45	44	211/270/350	139	260	12	10	24%	6%	70	-0.3	234/283/362	128	285	14	6	22%	6%	79	+0.3	234/279/361	127	284	14	5	23%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Yairo Muñoz 2018 · AAA	23	46→55	46→50	50→55	38	230/260/358	128	282	14	14	24%	4%	68	-0.5	256/301/385	129	318	13	15	23%	6%	92	+1.2	273/318/382	109	330	10	18	20%	5%	91	+0.6