Kyle Karros

3B Colorado Rockies

Age 25 R/R 6'5" / 225 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.302 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	A+COL	539	.311/.393/.485	15	12	83	—	.242/.303/.364
2025	23	MLBCOL	156	.226/.312/.277	1	0	67	0.3
2026	24	MLBCOL	475	.253/.350/.414	13	5	106	1.7
2027PROJ	25	MLBCOL	538	.246/.333/.390	13	7	96	1.3
2028PROJ98% MLB	26	MLBCOL	528	.246/.333/.389	13	6	95	1.3
2029PROJ98% MLB	27	MLBCOL	523	.244/.331/.386	12	6	94	1.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.9 · Next 3 projected WAR 3.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.302First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$3M2031Arb-2$4M2032Arb-3$4M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

xwOBA56

Avg EV52

Speed40

Bat Spd38

Form.233/.314/.378 · rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .234/.320/.362

CompsCorey Joyce (age 25) · Andre Lipcius (age 25) · Jacob Amaya (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 9896vR 89

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .333 / .390

PA538

HR13

SB7

K%22

BB%10

BABIP301

ISO144

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$37M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

902.8%

xAVG

360.240

POWER30

Barrel%

376.5

Avg EV

5289.3

Bat Spd

3870.1

EYE55

Chase%

907.0%

SPEED50

Sprint

4027.0

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%▼25% over 69 PA (45d) · proj 22%

BB%9%▼8% over 72 PA (60d) · proj 10%

ISO.145▲.185 over 65 AB (60d) · proj .129

HR/BB4.2%▲6.4% over 47 BBE (60d) · proj 3.2%

BABIP.284·.227 over 44 BIP (60d) · proj .287

SLASH.233/.314/.378·proj .234/.320/.362

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 247 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

189

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

260

285

▶R

ISO

058

064

▶R

BABIP

272

287

▶R

20.7%

23.8%

◀L

BB%

10.3%

13.2%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.302 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$14M	+$13M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$9M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$8M
2030	Arb-1	$3M	+1.0	$6M	+$4M
2031	Arb-2	$4M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$41M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	96	81	21	2	0	0	12	17	2	0	0	259	368	284	652	25	323	18	12	308	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	60	49	16	2	1	0	10	8	1	3	0	327	450	408	858	82	390	13	17	394	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	539	472	147	33	2	15	54	123	9	12	5	311	393	485	878	174	391	23	10	388	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	156	137	31	4	0	1	15	41	2	0	0	226	312	277	589	51	309	26	10	274	67	-6	+0	+4	+2	+3	0.3
2025	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	68	62	19	4	1	2	5	12	1	0	0	306	368	500	868	194	354	18	7	382	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	234	197	58	17	2	4	32	45	3	7	0	294	399	462	861	168	362	19	14	383	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	475	411	104	21	3	13	54	100	7	5	0	253	350	414	763	161	302	21	11	342	106	+4	+1	-0	+2	+10	1.7
2026	24	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	17	15	6	1	0	1	2	3	0	1	0	400	471	667	1.137	267	455	18	12	493	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	631	548	135	25	3	14	69	141	9	5	0	246	340	380	720	133	304	22	11	325	106	+5	+1	+3	+3	+14	2.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	96	84	19	2	0	0	9	23	2	0	0	226	316	250	566	24	298	24	9	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	60	53	13	1	1	0	6	12	1	3	0	245	333	302	635	57	312	20	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	539	492	119	23	2	11	34	167	9	12	5	242	303	364	667	122	333	31	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	156	137	30	4	0	1	15	41	2	0	0	219	305	270	575	51	309	26	10	268	67	-6	+0	+4	+2	+3	0.3
2025	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	68	63	16	3	1	1	4	15	1	0	0	254	309	381	690	127	327	22	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	234	207	57	17	2	3	23	54	3	7	0	275	356	420	777	145	352	23	10	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	475	413	99	20	2	12	52	100	7	5	0	240	335	385	720	145	302	21	11	325	106	+4	+1	-0	+2	+10	1.7
2026	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	17	16	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	1	0	375	412	625	1.037	250	428	24	6	415	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	156	137	32	3	1	0	15	35	3	3	0	234	323	270	593	36	311	22	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	156	130	37	4	1	0	22	25	3	3	0	285	400	331	731	46	349	16	14	341	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	539	492	119	23	2	11	34	167	9	12	5	242	303	364	667	122	340	31	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	539	472	147	33	2	15	54	123	9	12	5	311	393	485	878	174	391	23	10	388	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	458	408	104	24	3	5	41	110	6	7	0	255	332	365	697	110	334	24	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	458	396	108	25	3	7	52	98	6	7	0	273	365	404	769	131	344	21	11	346	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	492	429	104	21	2	12	53	104	7	6	0	242	335	385	720	142	291	21	11	328	108	+5	+1	-0	+2	+11	1.9
2026	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	492	426	110	22	3	14	56	103	7	6	0	258	354	423	776	164	308	21	11	347	108	+5	+1	-0	+2	+11	1.9
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	156	137	32	3	1	0	15	35	3	3	0	234	323	270	593	36	303	22	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	539	491	119	23	2	11	34	167	9	12	5	242	303	365	667	122	333	31	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	458	408	104	24	3	5	41	110	6	7	0	255	332	365	697	110	334	24	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	492	429	104	21	2	12	53	104	7	6	0	242	335	385	720	142	307	21	11	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	539	491	119	23	2	11	34	167	9	12	5	242	303	365	667	122	333	31	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	458	408	104	24	3	5	41	110	6	7	0	255	332	365	697	110	334	24	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	492	429	104	21	2	12	53	104	7	6	0	242	335	385	720	142	307	21	11	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	100%	538	472	110	22	2	11	54	120	7	7	2	234	322	363	685	129	287	22	10	309	96	-3	+1	+2	+2	+12	1.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	100%	538	472	116	23	3	13	54	120	7	7	2	246	333	390	723	144	301	22	10	324	96	-3	+1	+2	+2	+12	1.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	98%	539	472	110	22	2	11	55	121	7	6	2	234	322	362	684	129	287	22	10	309	95	-3	+0	+2	+2	+12	1.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	98%	534	468	109	22	2	11	54	120	7	6	2	233	321	359	680	127	286	22	10	308	94	-4	+0	+2	+2	+12	1.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	98%	526	461	107	21	2	11	53	120	7	4	1	231	319	354	673	124	285	23	10	305	92	-5	+0	+1	+2	+11	1.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	98%	514	451	103	20	2	10	52	118	6	2	1	228	316	348	663	120	284	23	10	301	90	-6	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.7
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	98%	502	441	100	20	2	9	50	117	6	1	1	224	312	339	651	115	281	23	10	296	86	-8	-0	-1	+2	+11	0.4
2033	31	MLB MLE	COL	98%	487	430	93	18	1	8	48	115	6	1	1	219	306	327	634	108	277	24	10	289	82	-11	-0	-1	+2	+11	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	98%	528	463	114	22	3	13	53	118	7	6	2	246	333	389	722	144	301	22	10	324	95	-3	+0	+2	+2	+11	1.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	98%	523	458	112	22	3	12	53	118	7	6	2	244	331	386	718	142	300	23	10	322	94	-3	+0	+2	+2	+11	1.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	98%	515	451	109	21	3	12	52	117	7	4	1	242	329	380	709	138	298	23	10	319	92	-5	+0	+1	+2	+11	1.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	98%	504	442	107	21	3	11	51	116	6	2	1	239	326	373	698	133	297	23	10	315	90	-6	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.7
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	98%	492	434	101	20	2	10	49	115	6	1	1	235	322	362	684	127	294	23	10	309	86	-8	-0	-1	+2	+11	0.4
2033	31	MLB CTX	COL	98%	477	421	97	19	2	9	47	113	6	1	1	230	316	350	665	120	289	24	10	301	82	-10	-0	-1	+2	+10	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3670	3217	775	150	19	81	374	838	48	25	8	241	329	375	704	134	299	23	10	317	92	-31	+2	+6	+14	+80	7.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	137	27	3	14	66	148	9	4	1	240	329	372	701	132	299	23	10	317	92	-5	+0	+1	+3	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5285	4661	1091	216	21	99	509	1247	71	55	15	234	319	353	672	119	296	24	10	304	92	-34	+2	+8	+16	+93	8.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	135	27	3	12	63	153	9	7	2	236	321	356	677	120	299	24	10	304	92	-5	+0	+1	+2	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Green'63-'74 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,462 PA	6.7	4,462	80	26	246*	308*	382*	+16	+18	11.8	12.8
/162	664	12	4	+2.4	+2.7	1.8	pk7: 14
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.3	4,209	85	32	233	318	357	+15	+18	9.7	9.6
/162	664	13	5	+2.4	+2.9	1.5	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Billy Klaus'52-'63 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,887 PA	4.3	2,887	40	14	244*	323*	366*	+22	+12	6.9	7.8
/162	664	9	3	+5.1	+2.7	1.6	pk7: 9
#5Brent Gates'93-'99 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,625 PA	4.0	2,625	25	18	253*	313*	350*	+8	+11	4.2	4.2
/162	664	6	5	+2.0	+2.8	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Karros (OGILVIE)	25	40	30	50	55	232/320/359	128	287	11	7	22%	10%	96	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Joyce 2024 · AAA	25	42	43→40	50	48	204/305/319	115	291	11	13	31%	10%	81	-0.1	217/305/313	96	303	8	15	29%	9%	79	-0.2	219/295/310	91	293	10	16	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	48→51	45	49→45	53	235/311/363	129	286	11	9	22%	10%	92	+0.7	232/298/362	130	288	15	7	24%	8%	87	+0.4	221/286/351	129	272	16	5	24%	7%	78	-0.3
✕Jacob Amaya 2024 · AAA	25	45→47	45	48→45	50	226/297/349	123	278	13	6	23%	9%	84	+0.1	209/275/311	102	285	10	9	28%	8%	67	-1.1	193/261/281	88	273	9	9	31%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2024 · MLB	25	48→53	41→45	48→55	53	230/313/330	100	290	8	8	22%	10%	86	+0.3	244/311/333	89	322	7	15	24%	8%	85	+0.2	250/314/326	76	336	6	19	25%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Colton Welker 2023 · MLB	25	46→56	47→45	48→45	47	228/297/359	132	291	15	6	26%	8%	86	+0.3	230/320/324	94	304	8	9	24%	10%	87	+0.4	218/335/249	31	301	0	6	23%	13%	74	-0.2
✕Brett Harris 2024 · AAA	26	50→52	46→45	50	48	246/317/380	135	290	14	11	20%	7%	99	+1.2	237/317/355	118	291	12	10	21%	9%	93	+0.8	231/318/342	111	288	12	9	22%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Greg Cullen 2023 · AAA	26	49→44	43→40	48→40	53	236/324/348	112	306	11	5	25%	11%	94	+0.9	233/323/337	104	319	9	9	27%	10%	91	+0.7	227/336/301	74	323	7	8	28%	12%	87	+0.2
✕José Fermín 2024 · MLB	25	44→52	43→45	46→55	54	215/299/324	109	235	11	10	14%	9%	80	-0.2	242/328/367	125	265	12	22	13%	10%	99	+1.3	248/334/370	122	271	11	25	12%	10%	102	+0.9
✕Antonio Perez 2005 · MLB	25	50	46→45	51→55	54	244/328/378	135	303	13	13	23%	11%	102	+1.5	233/301/347	114	316	10	14	27%	8%	84	+0.2	221/291/321	100	306	7	14	28%	7%	76	-0.1
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2009 · AAA	25	47	44→40	45	50	230/308/342	112	285	12	5	23%	9%	86	+0.3	234/304/337	103	291	10	6	22%	8%	83	+0.1	231/301/321	89	285	8	3	20%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Tommy Field 2012 · MLB	25	48→50	45	48→45	44	238/305/361	123	305	13	9	26%	7%	89	+0.5	229/291/350	121	290	11	7	24%	7%	82	-0.0	223/292/352	129	279	13	7	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Patrick Frick 2022 · AA	25	50→51	42→45	49→45	46	239/315/346	107	322	10	7	27%	8%	90	+0.6	220/284/293	73	300	5	7	26%	7%	66	-1.1	208/269/251	43	286	1	4	26%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Jose Herrera 2022 · AAA	25	44	44→40	49→40	50	218/298/333	115	290	11	6	28%	10%	80	-0.1	224/293/308	84	290	7	4	23%	9%	72	-0.7	219/289/282	62	279	4	1	21%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Ricardo Ruiz 2006 · AAA	24	51	45→40	47→50	50	250/314/371	121	289	13	11	18%	8%	95	+0.9	244/296/329	85	290	5	10	17%	5%	78	-0.3	258/308/326	69	306	1	8	15%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Mark Mathias 2020 · AAA	25	46→47	45→50	53→50	47	226/296/358	132	283	12	13	24%	8%	86	+0.3	243/306/387	144	311	15	16	25%	7%	96	+1.0	259/342/386	127	350	15	20	28%	10%	107	+0.9
✕Jamie Ritchie 2018 · AA	25	50→53	39→40	47→45	53	234/321/318	83	305	6	6	23%	10%	86	+0.3	236/313/333	97	310	7	6	24%	9%	86	+0.3	247/328/340	93	319	6	3	22%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Bryan Lavastida 2024 · MLB	25	44	44→45	50→55	47	218/287/332	114	274	12	14	24%	8%	76	-0.4	223/290/335	112	284	11	23	24%	7%	78	-0.3	223/288/328	105	282	10	27	23%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Zach Humphreys 2023 · AA	25	45	43→40	49→50	52	221/304/327	106	290	11	12	26%	10%	82	-0.0	212/285/304	92	286	7	15	26%	9%	69	-0.9	198/271/277	78	269	5	16	26%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Zelous Wheeler 2012 · AAA	25	50→54	44→50	50→45	50	243/319/365	122	290	11	9	20%	8%	96	+1.0	244/306/374	130	290	13	6	20%	7%	93	+0.8	245/304/373	128	291	13	4	20%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Michael Turconi 2024 · AA	25	47→46	43→45	51→50	52	225/312/342	117	299	9	7	26%	10%	88	+0.4	202/285/280	78	321	5	9	35%	10%	63	-1.3	181/268/228	47	308	2	9	38%	10%	44	-1.2

Kyle Karros

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps