Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros | 14 | 7 | 26 | 156 | 43 | 52 | 1 | 50% | 1.9 | 18.7% | 41.7% | -22.9% | 0.9% | 14.35 | 7.29 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Astros | 14 | 7 | 26 | 156 | 43 | 52 | 1 | 50% | 1.9 | 27.6% | 33.3% | -5.8% | 0.6% | 14.35 | 6.25 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros Blue | 9 | 0 | 18 | 95 | 17 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 2.0 | 12.2% | 36.8% | -24.7% | 4.2% | 4.58 | 9.03 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Astros Blue | 9 | 0 | 18 | 95 | 17 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 2.0 | 17.9% | 29.5% | -11.6% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 8.14 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 18 | 3 | 53 | 229 | 65 | 38 | 2 | 17% | 2.9 | 20.0% | 20.3% | -0.3% | 1.2% | 3.42 | 4.64 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 18 | 3 | 53 | 229 | 65 | 38 | 2 | 17% | 2.9 | 20.0% | 20.3% | -0.3% | 1.2% | 3.42 | 4.64 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 18 | 3 | 53 | 229 | 65 | 38 | 2 | 17% | 2.9 | 28.4% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 0.9% | 3.42 | 3.29 | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | 17 | 0 | 16 | 104 | 19 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.1% | 32.1% | -18.0% | 3.6% | 17.23 | 7.95 | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | 17 | 0 | 16 | 104 | 19 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.1% | 32.1% | -18.0% | 3.6% | 17.23 | 7.95 | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | Asheville Tourists | 17 | 0 | 16 | 104 | 19 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.3% | 27.9% | -9.6% | 2.9% | 17.23 | 8.72 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 20.0% | -0.9% | 3.0% | 6.03 | 6.03 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | HOU | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 41 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 16.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.67 | 5.54 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | HOU | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 42 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 16.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.48 | 5.42 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | HOU | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 16.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.67 | 5.54 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | HOU | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 28 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 16.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.48 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 50 | 0 | 53 | 222 | 45 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 16.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.55 | 5.09 | -0.3 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 171 | 141 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 16.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.55 | 5.09 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 58 | 10 | 112 | 584 | 101 | 180 | 12 | 17% | 1.9 | 17.3% | 30.8% | -13.5% | 2.0% | 8.09 | 6.65 | -1.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 103 | 18 | 200 | 1040 | 180 | 320 | 21 | 17% | 1.9 | 17.3% | 30.8% | -13.5% | 2.0% | 8.09 | 6.65 | -2.1 | |
Career Comps
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).
| Player | 162s | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 0.6 | 38 | 20.2% | 17.1% | 1.15 | 5.64 |
| Brian Bruney ('12) | 1.3 | 43 | 21.2% | 15.8% | 0.94 | 4.68 |
| Matt Anderson ('05) | 1.3 | 51 | 19.3% | 13.5% | 1.05 | 5.19 |
| Doug Creek ('05) | 1.4 | 58 | 22.2% | 15.1% | 1.52 | 5.32 |
| Richie Lewis ('98) | 1.5 | 59 | 18.1% | 14.1% | 1.38 | 4.88 |
| John Hudek ('99) | 1.0 | 40 | 23.0% | 13.7% | 1.30 | 4.43 |
| Armando Almanza ('05) | 1.1 | 54 | 24.4% | 14.3% | 1.43 | 4.82 |