Luis Durango

CF Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 24 L/L 5'10" / 135 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+NYY	112	.258/.351/.268	0	17	46	—	.220/.297/.230
2025	22	ROKNYY	18	.125/.167/.125	0	0	-52	—	.059/.111/.059
2026	23	A+NYY	107	.347/.398/.442	0	18	97	—	.316/.350/.398
2026	23	ANYY	106	.312/.365/.365	0	18	83	—	.296/.337/.347
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBNYY	1	.228/.278/.292	0	0	62	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBNYY	97	.233/.284/.312	1	5	68	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBNYY	165	.235/.288/.325	2	8	72	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%98

K%97

Whiff%96

Speed96

wRC+55

wOBA48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsIan Miller (age 25) · Billy Hamilton (age 24) · Corey Rosier (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .278 / .292

PA1

HR0

K%21

BB%5

BABIP288

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 28

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER28

scouting grade only

EYE38

scouting grade only

SPEED80

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	ACL Indians	—	184	156	48	6	0	3	18	31	7	28	7	308	403	404	807	96	363	17	10	364	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	261	217	41	4	2	0	32	38	10	20	8	189	320	226	546	37	229	15	12	267	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	63	55	15	1	0	0	7	11	1	10	0	273	365	291	656	18	341	17	11	311	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	16	14	8	1	1	0	2	3	0	8	1	571	625	786	1.411	214	727	19	12	608	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	132	33	6	1	0	9	30	10	21	1	250	344	311	655	61	324	20	6	304	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	112	97	25	1	0	0	9	22	5	17	7	258	351	268	619	10	333	20	8	294	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	18	16	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	125	167	125	292		182	28	6	139	-52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	78	68	20	1	1	0	6	10	2	10	3	294	368	338	707	44	345	13	8	319	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	107	95	33	5	2	0	7	13	1	18	3	347	398	442	840	95	402	12	7	363	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	106	96	30	3	1	0	6	12	2	18	6	312	365	365	730	52	353	11	6	327	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	44	39	11	0	3	0	1	2	2	5	2	282	333	436	769	154	297	5	2	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	184	163	41	4	0	2	11	46	7	28	7	252	326	313	639	61	322	25	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	261	225	41	4	2	0	24	53	10	20	8	182	290	218	507	36	231	20	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	63	57	14	1	0	0	5	15	1	10	0	246	317	263	581	18	324	24	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	16	15	7	1	1	0	1	4	0	8	1	467	500	667	1.167	200	572	25	6	430	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	135	29	5	1	0	6	41	10	21	1	215	298	267	565	52	296	27	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	112	100	22	1	0	0	6	29	5	17	7	220	297	230	527	10	303	26	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	18	17	1	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	1	59	111	59	170		138	39	6	92	-52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	78	70	21	1	1	0	4	12	2	10	3	300	355	343	698	43	358	15	5	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	107	98	31	4	2	0	4	17	1	18	3	316	350	398	747	82	361	16	4	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	106	98	29	3	1	0	4	16	2	18	6	296	337	347	683	51	334	15	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	184	163	41	4	0	2	11	46	7	28	7	252	326	313	639	61	333	25	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Indians	—	184	156	48	6	0	3	18	31	7	28	7	308	403	404	807	96	363	17	10	364	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	261	225	41	4	2	0	24	53	10	20	8	182	290	218	507	36	238	20	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	261	217	41	4	2	0	32	38	10	20	8	189	320	226	546	37	229	15	12	267	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	79	72	20	2	1	0	6	20	1	18	1	278	342	333	675	56	385	25	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	79	69	23	2	1	0	9	14	1	18	1	333	418	391	809	58	418	18	11	371	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	135	29	5	1	0	6	41	10	21	1	215	298	267	565	52	309	27	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	132	33	6	1	0	9	30	10	21	1	250	344	311	655	61	324	20	6	304	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	130	118	24	1	0	0	6	36	5	17	8	203	271	212	483	8	293	28	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	130	113	27	1	0	0	10	27	5	17	8	239	326	248	573	9	314	21	8	273	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	335	303	92	9	4	0	15	52	7	51	14	304	351	360	711	56	365	16	4	303	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	335	298	94	9	7	0	20	37	7	51	14	315	372	393	765	77	359	11	6	336	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	184	164	41	4	0	2	11	46	7	28	7	250	326	311	637	61	322	25	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	261	225	41	4	2	0	24	53	10	20	8	182	290	218	507	36	231	20	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	79	72	20	2	1	0	6	20	1	18	1	278	342	333	675	56	374	25	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	136	29	5	1	0	6	41	10	21	1	213	298	265	563	51	296	27	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	130	118	24	1	0	0	6	36	5	17	8	203	271	212	483	8	280	28	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	335	310	92	9	4	0	15	52	7	51	14	297	351	352	702	55	350	16	4	303	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	153	136	29	5	1	0	6	41	10	21	1	213	298	265	563	51	296	27	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	130	118	24	1	0	0	6	36	5	17	8	203	271	212	483	8	280	28	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	335	310	92	9	4	0	15	52	7	51	14	297	351	352	702	55	350	16	4	303	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	341	316	72	12	2	1	16	71	6	16	4	229	278	292	570	63	288	21	5	259	62	-16	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYY	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	228	278	292	570	64	288	0	0	259	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	30%	321	297	68	11	2	2	16	67	5	15	4	232	284	310	594	78	289	21	5	269	68	-12	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	44%	372	343	80	13	2	4	20	78	6	17	5	235	287	323	610	88	289	21	5	275	72	-12	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	49%	394	363	86	14	3	5	22	83	6	18	5	234	288	325	613	90	289	21	6	276	73	-13	+2	+0	+1	+9	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	406	374	88	15	3	5	23	87	6	16	5	233	288	324	612	91	288	21	6	276	73	-13	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	405	373	87	15	2	5	23	88	6	14	4	232	287	323	610	91	288	22	6	275	72	-13	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	403	371	84	14	2	4	23	89	6	12	4	229	284	316	599	87	286	22	6	271	70	-15	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	30%	97	90	21	3	1	1	5	20	2	5	1	233	284	312	596	79	288	21	5	270	68	-4	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	44%	165	152	36	6	1	2	9	34	3	8	2	235	288	325	613	90	289	21	5	276	72	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	49%	193	177	41	7	1	2	11	41	3	9	2	235	288	327	616	93	289	21	6	278	73	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	209	192	45	7	1	3	12	45	3	8	2	234	288	327	615	93	288	22	6	278	73	-7	+1	-0	+1	+5	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	209	192	44	7	1	3	12	45	3	7	2	232	287	326	613	93	287	22	6	277	72	-7	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	207	190	43	7	1	2	12	46	3	6	2	230	284	318	602	89	286	22	6	272	70	-8	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1080	993	230	37	6	13	61	231	17	43	11	232	288	320	608	89	288	21	6	275	69	-36	+4	-2	+4	+23	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	139	22	4	8	37	139	10	26	7	232	288	323	611	90	289	21	6	275	69	-22	+3	-1	+2	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3719	3394	799	117	24	28	208	797	79	260	70	235	295	309	604	73	298	21	6	270	69	-90	+9	-4	+9	+56	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	139	20	4	5	36	139	14	45	12	234	294	307	601	73	296	21	6	270	69	-23	+2	-1	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	2.6	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
/162	664	3	29	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#3Brian Hunter'94-'03 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,659 PA	5.5	3,659	25	260	252*	300*	337*	+1	+13	2.0	3.6
/162	664	5	47	+0.2	+2.4	0.4	pk7: 5
#4Luis Matos'00-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,773 PA	2.7	1,773	30	72	245*	304*	365*	+1	+10	3.2	3.2
/162	664	11	27	+0.3	+3.9	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Chuck Carr'90-'97 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,914 PA	2.9	1,914	13	144	242*	306*	331*	+6	+20	2.6	2.6
/162	664	5	50	+2.1	+7.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Rick Bosetti'76-'82 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,656 PA	2.5	1,656	17	30	243*	286*	358*	+3	+16	0.6	0.6
/162	664	7	12	+1.4	+6.5	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,082	12	42	234	284	322	+4	+8	0.1	0.1
/162	664	7	26	+2.4	+4.6	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Durango (OGILVIE)	24	57	28	80	38	227/276/289	63	288	1	13	21%	5%	62	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ian Miller 2017 · AA	25	52→59	34→40	64→60	46	242/289/300	58	293	1	37	17%	6%	68	-1.0	245/292/322	77	310	4	33	21%	5%	74	-0.5	243/292/329	86	310	6	35	22%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Billy Hamilton 2015 · MLB	24	52→62	39→40	71→70	45	246/292/340	94	307	5	64	21%	6%	78	-0.3	238/289/323	85	293	5	60	19%	7%	74	-0.6	242/301/327	85	311	4	55	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Corey Rosier 2024 · AAA	24	49→54	42→40	65→60	44	235/295/346	111	311	8	37	26%	7%	82	-0.0	210/275/304	94	279	7	28	26%	8%	65	-1.2	187/260/267	80	246	7	28	25%	8%	49	-1.3
✕Victor Scott II 2024 · AA	23	52→55	41→40	70→65	45	246/304/351	104	306	7	50	21%	6%	86	+0.3	214/279/302	88	272	7	40	23%	7%	66	-1.1	197/269/275	78	252	7	40	23%	7%	56	-1.5
✕Tyler Tolbert 2023 · A	25	39→48	39→45	70→65	42	187/256/279	92	279	5	40	33%	8%	52	-2.2	215/270/311	96	297	7	40	28%	6%	64	-1.3	222/284/299	77	304	6	60	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Jacob Young 2023 · A	24	48→57	36→40	62→60	47	224/291/290	66	287	3	28	22%	7%	68	-1.0	246/305/325	79	305	4	32	19%	6%	80	-0.1	242/306/331	89	291	7	29	18%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Guy Lipscomb 2024 · A	23	49	37→40	63→60	52	225/307/306	81	303	3	36	25%	10%	78	-0.3	226/292/313	87	288	5	29	22%	8%	73	-0.6	223/287/309	86	277	6	31	21%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	48	38→40	64→70	41	221/318/303	83	324	6	41	30%	7%	83	+0.1	226/316/313	87	315	5	49	28%	6%	84	+0.1	233/320/331	98	311	5	64	24%	6%	85	+0.2
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43	42→50	65→70	46	208/270/320	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	66	-1.1	211/279/332	121	278	12	50	27%	8%	73	-0.6	227/287/350	124	282	13	56	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Emeel Salem 2009 · A	24	52	37→40	60→55	47	244/288/320	76	290	4	30	17%	6%	72	-0.7	236/287/311	75	276	3	20	14%	6%	70	-0.8	237/290/311	73	275	2	20	14%	6%	67	-0.9
✕Wes Rogers 2018 · A	24	49→51	39→40	63→65	44	231/285/326	96	301	6	39	24%	6%	74	-0.6	202/256/283	81	293	6	24	31%	6%	53	-2.1	178/232/242	65	266	5	20	33%	6%	33	-2.1
✕Kyle Wren 2015 · AA	24	56→62	36→40	60	45	261/303/339	77	319	2	32	18%	5%	82	-0.0	253/304/319	66	314	2	28	19%	7%	78	-0.3	254/314/331	77	325	3	25	21%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Ryan Rogowski 2008 · A	24	47→46	39→40	61→55	50	219/289/319	100	273	4	25	20%	8%	74	-0.6	218/286/303	85	270	5	25	20%	8%	69	-0.9	215/286/284	70	259	5	32	18%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Seth Stephenson 2024 · A	23	50→51	38→40	64→65	39	227/300/312	85	327	4	39	30%	6%	77	-0.3	224/287/310	86	290	6	42	24%	5%	71	-0.8	221/282/302	82	280	6	50	22%	5%	64	-1.1
✕Chris Garia 2016 · AAA	23	49→55	41→40	64→60	39	235/274/343	108	307	8	28	26%	4%	72	-0.7	216/261/329	113	283	9	20	26%	5%	65	-1.2	176/216/286	111	223	10	22	26%	4%	34	-1.0
✕Rafael Bautista 2017 · AA	24	55→58	36→40	61→60	44	257/300/317	60	312	3	36	18%	5%	76	-0.4	237/282/300	63	297	3	23	20%	5%	65	-1.2	226/266/288	63	282	4	13	21%	4%	53	-0.7
✕Travis Jankowski 2015 · AA	24	52→62	35→40	61→65	46	243/295/306	63	309	2	36	21%	7%	72	-0.7	257/321/333	76	332	3	32	21%	8%	88	+0.4	260/330/331	71	340	2	35	22%	9%	89	+0.4
●Michael Bourn 2008 · MLB	25	54→62	39→45	68→65	47	256/312/352	96	325	6	38	22%	7%	88	+0.5	253/315/341	88	321	5	46	21%	8%	87	+0.4	273/334/374	101	348	5	38	21%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Chandler Simpson 2024 · A	23	52→62	34→30	67→70	51	239/293/295	56	275	1	50	13%	7%	68	-1.0	285/322/337	52	322	1	60	11%	5%	88	+0.4	302/334/348	46	335	0	63	9%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Zack Granite 2017 · AA	24	54→61	36→40	59→60	48	253/298/324	71	290	3	30	14%	6%	77	-0.3	250/294/327	77	282	4	24	12%	6%	76	-0.4	247/289/316	70	276	4	22	12%	5%	69	-0.7

Luis Durango

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps