Jose Devers — OGILVIE

Jose DeversSS Akron RubberDucks

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 173 lbs AA K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.9 · 2030

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .248 / .302

PA320

HR6

SB9

K%32

BB%6

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗30

PWR

35↗40

SPD

60→60

FLD

50↗60

EYE

41↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$12M		$15M	+$2M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Indians	170	155	23	2	0	1	11	74	2	6	3	.148	.214	.181	.395	.032	.268	44	6	.185	0	-19	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.3
2022	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	76	68	11	1	1	1	4	21	3	6	2	.162	.240	.250	.490	.088	.213	28	5	.212	20	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
2023	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	458	415	90	13	4	9	30	133	10	34	11	.217	.286	.333	.618	.116	.293	29	7	.271	66	-18	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.3
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	426	395	72	16	0	4	26	132	3	14	3	.182	.238	.253	.491	.071	.261	31	6	.221	27	-35	+2	+0	+5	+12	-1.7
2025	22	A+	Lake County Captains	516	484	89	25	3	10	22	178	6	12	5	.184	.229	.310	.538	.126	.263	34	4	.232	36	-37	+0	+0	+6	+15	-1.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	54	48	6	0	0	0	6	23	0	2	0	.125	.222	.125	.347	.000	.240	43	11	.177	-6	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	CLE	266	245	45	9	1	4	17	88	2	7	2	.184	.242	.278	.520	.094	.271	33	6	.243	44	-17	+1	+2	+3	+8	-0.4
TOT	23	MLB	CLE	320	293	51	9	1	4	23	111	2	9	2	.174	.239	.253	.492	.078	.263	35	7	.232	36	-23	+1	+2	+3	+9	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 8%	CLE	550	499	99	20	2	10	41	150	5	14	3	.198	.266	.307	.573	.108	.260	27	7	.262	59	-25	+2	+4	+6	+16	0.1
2028	25	MLB 17%	CLE	581	525	108	21	3	12	45	155	6	14	3	.206	.276	.326	.602	.120	.263	27	8	.270	65	-23	+2	+4	+6	+16	0.5
2029	26	MLB 25%	CLE	598	539	112	22	3	13	48	158	6	15	3	.208	.280	.332	.612	.124	.265	26	8	.275	68	-21	+2	+4	+6	+17	0.8
2030	27	MLB 35%	CLE	604	544	113	22	3	13	49	160	6	15	3	.208	.280	.331	.611	.123	.266	26	8	.276	69	-21	+2	+4	+6	+17	0.9
2031	28	MLB 40%	CLE	604	543	113	22	3	13	50	161	6	14	3	.208	.282	.331	.614	.123	.265	27	8	.275	69	-21	+2	+3	+6	+17	0.7
2032	29	MLB 44%	CLE	597	536	109	22	2	12	50	161	6	13	2	.203	.279	.319	.598	.116	.264	27	8	.273	67	-22	+2	+2	+6	+17	0.5
2033	30	MLB 47%	CLE	588	528	107	21	2	12	49	160	6	11	2	.203	.278	.318	.596	.116	.263	27	8	.270	65	-24	+1	+2	+6	+17	0.3
2034	31	MLB 55%	CLE	575	517	102	20	2	11	48	159	5	9	1	.197	.272	.308	.579	.110	.261	28	8	.266	62	-25	+1	+1	+6	+16	-0.0
2035	32	MLB 66%	CLE	557	501	98	19	2	10	46	157	5	7	0	.196	.270	.301	.571	.106	.260	28	8	.261	58	-26	+1	+0	+6	+16	-0.3
2036	33	MLB 76%	CLE	528	475	91	18	2	9	43	153	5	5	0	.192	.266	.295	.561	.103	.258	29	8	.256	54	-27	+1	-1	+6	+15	-0.7
2037	34	MLB 87%	CLE	480	434	82	16	2	8	39	143	4	4	0	.189	.262	.290	.552	.101	.256	30	8	.250	49	-28	+1	-2	+5	+14	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8174	7403	1464	289	35	152	618	2343	86	200	46	.198	.267	.308	.575	.110	.265	29	8	.260	57	-397	+22	+22	+88	+232	-3.5
/ 162G	—			650	589	117	23	3	12	49	186	7	16	4	.199	.269	.309	.578	.110	.266	29	8	.260	57	-32	+2	+2	+7	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Indians	170	146	31	3	0	3	20	49	2	6	3	.212	.315	.295	.610	.082	.292	29	12	.283	75	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2022	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	76	65	13	1	1	1	7	15	3	6	2	.200	.307	.292	.599	.092	.240	20	9	.278	71	-3	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	458	397	100	15	5	11	48	92	10	34	11	.252	.347	.398	.745	.146	.300	20	10	.335	115	+8	+2	—	—	+13	2.3
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	426	384	83	19	0	7	37	107	3	14	3	.216	.290	.320	.610	.104	.279	25	9	.278	71	-14	+2	—	—	+12	-0.0
2025	22	A+	Lake County Captains	516	475	114	36	4	13	31	142	6	12	5	.240	.295	.415	.710	.175	.312	28	6	.312	97	-2	+0	—	—	+15	1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Devers (OGILVIE)	23	20→30	35→40	60	50	.193/.248/.302	.109	.272	6	7	32%	6%	49	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	36	40→45	52→50	36	.183/.218/.281	.098	.255	7	9	31%	4%	30	-3.1	.212/.258/.297	.085	.293	5	9	28%	6%	50	-1.7	.233/.289/.308	.075	.313	4	8	25%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	37	39→40	49→50	44	.183/.260/.264	.081	.271	8	14	33%	9%	45	-2.1	.205/.286/.296	.091	.292	7	13	29%	9%	63	-0.8	.211/.301/.305	.094	.293	5	13	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	41	39→45	53→50	39	.193/.262/.274	.080	.300	7	13	36%	7%	48	-1.9	.208/.307/.328	.120	.294	12	12	31%	10%	82	+0.5	.212/.315/.318	.105	.301	9	14	29%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	44→45	51→55	40	.195/.268/.308	.113	.290	12	13	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.200/.270/.300	.100	.307	9	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	.166/.253/.240	.073	.276	4	11	37%	10%	33	-0.6
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	35→37	44→45	52→55	43	.180/.259/.296	.116	.238	11	18	29%	7%	53	-1.5	.187/.271/.299	.112	.276	11	20	34%	8%	59	-1.1	.147/.256/.292	.145	.254	19	20	46%	10%	50	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	40	.184/.244/.291	.107	.270	10	4	35%	7%	44	-2.1	.200/.256/.326	.126	.277	13	4	32%	6%	59	-1.1	.206/.268/.347	.141	.262	15	2	27%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	44→45	51→60	39	.187/.243/.297	.111	.259	12	21	32%	6%	46	-2.0	.218/.284/.349	.131	.292	12	37	28%	7%	76	+0.1	.226/.298/.368	.142	.297	13	49	27%	8%	84	+0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→29	42→45	48→50	42	.191/.254/.286	.095	.257	11	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.192/.267/.310	.118	.259	14	15	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.266/.299	.113	.246	14	14	29%	9%	54	-0.9
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→29	42→45	51→55	40	.197/.258/.305	.108	.275	10	12	31%	6%	54	-1.4	.182/.252/.277	.095	.281	8	12	36%	6%	45	-2.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	.190/.256/.326	.136	.273	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.269/.352	.147	.297	17	9	35%	6%	72	-0.2	.199/.264/.350	.151	.290	18	7	36%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	42→37	42→45	49→50	40	.208/.258/.309	.101	.263	10	15	25%	5%	55	-1.4	.210/.256/.332	.122	.301	13	11	33%	5%	59	-1.1	.188/.222/.340	.151	.267	17	11	36%	3%	47	-0.5
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	37	42→55	52→40	39	.188/.235/.290	.102	.252	10	7	29%	5%	40	-2.4	.209/.253/.332	.123	.291	13	5	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.191/.236/.303	.112	.269	12	1	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	43	.190/.250/.269	.079	.260	5	11	28%	7%	40	-2.4	.198/.262/.282	.084	.339	5	9	40%	6%	50	-1.8	.146/.232/.233	.088	.294	4	14	47%	8%	25	-0.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	42→30	38→45	56→50	41	.197/.266/.279	.082	.311	5	16	36%	8%	50	-1.7	.214/.271/.343	.129	.318	13	13	35%	6%	69	-0.4	.203/.261/.318	.115	.298	12	16	35%	6%	54	-0.8
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	37	.187/.241/.273	.085	.291	6	9	36%	6%	37	-2.6	.183/.266/.292	.109	.257	11	5	31%	9%	55	-1.4	.165/.258/.271	.106	.227	11	3	31%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	39	38→40	49→45	40	.187/.243/.265	.078	.259	5	8	29%	6%	37	-2.7	.205/.266/.297	.092	.292	8	10	31%	7%	55	-1.4	.195/.264/.279	.084	.281	10	12	32%	7%	48	-0.5
✕Mycal Jones 2010 · A	23	41→46	40→45	55	42	.197/.255/.301	.104	.269	6	14	28%	6%	51	-1.7	.205/.261/.317	.112	.275	10	15	28%	6%	58	-1.2	.222/.282/.307	.085	.285	6	24	23%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	38	42→50	52→45	40	.189/.250/.291	.102	.286	10	11	36%	7%	46	-2.0	.204/.266/.313	.109	.307	11	9	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.164/.224/.258	.094	.235	10	0	33%	7%	25	-0.6
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	.176/.234/.238	.062	.249	4	15	30%	6%	26	-3.4	.211/.280/.295	.084	.276	8	14	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.207/.282/.288	.080	.266	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	41→44	42→50	52→50	37	.203/.249/.305	.102	.278	9	12	30%	4%	50	-1.8	.216/.256/.349	.133	.280	15	9	28%	4%	64	-0.8	.221/.260/.367	.146	.284	16	7	28%	4%	67	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)