Tanner Witt

P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 25 RHP 6'6" / 230 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	ANYM	1	2	0.00	0.70	40.0%	0.0%	—	K 40.0% · BB 0.0% · FIP -0.28
2025	23	ANYM	1	2	0.00	1.81	33.3%	11.1%	—	K 33.3% · BB 11.1% · FIP 1.69
2026	24	MIX3 levels	23	37	8.03	5.61	26.5%	22.7%	—	K 22.2% · BB 25.2% · FIP 6.30
2027PROJ	25	MLBNYM	17	18	5.78	5.78	22.6%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBNYM	13	14	5.62	5.61	22.9%	18.9%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsTyler Davis (age 25) · Zane Russell (age 24) · Haden Erbe (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.78

FIP5.78

K%22.6%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%2.6%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	2	5	2	0	0	0%	1.7	40.0%	0.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.28	—
2024	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	2	5	2	0	0	0%	1.7	40.0%	0.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.28	—
2024	22	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	2	5	2	0	0	0%	1.7	40.0%	0.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.70	—
2025	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	2	9	3	1	0	0%	2.3	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.69	—
2025	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	2	9	3	1	0	0%	2.3	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.69	—
2025	23	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	2	9	3	1	0	0%	2.3	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.81	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	0	37	185	49	42	5	0%	1.6	22.2%	25.2%	-3.1%	3.4%	8.03	6.30	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	0	37	185	49	42	5	0%	1.6	22.2%	25.2%	-3.1%	3.4%	8.03	6.30	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	0	37	185	49	42	5	0%	1.6	26.5%	22.7%	3.8%	2.7%	8.03	5.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	NYM	17	0	18	76	17	15	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	20.0%	2.6%	3.0%	5.78	5.78	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYM	32	0	33	141	32	27	4	0%	1.0	22.9%	18.9%	4.0%	3.0%	5.62	5.61	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYM	13	0	14	59	14	11	2	0%	1.1	22.9%	18.9%	4.0%	3.0%	5.62	5.61	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	60	14	11	2	0%	1.0	22.9%	18.9%	4.0%	3.0%	5.62	5.23	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	195	154	28	0%	1.1	22.9%	18.9%	4.0%	3.0%	5.62	5.23	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		25	0	41	199	46	48	6	0%	1.6	23.1%	23.9%	-0.8%	3.2%	7.24	5.93	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	0	200	971	224	232	31	0%	1.6	23.1%	23.9%	-0.8%	3.2%	7.24	5.93	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tanner Witt (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.78	22.6%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.61	22.9%	4.0%	33	-0.17	—	—	—
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	85
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	85
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	84
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	83
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	83
Christopher Troye R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	25	SU	5.46	24.2%	17.0%	4.1%	.282	5.61	19.1%	-3.8%	30	+0.15	3.42	158	83
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	83
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	82
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.13	18.4%	7.3%	90	-0.76	3.84	164	82
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	82
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	81
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	81
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	80
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	80
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	80
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	79
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	79
Jose De La Torre R 2013 · 5.22 FIP	27	SU	5.22	28.3%	18.9%	3.9%	.308	3.87	17.6%	6.6%	110	-1.35	2.64	141	79
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	155	79
Stevie Branche R 2022 · 6.19 FIP	25	SU	6.19	21.2%	20.6%	4.1%	.308	4.69	23.1%	4.6%	69	-1.50	3.23	162	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.8%	19.3%	1.18	5.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*