Clayton Beeter
P
Washington Nationals
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 220 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.31
FIP4.33
xFIP5.35
SIERA5.03
K%27.9%
BB%14.3%
K-BB%13.6%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF6060
CTRL2020
CMD4545
K†7070
SL+1.0 (44%)
FB (56%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 28 | 27 | 52 | 213 | 78 | 22 | 5 | 28.6% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 3.44 | 3.88 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 25 | 23 | 77 | 348 | 129 | 46 | 11 | 30.0% | 14.5% | 3.7% | 4.56 | 4.41 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 27 | 26 | 132 | 573 | 165 | 75 | 18 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 3.5% | 3.62 | 4.71 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 15 | 7 | 43 | 172 | 61 | 22 | 1 | 30.5% | 15.0% | 0.7% | 2.32 | 2.82 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 50 | 0 | 53 | 229 | 79 | 41 | 3 | 31.7% | 18.1% | 1.5% | 4.25 | 3.56 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 9 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 7 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | 3.86 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | WSH | 14 | — | 14 | 57 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 31.2% | 16.2% | 2.8% | 4.35 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 23 | 99 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 25.0% | 15.4% | 3.6% | 4.15 | 2.61 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 53 | 29 | 6 | 28.1% | 15.3% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 51 | 28 | 6 | 27.3% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 43 | — | 43 | 180 | 48 | 27 | 6 | 26.5% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 45 | 26 | 5 | 25.8% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 4.81 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 42 | 25 | 5 | 25.2% | 14.9% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 39 | 24 | 5 | 24.6% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 5.04 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 23.9% | 15.3% | 3.4% | 5.17 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 33 | 22 | 5 | 23.1% | 15.5% | 3.5% | 5.32 | 5.41 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | WSH | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 30 | 21 | 5 | 22.3% | 15.8% | 3.6% | 5.47 | 5.58 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 154 | 83 | 366 | 1577 | 438 | 229 | 46 | 27.7% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 3.74 | 4.20 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 45 | 200 | 862 | 239 | 125 | 25 | 27.7% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 3.74 | 4.20 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Clayton Beeter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 31.2% | 16.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.73 | 27.3% | 12.3% | 132 | +0.32 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 24.3% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .312 | 3.27 | 25.0% | 14.7% | 130 | -0.97 | 2.28 | 186 | 81 |
| Ray Black R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.15 | 30.0% | 24.6% | 0.9% | .281 | 3.90 | 34.6% | 23.4% | 94 | -0.25 | 2.95 | 150 | 75 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.93 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.99 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +1.06 | 3.83 | 181 | 75 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 74 |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 74 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.24 | 24.3% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .324 | 5.10 | 16.4% | 0.9% | 62 | -0.14 | 3.46 | 183 | 73 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 72 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.41 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .360 | 5.38 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.97 | 3.46 | 173 | 72 |
| Cody Morris R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.15 | 23.8% | 16.1% | 1.9% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.23 | 256 | 72 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.41 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.4% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 154 | 72 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 72 |
| Joe Harvey R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.32 | 24.9% | 14.3% | 4.6% | .258 | 6.03 | 26.7% | 6.8% | 17 | +0.71 | 2.56 | 197 | 72 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.68 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 142 | 72 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.10 | 18.6% | 13.9% | 1.5% | .236 | 3.42 | 23.3% | 14.2% | 91 | -0.68 | 2.11 | 300 | 72 |
| Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.05 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.92 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 79 | -1.13 | 3.02 | 341 | 71 |
| Tyler Kinley R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.38 | 27.2% | 11.8% | 2.0% | .331 | 4.08 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 159 | +0.70 | 1.58 | 544 | 71 |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.01 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.91 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.90 | 4.01 | 130 | 71 |
| Brian Ellington R 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.68 | 25.5% | 14.9% | 3.4% | .283 | 5.60 | 22.4% | 5.3% | 29 | +0.92 | 2.75 | 233 | 71 |
| Nick Robertson R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.78 | 20.5% | 14.1% | 2.9% | .237 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 281 | 71 |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.12 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.9% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 104 | 71 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.