Clayton Beeter
P
Washington Nationals
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 220 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 124 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA3.98
FIP4.17
K%29.9%
BB%16.4%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP124
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 155 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6495.5
Whiff%
p6928.2%
K%
p7226.3%
xwOBA vs
p480.314
SL+1.0 (47%)
FB (53%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 27 | 52 | 213 | 78 | 22 | 5 | 96% | 1.9 | 28.6% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 3.3% | 3.44 | 4.00 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 27 | 52 | 213 | 78 | 22 | 5 | 96% | 1.9 | 36.6% | 10.3% | 26.3% | 2.3% | 3.44 | 2.62 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 25 | 23 | 77 | 348 | 129 | 46 | 11 | 92% | 3.1 | 30.0% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 3.6% | 4.56 | 4.36 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 25 | 23 | 77 | 348 | 129 | 46 | 11 | 92% | 3.1 | 37.1% | 13.2% | 23.9% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 3.40 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 132 | 573 | 165 | 75 | 18 | 96% | 4.9 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 3.62 | 4.67 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 132 | 573 | 165 | 75 | 18 | 96% | 4.9 | 28.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 3.1% | 3.62 | 4.08 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 7 | 43 | 172 | 61 | 22 | 1 | 47% | 2.8 | 30.5% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 0.7% | 2.32 | 2.80 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 7 | 43 | 172 | 61 | 22 | 1 | 47% | 2.8 | 35.5% | 12.8% | 22.7% | 0.6% | 2.32 | 2.09 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 50 | 0 | 53 | 229 | 79 | 41 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.7% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 1.4% | 4.25 | 3.48 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 50 | 0 | 53 | 229 | 79 | 41 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.5% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 1.3% | 4.25 | 3.18 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 32 | 1 | 30 | 129 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 3% | 0.9 | 26.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 3.4% | 3.56 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | WSH | 118 | 0 | 124 | 525 | 157 | 86 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.9% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 3.98 | 4.17 | +1.8 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | WSH | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 156 | 86 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.9% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 3.98 | 4.17 | +1.8 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 155 | 654 | 192 | 101 | 20 | — | — | 29.3% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 3.90 | 4.20 | +2.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 152 | 641 | 192 | 101 | 20 | — | — | 30.0% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 3.97 | 4.24 | +2.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 140 | 0 | 147 | 621 | 183 | 97 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.4% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.57 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 134 | 0 | 140 | 593 | 168 | 90 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.70 | +1.2 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 133 | 0 | 140 | 591 | 174 | 92 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.4% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.57 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 127 | 0 | 133 | 562 | 159 | 86 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.70 | +1.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 437 | 0 | 454 | 1916 | 559 | 298 | 56 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.2% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.21 | +6.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 246 | 131 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.2% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 177 | 84 | 387 | 1664 | 464 | 240 | 48 | 47% | 2.2 | 27.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 3.72 | 4.14 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 43 | 200 | 860 | 240 | 124 | 25 | 47% | 2.2 | 27.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 3.72 | 4.14 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Clayton Beeter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 32.0% | 17.6% | 2.6% | — | 4.63 | 28.8% | 13.4% | 288 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 66 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 65 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.25 | 24.3% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .312 | 3.31 | 25.0% | 14.7% | 130 | -0.94 | 2.16 | 186 | 65 |
| Sean Isaac R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 64 |
| Parker Markel R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 29.7% | 16.5% | 3.9% | .250 | 4.08 | 28.9% | 11.6% | 97 | -0.73 | 3.16 | 266 | 64 |
| Ray Black R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 30.0% | 24.6% | 0.9% | .281 | 3.96 | 34.6% | 23.4% | 94 | -0.20 | 2.96 | 150 | 64 |
| Jake Cousins R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.32 | 35.2% | 14.4% | 2.5% | .217 | 3.73 | 31.3% | 18.9% | 101 | +0.41 | 1.11 | 160 | 64 |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.88 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.89 | 3.99 | 130 | 64 |
| Cody Morris R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.10 | 23.8% | 16.1% | 1.8% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.26 | 256 | 64 |
| Tyler Kinley R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 27.2% | 11.8% | 2.0% | .331 | 3.99 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 159 | +0.60 | 1.58 | 578 | 64 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.11 | 24.4% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .302 | 3.12 | 26.0% | 15.4% | 35 | -0.99 | 3.12 | 187 | 63 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.12 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 4.0% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 414 | 63 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 63 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 63 |
| Fernando Baez R 2024 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 62 |
| Michael Stryffeler R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.35 | 30.4% | 17.3% | 3.0% | .277 | 4.75 | 19.4% | 1.1% | 33 | +0.40 | 2.43 | 140 | 62 |
| Zach McCambley R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.02 | 25.6% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 383 | 62 |
| Joe Harvey R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.13 | 24.9% | 14.3% | 4.2% | .258 | 5.83 | 26.7% | 6.8% | 17 | +0.70 | 2.55 | 197 | 62 |
| David Lebron R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.07 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 4.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 144 | 62 |
| Cam Sanders R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.04 | 25.3% | 18.3% | 3.2% | .338 | 3.72 | 29.3% | 15.3% | 75 | -1.32 | 3.71 | 483 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 146 | 29.9% | 16.2% | 1.10 | 4.43 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| Danny Salazar ('17) | 3 | 142 | 28.1% | 9.0% | 1.12 | 3.79 |