Joe Harvey
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 34
RHP
6'2" / 236 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%23.0%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6095.2
Whiff%
p5325.8%
K%
p3620.2%
xwOBA vs
p200.348
SL+0.7
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 15 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 0.0% | 4.24 | 2.76 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 15 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.9% | 9.0% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 4.24 | 1.86 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 5 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 11.6% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 0.71 | 2.12 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 5 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 11.6% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 0.71 | 2.31 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | 18 | 0 | 26 | 99 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 1.05 | 3.92 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | 18 | 0 | 26 | 99 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.3% | 8.1% | 21.2% | 2.0% | 1.05 | 2.79 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 59 | 234 | 68 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.1% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 0.5% | 1.67 | 2.55 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 59 | 234 | 68 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.1% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 0.9% | 1.67 | 2.51 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 53 | 238 | 65 | 33 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 4.96 | 5.13 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 53 | 238 | 65 | 33 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 4.96 | 5.47 | -0.6 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.89 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.90 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 19 | 0 | 17 | 79 | 24 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.7% | 19.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.40 | 5.83 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 19 | 0 | 17 | 79 | 24 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.4% | 19.0% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 5.40 | 6.04 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 33 | 138 | 33 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.4% | 14.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.13 | 4.82 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 33 | 138 | 33 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 5.13 | 4.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 23 | 0 | 22 | 103 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.80 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 205 | 0 | 200 | 915 | 178 | 116 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.80 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 180 | 5 | 221 | 923 | 211 | 112 | 21 | 3% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 3.30 | 3.97 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 163 | 5 | 200 | 837 | 191 | 101 | 19 | 3% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 3.30 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joe Harvey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.73 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 20 | +0.32 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 79 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 79 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 78 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.82 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22 | 187 | 78 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 77 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 76 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 75 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.49 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .262 | 3.63 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 40 | +0.14 | 2.35 | 140 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.22 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .282 | 3.92 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.30 | 3.92 | 186 | 74 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 74 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 74 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 74 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.03 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 533 | 74 |
| Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 73 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.93 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 277 | 73 |
| Jason Motte R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.37 | 22.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .306 | 5.16 | 16.3% | 4.9% | 41 | +0.79 | 3.11 | 113 | 73 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 72 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 268 | 72 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 71 |