Anthony Simonelli

Anthony Simonelli P Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%22.6%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	2	20	76	24	4	1	20%	2.0	31.6%	5.3%	26.3%	1.3%	1.37	1.82	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	2	20	76	24	4	1	20%	2.0	31.6%	5.3%	26.3%	1.3%	1.37	1.93	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	5	73	324	72	24	13	17%	2.5	17.5%	9.1%	8.4%	5.1%	4.91	5.59	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	5	73	324	72	24	13	17%	2.5	22.2%	7.4%	14.8%	4.0%	4.91	4.42	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	50	209	56	15	5	0%	1.2	20.9%	8.2%	12.7%	3.1%	3.99	4.05	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	50	209	56	15	5	0%	1.2	20.9%	8.2%	12.7%	3.1%	3.99	4.05	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	50	209	56	15	5	0%	1.2	26.8%	7.2%	19.6%	2.4%	3.99	3.06	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	1	74	294	87	30	6	2%	1.7	24.1%	10.7%	13.4%	2.3%	2.93	3.71	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	1	74	294	87	30	6	2%	1.7	24.1%	10.7%	13.4%	2.3%	2.93	3.71	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	1	74	294	87	30	6	2%	1.7	29.6%	10.2%	19.4%	2.0%	2.93	3.02	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	10	3	15	69	18	13	2	30%	1.5	21.7%	17.0%	4.7%	3.2%	5.40	5.16	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	10	3	15	69	18	13	2	30%	1.5	21.7%	17.0%	4.7%	3.2%	5.40	5.16	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	10	3	15	69	18	13	2	30%	1.5	26.1%	18.8%	7.2%	2.9%	5.40	5.03	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	27	0	32	143	29	20	8	0%	1.2	17.3%	17.1%	0.2%	3.5%	6.82	5.72	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	27	0	32	143	29	20	8	0%	1.2	17.3%	17.1%	0.2%	3.5%	6.82	5.72	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	ROK RAW	KC	7	0	9	40	7	4	5	0%	1.3	17.5%	10.0%	7.5%	12.5%	8.00	9.75	—
2026	27	AA RAW	KC	20	0	23	103	22	16	3	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.5%	5.8%	2.9%	6.35	4.86	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	KC	20	0	21	88	20	10	3	0%	1.0	22.5%	11.5%	11.0%	3.1%	4.68	4.72	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	KC	8	0	8	34	8	4	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	11.5%	11.0%	3.1%	4.68	4.72	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	33	7	4	1	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.5%	11.0%	3.1%	4.68	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	102	25	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.5%	11.0%	3.1%	4.68	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		161	11	263	1115	235	118	38	7%	1.6	21.1%	10.6%	10.5%	3.4%	4.17	4.54	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	8	200	848	179	90	29	7%	1.6	21.1%	10.6%	10.5%	3.4%	4.17	4.54	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Simonelli (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	22.6%	11.6%	3.0%	—	4.72	22.5%	11.0%	21	+0.05	—	—	—
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	85
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	85
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	84
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	83
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	82
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	82
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	81
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	81
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	81
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	81
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.86	21.0%	9.6%	69	+0.93	3.84	181	81
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	81
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2018 · 5.07 FIP	27	SU	5.07	22.2%	11.4%	4.4%	.256	4.43	23.3%	9.7%	39	-0.64	2.64	315	80
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	80
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	547	80
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	80
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	80
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	80