Anthony Nunez
P
Baltimore Orioles
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 220 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 37 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10192vR 83
ERA3.48
FIP3.48
K%28.6%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%18.5%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7296.1
Whiff%
p9034.7%
K%
p6825.5%
xwOBA vs
p530.309
SL+2.5 (30%)
CH+2.2 (23%)
SI (16%)
FB-0.8 (44%)
CT-1.4 (3%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 11% | 1.1 | 28.6% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 2.20 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 11% | 1.1 | 28.6% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 2.20 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 0 | 57 | 220 | 83 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.8% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 1.1% | 2.06 | 2.50 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 0 | 57 | 220 | 83 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 37.7% | 10.0% | 27.7% | 0.9% | 2.06 | 1.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 39 | 0 | 43 | 189 | 50 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 8.1% | 17.4% | 3.1% | 5.40 | 3.68 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 154 | 44 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 10.0% | 18.5% | 2.8% | 3.48 | 3.48 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 45 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.6% | 10.0% | 18.5% | 2.9% | 3.54 | 3.54 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 80 | 343 | 94 | 33 | 10 | — | — | 27.4% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 3.59 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 74 | 312 | 94 | 33 | 10 | — | — | 30.2% | 10.4% | 19.7% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 3.71 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 70 | 0 | 74 | 312 | 90 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.7% | 9.9% | 18.8% | 2.8% | 3.86 | 3.85 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 69 | 0 | 73 | 307 | 87 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 2.9% | 3.91 | 3.92 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 67 | 0 | 71 | 298 | 83 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 3.0% | 3.99 | 4.03 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 285 | 78 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 3.1% | 4.09 | 4.16 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 85 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 9.9% | 18.8% | 2.9% | 3.92 | 3.91 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 82 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 3.0% | 3.97 | 3.98 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 79 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 3.1% | 4.05 | 4.09 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 75 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 3.2% | 4.15 | 4.22 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 326 | 0 | 344 | 1457 | 406 | 143 | 44 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 9.8% | 18.1% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 3.65 | +7.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 846 | 236 | 83 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 9.8% | 18.1% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 3.65 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 97 | 1 | 110 | 451 | 128 | 44 | 8 | 1% | 1.1 | 28.4% | 9.8% | 18.5% | 1.8% | 3.44 | 2.97 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 176 | 2 | 200 | 820 | 232 | 81 | 15 | 1% | 1.1 | 28.4% | 9.8% | 18.5% | 1.8% | 3.44 | 2.97 | +5.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anthony Nunez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.71 | 31.0% | 10.9% | 2.7% | — | 3.93 | 28.3% | 18.4% | 217 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| J.B. Wendelken R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.38 | 29.5% | 9.5% | 2.8% | .286 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 14.1% | 140 | +0.28 | 3.03 | 393 | 82 |
| Joey Krehbiel R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 26.1% | 10.1% | 3.8% | .294 | 5.20 | 21.6% | 10.9% | 107 | +0.94 | 3.35 | 556 | 81 |
| Nick Robertson R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.35 | 27.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .325 | 4.24 | 21.9% | 10.7% | 133 | +0.89 | 2.77 | 312 | 81 |
| Isaiah Campbell R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.51 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .273 | 4.11 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 107 | +0.60 | 3.30 | 225 | 81 |
| Steven Wilson R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.13 | 27.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .271 | 3.80 | 29.3% | 19.9% | 92 | -0.33 | 3.36 | 311 | 80 |
| Spencer Patton R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.74 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.72 | 2.74 | 239 | 80 |
| John Schreiber R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 27.1% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .273 | 2.74 | 24.1% | 15.9% | 147 | -0.83 | 1.27 | 526 | 80 |
| Arodys Vizcaíno R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.29 | 27.5% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .321 | 3.49 | 26.4% | 17.8% | 96 | +0.20 | 2.25 | 183 | 80 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2029 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.78 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.47 | 1.74 | 468 | 79 |
| Diego Castillo R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.30 | 27.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% | .285 | 3.58 | 27.8% | 19.8% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.36 | 524 | 78 |
| Chad Sobotka R 2026 · 2.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.91 | 29.4% | 11.9% | 1.4% | .206 | 4.44 | 23.2% | 11.1% | 89 | +1.53 | 2.91 | 278 | 78 |
| Hansel Robles R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.32 | 25.7% | 9.7% | 2.1% | .300 | 3.99 | 24.2% | 15.3% | 209 | +0.67 | 2.74 | 469 | 77 |
| Dominic Leone R 2026 · 2.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.74 | 29.0% | 7.2% | 2.1% | .262 | 4.15 | 26.2% | 16.6% | 96 | +1.41 | 2.74 | 447 | 77 |
| Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.44 | 29.0% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .284 | 3.40 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 82 | -0.04 | 3.31 | 184 | 77 |
| Trevor Gott R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.40 | 23.7% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .285 | 4.02 | 25.5% | 16.4% | 106 | +0.62 | 2.72 | 454 | 76 |
| Justin Sterner R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.54 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .266 | 4.28 | 26.5% | 18.0% | 166 | -0.26 | 3.92 | 294 | 76 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 75 |
| Kyle Crick R 2026 · 2.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.59 | 25.5% | 7.8% | 1.2% | .251 | 4.69 | 24.5% | 8.6% | 73 | +2.10 | 2.59 | 383 | 75 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.72 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .282 | 4.81 | 20.3% | 2.9% | 127 | +1.09 | 3.72 | 197 | 75 |
| Jake Smith R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.07 | 28.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.73 | 19.3% | -1.7% | 26 | +1.66 | 3.07 | 110 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 72 | 28.7% | 10.2% | 1.12 | 3.91 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Joe Jiménez ('24) | 7 | 53 | 29.8% | 8.6% | 1.11 | 4.06 |