Anthony Nunez
P
Baltimore Orioles
+0.7
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 220 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.7 · 2027
ERA3.98
FIP3.98
xFIP2.32
SIERA1.99
K%26.2%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%16.2%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2027
K†6065
SL+2.5 (32%)
CH+2.2 (22%)
SI (18%)
FB-0.8 (45%)
CT-1.4 (1%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 9 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 12 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.70 | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 49 | 0 | 57 | 220 | 83 | 22 | 2 | 30.8% | 11.0% | 1.0% | 2.06 | 2.46 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1.04 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SD | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 53 | 20 | 5 | 26.2% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 3.98 | 3.98 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | SD | — | — | 57 | 235 | 64 | 21 | 6 | 27.3% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 3.53 | 3.37 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SD | 57 | — | 57 | 239 | 65 | 22 | 6 | 27.1% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 3.87 | 3.86 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SD | 56 | — | 56 | 238 | 64 | 22 | 7 | 26.9% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 3.90 | 3.90 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SD | 56 | — | 56 | 234 | 62 | 22 | 7 | 26.7% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 3.94 | 3.95 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | SD | 54 | — | 54 | 229 | 61 | 22 | 7 | 26.5% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 3.98 | 4.00 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | SD | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 58 | 21 | 6 | 26.2% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.03 | 4.06 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | SD | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 56 | 21 | 6 | 26.0% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.10 | 4.14 | +0.5 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | SD | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 53 | 20 | 6 | 25.7% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 4.23 | +0.4 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | SD | 47 | — | 47 | 197 | 50 | 20 | 6 | 25.4% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.27 | 4.32 | +0.3 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | SD | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.37 | 4.43 | +0.3 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | SD | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 44 | 18 | 6 | 24.7% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | SD | 39 | — | 39 | 165 | 40 | 18 | 6 | 24.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 4.60 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 66 | 1 | 75 | 294 | 91 | 30 | 3 | 30.9% | 10.2% | 1.1% | 2.03 | 2.41 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 3 | 200 | 781 | 242 | 80 | 8 | 30.9% | 10.2% | 1.1% | 2.03 | 2.41 | +6.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anthony Nunez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.98 | 26.2% | 10.0% | 2.6% | — | 3.90 | 26.9% | 17.5% | 168 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Campbell R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.34 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .273 | 4.11 | 17.7% | 9.7% | 74 | +0.77 | 3.29 | 192 | 82 |
| J.B. Wendelken R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.33 | 29.5% | 9.5% | 2.8% | .286 | 3.69 | 23.3% | 14.1% | 140 | +0.36 | 3.02 | 393 | 81 |
| Steven Wilson R 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.02 | 27.2% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .271 | 3.68 | 29.3% | 19.9% | 92 | -0.34 | 3.61 | 311 | 81 |
| Joey Krehbiel R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.38 | 26.1% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .294 | 5.41 | 21.6% | 10.9% | 107 | +1.03 | 3.34 | 556 | 81 |
| Arodys Vizcaíno R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.37 | 27.5% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.59 | 26.4% | 17.8% | 96 | +0.22 | 2.27 | 183 | 80 |
| Nick Robertson R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.43 | 27.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% | .325 | 4.67 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 102 | +1.24 | 3.43 | 281 | 80 |
| Spencer Patton R 2028 · 3.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.49 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .295 | 2.83 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.66 | 2.83 | 239 | 80 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2029 · 3.48 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.48 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.74 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.26 | 1.69 | 468 | 80 |
| Chad Sobotka R 2026 · 2.92 FIP | 25 | SW | 2.92 | 29.4% | 11.9% | 1.4% | .206 | 4.32 | 23.2% | 11.1% | 89 | +1.40 | 2.92 | 278 | 79 |
| Diego Castillo R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.26 | 27.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .285 | 3.54 | 27.8% | 19.8% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.37 | 524 | 78 |
| John Schreiber R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.44 | 27.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .273 | 2.78 | 24.1% | 15.9% | 147 | -0.66 | 1.27 | 490 | 78 |
| Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.30 | 29.0% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .284 | 3.39 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 82 | +0.09 | 3.30 | 184 | 78 |
| Hansel Robles R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.26 | 25.7% | 9.7% | 2.0% | .300 | 4.04 | 24.2% | 15.3% | 209 | +0.78 | 2.71 | 469 | 77 |
| Shohei Ohtani R 2025 · 3.46 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.46 | 29.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.11 | 29.3% | 21.4% | 130 | -0.35 | 1.69 | 545 | 77 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .335 | 4.48 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.11 | 3.69 | 509 | 77 |
| Trent Harris R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.46 | 26.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .258 | 3.75 | 23.1% | 14.7% | 57 | +0.29 | 3.46 | 134 | 77 |
| Dominic Leone R 2026 · 2.75 FIP | 25 | SW | 2.75 | 29.0% | 7.2% | 2.2% | .262 | 4.32 | 26.2% | 16.6% | 96 | +1.57 | 2.75 | 447 | 76 |
| Trevor Gott R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.46 | 23.7% | 8.0% | 2.5% | .285 | 3.87 | 25.5% | 16.4% | 106 | +0.41 | 2.70 | 421 | 75 |
| Calvin Faucher R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.69 | 24.3% | 13.7% | 3.5% | .350 | 3.65 | 23.9% | 13.7% | 144 | -1.04 | 2.08 | 381 | 75 |
| Braden Bristo R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.40 | 25.0% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .292 | 4.38 | 23.9% | 10.4% | 103 | +0.98 | 3.40 | 300 | 75 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2026
Service 0.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2031
First FA Year 2027
DEF 10%
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $2M | +$2M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.5M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $3M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $5M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $10M | $16M | +$6M | ||