Rowan Wick — OGILVIE

Rowan Wick P Buffalo Bisons

Age 33 RHP 6'3" / 252 lbs AAA ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.51

FIP4.52

K%23.8%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%14.3%

ROS IP32

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p4023.9%

p5723.5%

xwOBA vs

p100.359

FB-1.6

SL-2.3

CT-6.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	ROK MLE	GCL Cardinals	3	0	2	12	1	2	0	0%	0.7	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	0.0%	9.00	4.51	—
2015	22	ROK RAW	GCL Cardinals	3	0	2	12	1	2	0	0%	0.7	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	0.0%	9.00	5.10	—
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	44	184	57	20	1	0%	1.0	24.3%	12.1%	12.2%	0.6%	2.44	2.89	—
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	44	184	57	20	1	0%	1.0	31.0%	10.9%	20.1%	0.5%	2.44	2.18	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	0	42	179	42	19	3	0%	1.2	17.2%	11.6%	5.6%	1.9%	3.19	4.16	—
2017	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	0	42	179	42	19	3	0%	1.2	23.5%	10.6%	12.8%	1.7%	3.19	3.38	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	59	0	62	265	71	29	4	0%	1.1	23.5%	13.4%	10.1%	1.4%	3.18	3.57	+0.7
2018	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	59	0	62	265	71	29	4	0%	1.1	26.8%	10.9%	15.8%	1.5%	3.18	3.05	+1.1
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	68	278	79	22	3	0%	1.2	26.5%	8.0%	18.5%	1.1%	2.11	2.50	+1.7
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	68	278	79	22	3	0%	1.2	28.4%	7.9%	20.5%	1.1%	2.11	2.32	+1.8
2020	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	19	0	17	74	20	5	1	0%	0.9	27.0%	6.8%	20.3%	1.4%	3.12	2.44	+0.4
2020	27	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	19	0	17	74	20	5	1	0%	0.9	27.0%	6.8%	20.3%	1.4%	3.12	2.41	+0.4
2021	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	30	132	44	16	1	0%	1.0	29.0%	14.0%	15.0%	1.0%	4.75	2.99	+0.6
2021	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	0	30	132	44	16	1	0%	1.0	33.3%	12.1%	21.2%	0.8%	4.75	2.21	+0.9
2022	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	64	0	64	294	69	27	9	0%	1.0	23.5%	9.2%	14.3%	3.2%	4.22	4.03	+0.4
2022	29	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	64	0	64	294	69	27	9	0%	1.0	23.5%	9.2%	14.3%	3.1%	4.22	4.04	+0.4
2023	30	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	43	1	51	228	73	28	13	2%	1.2	26.6%	11.1%	15.5%	6.8%	6.66	6.01	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	43	1	51	228	73	28	13	2%	1.2	26.6%	11.1%	15.5%	6.8%	6.66	6.01	—
2023	30	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	43	1	51	228	73	28	13	2%	1.2	32.0%	12.3%	19.7%	5.7%	6.66	5.18	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			146	0	146	646	160	62	12	0%	1.0	24.8%	9.6%	15.2%	1.9%	3.82	3.25	+2.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	TOR	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.8%	9.5%	14.3%	3.4%	4.51	4.52	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	TOR	28	0	29	124	28	12	5	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.0%	12.9%	3.7%	4.70	4.82	-0.1
2027	34	MLB CTX	TOR	11	0	12	51	12	5	2	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.0%	12.9%	3.7%	4.70	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		157	0	158	696	172	67	14	0%	1.0	24.6%	9.6%	15.0%	2.0%	3.89	3.33	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		199	0	200	882	218	85	18	0%	1.0	24.6%	9.6%	15.0%	2.0%	3.89	3.33	+2.9
Career	—	MLE		354	1	382	1646	400	179	39	0%	1.1	24.3%	10.9%	13.5%	2.3%	3.70	3.71	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		185	1	200	861	209	93	20	0%	1.1	24.3%	10.9%	13.5%	2.3%	3.70	3.71	+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rowan Wick (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	23.8%	9.5%	3.4%	—	4.82	22.9%	12.9%	29	+0.30	—	—	—
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	85
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	84
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	83
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	82
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	80
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	79
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	79
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	79
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	78
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	78
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	77
Mark Lowe R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	33	SU	5.40	21.9%	8.5%	5.6%	.312	5.03	16.4%	6.4%	49	-0.37	2.37	153	77
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	77
Bryan Shaw R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	33	SU	4.39	21.3%	11.4%	3.0%	.274	3.93	19.2%	8.7%	169	-0.46	2.78	596	77
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	76
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	76
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	74
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	73
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	73
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	23.4%	9.7%	1.36	4.60
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43