Rowan Wick
P
Buffalo Bisons
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 252 lbs
AAA
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%24.0%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%14.3%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5594.9
Whiff%
p4023.9%
K%
p5723.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.359
FB-1.6
SL-2.3
CT-6.0
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 8.3% | 16.7% | -8.3% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 4.51 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 8.3% | 16.7% | -8.3% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 5.10 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 57 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 0.5% | 2.44 | 2.86 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 57 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.0% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 0.5% | 2.44 | 2.18 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.2% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 3.19 | 4.12 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 1.7% | 3.19 | 3.38 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 59 | 0 | 62 | 265 | 71 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 1.3% | 3.18 | 3.54 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 59 | 0 | 62 | 265 | 71 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 1.5% | 3.18 | 3.05 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 68 | 278 | 79 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.5% | 8.0% | 18.5% | 1.1% | 2.11 | 2.47 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 68 | 278 | 79 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.4% | 7.9% | 20.5% | 1.1% | 2.11 | 2.32 | +1.9 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 19 | 0 | 17 | 74 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.0% | 6.8% | 20.3% | 1.3% | 3.12 | 2.40 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 19 | 0 | 17 | 74 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.0% | 6.8% | 20.3% | 1.4% | 3.12 | 2.41 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 30 | 132 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.0% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 1.0% | 4.75 | 2.96 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 30 | 132 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 12.1% | 21.2% | 0.8% | 4.75 | 2.21 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 64 | 0 | 64 | 294 | 69 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 3.92 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 64 | 0 | 64 | 294 | 69 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.1% | 4.22 | 4.04 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 43 | 1 | 51 | 228 | 73 | 28 | 13 | 2% | 1.2 | 28.2% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 6.66 | 6.49 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 43 | 1 | 51 | 228 | 73 | 28 | 13 | 2% | 1.2 | 32.0% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 5.7% | 6.66 | 5.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 28 | 0 | 29 | 124 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 4.74 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 4.74 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 157 | 0 | 158 | 696 | 172 | 67 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 3.89 | 3.33 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 199 | 0 | 200 | 882 | 218 | 85 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 3.89 | 3.33 | +4.8 | ||
| Career | — | 354 | 1 | 382 | 1646 | 404 | 183 | 39 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 3.70 | 3.73 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 185 | 1 | 200 | 861 | 211 | 96 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 3.70 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rowan Wick (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 24.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | — | 4.86 | 23.1% | 12.8% | 29 | +0.30 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 85 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 84 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 81 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 80 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 80 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 79 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 79 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 78 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 78 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.44 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .356 | 4.68 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.24 | 2.73 | 410 | 78 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 78 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 77 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.77 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 272 | 77 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 76 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 76 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 76 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 76 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.54 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | .312 | 4.79 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.75 | 2.37 | 153 | 76 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 23.5% | 10.1% | 1.38 | 4.66 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |