Trevor Gott
P
Rochester Red Wings
+0.1
WAR
Age 33
RHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.37
FIP4.49
xFIP4.16
SIERA3.77
K%21.3%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%12.7%
IP19
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5050
FB Velo
p3393.3
Whiff%
p3523.2%
K%
p5923.8%
xwOBA vs
p730.290
CT+2.8
FB+1.0
CH-2.5
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 73 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 57 | 25 | 2 | 15.3% | 7.3% | 0.7% | 2.74 | 3.11 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 43 | 0 | 47 | 212 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 15.7% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 4.18 | 3.41 | +0.8 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 34 | 0 | 40 | 187 | 38 | 14 | 3 | 18.8% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 5.80 | 3.23 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 48 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 53 | 16 | 5 | 23.7% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 4.47 | 3.46 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 50 | 0 | 53 | 214 | 57 | 17 | 4 | 26.6% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 4.44 | 2.99 | +1.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 15 | 0 | 12 | 57 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 14.0% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.03 | 9.60 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 43 | 1 | 42 | 171 | 53 | 15 | 4 | 27.3% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 4.10 | 3.38 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 50 | 0 | 51 | 209 | 52 | 13 | 8 | 23.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.21 | 4.03 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 66 | 0 | 61 | 270 | 64 | 17 | 4 | 23.8% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 4.01 | 2.70 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 24 | 0 | 21 | 99 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 15.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 7.40 | 5.65 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 5 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 4.70 | — | — |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | WSH | 19 | — | 19 | 79 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 21.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 33 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 26 | 110 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 21.8% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 4.41 | 3.17 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 451 | 1 | 458 | 1974 | 413 | 151 | 45 | 20.9% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 4.42 | 3.57 | +9.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 197 | 0 | 200 | 862 | 180 | 66 | 20 | 20.9% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 4.42 | 3.57 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trevor Gott (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 21.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.61 | 20.8% | 12.1% | 20 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 79 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 77 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.82 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 272 | 75 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 74 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.37 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.52 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +1.15 | 3.37 | 144 | 74 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 74 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .286 | 3.13 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.70 | 2.31 | 403 | 74 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.54 | 27.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .308 | 4.43 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 255 | +0.89 | 3.54 | 348 | 73 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 73 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.81 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 4.1% | .327 | 3.77 | 23.9% | 13.3% | 60 | -1.04 | 2.94 | 533 | 72 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.61 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .335 | 2.56 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -1.05 | 2.56 | 144 | 72 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 71 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | .312 | 5.01 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.27 | 2.30 | 153 | 71 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 71 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 71 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2024 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.20 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 137 | 71 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 71 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2025 · 3.29 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.29 | 18.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.73 | 24.5% | 18.6% | 25 | -0.56 | 2.73 | 316 | 70 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.14 | 17.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 227 | 70 |
| Hector Navarro R 2028 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.