Trevor Gott
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 33
RHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 56 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109100vR 91
ERA4.26
FIP4.43
K%21.4%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3393.3
Whiff%
p3523.2%
K%
p5923.8%
xwOBA vs
p730.290
CT+2.8
FB+1.0
CH-2.5
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 73 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 57 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 0.7% | 2.74 | 3.14 | +1.5 |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 73 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 57 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 0.6% | 2.74 | 2.93 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 0 | 47 | 212 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 1.3% | 4.18 | 3.42 | +0.6 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 0 | 47 | 212 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 0.9% | 4.18 | 2.89 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 40 | 187 | 38 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 1.4% | 5.80 | 3.25 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 40 | 187 | 38 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 1.6% | 5.80 | 3.22 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 53 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 2.3% | 4.47 | 3.40 | +0.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 53 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 7.8% | 18.1% | 2.5% | 4.47 | 3.24 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 50 | 0 | 53 | 214 | 57 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 7.9% | 18.7% | 2.0% | 4.44 | 2.97 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 50 | 0 | 53 | 214 | 57 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 7.9% | 18.7% | 1.9% | 4.44 | 2.89 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 15 | 0 | 12 | 57 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 0% | 0.8 | 14.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 10.03 | 11.02 | -0.9 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 15 | 0 | 12 | 57 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 0% | 0.8 | 14.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 10.03 | 11.59 | -1.0 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 43 | 1 | 42 | 171 | 53 | 15 | 4 | 2% | 1.0 | 27.3% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 2.6% | 4.10 | 3.39 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 43 | 1 | 42 | 171 | 53 | 15 | 4 | 2% | 1.0 | 31.0% | 8.8% | 22.2% | 2.3% | 4.10 | 2.88 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 51 | 209 | 52 | 13 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 6.5% | 17.2% | 4.5% | 4.21 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 51 | 209 | 52 | 13 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 6.2% | 18.7% | 3.8% | 4.21 | 3.86 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 61 | 270 | 64 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.8% | 6.1% | 17.6% | 1.5% | 4.01 | 2.72 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 61 | 270 | 64 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.7% | 6.3% | 17.4% | 1.5% | 4.01 | 2.69 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 21 | 99 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 15.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 7.40 | 5.29 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 21 | 99 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 7.40 | 5.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 26 | 1 | 33 | 142 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 4% | 1.3 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.55 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | WSH | 53 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 50 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.26 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.26 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 89 | 377 | 77 | 34 | 11 | — | — | 20.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 3.99 | 4.53 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 6 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 21.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.26 | 4.05 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 48 | 0 | 51 | 214 | 44 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.54 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 43 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 4.86 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | WSH | 38 | 0 | 40 | 170 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 5.21 | 5.44 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.54 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 4.86 | 5.07 | — |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 5.21 | 5.44 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 263 | 0 | 252 | 1092 | 230 | 82 | 31 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 3.84 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 209 | 0 | 200 | 865 | 182 | 65 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 472 | 2 | 483 | 2085 | 430 | 164 | 51 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 4.36 | 3.70 | +9.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 195 | 1 | 200 | 863 | 178 | 68 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 4.36 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trevor Gott (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 3.1% | — | 5.05 | 19.6% | 10.1% | 136 | +0.62 | — | — | — |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.77 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 272 | 81 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 78 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2025 · 3.34 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.34 | 18.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.82 | 24.5% | 18.6% | 25 | -0.52 | 2.82 | 316 | 77 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 77 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 77 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 76 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 76 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 76 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 74 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 74 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 74 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.48 | 20.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .327 | 3.16 | 25.6% | 18.5% | 130 | -0.32 | 2.23 | 367 | 73 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 73 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 73 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 73 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.44 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .356 | 4.68 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.24 | 2.73 | 410 | 72 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .294 | 3.35 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.42 | 3.17 | 225 | 72 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 20.1% | 9.3% | 1.35 | 4.68 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |