Jaden Hill
P
Colorado Rockies
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 260 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9788vR 79
ERA3.55
FIP3.38
K%25.7%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%16.1%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p8797.1
Whiff%
p8330.4%
K%
p4922.0%
xwOBA vs
p460.316
SL+1.4 (30%)
FB+1.3 (51%)
SI (20%)
CH-1.7 (20%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 18 | 75 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 1.8 | 33.3% | 8.0% | 25.3% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 1.30 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 18 | 75 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 1.8 | 33.3% | 8.0% | 25.3% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 1.29 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 16 | 16 | 44 | 217 | 57 | 25 | 11 | 100% | 2.7 | 20.2% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.48 | 6.25 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 16 | 16 | 44 | 217 | 57 | 25 | 11 | 100% | 2.7 | 26.3% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 5.1% | 9.48 | 5.48 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 56 | 253 | 75 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.7% | 7.1% | 19.6% | 2.5% | 4.66 | 3.14 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 56 | 253 | 75 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.6% | 8.3% | 21.3% | 2.4% | 4.66 | 2.94 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 45 | 2 | 50 | 209 | 62 | 16 | 3 | 4% | 1.1 | 28.4% | 7.7% | 20.7% | 1.3% | 3.42 | 2.41 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 45 | 2 | 50 | 209 | 62 | 16 | 3 | 4% | 1.1 | 29.7% | 7.7% | 22.0% | 1.4% | 3.42 | 2.36 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 32 | 0 | 27 | 127 | 28 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 22.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 1.6% | 5.06 | 3.60 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 2.2% | 3.55 | 3.38 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 2.2% | 3.55 | 3.38 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 51 | 228 | 54 | 25 | 4 | — | — | 23.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 1.9% | 4.35 | 3.49 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 51 | 214 | 54 | 25 | 4 | — | — | 25.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 2.0% | 4.35 | 3.53 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 59 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 3.88 | 3.83 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 57 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 2.5% | 3.93 | 3.95 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | COL | 48 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 53 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 4.13 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 57 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 3.88 | 3.83 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 54 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 2.5% | 3.93 | 3.95 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | COL | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 50 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 4.13 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 234 | 0 | 240 | 1033 | 251 | 103 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 2.3% | 4.01 | 3.59 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 195 | 0 | 200 | 861 | 209 | 86 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 2.3% | 4.01 | 3.59 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 153 | 28 | 194 | 881 | 224 | 84 | 24 | 18% | 1.3 | 25.4% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 2.7% | 5.34 | 3.64 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 158 | 29 | 200 | 908 | 231 | 87 | 25 | 18% | 1.3 | 25.4% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 2.7% | 5.34 | 3.64 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jaden Hill (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.58 | 27.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | — | 3.97 | 25.3% | 15.5% | 157 | +0.39 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Kinley R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .295 | 3.79 | 25.0% | 11.7% | 140 | +0.05 | 1.58 | 578 | 83 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2028 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.78 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.47 | 1.74 | 468 | 81 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.15 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.73 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.58 | 3.15 | 220 | 80 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 79 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 79 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.07 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.4% | .260 | 2.79 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 188 | -0.28 | 2.42 | 302 | 79 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.74 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.72 | 2.74 | 239 | 78 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2027 · 3.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.04 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.4% | .330 | 3.26 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | +0.22 | 2.42 | 125 | 78 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 78 |
| Juan Minaya R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.67 | 24.4% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.51 | 25.1% | 14.5% | 132 | -0.16 | 3.17 | 446 | 78 |
| Kaleb Fleck R 2026 · 2.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.67 | 25.8% | 9.8% | 0.9% | .331 | 3.87 | 21.8% | 13.2% | 125 | +1.20 | 2.67 | 177 | 77 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.27 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.07 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 63 | -0.20 | 2.74 | 178 | 77 |
| José Ramírez R 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.28 | 23.0% | 10.4% | 1.5% | .274 | 4.56 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 62 | +1.28 | 3.28 | 206 | 77 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 2.99 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.99 | 24.9% | 12.1% | 0.9% | .261 | 2.58 | 34.5% | 25.9% | 172 | -0.41 | 1.52 | 452 | 77 |
| Blake Smith R 2027 · 3.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.08 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.66 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 71 | +0.58 | 3.08 | 124 | 77 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 77 |
| Blake Wood R 2029 · 3.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.05 | 24.5% | 10.5% | 1.3% | .325 | 3.66 | 24.9% | 14.9% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.05 | 210 | 76 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 76 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 76 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.12 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 1.2% | .284 | 3.59 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 55 | +0.47 | 2.49 | 160 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 52 | 25.9% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.90 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| Sam Hentges ('24) | 4 | 52 | 25.4% | 8.4% | 0.78 | 4.18 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |
| Juan Nicasio ('19) | 5 | 68 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 0.83 | 4.21 |
| David Phelps ('22) | 6 | 62 | 24.4% | 9.5% | 0.87 | 3.55 |