Jaden Hill — OGILVIE

Jaden Hill P Colorado Rockies

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 260 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10294vR 86

ERA3.68

FIP3.52

K%25.1%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%15.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p8597.0

Whiff%

p7228.8%

p4922.0%

xwOBA vs

p490.313

SL+1.4 (27%)

FB+1.3 (53%)

SI (22%)

CH-1.7 (20%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	18	75	25	6	0	100%	1.8	33.3%	8.0%	25.3%	0.0%	3.06	1.30	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	10	18	75	25	6	0	100%	1.8	33.3%	8.0%	25.3%	0.0%	3.06	1.29	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	16	16	44	217	57	25	11	100%	2.7	20.2%	13.2%	7.0%	6.1%	9.48	6.39	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	16	16	44	217	57	25	11	100%	2.7	20.2%	13.2%	7.0%	6.1%	9.48	6.39	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	16	16	44	217	57	25	11	100%	2.7	26.3%	11.5%	14.7%	5.1%	9.48	5.48	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	0	56	253	75	21	6	0%	1.1	26.7%	7.1%	19.6%	2.3%	4.66	3.02	+1.0
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	0	56	253	75	21	6	0%	1.1	26.7%	7.1%	19.6%	2.3%	4.66	3.02	+1.0
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	50	0	56	253	75	21	6	0%	1.1	29.6%	8.3%	21.3%	2.4%	4.66	2.94	+1.1
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	2	50	209	62	16	3	4%	1.1	27.7%	7.5%	20.2%	1.5%	3.42	2.51	+1.2
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	2	50	209	62	16	3	4%	1.1	27.7%	7.5%	20.2%	1.5%	3.42	2.51	+1.2
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	45	2	50	209	62	16	3	4%	1.1	29.7%	7.7%	22.0%	1.4%	3.42	2.36	+1.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			78	0	75	338	73	36	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.7%	10.9%	2.1%	4.82	3.81	+0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	43	0	37	172	37	22	3	0%	0.9	22.0%	12.2%	9.8%	1.6%	5.89	3.68	+0.4
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	43	0	37	172	37	22	3	0%	0.9	22.0%	12.2%	9.8%	1.6%	5.89	3.68	+0.4
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	COL	2	0	2	8	1	2	0	0%	1.0	12.5%	25.0%	-12.5%	0.0%	4.50	5.21	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	COL	41	0	35	164	36	20	3	0%	0.8	22.0%	12.2%	9.8%	1.8%	5.97	3.80	+0.3
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	COL	41	0	35	164	36	20	3	0%	0.8	22.0%	12.2%	9.8%	1.8%	5.97	3.80	+0.3
ROS	26	MLB MLE	COL	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	25.1%	9.8%	15.3%	2.4%	3.68	3.52	+0.1
ROS	26	MLB CTX	COL	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	25.1%	9.8%	15.3%	2.4%	3.68	3.52	+0.1
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	42	193	42	24	4	—	—	21.9%	12.5%	9.4%	1.8%	5.63	3.66	+0.4
FULL	26	MLB A+C	COL	—	—	40	167	42	24	4	—	—	25.3%	14.4%	10.9%	2.1%	5.91	3.93	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	COL	52	0	54	229	58	23	6	0%	1.0	25.2%	9.8%	15.4%	2.4%	3.97	3.92	+0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	50	0	53	223	56	22	6	0%	1.1	25.0%	10.0%	15.0%	2.6%	4.02	4.03	+0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	COL	50	0	52	220	55	22	5	0%	1.0	25.2%	9.8%	15.4%	2.4%	3.97	3.92	+0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	48	0	50	211	53	21	5	0%	1.0	25.0%	10.0%	15.0%	2.6%	4.02	4.03	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		180	0	181	788	186	81	18	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.2%	13.4%	2.3%	4.33	3.66	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		198	0	200	870	205	89	20	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.2%	13.4%	2.3%	4.33	3.66	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		164	28	204	926	232	89	25	17%	1.2	25.1%	9.7%	15.4%	2.7%	5.47	3.68	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	27	200	908	227	88	24	17%	1.2	25.1%	9.7%	15.4%	2.7%	5.47	3.68	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jaden Hill (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.61	27.4%	8.7%	2.4%	—	3.97	25.1%	15.2%	107	+0.36	—	—	—
Tyler Kinley R 2017 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	25.0%	10.3%	2.6%	.295	3.82	25.0%	11.7%	140	+0.08	1.58	595	83
Neil Ramírez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	26	SU	3.21	25.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.289	4.75	28.3%	17.6%	151	+1.54	3.21	220	81
Daniel Hudson R 2015 · 3.35 FIP	28	SU	3.35	24.5%	7.9%	2.4%	.302	3.78	22.8%	13.6%	168	+0.43	1.68	468	81
Scott Oberg R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	26	SU	3.19	22.9%	9.1%	1.6%	.260	2.92	23.8%	16.4%	188	-0.27	2.54	302	80
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	80
Isaiah Campbell R 2023 · 3.35 FIP	25	SU	3.35	25.5%	9.2%	2.3%	.273	4.07	18.3%	11.8%	126	+0.72	3.31	244	80
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	80
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	79
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	79
Spencer Patton R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	27	SU	3.47	26.8%	9.6%	2.6%	.295	2.79	30.3%	18.1%	57	-0.68	2.79	239	78
José Ramírez R 2016 · 3.36 FIP	26	SU	3.36	23.0%	10.4%	1.6%	.274	4.56	21.7%	10.8%	62	+1.20	3.36	206	78
Juan Minaya R 2017 · 3.69 FIP	26	SU	3.69	24.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.291	3.63	25.1%	14.5%	132	-0.06	3.20	446	78
Tommy Kahnle R 2016 · 3.00 FIP	26	SU	3.00	24.9%	12.1%	0.9%	.261	2.59	34.5%	25.9%	172	-0.41	1.53	458	78
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	78
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	78
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	77
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	77
Kaleb Fleck R 2015 · 2.68 FIP	26	SU	2.68	25.8%	9.8%	0.9%	.331	3.88	21.8%	13.2%	125	+1.20	2.68	177	77
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	77
Jeff Johnson R 2016 · 3.18 FIP	26	SU	3.18	21.9%	9.6%	1.3%	.284	3.69	23.6%	8.0%	55	+0.51	2.49	160	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	25.9%	9.5%	0.95	3.92
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Diego Castillo ('22)	1.3	52	28.1%	8.9%	1.07	3.12