Player 689052 — OGILVIE

Player 6890521B Fredericksburg Nationals

Age — —/— A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION308 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .125 / .125

PA8

HR0

K%38

BB%6

BABIP292

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 22 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT22

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED68

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	WSH	—	308	271	63	7	5	8	17	111	11	36	10	232	304	384	688	151	355	36	6	285	79	-8	+3	+0	-6	+7	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	WSH	—	308	261	72	9	6	9	27	78	11	36	10	276	368	460	828	184	356	25	9	358	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	WSH	0%	8	8	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	125	125	125	250		295	38	0	278	74	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	WSH	—	316	279	64	7	5	8	17	114	11	37	10	229	300	376	676	147	350	36	5	285	79	-8	+3	+0	-6	+7	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	429	390	82	12	4	10	27	134	9	16	4	210	277	338	615	128	291	31	6	279	75	-13	+2	+0	-8	+9	-1.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	482	438	93	14	4	12	31	147	10	16	4	212	280	345	624	132	291	30	6	282	77	-13	+2	+0	-9	+10	-1.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	519	469	102	16	5	13	35	156	10	17	4	217	286	356	642	139	291	30	7	285	79	-13	+2	+0	-9	+11	-0.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	545	492	108	17	5	14	37	163	11	17	4	220	289	360	649	140	290	30	7	286	80	-13	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.9
2027	25	MLB CTX	WSH	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	288	—	—	261	75	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	288	—	—	265	77	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	WSH	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	288	—	—	268	79	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	WSH	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	288	—	—	269	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	1983	1797	386	59	18	49	130	603	40	67	16	215	283	349	632	135	292	30	7	283	78	-52	+7	+0	-35	+43	-3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	126	19	6	16	43	198	13	22	5	214	282	348	630	134	291	30	7	283	78	-17	+2	+0	-12	+14	-1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.5	2,295	55	75	214	278	345	-27	+0	-1.9	-1.0
/162	664	16	22	-7.8	+0.0	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 689052 (OGILVIE)	25	22	44	68	41	209/276/337	129	295	7	21	32%	6%	74	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrew Cain 2015 · A	25	41→37	45→50	57→50	39	207/258/333	126	286	12	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/312	122	317	13	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	153/216/273	120	258	13	8	44%	7%	34	-2.2
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	37	201/256/323	123	294	12	21	35%	6%	63	-1.4	207/285/328	121	308	10	26	34%	8%	75	-0.5	192/286/323	131	289	10	39	34%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	36→42	47→50	57→55	33	182/239/318	135	298	14	20	42%	5%	55	-1.9	203/262/336	133	286	15	22	33%	6%	68	-1.0	207/271/333	126	286	14	25	31%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	40→42	47→50	54→55	46	201/285/337	136	272	14	18	30%	9%	78	-0.3	212/290/348	136	290	16	23	31%	8%	82	-0.0	203/285/337	134	276	17	26	31%	8%	75	-0.3
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	45→40	55→50	46	202/283/328	125	257	12	15	26%	8%	75	-0.5	216/303/308	92	269	8	14	21%	9%	78	-0.3	215/312/285	70	264	6	15	19%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Brian O'Grady 2017 · A	25	39→38	43→55	54→50	49	193/279/308	115	268	10	14	30%	10%	68	-1.0	200/271/341	141	275	15	14	31%	8%	72	-0.7	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Michael Sandle 2023 · A	24	43→41	42→45	56→50	39	209/265/318	109	293	10	16	31%	5%	64	-1.3	190/248/291	101	281	10	14	34%	6%	52	-2.2	150/209/240	91	222	10	16	36%	5%	24	-2.8
✕Cesar Quintero 2008 · A	25	45→44	43→45	58→55	35	220/256/334	114	310	11	21	32%	4%	64	-1.3	204/242/301	97	300	9	14	34%	4%	51	-2.2	182/216/263	81	269	8	12	35%	4%	30	-2.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2020 · AAA	25	41→48	44→50	58→65	35	202/241/326	124	291	10	24	33%	4%	57	-1.8	218/260/349	131	301	12	25	30%	5%	70	-0.9	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Eli Iorg 2008 · A	25	45→50	47→50	59→55	37	226/266/369	143	303	14	24	30%	4%	76	-0.4	229/264/344	115	313	10	17	29%	4%	69	-0.9	240/270/352	112	320	10	19	28%	3%	70	-0.7
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	45→42	47→50	60→55	50	223/302/368	145	266	13	19	22%	8%	90	+0.6	211/279/321	110	284	8	11	27%	7%	70	-0.8	206/275/315	109	281	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Jason Martinson 2015 · AA	26	40→41	44→45	57→50	39	198/258/309	111	294	12	17	35%	7%	60	-1.6	183/240/288	105	297	11	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	164/223/265	101	276	11	8	42%	6%	34	-2.5
✕Lane Adams 2015 · AA	25	46	43→45	57→60	43	224/279/338	114	287	10	27	25%	6%	74	-0.5	228/281/349	121	306	12	31	28%	6%	77	-0.3	227/280/350	123	310	14	36	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→50	40→45	55→60	43	197/264/288	91	273	7	19	29%	7%	57	-1.8	216/270/336	120	285	13	28	28%	6%	71	-0.8	213/270/337	124	278	12	27	27%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	39	44→45	53→60	44	192/273/305	114	293	11	16	36%	9%	65	-1.2	199/280/310	111	290	12	26	33%	9%	70	-0.9	181/272/285	104	255	13	39	32%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	39	44→50	51→50	46	195/270/310	115	258	11	11	28%	8%	65	-1.2	209/297/348	139	287	16	6	31%	9%	84	+0.2	201/298/342	142	277	17	3	32%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Kyle Gaedele 2015 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	54→50	40	201/262/324	122	289	11	16	33%	7%	65	-1.2	205/273/341	136	339	15	10	41%	8%	74	-0.6	180/259/326	147	314	17	7	45%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	40→38	41→45	54→55	43	195/279/294	99	285	9	20	32%	8%	65	-1.2	194/281/318	124	323	13	15	41%	8%	72	-0.7	150/259/288	138	250	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Joe Suozzi 2023 · A	25	41	43→45	53→50	34	191/261/302	111	326	11	14	42%	6%	60	-1.6	214/285/308	94	337	9	10	36%	7%	70	-0.8	231/300/312	81	347	8	8	33%	7%	74	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps