Reese Sharp prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Reese Sharp P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%22.5%

BB%14.7%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP38

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	5	0	9	44	16	11	1	0%	1.7	36.4%	25.0%	11.4%	2.3%	3.12	4.44	—
2022	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	5	0	9	44	16	11	1	0%	1.7	36.4%	25.0%	11.4%	2.3%	3.12	4.72	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	54	242	67	44	3	0%	1.7	21.0%	21.2%	-0.1%	1.7%	3.83	4.94	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	54	242	67	44	3	0%	1.7	21.0%	21.2%	-0.1%	1.7%	3.83	4.94	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	54	242	67	44	3	0%	1.7	27.7%	18.2%	9.5%	1.2%	3.83	3.79	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	1	20	85	18	10	1	8%	1.5	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	1.2%	1.80	3.45	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	1	20	85	18	10	1	8%	1.5	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	1.2%	1.80	3.45	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	1	20	85	18	10	1	8%	1.5	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	1.2%	1.80	3.45	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	BAL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.5%	14.7%	7.8%	3.0%	5.07	5.07	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	36	0	38	160	36	22	5	0%	1.0	22.8%	14.1%	8.7%	3.0%	4.98	4.97	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	15	0	16	68	15	10	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	14.1%	8.7%	3.0%	4.98	4.97	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	68	16	10	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	14.1%	8.7%	3.0%	4.98	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	124	25	0%	1.1	22.8%	14.1%	8.7%	3.0%	4.98	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		49	1	83	371	85	72	6	2%	1.7	22.9%	19.5%	3.4%	1.6%	3.27	4.54	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		119	2	200	898	205	175	15	2%	1.7	22.9%	19.5%	3.4%	1.6%	3.27	4.54	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reese Sharp (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	22.5%	14.7%	3.0%	—	4.97	22.8%	8.7%	38	-0.10	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	92
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	90
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	89
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	88
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	88
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	88
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	88
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	88
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	87
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	87
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	87
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	87
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	87
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	86
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	86
Brad Boxberger R 2013 · 4.40 FIP	25	SU	4.40	25.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.296	3.54	32.3%	22.2%	152	-0.86	2.63	478	85
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	22.7%	14.4%	1.15	5.02
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27