Brady Hill
P
Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 180 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 125
ERA5.52
FIP5.52
K%21.1%
BB%17.6%
K-BB%3.5%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 91 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 42.9% | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 18.00 | 10.94 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 42.9% | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 18.00 | 16.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 38 | 159 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.0% | 13.0% | -3.0% | 5.6% | 5.45 | 6.98 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 38 | 159 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 5.45 | 5.18 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 38 | 0 | 42 | 187 | 49 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 4.71 | 4.96 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 38 | 0 | 42 | 187 | 49 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 2.7% | 4.71 | 3.74 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 41 | 0 | 46 | 216 | 65 | 37 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 20.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 6.11 | 4.67 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 41 | 0 | 46 | 216 | 65 | 37 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.1% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 0.9% | 6.11 | 3.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 27 | 0 | 31 | 126 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 17.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.59 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | WSH | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 53 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 17.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.52 | 5.52 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.1% | 17.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.52 | 5.52 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 91 | 377 | 91 | 63 | 10 | — | — | 24.1% | 16.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 5.33 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.1% | 17.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.52 | 5.14 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 54 | 42 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.39 | 5.38 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 54 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 16.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 5.33 | 5.34 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 52 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 16.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.33 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.39 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 34 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 16.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 5.33 | 5.34 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 39 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 16.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.33 | 5.37 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 0 | 105 | 445 | 96 | 73 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 16.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.35 | 4.98 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 138 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 16.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.35 | 4.98 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 142 | 0 | 158 | 695 | 133 | 112 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.96 | 5.40 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 180 | 0 | 200 | 880 | 168 | 141 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.96 | 5.40 | +0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brady Hill (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.52 | 21.1% | 17.6% | 2.9% | — | 5.36 | 21.6% | 5.3% | 175 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Zane Morehouse R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.86 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 2.5% | .321 | 6.20 | 18.6% | -0.4% | 17 | +1.34 | 2.62 | 116 | 89 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 89 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 89 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 86 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.6% | .229 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.79 | 3.89 | 272 | 86 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.50 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.0% | .351 | 3.67 | 14.2% | 4.6% | 18 | -0.83 | 3.67 | 108 | 86 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 85 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 85 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 85 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.46 | 19.0% | 15.0% | 1.9% | .326 | 4.33 | 22.0% | 5.9% | 87 | -0.13 | 4.13 | 217 | 84 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.60 | 19.9% | 17.5% | 3.6% | .214 | 4.77 | 19.0% | 3.2% | 53 | -0.83 | 3.73 | 203 | 84 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.64 | 18.1% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .278 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 5.8% | 90 | -0.20 | 4.16 | 164 | 84 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.37 | 19.6% | 14.7% | 3.8% | .256 | 3.94 | 15.0% | 5.6% | 61 | -1.43 | 3.94 | 189 | 84 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.39 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.3% | .326 | 4.55 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.16 | 3.96 | 242 | 84 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 1.9% | .329 | 4.35 | 25.0% | 5.4% | 107 | -0.34 | 4.20 | 311 | 83 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 83 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 83 |
| Christopher Troye R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.42 | 24.2% | 17.0% | 4.0% | .282 | 5.50 | 19.1% | -3.8% | 30 | +0.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 82 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.05 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 82 |
| Kyle Wilcox R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.80 | 25.1% | 21.2% | 3.9% | .310 | 5.67 | 25.1% | -1.5% | 13 | -0.13 | 2.77 | 310 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 1.15 | 5.39 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |